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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 10/15/18

NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 10/15/18 1 month 5 days ago #492558

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 10/15/18
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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 10/15/18 1 month 5 days ago #492560

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San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers Preview and Predictions 10-15-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 12th October 2018 by Gracenote
49ers vs. Packers Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 10/12/2018

The Green Bay Packers have stumbled badly in both of their road games, but they will be hoping the home crowd will help provide an offensive spark when they host the struggling San Francisco 49ers on Monday night. Slow starts continue to plague the Packers, who fell into a 24-point hole on the road against NFC North rival Detroit last week en route to a 31-23 defeat.

Green Bay also trailed by 18 points at halftime in a loss at Washington in Week 3 and was down 17 points at the break versus Chicago in the season opener before Aaron Rodgers led a stirring comeback in the fourth quarter. "I feel like if we can get off to a better start on offense, it makes the entire squad play with a different type of confidence," Rodgers told reporters. "We need to lead from the front as an offense and as a team, and give our defense an opportunity to pin their ears back and get after the quarterback and make them a little more one-dimensional." That could happen against San Francisco, which already has lost starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo and No. 1 running back Jerick McKinnon and could be missing current top rusher Matt Breida for the prime-time clash. "I know we've been through some adversity," 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan told reporters. "It's never easy. It definitely gets harder when you do have injuries and things like that. But we have people in here who can win games."

TV: 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Packers -9.5. O/U: 46.5

ABOUT THE 49ERS (1-4): Shanahan noted that eight of the team's 11 offensive players did not practice Wednesday and, while he did not officially rule out Breida, veteran Alfred Morris is expected to receive a heavy workload in the backfield. C.J. Beathard has thrown for two touchdowns and two interceptions in each of his first two starts but could get a boost with wide receiver Marquise Goodwin expected to return to the lineup. Goodwin has been limited to parts of three games but would represent another key target to go along with tight end George Kittle, who has a team-leading 33 receptions. San Francisco is 10th overall in defense but is allowing 29.2 points per game.


​​​​​​​

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2-2-1): Rodgers sat out Thursday's practice for what he termed a "setback" in his knee, which he originally hurt in Green Bay's season opener against Chicago. The injury notwithstanding, Rodgers has thrown for 10 touchdowns against only one interception and is coming off a season-best 442-yard performance at Detroit despite the absences of wide receivers Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison, who both were limited in practice this week. Davante Adams made nine catches for 140 yards and a touchdown versus the Lions, giving him 37 receptions and four scores on the season. The Packers rank fourth overall in total defense and are No. 2 against the pass (208.8 yards per game).

EXTRA POINTS

1. Rodgers is 8-0-1 in his last nine home starts, throwing 22 TD passes and three interceptions.

2. San Francisco has registered a league-best 48 wins on Monday Night Football, including nine in a row.

3. Packers LB Clay Matthews has recorded 4.5 sacks in his last three games versus the 49ers.

PREDICTION: Packers 27, 49ers 16
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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 10/15/18 1 month 5 days ago #492561

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October 14, 2018
By Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK

The 49ers (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) suffered their third consecutive loss and fell to 0-2 without Jimmy Garoppolo as their starting quarterback. After a valiant effort in a two-point road loss to the Chargers as 10-point underdogs in Week 4, San Francisco was surprised at home by a previously winless Arizona squad, 28-18. However, the final score doesn’t tell the entire story at Levi’s Stadium.

San Francisco outgained Arizona, 447-220 in the yardage department, while holding the ball for over 40 minutes. The nail in the coffin for the 49ers was five turnovers, including three lost fumbles and a pair of interceptions thrown by quarterback C.J. Beathard, who finished with 349 yards through the air. The difference for this struggling Arizona team was a 75-yard touchdown connection between rookies Josh Rosen and Christian Kirk, while the Cardinals’ defense returned a fumble recovery for a score as the two teams combined for 26 fourth quarter points to finish OVER the total of 40 ½.

The Packers (2-2-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) are trying to find their footing following an up and down start as Green Bay fell behind early in a 31-23 setback at Detroit last Sunday. The Lions built a 24-0 halftime lead before the Packers made it interesting in the second half by outscoring Detroit, 23-7. The normally reliable Mason Crosby missed four field goals and an extra point for Green Bay, while the Packers also lost three fumbles in the defeat.

Crosby knocked down a field goal in the final seconds for a late morale boost, as the Packers have allowed 29 points or more in their three non-victories. Aaron Rodgers tossed up 442 yards and three touchdowns in the loss, the first game this season that the Green Bay star quarterback has thrown for at least 300 yards. The bad news is Green Bay suffered its first divisional loss in three tries this season, as Detroit and Minnesota are the only teams in the NFC North without a defeat to a divisional foe.

ROAD WOES

In Kyle Shanahan’s first season as head coach of the 49ers, San Francisco owned a solid 5-2 ATS record in the role of a road underdog. However, that number has not transferred over to the season as the Niners have stumbled to a 1-2 SU/ATS mark away from Levi’s Stadium (all as an underdog). Granted, the competition has been stiff by facing the Vikings, Chiefs, and Chargers with the only cover coming in a 29-27 setback at Los Angeles in Week 4 as 10-point underdogs. In the first eight weeks of the season dating back to 2015, the Niners own a dreadful 0-15 SU and 5-10 ATS record on the highway.

UNDER THE LIGHTS

The Packers have won in three of their last four appearances on Monday night football dating back to 2014. The only loss in this stretch came last season against the Lions at home, but Rodgers was out due to the collarbone injury he suffered three weeks prior. The last time Green Bay lost with Rodgers starting and ending a Monday night game came in the infamous “Fail Mary” loss to Seattle in 2012.

Who would have thought that the 49ers own a nine-game winning streak on Monday night dating back to 2010? It’s true, the last time San Francisco fell on a Monday night was back in Week 2 of 2010 in a 25-22 home setback to New Orleans. During this nine-game hot streak, the Niners have covered eight times, including recent underdog wins over the Rams (2016) and Vikings (2015). The Niners haven’t played a road Monday nighter since 2014, when San Francisco went into St. Louis and routed the Rams, 31-17.

SERIES HISTORY

These two teams had plenty of dramatic playoff moments by meeting five times from 1998 through 2014 with the 49ers winning three times. Granted, that was a long time ago, even though Rodgers was knocked out twice by San Francisco in the postseason in the 2012 and 2013 campaigns. In the most recent regular season matchup in 2015 at Levi's Stadium, the Packers cruised past the 49ers, 17-3 to easily cash as 7½-point road favorites.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

NFL expert Joe Nelson points out the Packers should get on track simply due to their success at Lambeau Field, “Green Bay is 27-9-1 SU at home since the start of the 2014 season with a 22-14-1 ATS run though there has been a short term 3-5 ATS slide since last October. Many of those late season losses last season came without Rodgers and while the two-time MVP has played most of the snaps this season, he hasn’t matched his career numbers while playing at less than 100 percent since sustaining a knee injury in Week 1.”

The running game will definitely be a factor in this contest as both these teams are sitting in the top-10, “San Francisco and Green Bay have had surprising success running the ball, sitting 4th and 9th respectively in yards per rush this season. San Francisco is also in the league’s top 5 in yards per rush allowed defensively. Both teams are also in the top 10 in yards per pass attempt allowed as the defenses have posted more successful numbers than expected,” Nelson notes.

GAME PROPS – Courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas Superbook

Total Completions – C.J. Beathard
OVER 22 ½ (-110)
UNDER 22 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – C.J. Beathard
OVER 1 ½ (+150)
UNDER 1 ½ (-180)

Total Gross Passing Yards – Aaron Rodgers
OVER 292 ½ (-110)
UNDER 292 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Aaron Rodgers
OVER 2 ½ (+120)
UNDER 2 ½ (-140)

Total Receiving Yards – Davante Adams
OVER 83 ½ (-110)
UNDER 83 ½ (-110)

Will Davante Adams score a touchdown?
YES (-130)
NO (+110)

LINE MOVEMENT

The Packers opened up as 10-point favorites, but that number has dropped to 9 ½ at several books and even down to nine at the Westgate Superbook. The total hasn’t seen much movement, staying at 46 ½ for most of the week as both the Packers and 49ers are currently 4-1 to the OVER this season.
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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 10/15/18 1 month 5 days ago #492578

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Monday. October 15


SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 4) at GREEN BAY (2 - 2 - 1) - 10/15/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 189-135 ATS (+40.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-10 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 10/15/18 1 month 5 days ago #492579

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NFL

Week 6

Trend Report

Monday. October 15

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-10-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Green Bay
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
San Francisco is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Green Bay
San Francisco is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
San Francisco is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Green Bay is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Green Bay is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing San Francisco
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
Green Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco
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