Sunday 9/23/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & MLB games.
DENNIS MACKLIN
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Patriots vs. Lions
Patriots-6½
DMack's Free Play for Sunday, September 23, 2018 is on the New England Patriots
The Hoodie has had a history of beating up new coaches from his coaching tree and this would appear to be an excellent spot for the Pats regardless. New England embarrassed after being dominated and allowing 400 passing yards to Blake Bortles in last week's loss to the Jags. The Lions have seemed confused in two losses, will be missing their shut down corner in concussion protocol, and be coming hot after Stafford so as not to get lit up twice in two weeks. Not a service play only because this is a road game, like the Pats by 17-20.
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BOBBY LIGS
Event: (469) Denver Broncos at (470) Baltimore Ravens
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 23, 2018 1PM EDT
Play: Total Over 43.0 (-108)
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Sal Michaels
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Raiders vs. Dolphins
Free Play on Dolphins -3½ -104
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Bobby Conn
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Bears vs. Cardinals
Cardinals+5½ -110
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Info Plays
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Broncos vs. Ravens
UNDER 43½ -109
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Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Broncos/Ravens UNDER 43.5
Look for a defensive battle Sunday when the Ravens host the Broncos and for the game to finish well below the posted total of 43.5. These two teams have flashed some offense early on, but Baltimore 47-point outburst in Week 1 came against the Bills and Denver hasn't exactly played a great defense with their first two against the Seahawks and Raiders.
Both of these teams are built on their defenses and both can get pressure on the quarterback. I just don't see either of these offenses being able to consistently sustain drives and I think both will struggle in the red zone.
UNDER is 9-2 in the Ravens last 11 off a division road loss and 9-2 in their last 11 after 2 straight games where 50+ total points were scored.
We also find a great system in play. The UNDER is 26-6 (81%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a team off a division road loss (Ravens) against a team off a win over a division opponent (Broncos). Take the UNDER!
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Kenny Walker
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Colts vs. Eagles
Eagles-7
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Jack Jones
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Baltimore Ravens -5
The Baltimore Ravens are in a good spot here. They have extra rest after playing last Thursday in a 23-34 loss to the Bengals. It was a tough scheduling spot there and they fell behind 21-0 quickly, but rallied and made a game out of it. They actually outgained the Bengals by 52 yards in that contest a week after outgaining the Bills by 216 yards in a dominant 47-3 home win.
I really like this Ravens team as I believe they are one of the better teams in the AFC. And I think Denver is a bit overvalued here off its 2-0 start. That 2-0 start has come at home against both the Seahawks and Raiders by a combined 4 points. They could easily be 0-2 as they trailed in the fourth quarter in both of those games.
And keep in mind playing in Denver is tough for any road team early in the season with the altitude. Now the Broncos will be hitting the road for the first time this season. They’ll be facing a hungry Ravens team here. And home-field advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 10-3 SU in the last 13 meetings. The Ravens are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six home meetings with the Broncos.
Denver’s pass defense has been exposed against two weak offenses in Oakland and Seattle. Russell Wilson threw for 298 yards and 3 touchdowns against them in Week 1. Then Derek Carr went 29-of-32 passing for 288 yards and a touchdown against them in Week 2. Joe Flacco should do more of the same here. He is completing 64% of his passes for 612 yards with five touchdowns and two picks through two games. He finally has some weapons outside with the additions of John Brown, Michael Crabtree and Willie Snead, who are their three leading receivers to this point.
Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Baltimore) - a good team from last season that outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points per game, after playing a game where 50 or more total points were scored are 35-12 (74.5%) ATS since 1983. The Broncos are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet the Ravens Sunday.
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Black Widow
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Bears vs. Cardinals
Cardinals+5½ -110
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Doug Upstone
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Bears vs. Cardinals
Cardinals+6
On Sunday in the NFL, Play On teams like ARIZONA after scoring 9 points or less in two straight games. They are 37-10 ATS the last nine years, including 14-3 ATS in the past four.
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Cappers Club
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Bears vs. Cardinals
Cardinals +6
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Chicago Bears and the Arizona Cardinals face off on Sunday and in this game the Cardinals have the value.
Yes I know the Cardinals have looked terrible through the first two games but the Bears offense hasn't been impressive and the Cardinals should be able to slow them down.
If the Cardinals can prevent the Bears from defense they should have no issue keeping this game close.
Back the Cardinals
5* FREE Cappers Club Play on Cardinals +6
Good Luck, Cappers Club.
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Tim Michael
T.M. Selection: Washington Redskins (FREE PLAY)
Green Bay is 1-0-1 after two weeks, while Washington is 1-1. Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers played with a heavy brace on his leg against the Vikings and Mike McCarthy has said that his star pivot is “sore.” It’s a favorable schedule for the Packers, who I think won’t be able to help themselves “looking ahead” to their much more “winnable” game at home next week against the lowly Bills (followed with a game at Detroit, a game at home against the 49ers and then their bye-week.) Washington on the other hand would have had this particular game circled on the calendar before the season even started. This one means a lot more to the Redskins. Consider the points in this one.
T.M. Prediction: 24-20 Redskins.
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Dave Price
1* on Washington Redskins +3
The Key: The Green Bay Packers will be hitting the road for the first time this week. They were fortunate to beat the Bears at home in Week 1, and they were also fortunate to tie the Vikings at home in Week 2 due to all of Minnesota’s kicking woes. The Packers were outgained by 129 yards by the Vikings last week. And road teams off a tie have been terrible. In fact, in the last 13 instances, road teams off a tie are 0-13 SU & 2-11 ATS. The Redskins are better than they are getting credit for here. They won 24-6 in Arizona in Week 1 and their 6-17 loss to the Colts at home last week was misleading. They outgained the Colts by 53 yards a week after outgaining the Cardinals by 216 yards. The home team is 6-2 SU & 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. Take Washington.
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Pro Computer Gambler
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Broncos vs. Ravens
Broncos+5½
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). (Active on the Broncos this Week)
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Art Aronson
This is a 1* Free Play on the Dallas Cowboys.
The Hawks are staring 0-3 in the face this Sunday and we think it’ll become a reality. Dallas finally found its footing in the second half of its 20-13 win over the Giants last Sunday night and we look for it to grind out a win here as well. Dallas’ QB Dak Prescott was 16 of 25 for 160 yards last week, along with another 45 yards rushing. The Dallas defense had six sacks of Eli Manning and now that aggressive unit faces the Seahawks suspect offensive line which has already given up 12 sacks this year (the most in the NFL.) Note that Dallas is 10-6 ATS its last 16 on the road, while Seattle is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home. Consider the COWBOYS Sunday afternoon.
AAA Sports
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Red Dog Sports
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Colts vs. Eagles
Colts +7
Take the Colts +7 as they showed they have a solid defense and Andrew Luck played well at Washington in an easy win vs. the Redskins. There are +6, +6.5 and I even saw a +7.5 out there so shop around.
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John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on New England Patriots -6.5
The Patriots are coming off an ugly loss to the Jaguars. Jacksonville simply wanted that game more after losing to New England in the AFC Championship Game last year. It’s a forgivable loss because the Jaguars are one of the best teams in the AFC again. But now the Patriots are off a loss, and they are dangerous off a defeat. Bill Belichick is 21-6 ATS off a double-digit loss as the coach of the Patriots. Belichick is also 14-3 ATS off a double-digit loss as a favorite as the coach of New England. Tom Brady should score at will against a Lions defense that has allowed 78 combined points through the first two weeks of the season. I don’t think the Lions will be able to keep up. Give me the Patriots.
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Marc Lawrence
Play - Denver Broncos (Game 469).
Edges - Broncos: 11-4 SU and 9-4-2 ATS versus AFC North opponents, including 3-0 ATS as dogs … Ravens: 1-3 ATS last four games in this series ... With that we recommend a 1* play on Denver. Thank you and good lucks as always.
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Joseph D'Amico
Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER: Jacksonville Jaguars.
Game 466.
10:00 am pst.
With only 2 games into the season, the Jaguars have catapulted themselves as the team to beat and certainly one of the AFC elite. Jacksonville came out last week and dominated New England in their 31-20 win and cover, avenging last years, AFC title game loss. Normally, this could be a spot for a "letdown", but not this time. The Jaguars are motivated here, as the Titans took both meetings a season ago. And outside of the loss Conference championship loss, these pair of losses is are stung the most. Somehow, a banged-up, Tennessee team eked by Houston last Sunday. However, going on the road to TIAA Bank Field and facing the AFC's top team, will be a nightmare. The Titans are 9-22 ATS the L31 games as a visitor and 16-40-4 ATS the L60 games vs. AFC opponents. The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS the L5 games at home and 9-3 ATS the L12 games vs. AFC foes. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.
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Mike Lundin
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Giants vs. Texans
Giants+6½
The Houston Texans took a 20-17 loss to the Titans last Sunday, and I think they're well overrated in this Week 3 matchup with the New York Giants.
The Giants are still looking for their first win of the season, but they've held both Dallas and Jacksonville to just 20 points. They limited the Cowboys to only 298 total yards last week. The Texans rank 26th in the league in scoring at 18.5 points and it will be tough to cover this spread in what's likely to be a low-scoring game.
Additionally we can note that Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record, Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Free pick on New York Giants +6.5.
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CHIP CHIRIMBES
Dallas at Seattle 4:25 ET
Seahawks over Cowboys
The Seahawks are on the worst dive ever experienced by Pete Carroll as they have lost seven straight and are 1-9 SU in their last 10 with their last SU and ATS victory a 21-12 win over the Cowboys in Dallas. America's team hasn't been much better losing five straight against the points until Sunday night's win over the Giants. Dallas has scored 12, 6, 21 (a loss), 12, 3, 6, and 8 in their last seven games before last weeks 'explosion' of 20 points (scored a TD on the first play of the game). The Seahawks are a different team then what we have become accustomed to seeing but Dallas isn't mush better. The 'Birds' finally get their win. Take SEATTLE!
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TONY FINN
Event: (465) Tennessee Titans at (466) Jacksonville Jaguars
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 23, 2018 1PM EDT
Play: Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 (-108)
AFC Preview and Free Pick: Jaguars vs Titans
Jacksonville hosts American Football Conference foe Tennessee on Sunday. Kickoff for this Week #3 contest is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and will be played on the TIAA Bank Field turf. AFC Preview and Free Pick: Jaguars vs Titans.
The Jaguars entered Week #2 with question marks about the health of their bell-cow tailback Leonard Fournette and their No #1 wide receiver Marqise Lee. Without the aforementioned pair the Jags executed a dominant performance against the defending AFC champions New England.
Game Preview
Vegas Rotation: (465) Tennessee Titans at (466) Jacksonville Jaguars
Time and Date: 1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 23, 2018
Venue: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
Line: Jacksonville -9.5, 40
TV Broadcast: CBS
Tennessee Titans
Quarterback Marcus Mariota (elbow) was limited in practice on Friday and remains a question mark for this road event in Florida. Mariota ran 16 times for 84 yards in the Titans two wins over Jacksonville last year
Head coach Mike Vrabel told the media in the day-after Sunday presser that Mariota won't play until he's ready [healthy]. "There's some things he can do, and there's some throws that he can't really comfortably make," Vrabel said. "So we'll see where he's at as this thing goes on."
Mariota was active for the team's Week #2 victory over the Houston Texans but never took a snap. Backup quarterback Blaine Gabbert directed the team to a 20-17 victory. Not only are fantasy owners advised to avoid plugging Mariota into their Sunday lineup supporting Tennessee with Gabbert as the starting signal caller with a less than 100 percent running back Derrick Henry (limited in practice on Wednesday and Thursday) and without their best receiver, TE Delanie Walker (ankle) isn't advisable. The same applies to investors looking for a side to take in this AFC South affair.
In addition the Titans were without their two best offensive linemen (Taylor Lewan, Jack Conklin). Lewan (concussion) is reportedly "progressing well" and is not on this week's injury report. Conklin is questionable after being limited the entire week of practice.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Blake Bortles had a career day in last week's victory over the Patriots. And did so without number one receiver Marqise Lee and running back Leonard Fournette. Bortles threw for 377 yards and four touchdowns. Offensively Jacksonville earned a 480-302 advantage in total yards
The Jaguars' 31-20 win against New England provided evidence that last season's journey to the AFC championship game was anything but a fluke. The growth of the Jaguars offense is a dangerous fit with a dominating defense. Jacksonville is now the team to beat on the AFC side of the bracket.
Prediction
The Jaguars made a statement last week with a dominant performance against the defending AFC champions and double up on the victory with a second straight command performance.
AFC Free Pick is a play on the Jaguars minus the near double-digit handicap.
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Tampa Bay w/Snell -165 Over Toronto
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, September 23, 2018
NFL (465) TENNESSEE TITANS VS (466) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Take: (465) TENNESSEE TITANS
Reason: Your free play for Sunday, September 23, 2018 is in the MLB scheduled contest between the Tennessee Titans and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Your free play is on the TITANS.
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: Take INDIANAPOLIS/PHILADELPHIA UNDER the total of 46½
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Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Tennessee/Jacksonville over 39
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Jeff Allen Sports
Sunday's Free Selection is on the Colorado Rockies
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Roz Wins
Roz's Sunday, September 23, 2018, Free Pick
(473) OAKLAND RAIDERS VS (474) MIAMI DOLPHINS
Take : Raiders
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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Milwaukee Brewers - 120
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#1 Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Buffalo Bills + 16 1/2
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick the NY Mets w/Matz +125 over Philadelphia
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Saturday, September 23, 2018
(481) LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS (482) LOS ANGELES RAMS
Take : Chargers
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Early Sunday Free Selection Is
Green Bay -2½
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Golden Dragon Sports
FREE WINNER for SUNDAY: Denver/Baltimore under 45'
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Sunday's Free Pick: Minnesota Vikings - 16 1/2
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: San Francisco/Kansas City under 55
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: Take GREEN BAY/WASHINGTON OVER the total of 45
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Sunday: Jacksonville Jaguars - 9 1/2
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Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR SUNDAY - CHICAGO/ARIZONA OVER the total of 39
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John Anthony Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Houston Texans - 6
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BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Sept. 23 is:
Buffalo Bills +16.5 over Minnesota Vikings.
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Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
#481/2 LA Chargers/LA Rams Over
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Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#487 New England Patriots
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TDS Pucks & Dunks
Sloan Shannon
Home of the Dog Pound
#484 Arizona Cardinals
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Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish
Original Pot of Gold Top Play
#466 Jacksonville Jaguars
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Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot
Football & Basketball specialist
#464 Carolina Panthers
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Todays Round Robin
Harry Walker
Free:#479/0 SF 49ers/KC Chiefs Over
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Golden Locks Sports
#483 Chicago Bears
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Weekend Warrior
Mark Mayer
#463 Bengals
#473 Raiders
#478 Vikings
#482 Rams
#487 Patriots
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Vegas Hotsheet
#468 Atlanta Falcons
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TOMMY BRUNSON
The biggest impost of the young NFL season happens to be on today's Buffalo-Minnesota contest, as the Vikes will be asked to cover close to 17 points.
Can they do it?
I believe they can!
Buffalo looks bad. They have the untested Josh Allen or the terrible Nathan Peterman to choose from today, but both figure to be harassed all day long by the vaunted Minny stop unit. After facing Aaron Rodgers last Sunday, going up against either Allen or Peterman will be like a dinner feast for this Minnesota defense.
Kirk Cousins looks comfortable at the controls of this Vikings offense, and the fact that Minnesota will be playing in LA this Thursday night on a short week against the tough Rams, and then again the following Sunday in Philadelphia against the Super Bowl champs who humiliated them last January in the City of Brotherly Love should tell you that Mike Zimmer's team had better take care of this "walk in the park" today at home.
Minny is 13-3 against the spread their last 16 versus the AFC, an they are also a solid 16-4-2 their last 22 as the home favorite should give you an inkling as to why this price is so big.
Do not fear the impost!
Lay it with Minnesota, a they take this one by a 35-13 score.
4* MINNESOTA
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JEFF BENTON
Your Sunday freebie is the Chargers and Rams to land Over the total.
Soon to be sharing the same stadium teams the Chargers and the Rams tie one on here on Sunday afternoon, and I am going to look for Philip Rivers and Jared Goff to give us an entertaining offensive show in LA that lands Over the total.
The Bolts have played both of their regular season games Over the total, as they have posted 28 and 31 points while allowing 38 and 20 points. The Rams have only allowed 13 points total in their pair of games, and that includes shutting out the Cardinals just last week. Both of their games have held Under, but do note the Rams have scored 67 points in their pair of wins!
I can see the Rams getting out to an early lead that forces Philip Rivers to play catch up and force a few throws that he may not normally wish to throw. That could very well lead to a pick or two that sets up a quick score, or at the very least some short field scoring chances for Goff and the Rams. Bottom line home L.A. will be around that 30 points per game that they have been posting, and I also see visiting L.A. finding the end zone as Rivers will present the biggest test the Rams defense has faced thus far this season.
This game has 38-30 or somewhere right around there written all over it.
Chargers-Rams Over.
4* L.A. CHARGERS-L.A. RAMS OVER
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TRACE ADAMS
How much longer will Steve Wilks stay with quarterback Sam Bradford?
Arizona has posted just 6 points in their 2 games this season, as both of their games have landed Under the total. Josh Rosen under center cannot be too far off, that is for sure!
Chicago plays this game off their Monday night home win over Seattle in a game that did hold Under the total. That after the Bears just squeezed Over the total in Week One's loss at Lambeau Field to Green Bay.
The Bears defense sure looks like they have something brewing with the addition of Kahlil Mack, and I doubt the anemic 'Zona offense fin the end zone too many time in Glendale today. Remember, the Cards are on a 14-5-1 home Under run their last 20 played on their home field.
As for Chicago, they are now on a 5-1 Under run their lat 6 road games, and a 7-1 overall Under run dating back to last year.
Yes, Matt Nagy has shown that he has confidence in Mitch Trubisky, and yes, the Bears look to be better on the offensive side of the football this year, but with Arizona unable to crack the end zone, I will look for this Bears-Cardinals game to hold Under the total on late Sunday afternoon.
2* CHICAGO-ARIZONA UNDER
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R&R Totals
R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 9-23-18
OVER 44 1/2 +101 Oakland/Miami
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Pure Lock
Pure Lock's FREE NFL play Sunday 9-23-18
Miami -3 -114
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Mikey Sports
Mikey Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 9-23-18
LA Rams -7 +100
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Vic Duke
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Giants vs. Texans
Giants+6
Giants/Texans 1:00: Texans shouldn't be laying this kind of wood with a 26th ranked scoring offense. QB Watson still not in rhythm as he attempts to regain that great form he had prior to his ACL injury at midpoint last season. Giants' defense is respectable and MLB Ogletree making an impact. At the same time, disappointed in the Texans' defense which forever underachieves early in the season. Giants have immense offensive skill talent (Beckham, Barkley, Manning) waiting to ignite but still fizzling out under puzzling hire Pat Shurmur. Nevertheless, we'll grab the points with the dog here. Giants are 5-2 ATS on the road against a team with a losing home record. And the Giants have a much better early season winning ATS record than the Texans. Giants the call.
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Stephen Nover
MLB | Sep 23, 2018
Orioles vs. Yankees
Orioles+1½ +130
Not only could this game turn into a multiple inning relief pitching matchup for the Yankees, but New York may not have its full concentration. You can't blame the Yankees for this because they just clinched a wild-card spot with a 3-2 victory against Baltimore on Saturday. J.A. Happ is slated to get the start for New York. He's pitched well for the Yankees. But this is a rare action play for me - not listed pitchers - as I want to fade the Yankees in this letdown spot. If Happ goes, he probably won't pitch deep into the game as the Yankees need him for the postseason. The Orioles are going with Alex Cobb, who is making his first appearance in 12 days because of a blister. Cobb had been pitching his best ball of the season going 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in his last eight starts. Cobb has a strong history against the Yankees, too, going 7-4 with a 2.90 ERA in 16 career starts. Baltimore is the worst team in baseball. But the Orioles have been competitive lately. They have lost only once by more than two runs during their last nine games. The Orioles probably should have defeated the Yankees on Saturday stranding 12 runners in the one-run loss.
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Steve Janus
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Giants vs. Texans
1* Free Sharp Play on Giants vs Texans under 43½ -109
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John Ryan
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Cowboys vs. Seahawks
Cowboys+2 -111
The Play and the Matchup
DALLAS Cowboys
DALLAS (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (0 - 2)
Week 3 Sunday, 9/23/2018 4:25 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on the Dallas Cowboys on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Currently, Dallas is priced as 1.5-point road dog.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Dallas to gain 5.5 to 6.0 yards-per-pass play, will have at least 50 more rushing yards than Seattle, and will contain Seattle to less than 100 rushing yards total. If we look at each one of these KPI individually, we see that Seattle is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 net passing yards-per-attempt; 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when they rush for 75 to 100 yards. Dallas is a solid 36-10 ATS for 78% winners when installed as a road dog and contains that opponent to less than 100 rushing yards. Combining all of these KPI, Dallas is 27-6 ATS for 82% and covering by an average of 8.20 PPG.
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Totals Guru
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
Bears vs. Cardinals
Free Total Annihilator On Bears vs Cardinals over 38½ -109
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Mark Wilson
NFL | Sep 23, 2018
49ers vs. Chiefs
Free Play on 49ers vs Chiefs under 56 -110
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Dolphins
Redskins
Cardinals
Patriots
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Vegas Consultants
NFL PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ‑7
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Team Underground
NFL NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS ‑6.5 ‑120
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