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NCAAFB Betting News and Trends For Saturday 9/15/18

NCAAFB Betting News and Trends For Saturday 9/15/18 1 week 2 days ago #489838

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 9/15/18
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NCAAFB Betting News and Trends For Saturday 9/15/18 1 week 2 days ago #489839

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Week 3 Injury Update
Brian Edwards

Let’s get you caught up on the most important injuries effecting a bunch of teams moving forward…

-- Oklahoma star RB Rodney Anderson is out for the season with a knee injury sustained in his team’s home win over UCLA this past Saturday. Anderson was a second-team All-Big-12 selection last year when he ran for 1,161 yards and 13 touchdowns with a 6.2 yards-per-carry average. He also had 17 catches for 281 yards and five TDs as a freshman. Anderson had 119 rushing yards and three TDs on just 11 attempts (10.8 YPC) so far this year. The Sooners are in revenge mode Saturday at Iowa St., which won 38-31 in Norman last year as a 31-point underdog. Also, junior starting DT Marquise Overton (appendix) is ‘out’ for OU. Overton had 43 tackles, three tackles for loss and one QB hurry in 2017.

-- OU isn’t the only team that lost its star RB in Week 2. Minnesota’s Rodney Smith also went down with a season-ending knee injury. Smith, a fifth-year senior, will apply for a sixth year of eligibility and P.J. Fleck told the media on Monday that he fully expects the NCAA to grant him another season. Smith ran for 977 yards and three TDs in ’17, averaging 4.3 YPC.

-- There are four QBs that have already been ruled ‘out’ for Week 3. Let’s start with Iowa State’s Kyle Kempt, who orchestrated the aforementioned upset at OU last year by completing 18-of-24 throws for 343 yards and three TDs without an interception. Kempt sustained a knee injury that’ll keep him on the sidelines for at least one game in his team’s 13-3 loss at Iowa this past Saturday. Kempt led the Cyclones to their first bowl bid since 2012 in ’17 when he threw for 1,787 yards (66.3% completions) with a 15/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Sophomore Zeb Noland is expected to get his second career start. Noland completed just 4-of-10 passes for 43 yards in relief of Kempt at Iowa.

-- Duke captured a bittersweet 21-7 win at Northwestern as a short underdog this past Saturday. Junior QB Daniel Jones injured his left clavicle and underwent surgery Sunday. He is out indefinitely. Jones has started 27 games in a row since the day he stepped on campus as a freshman. He had completed 29-of-39 passes (74.4%) for 389 yards and four TDs without an interception through two games. Jones has 5,916 career passing yards and a 34/20 TD-INT ratio. He also has 1,044 career rushing yards and 15 TDs. Unfortunately for David Cutcliffe, this wasn’t the only key injury for the Blue Devils. Junior CB Mark Gilbert had season-ending hip surgery on Sunday. He was a first-team All-ACC selection in ’17 when he had 35 tackles, 15 passes broken up, six interceptions and three TFL’s. Gilbert was a fourth-team All-American pick in Phil Steele’s preseason magazine, while Steele had senior safety Jeremy McDuffie as a preseason third-team All-ACC selection. McDuffie, who was a third-team All-ACC choice last year when he tallied 57 tackles, nine PBU, three interceptions, on pick-six, one QB hurry and 0.5 TFL’s, is listed as ‘questionable’ Saturday at Baylor due to an undisclosed injury. And finally, WR Aaron Young is also a question mark with an undisclosed issue. Young had 16 catches for 219 yards and one TD in ’17.

-- San Diego State senior QB Christian Chapman (13/4 TD-INT in ’17) is ‘out’ for the next 3-6 weeks with a sprained MCL sustained in his team’s 28-14 home win. The Aztecs will play host to unbeaten Arizona St. on Saturday.

-- New Mexico QB Tevaka Tuioti is ‘out’ Saturday at New Mexico St. due to a concussion. Also, back-up QB Coltin Gerhart is a ‘questionable’ with a foot injury.

-- There also a bunch of QBs listed as ‘questionable’ in Week 3, including Illinois signal caller A.J. Bush, Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez (knee), Rutgers’s Artur Sitkowski (arm), Texas Tech’s McLane Carter (ankle) and Southern Cal’s J.T. Daniels (hand).

-- Ole Miss WR DaMarkus Lodge missed this past week’s 76-41 home win over Southern Illinois due to concussion symptoms. He is still in concussion protocol and day to day. Lodge had 41 receptions for 698 yards and seven TDs last season. He had six catches for 96 yards in a 47-27 win over Texas Tech in the Rebels’ opener.

-- Florida was without its two best defensive players, LB David Reese and DE CeCe Jefferson, in Saturday’s 27-16 home loss vs. Kentucky. Reese, a fourth-team preseason All-American in Steele’s mag, has missed the first two games with a high-ankle sprain sustained in late August. Jefferson has been suspended for the first two UF games. Dan Mullen said he expects both players to be ready for Saturday’s home game vs. Colorado St. However, starting sophomore CB Marco Wilson was lost to a season-ending ACL tear in the first quarter vs. UK. Wilson started all 11 games as a true freshman last year.

-- Washington All-American OT Trey Adams had surgery on his injured back last week. He is out indefinitely and will more than likely miss the entire season.

-- Fresno State sophomore OT Netane Muti, who started 13 of 14 games in '17 and was a preseason third-team All-MWC pick in Steele's mag, tore his Achilles in Saturday's loss at Minnesota and will miss the rest of the year.

-- Georgia Tech RB KirVonte Benson is 'questionable' at Pittsburgh after leaving Saturday's loss at USF with a leg injury. Benson rushed for 1,053 yards and six TDs with a 5.2 YPC average in '17. QB TaQuon Marshall also left the USF game injured, but he's 'probable' against the Panthers.

-- South Carolina's best defensive lineman, D.J. Wonnum, is expected to miss about four weeks with a ligament tear in his ankle. Wonnum didn't play vs. UGA. He had 56 tackles, seven TFL's, six sacks, five PBU and two QB hurries last year. DB Nick Harvey, a grad transfer from Texas A&M, was suspended for the loss to UGA and is 'questionable' vs. Marshall.

As for the weather, Hurricane Florence was upgraded to a Category 4 on Monday with the governors of South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia ordering mandatory evacuations for those along the coast starting Tuesday. Coastal Carolina has already moved its game vs. Campbell to Wednesday afternoon at 2:00 p.m. Eastern.

South Carolina is scheduled to host Marshall on Saturday, but classes at the school have already been cancelled indefinitely starting tomorrow. Clemson is slated to play Georgia Southern at home, while North Carolina is preparing for UCF in Chapel Hill. As for Duke, it is on the road at Baylor.

East Carolina is at Virginia Tech in Week 3, so that’s another game that could be impacted. Virginia is set to host Ohio. Whether these games get moved to a different day or postponed remains to be seen and if they’re played, weather could be an important factor.
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NCAAFB Betting News and Trends For Saturday 9/15/18 1 week 2 days ago #489840

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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, September 14


GEORGIA ST (1 - 1) at MEMPHIS (1 - 1) - 9/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Saturday, September 15


UTEP (0 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against SEC opponents since 1992.
UTEP is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


BALL ST (1 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TEMPLE (0 - 2) at MARYLAND (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 2) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIAMI (1 - 1) at TOLEDO (1 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TOLEDO is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


HAWAII (3 - 0) at ARMY (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
HAWAII is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


KENT ST (1 - 1) at PENN ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UCF (2 - 0) at N CAROLINA (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


OLD DOMINION (0 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


FLORIDA ST (1 - 1) at SYRACUSE (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


OKLAHOMA (2 - 0) at IOWA ST (0 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TROY (1 - 1) at NEBRASKA (0 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


RUTGERS (1 - 1) at KANSAS (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
KANSAS is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 118-154 ATS (-51.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 97-130 ATS (-46.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


E CAROLINA (1 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


GEORGIA TECH (1 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


VANDERBILT (2 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


OHIO U (1 - 0) at VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


SMU (0 - 2) at MICHIGAN (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) at APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


BOISE ST (2 - 0) at OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 142-102 ATS (+29.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 142-102 ATS (+29.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


BYU (1 - 1) at WISCONSIN (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


W VIRGINIA (2 - 0) at NC STATE (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MIAMI OHIO (0 - 2) at MINNESOTA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


LSU (2 - 0) at AUBURN (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


S FLORIDA (2 - 0) at ILLINOIS (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 128-167 ATS (-55.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 128-167 ATS (-55.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 86-128 ATS (-54.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


C MICHIGAN (0 - 2) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


GA SOUTHERN (2 - 0) at CLEMSON (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


NEW MEXICO (1 - 1) at NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 3) - 9/15/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 91-125 ATS (-46.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TULANE (1 - 1) at UAB (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


DUKE (2 - 0) at BAYLOR (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
DUKE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


COLORADO ST (1 - 2) at FLORIDA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


HOUSTON (2 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UTSA (0 - 2) at KANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


NORTH TEXAS (2 - 0) at ARKANSAS (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


SAN JOSE ST (0 - 2) at OREGON (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


E MICHIGAN (2 - 0) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


OREGON ST (1 - 1) at NEVADA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


ALABAMA (2 - 0) at OLE MISS (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) at TULSA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


TEXAS ST (1 - 1) at S ALABAMA (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 1) at GEORGIA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
GEORGIA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MARSHALL (2 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MISSOURI (2 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


AKRON (1 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against MAC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 0) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


LA MONROE (2 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


W KENTUCKY (0 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


USC (1 - 1) at TEXAS (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


OHIO ST (2 - 0) at TCU (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 186-140 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 186-140 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 156-121 ATS (+22.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 168-126 ATS (+29.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 119-85 ATS (+25.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
TCU is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


WASHINGTON (1 - 1) at UTAH (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 65-36 ATS (+25.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


FRESNO ST (1 - 1) at UCLA (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


ARIZONA ST (2 - 0) at SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAFB Betting News and Trends For Saturday 9/15/18 1 week 2 days ago #489841

  • Shazman
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Tech Trends - Week 3

Saturday, Sept. 15

UTEP at TENNESSEE...Miners now on 2-11-1 spread skid since last season. Vols, however, almost as bad since LY (2-11 vs. line). UT 0-6 vs. points last 6 hosting non-SEC BCS foes.
Slight to UTEP, based on extended UT woes.


BALL STATE at INDIANA... After 5-0 mark as road dog in 2016 debut year, Neu fell off to 1-5 in role in 2017. Though Cards have remarkably covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 visiting Big Ten foes!
Ball State, based on team trends.


TEMPLE at MARYLAND...Still no sign of Durkin, though Terps only 5-7 vs. spread at College Park since 2016. Texas win was at FedEx Field. Temple might be starting slow again for Collins as LY when dropping first four vs. line before rallying to cover 7 of last 9. Owls 11-3 vs. line last 14 away, though a good portion of that was under Matt Rhule (5-2 LY for Collins).
Slight to Temple, based on team trends.


UMASS at FIU...UMass 8-2 as road dog past two seasons before running into BC in opener. Butch 0-3 as home chalk LY.
Slight to UMass, based on team trends.


MIAMI-FLA at TOLEDO... Richt is 6-3 as visiting chalk since arriving in 2016 but Canes now on 3-8 spread downturn. Candle just 2-3 as dog with Rockets but extended Toledo dog trends are good (12-6 during Campbell years of 2012-15).
Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.


HAWAII at ARMY...New and improved Bows 3-0 SU TY. Monken only 10-13 vs. spread at Michie since arriving at West Point in 2014.
Hawaii, based on recent trends.


KENT STATE at PENN STATE...James Franklin cooling off a bit vs. line, only 3-4 last seven on board after 16-2 spread run. Only 2-4 vs. spread last six hosting non-Big Ten foes at Beaver Stadium. Golden Flashes only 7-11 as DD dog past three seasons but did cover opener at Lovie.
Slight to Penn State, based on team trends.


UCF at NORTH CAROLINA...Fedora just 1-6 vs. spread as Chapel Hill dog since 2014, UCF 5-1 as visiting chalk since 2016.
UCF, based on team trends.


OLD DOMINION at CHARLOTTE... Monarchs now on 4-11-1 spread skid and 1-5 last six as chalk after covering 8-0-1 previous nine laying points.
Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.


FLORIDA STATE at SYRACUSE...Noles just 1-3-2 vs. spread as visitor LY. FSU 4-9-2 last 15 on board (0-2 for Taggart). Cuse however just 4-9 vs. line at Carrier Dome since Dino arrived in 2016.
Slight to Syracuse, based on team trends.


OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE...Revenge for OU after home loss to ISU last October. Road chalk also the one role that didn’t work as well for Sooners LY (1-2). Matt Campbell 11-7-1 as dog since taking over Cyclones in 2016.
Iowa State, based on team trends.


TROY at NEBRASKA...Scott Frost only 7-8-1 last 16 on board. Huskers no covers last 7 at Lincoln. Troy 8-1 as visiting dog for Neal Brown since 2015.
Troy, based on team trends.


RUTGERS at KANSAS...KU 2-6 vs. points last 8 at Lawrence, and Beaty now 13-23-1 vs. spread since taking over KU in 2015.
Rutgers, based on Kansas woes.


EAST CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH...ECU only 7-18-1 vs. line for Montgomery since 2016. Hokies destroyed Pirates LY 64-17. Fuente 7-4 as Blacksburg chalk since arriving in 2016.
Virginia Tech, based on ECU woes.


GEORGIA TECH at PITT...Paul Johnson has covered 4 of 5 vs. Pitt since Panthers joined ACC in 2013. Narduzzi 6-16 vs. spread at Heinz Field since arriving in 2015.
Georgia Tech, based on team trends.


VANDERBILT at NOTRE DAME...Derek Mason was 17-11 as dog entering last season before slipping to 2-6 in role. Dores 10-2 vs. spread last 12 in reg season vs. non-SEC BCS foes. ND 5-8 as South Bend chalk since 2015.
Vandy, based on team trends.


OHIO at VIRGINIA...Bronco Mendenhall 4-2 as chalk since LY. Solich 6-2 as visiting dog since 2015.
Ohio, based on team trends.


SMU at MICHIGAN...Tough start for Sonny Dykes at SMU, 0-3 and outscored 139-45 in process. Ponies 1-5-1 vs. spread last 7 away from Dallas. Harbaugh just 5-9 vs. spread last 13 on board.
Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.


SOUTHERN MISS at APP STATE...USM has covered 5 of its last 6 as a reg-season dog. App was only 3-9 vs. spread at Boone entering last season before covering 4 of 6 at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
Slight to Southern Miss, based on team trends.


BOISE STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE...Broncos 14-5 vs. spread as visitor since 2015, and covered all three as dog away from blue carpet LY. Gundy just 3-5-1 last 9 vs. spread at Stillwater.
Boise State, based on team trends.


BYU at WISCONSIN...Sitake now 6-1 as road dog with Cougs since taking over in 2016. Cougs have also covered 5 of last 7 since late LY. Wiscy was 10-5-1 as DD chalk past two seasons before narrow non-covers first two TY. Chryst still 21-10-1 vs. points last 32 on board.
BYU, based on recent trends.


WEST VIRGINIA at NC STATE...Pack was 2-0 as home dog LY though only 5-9 last 14 on board. Also no covers 5 of last 6 in reg season vs. non-ACC. Holgorsen now 6-3 last 9 as chalk.
Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.


MIAMI-OHIO at MINNESOTA... Miami now on 4-10 spread slide since LY, and no covers last six non-MAC. Fleck just 6-7-1 vs. spread with Gophers but has covered 4 of 5 outside Big Ten. Fleck 2-0 SU, 1-1 vs. line vs. Chuck Martin while with WMU.
Slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.


LSU at AUBURN...Orgeron now 4-0 as dog since LY and 15-8 vs. spread since taking over LSU midway 2016. Home team has won and covered last four in this series. Malzahn just 4-11-1 as Jordan-Hare chalk since 2015.
LSU, based on team trends.


USF vs. ILLINOIS (at Soldier Field, Chicago)...Lovie now on 5-12 spread skid since late 2016. Lovie just 7-12 as dog since taking over Illini in 2016, and 2-6 last eight vs. line against non-Big Ten.
south Florida, based on Lovie woes.


CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Bonamego now 8-3 as visiting dog since 2015, and Chips 6-2 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. CMU has also had NIU’s number lately, winning and covering last four meetings. Huskies on 2-8-1 spread skid since early 2017.
Central Michigan, based on series and team trends.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN at CLEMSON...Eagles just 3-5-1 as road dog since 2016. Dabo 5-3-1 as double-digit chalk LY and 6-2 last 8 vs. spread reg season vs. non-ACC.
Clemson, based on team trends.


NEW MEXICO at NEW MEXICO STATE...Ags have covered last 3 and now 3-0-1 last 4 vs. line in series. Though NMSU now no covers last six in reg season play.
Slight to New Mexico, based on recent team trends.


TULANE at UAB...Willie Fritz now on 11-4 spread uptick. Blazers 5-0-1 vs. line at home LY, though have covered just 1 of last 5 on line.
Tulane, based on team trends.


DUKE at BAYLOR...Rhule 2-5 vs. line at Waco since taking over at Baylor LY. Cutcliffe 25-12-1 as chalk since 2012.
Duke, based on team trends.


COLORADO STATE at FLORIDA...Rams 1-9 vs. line last ten on board. Gators 7-5 vs. line as Swamp chalk since 2016.
Florida, based on CSU negatives.


HOUSTON at TEXAS TECH...UH just 2-9 last 11 vs. spread away from home. Tech 5-0-1 vs. line last five hosting non-Big 12.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.


UTSA at KANSAS STATE...UTSA just 1-9 vs. spread last ten on board. Bill Snyder 5-2 vs. spread last 7 vs. non-Big 12 at home.
Kansas State, based on team trends.


NORTH TEXAS at ARKANSAS...UNT 7-4 last 11 vs. line vs FBS. Hogs just 4-9-1 last 13 on board vs. BCS schools.
North Texas, based on team trends.


SAN JOSE STATE at OREGON...SJSU just 2-5 as road dog for Brennan LY and has failed to cover last five on road vs. non-MW. Ducks 5-2 vs. points since LY as Eugene chalk, 4-3-1 last eight laying DD.
Oregon, based on team trends.


EASTERN MICHIGAN at BUFFALO...Eagles now on 21-6-1 spread run, also 14-2 vs. spread last 15 away from Ypsilanti. Lance Liepold’s Bulls not far behind, however, now 11-2-2 last 15 on board.
Slight to EMU, based on team trends.


OREGON STATE at NEVADA... Beavs now on 1-6-1 skid as road dog, and 4-9-1 overall vs. spread since LY. OSU no covers last six as non-Pac 12 visitor. Pack on 6-3 spread uptick for Jay Norvell.
Nevada, based on team trends.


ALABAMA at OLE MISS...Saban rolled 66-3 LY, but Rebs have played Bama as tough as anyone in recent years, covering previous three and winning two of those outright. Matt Luke now on 5-1 SU and spread uptick since late LY. Saban only 1-3 as visiting chalk LY.
Ole Miss, based on team and extended series trends.


ARKANSAS STATE at TULSA...Red Wolves just 1-6 last 7 as non-Belt visitor. Tulsa just 2-5 vs. spread last seven as host.
Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.


TEXAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Tex State now on 6-11 spread side since late 2016 Jags 3-10-1 last 14 as Mobile chalk, though that was all with Joey Jones.
Slight to South Alabama, based on team trends.


MTSU at GEORGIA...Blue Raiders just 5-9 vs. line last 14 as dog. Losing lately vs. SEC but all of that vs. Vandy (no covers last four vs. Dores). Kirby Smart is 5-2 last 7 laying DD vs. BCS foes. Dawgs on 13-5 spread run.
Georgia, based on team trends.


MARSHALL at SOUTH CAROLINA...Gamecocks 3-3 vs. line the last six years in game following Georgia. If Muschamp laying DD , however, he’s only 1-3 in that role with SC. Herd has covered last six as road dog.
Marshall, based on team trends.


MISSOURI at PURDUE...Purdue rolled 35-3 LY. But Barry Odom 4-1 vs. line as visitor LY and covered 8 of last 10 on board. Odom 2-0 as road dog LY after 0-5 in 2016. Brohm, however, covered all four vs. non-Big Ten LY.
Purdue, based on team trends.


AKRON at NORTHWESTERN...Pat Fitz on 8-2 spread surge. Bowden just 7-12 as DD dog since 2014.
Northwestern, based on team trends.


ULL at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Note that under Mullen, MSU only 3-7 as DD chalk the past two seasons (3-3 LY). But Bulldogs are 6-1 vs. spread last seven outside of SEC. ULL failed to cover all three away LY vs. non-Belt.
Miss State, based on team trends.


ULM at TEXAS A&M...ULM 4-1 vs. line as non-Belt visitor under Matt Viator. Ags were 2-8 as DD chalk in 2015-16 before recovering to 3-1 in role since LY (1-0 Jimbo).
Slight to ULM, based on team trends.


WESTERN KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE...Petrino on 5-13 spread skid, and he’s just 8-12 as home chalk since 2014. But WKU just 2-6 vs. line away from home for Sanford since LY.
Slight to Western Kentucky, based on recent ‘Ville negatives.


USC at TEXAS...Trojans on 4-13 spread skid since late 2016, 2-7 last 9 vs. spread away from Coliseum. SC also no covers last six vs. non-Pac 12. If Tom Herman a dog note 10-1 mark in role since 2015.
Texas, based on team trends.


OHIO STATE vs. TCU (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Tx)...Buckeyes 7-1 vs. line last 8 vs non-Big Ten away from Big Horseshoe. Patterson only 3-4 as dog since 2016 but was 7-2 getting points the previous three years.
Slight to Ohio State, based on team trends.


WASHINGTON at UTAH...Utes have covered last three years in this series. Petersen just 2-6 vs. number last eight away from Seattle. Utes 12-4 as dog for Whittingham since 2014.
Utah, based on team and series trends.


FRESNO STATE at UCLA...Tedford 6-1-2 vs. line away since LY. FSU on 13-3-2 spread run since late 2016. Bruins 0-4 as home dog since 2014, and 9-17-2 vs. line last 28 overall. Also 2-7-1 last ten vs. spread non Pac 12.
Fresno State, based on team trends.


ARIZONA STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Sun Devils only 2-6-1 vs. spread last nine vs. non-Pac 12 away from Tempe. Rocky had won 3 in a row SU vs. Pac 12 before Stanford loss.
Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.
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NCAAFB Betting News and Trends For Saturday 9/15/18 1 week 2 days ago #489842

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NCAAF


Week 3


Saturday’s best 13 games
Indiana (-16) beat Ball State 30-20 two years ago, but Cardinals won previous two meetings, in 2011-12. Hoosiers won their first two games, allowing only 310 ypg; they’ve got a senior QB and very experienced OL. Under Allen, Indiana covered three of four games as home favorites. Ball State hung in at Notre Dame LW, losing 24-16- they were outgained only 414-349. Cardinals are 7-5 as road underdogs under coach Neu. Last two years, Big 14 teams are 8-6 vs spread when playing a MAC opponent.

Florida State lost its opener 24-3 to Virginia Tech; they were trailing I-AA Samford at halftime LW, so the fanbase is restless. Seminoles gave up 485 PY LW, bad news vs Orange attack that hung 55 points, 560 yards on Western Michigan two weeks ago. FSU is 9-7-2 vs spread in last 18 games as road favorites- they beat Syracuse the last five years, but LY’s game was 27-24 in Tallahassee. Under Babers, Syracuse is 2-5 as home underdogs; they’ve got a senior QB- both teams have lot of experience on OL.

Iowa State went to Norman LY and upset Oklahoma 38-31 as 31-point underdog, but Sooners won last two visits to Ames, 34-24, 59-14- OU covered three of its last four visits here. Kyler Murray is averaging 11.7 yards/pass attempt- they scored 112 points in winning first two games, throwing for 640 yards. Cyclones had its opener rained out, then lost 13-3 (+4) at Iowa LW; Total yardage in that game was 271-188, Hawkeyes- not much offense there. Under Campbell, ISU is 5-3-1 as a home underdog.

Boise State scored 118 points in winning/covering first two games; Broncos threw ball for 723 yards. Over last decade, Boise is 5-2 as a road underdog, 2-0 in four years under Harsin- they had their worst season running ball in 20 years LY, but ran it for 400 yards LW. Oklahoma St isn’t UConn, though; last 4+ years, Cowboys are 10-10-1 as home favorites, though they’re 5-2 in last seven games laying single-digit spread. OSU has only five starters back on offense and a new QB. Since 2011, Big X teams are 7-1 vs spread when facing a Mountain West team.

Home side won last five LSU-Auburn games; LSU lost its last to visits to the Plains, 18-13/41-7. LSU beat Miami 33-17 on neutral field two weeks ago; they’re 4-0 vs spread as underdogs under Orgeron- over last decade, LSU is 1-1 as double digit dogs. First true road game for LSU’s new QB Barrow (Ohio St transfer)- they gained only 296 TY vs Miami, 335 yards vs SE Louisiana LW. Last 3+ years, Auburn is 4-11-1 vs spread as home favorites, 5-11-2 as double digit faves, 2-5 as home favorites in SEC games. Auburn beat Washington 21-16 on neutral field two weeks ago.

Texas Tech (+6.5) went to Houston and upset Cougars 27-24 LY; Tech outgained Houston, 521-427, running for 200 yards, throwing for 321. Under Kingsbury, Tech is 6-5 as home underdogs; they gave up 546 TY in 47-27 loss to Ole Miss on a neutral field. Houston scored 45-45 points in winning its first two games this season; Cougars ran ball for 257-297 yards in those games. Houston is 4-7 in its last 11 games as a road favorite. Since start of LY, Big X teams are 6-3 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

Alabama crushed Ole Miss 66-3 LY, their 10th win in last 12 series games, but Rebels are 8-5 vs spread in last 13 game vs Bama. Crimson Tide is 2-6 vs spread in its last eight visits to Oxford. Alabama scored 51-57 points in winning their first two games; I mean, their backup QB has a 26-2 record as starting QB- they’re loaded. Over last decade, Tide is 23-16 as road favorites. Ole Miss gave up 1,105 TY in winning its first two games, but they trailed I-AA Southern Illinois at halftime LW, 38-35. Over last decade, Rebels are 7-11 vs spread as home underdogs.

Since 2012, Purdue is 4-19 vs spread as home underdogs, 1-11 since 2015. Purdue (+7) went to Columbia LY and hammered Missouri 35-3; think Mizzou coaches circled this game on calendar? Tigers gained only 203 yards that day; they crushed Wyoming 40-13 LW, outgaining Cowboys 601-248. Since 2012, Mizzou is 6-3 as road favorites, 2-1 under Odom. Purdue lost its first two games this year by total of five points despite throwing for 543 yards- they’re -4 in turnovers. Last 3+ years, SEC teams are 8-4 vs spread when facing a Big 14 squad.

USC (-15) threw for 397 yards in 27-24 home win over Texas LY, but their QB that day plays in the NFL now; USC’s QB is true freshman who skipped his senior year of HS, so he should still be playing HS ball. Trojans were -3 in turnovers LW in 17-3 at Stanford- since 2012, they’re 3-10 vs spread as road underdogs. Texas lost its opener at Maryland, then struggled past Tulsa 28-21 LW; under Herman, Longhorns are 1-5 vs spread as a home favorite. Since 2011, SEC teams are 8-3 vs spread when playing Pac-12 teams.

Ohio State scored 129 points in winning its first two games, running ball for 600 yards, throwing it for 700; last 4+ years, Buckeyes are 16-9 vs spread away from home, but this is first road start for this QB. TCU fell behind 9-0 vs local rival SMU LW, before punt return TD woke them up and spurred Horned Frogs to 42-12 win. Last 5+ years, TCU is 9-4 vs spread as an underdog- their OL this season is inexperienced. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 7-3 vs spread when playing Big X opponents.

Washington beat Utah last two years, 31-24/33-30; Huskies lost their opener 21-16 to Auburn in SEC country (Atlanta), can’t afford another loss if they’re going to make NCAA playoff; they whacked a I-AA team LW. Under Petersen, Washington is 8-6 vs spread as road favorites. Utah ran ball for only 68 yards in 17-6 win at Northern Illinois LW; they outgained NIU 354-228. In their opener vs I-AA Weber State, Utah was -4 in turnovers, so their offense is work in progress. Since 2012, Utes are 6-3 vs spread as home underdogs.

UCLA is off to an 0-2 start under Kelly, losing to Cincy/Oklahoma- Bruin QB’s were sacked 11 times- their #1 QB is hurt, backup is a freshman. UCLA is 5-14 vs spread in its last 19 home games. Fresno State was outgained 307-299 in losing defensive struggle 21-14 at Minnesota LW. Under Tedford, Bulldogs are 5-0 vs spread as an underdog. Last 3+ years, Pac-12 teams are 21-17-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams. Fresno lost its last four games vs Pac-12 teams, all by 20+ points.

Arizona State is 2-0 after upsetting Michigan State 16-13 at home LW; ASU threw for 380 yards, ran for only 44- over last decade, Sun Devils are 7-14-1 vs spread as road favorites. San Diego State (+3) went to Tempe and won 30-20 LY, outrushing ASU 279-44. Aztecs lost its opener 31-10 at Stanford, then drilled a I-AA team LW. In seven years under Long, San Diego State is 4-2-1 vs spread when getting points at home. Last 3+ years, Pac-12 teams are 21-17-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams.

Trends from non-top 13 games
13) Last five years, Temple is 13-6 as a road underdog. Maryland is 8-3 in its last 11 games as a double digit favorite.

12) Under Richt, Miami Fla is 6-3 as road favorites: Since 2010, Toledo is 1-4 as home underdog. Rockets (+13.5) lost 52-30 in Miami LY.

11) Hawai’i won its first three games this year, scoring 145 points; they’re 6-5 as road underdogs under Rolovich. Under Monken, Army is 7-9 as home favorites.

10) Kansas is favored to win a football game; since 2012, they’re 3-8 as home favorites, 2-3 in 3+ years under Beaty. Since 2011, Rutgers is 16-7 as a single digit underdog.

9) Last 3+ years, Georgia Tech is 0-7 as a road favorite; Tech is 3-2 in its last five games with Pittsburgh, covering (1-1 SU) their last two visits to Steel City. Pitt is 2-5 under Narduzzi as a home underdog- they lost 51-6 at home to Penn State LW.

8) Since 2012, Vanderbilt is 15-12 as road underdogs, 10-10 under Mason- they’re 13-7 as double digit dogs the last 4+ years. Under Kelly, Notre Dame is 19-23-1 as a double digit favorite.

7) Ohio-Virginia are playing in Nashville because of the storm; Bobcats had last week off after edging I-AA Howard 38-32 in their opener- they were outgained by 222 yards in that game, but were +4 in turnovers. Since 2011, Virginia is 10-16-3 vs spread when favored.

6) Under Smith, Illinois is 3-7 as home underdogs; they’re 10-16 in last 26 games as a double digit underdog. AAC teams are 15-8 vs spread in their last 23 games vs Big 14 squads.

5) New Mexico State upset New Mexico SU last two years, and is 3-0-1 vs spread in last four series games; Aggies covered last two series games played here, which were decided by total of four points. Under Martin, State is 9-11-2 as home underdogs under.

4) Tulane-UAB haven’t met since 2012; under Fritz, Green Wave is 3-1 as road favorite. over last decade, UAB is 15-6-1 as home underdogs. Since 2011, AAC teams are 13-11 vs spread when playing C-USA teams.

3) Duke (-13) beat Baylor 34-20 at home LY; last 5+ years, Blue Devils are 21-5 vs spread in non-ACC games. Baylor is 7-11 vs spread in its last 18 home games.

2) Last 3+ years, North Texas is 7-11 vs spread as road underdogs; Mean Green beat SMU 46-23 in its season opener. Arkansas blew a 27-9 lead LW in last 18:00, losing 34-27 at Colorado State. Last three years, Razorbacks are 5-8 as home favorites.

1) Oregon State is 6-14-1 vs spread in its last 21 games as road underdogs; Nevada is 2-7 vs spread in its last nine non-conference games. Pac-12 teams are 21-17-1 vs spread in last 39 games vs Mountain West opponents.
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NCAAFB Betting News and Trends For Saturday 9/15/18 1 week 2 days ago #489843

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Big Ten Report - Week 3
September 13, 2018

Games Scheduled for Saturday

Ball State at Indiana (-14) - (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

BALL STATE – After rolling over Central Connecticut State in week 1 the Cards caught Notre Dame in a perfect spot for a letdown last week coming off their big win over Michigan. Ball State took advantage of it giving the Irish everything they could handle easily covering the 34 point spread with ease in the 24-16 loss. Ball State was outgained by just 65 yards but also ran a ridiculous 97 offensive plays to just 72 for the Irish. On a yards per play basis the Cardinals were only able to muster 3.6 YPP while allowing Notre Dame 5.75 YPP. The BSU offense has been extremely balanced after two weeks averaging 258 YPG passing and 242 YPG rushing. Their run defense was fantastic last week holding Notre Dame to just 117 yards on 2.7 YPC. Ball State left it all on the field in South Bend and now they must regroup and take on another of the state’s big boys on the road this weekend.

INDIANA – IU moved to 2-0 and their players and coaches are breathing a sigh of relief after holding on at home vs Virginia last weekend. The Hoosiers (-5) held on for the 20-16 win as the Cavs threatened late and ended the game on the Indiana 27 yard line. Head coach Tom Allen has this team playing much more physical and running the ball on offense which is quite the change from the pass-happy Kevin Wilson regime before him. In two games IU has run the ball 89 times while attempting just 59 passes. Sophomore QB Peyton Ramsey has completed 73% of this passes with 5 TD’s. However the offensive star has been freshman RB Stevie Scott who rushed for 204 yards in last Saturday’s win. This team used to have to put up huge offensive numbers each week because their defense was not a strength. This Indiana stop unit has allowed just 4.75 YPP over their first 2 games so things might be changing in Bloomington.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – These 2 have met 4 times since the start of the 2008 season with Ball State winning 3 of those games (4-0 ATS). The most recent meeting was in 2016 and that was an Indiana win 30-20 as a 16.5 point favorite. The Cards have covered 9 of their last 10 non-conference games. Indiana is now 0-2 ATS this year and they are 1-9-1 ATS their last 11 games dating back to last season. The Hoosiers are just 5-13 ATS the last 18 when favored by 2 TD’s or more (dating back to 1991).

Temple at Maryland (-16) - (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

TEMPLE – The Owls came into the 2018 season with high hopes. Returning a number of key players and coming off a 7-6 season which included a bowl win, this team expected to contend in the AAC. They still could do that, but they are off to a slow start to say the least with an 0-2 record. Two home losses at the hands of Villanova and Buffalo were no fluke as Temple was outgained in each by a combined 226 yards. The offense has been a problem for the Owls as they are averaging just 303 YPG and have scored just 4 offensive TD’s in two games. They also have two special teams TD’s which makes their 23 PPG average a bit deceiving. Their defense has also fallen off allowing 414 YPG through their first two after giving up 380 YPG last season.

MARYLAND – The Terps had some serious distractions entering the season with their head coach DJ Durkin suspended indefinitely shortly before the season began. The interim leader, Matt Canada, wasn’t even with the team last year throwing another potential wrench in the Terps early season plans. This team has responded unlike many thought they could or would with two easy wins to start the season. After handling Texas as a 13.5 point underdog, the Terps were in a letdown spot last week and rolled over Bowling Green on the road 45-14. Maryland trailed 14-10 at half but exploded for 35 unanswered points after halftime. After Bowling Green put up 151 yards in the first half the Terp defense was lights out in the second half allowing a grand total of 7 yards and no points. They outgained the Falcons 565 to 158 in the dominating performance. This Saturday the Terps host Temple in their first true home. They have to be careful not to look ahead to their Big Ten opener vs Minnesota the following week as the Owls will come in desperate after starting 0-2.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS –The Terps are 7-1 SU in this series which dates back to 1997. Maryland is 2-0 ATS this year covering the spread by a combined 34.5 points. Temple is 0-2 ATS this season failing to cover the spread by a combined 27.5 points. The road team in this series has covered 5 in a row. Since 2013 Maryland has been a favorite of more than 2 TD’s 7 times and they’ve covered 6 of those.

Kent State at Penn State (-34.5) - (FS1, 12:00 p.m. ET)

KENT STATE – The Golden Flashes come into this game with a 1-1 record which means they’ve already tallied half of the wins they had all last season (2-10 record last year). They rolled an overmatched Howard team last week by a final score of 54-14. It was the first time since 2008 they reached 50 points. However in week one KSU played Illinois on the road which gives us some perspective on this team. The Flashes lost their game at Illinois 31-24 but led 17-3 at half. The yardage was almost dead even in that game so they hung tight with a lower tier Big Ten team. Our takeaway from those two games is their offense is drastically improved. This is a team that averaged 12.8 PPG on just 275 YPG a year ago. They were held to less than 10 points in 5 of their 12 games last year! This year they’ve already scored 78 points in 2 games which is more than HALF their entire point total from 12 games last year (154). They’ve also gained nearly 1,000 yards in 2 games which is about 30% of the entire yardage they gained last year. They’ll have to continue that offensive progression this week to stay within reach of PSU.

PENN STATE – PSU crushed in-state rival Pitt 51-6 a week ago which has some saying this team is back to top 10 caliber after struggling at home with Appalachian State a week earlier. This is a very solid team but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Last week’s win in Pittsburgh wasn’t quite as dominating as it may have seemed. The PSU offense only had 390 yards of total offense and outgained the Panthers by just 90 yards. They led just 7-6 late in the 2nd quarter when a few big plays went their way. On their final 3 drive of the half Pitt missed a FG, they were shut out on downs at the PSU 4-yard line, and then fumbled a snap on a punt leading to a short drive TD and a 14-6 halftime lead. The Panthers gained 231 of their 300 total yards by halftime but had just 6 points due to squandered opportunities. The Lions dominated the 2nd half to the tune of 37-0 including a safety and punt return for a score. The Penn State defense was great in the 2nd half as well as Pitt didn’t cross midfield until 30 seconds remaining in the game. That came with an asterisk however as it came after a PSU fumble which was returned across the 50 by the Panther defense.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – These two have met 5 times with Penn State winning all 5 by an average score of 29-6. The most recent meeting was in Happy Valley in 2016 when PSU topped Kent 33-13 but failed to cover the 24 point spread. PSU is just 5-13 ATS (38%) their last 18 as a favorite of 24 or more – including 0-1 ATS this season. Kent is 2-0 ATS this year covering by a combined 41 points.

Troy at Nebraska (-11.5) (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

TROY – Troy was throttled by Boise St at home in their first game of the season losing 56-20. They were only outgained by 37 yards in that game but four turnovers did them in. Of Boise’s 56 points, 21 came directly as the result of Trojan turnovers including 2 fumbles returned for TD’s. That loss doesn’t look terrible after Boise rolled again last week beating UConn 62-7. Troy bounced back last week and ripped apart Florida Atlantic 59-7. The flipped the script in week to and rather than giving their opponent points as a result of turnovers, the Trojans scored 28 of their 59 points after four FAMU giveaways. Troy did lose their QB and top RB, however they still have high hopes for this season as they bring back 12 starters and 54 lettermen from a team that finished 11-2 last year including an upset win at LSU.

NEBRASKA – The Huskers had to wait an extra week for new head coach Scott Frost’s debut after their original opener vs Akron was cancelled due to weather. Last week they played host to Colorado in a game that went back and forth before the Buffs pulled out 33-28 win. After CU took the 33-28 lead with just over 1:00 minute remaining, Nebraska’s back-up, walk-on QB Andrew Bunch was able to drive his team to the Buffalo 20 yard line before time ran out. Bunch was in the game because on the previous series, starting true freshman QB Adrian Martinez was taken off the field with a knee injury. Before his injury, Martinez had accounted for 304 total yards (187 passing & 117 rushing) and 3 TD’s. His injury wasn’t as serious as initially thought and as of this writing he is questionable for this game. Defensively the Huskers looked stronger allowing 395 yards (gave up 436 per game last year) and picking up 7 sacks which was HALF of what they had all of last year (14).

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – The most recent two meetings between these two teams came in the 2003 and 2006 seasons. In those two games Nebraska outscored Troy by a combined score of 86-0 and outgained them 943 to 290. Since 1980 Nebraska has covered 60.5% of their games when coming off a SU & ATS loss (46-30-2 ATS). Dating back to 2001, Troy is 36-23 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points.

Rutgers at Kansas (-2.5) - (12:00 p.m. ET)

RUTGERS – After getting off to a fast start beating Texas State 35-7 in week one, the Scarlet Knights were quickly brought back down to earth last weekend in their 52-3 loss at Ohio State. They trailed 35-0 at half and 45-3 at the end of the 3rd quarter. Rutgers was outgained by nearly 450 yards and totaled only 134 total yards for the game. Looking on the positive side, they at least scored. Each of the previous two years the Knights were shutout by the Buckeyes. Starting true freshman QB Artur Sitkowski left the game with a shoulder injury after completing 6 of his 18 passes for 38 yards. There was no structural damage to Sitkowski’s shoulder and there is a chance he’ll be able to play this weekend at Kansas. If he can’t go, back up Giovanni Rescigno, who threw for just over 500 yards last year, will get the start.

KANSAS – The Jayhawks put an end to the second longest road losing streak in college football last Saturday when the beat Central Michigan 31-7 as a 3-point underdog. They came into the game having lost 46 consecutive road games. While Kansas did outplay CMU, the score was a bit deceiving. KU only outgained the Chippewas by 80 yards and on a yards per play basis it was very close at 5.0 for Kansas to 4.7 for CMU. Kansas led just 7-0 at half but 5 CMU turnovers in the 2nd half alone led to the comfortable margin. The offense was led by freshman RB Pooka Williams as he rushed for 125 yards and 2 TD’s. Williams did not play in the Jayhawks first game which was an embarrassing home loss to FCS Nicholls State. The Jayhawks are in a rare spot here as they are favored. They have been a favorite vs an FBS team just TWICE since the start of the 2015 season and they lost both of those games outright (vs Central Michigan & Ohio).

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Since late September of the 2009 season, Kansas has been favored (vs FBS teams) just 10 times and they are 2-8 ATS in those games. The only meeting between these two game in 2015 when Rutgers (-13.5) came away with a 27-14 win at home. Rutgers is 1-10 SU their last 11 road games with their only win during that stretch coming at Illinois last year 35-24. This line is getting closer to pick-em and if Rutgers would happen to go off as a favorite it would be rare. They have been a road favorite only once in their last 20 games away from home.

SMU at Michigan (-35.5) - (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

SMU – The Mustangs had high hopes coming into the season as they returned 14 starters, including QB Ben Hicks, from a team that went 7-6 a year ago. They did lose their head coach Chad Morris to Arkansas but the Mustangs hired veteran head man Sonny Dykes (former head coach at Cal and La Tech). Well the hopes of a promising start have gone out the window as SMU is 0-2 getting blown out by both North Texas and TCU. They have been outscored by a combined 88 to 35 and outgained by a combined 922 to 498 in those two losses. Dykes also coached this team in their bowl game last year after Morris took off for Arkansas and the Mustangs lost that game as well 51-10 to La Tech. Not a great start for the Sonny Dykes era.

MICHIGAN – The Wolverines bounced back from their disappointing season opener at Notre Dame with an easy 49-3 win over Western Michigan. They jumped out quickly and led 35-0 at half scoring TD’s on 5 of their first 6 offensive possessions. They ran only 53 plays (WMU ran 74) and attempted only 18 passes in their 49 point performance. After rushing for only 58 yards on 1.8 YPC vs the stout Notre Dame defense, Michigan went for 308 yards on the ground on nearly 9 YPC vs the Broncos. The defense continued to play great. After holding the Irish to just 69 second half yards a week earlier, Michigan gave up just 208 total yards on 2.8 yards per play vs the WMU offense. Not bad against a team that put up over 600 total yards the week before vs Syracuse.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – SMU has covered 6 of the last 7 times they’ve been an underdog of 3 TD’s or more. Their one ATS loss during that stretch was last week vs TCU. Since 2000, Michigan has been a favorite of 31 or more 5 times when coming off an ATS win the week before. They are 0-5 ATS in those games.

BYU at Wisconsin (-22) - (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

BYU – The Cougars got off to a big start two weeks ago beating Arizona on the road 28-23 in what looked like a huge win at the time. Well Arizona went on to lose again last week at Houston 45-18 so not as big of a win as we might have once thought. Add that to the fact that BYU turned around and lost at home to Cal last week maybe the Cougs are right back where we thought they might be at the start of the season. The Bears waltzed into Provo and beat BYU 21-18 as a 2-point underdog. Cal outgained the Cougs by 100 yards in a game that was probably closer than it should have been as 7 of BYU’s 18 points came on a Cal fumble returned 36-yards for a TD. BYU’s defense has been solid in their two games but the offense has been very pedestrian averaging only 4.6 YPP in their two games combined.

WISCONSIN – The Badgers (-35) got off to a very slow start last week and trailed New Mexico at home 7-3 at the end of the first quarter. Wisconsin only led 10-7 at half. After half they scored TD’s on 5 of their 6 possessions en route to an easy 45-14 win. RB Jonathan Taylor ran for a career high 253 yards and the Badgers outgained the Lobos 568 to 211. New Mexico took the opening drive 87 yards for a TD and then totaled just 124 yards for the rest of the game. The UW defense was bolstered by the return of starting DE Isaiahh Lowdermilk who missed the season opener due to an injury. The defense has allowed only 2 TD’s on the season and Western Kentucky & New Mexico combined to average only 4.37 YPP. The offense will be given a boost this week with the return of WR Danny Davis who was suspended for the first 2 games of the season. In our opinion Davis is Wisconsin’s most talented receiver so his return will be big for QB Hornibrook and the passing game.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – These two met in Provo last year and Wisconsin (-14) rolled to an easy 40-6 win outgaining the Cougars by 300 yards. BYU has been a dog of 21 or more only 8 times since the start of the 1980 season. They are 5-2-1 ATS in those games. The Cougars are also an impressive 43-27-1 ATS (61.5%) as a road dog since 1980.

Miami-Ohio at Minnesota (-14) - (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

MIAMI-OHIO – The Redhawks come to Minneapolis after losing 21-0 last week to rival Cincinnati. It was the Bearcats 13th straight win over Miami in one of the country’s oldest rivalries. That loss dropped Miami to 0-2 on the season as they lost in week one to Marshall by a final score of 35-28. The Redhawks were actually favored in both games. Despite their two losses they’ve only been outgained by 34 total yards on the season. The problem for Miami offensive has been their inability to run the ball as they’ve rushed for just 87 and 59 yards in their two games. Last week their offense only crossed midfield once the entire game.

MINNESOTA – The Gophs picked up a big win over a solid Fresno State team last Saturday but also lost their top offensive player in the process. RB Rodney Smith, who’s started 32 career games for the Gophers, was lost for the season due to a knee injury. Smith had 154 yards rushing on 25 carries this year and has run for just under 3,000 yards in his Minnesota career. They will also most likely be without Smith’s back up Shannon Brooks who has yet to play due to an injury suffered during the winter. After scoring 79 points the previous Saturday vs Idaho, the Minnesota defense held Fresno scoreless for almost 3 full quarters in their 21-14 win. The host Gophers actually trailed 14-13 late in the fourth quarter and scored the game clinching TD with just over 3:00 minutes remaining. On their final drive of the game Fresno moved the ball to the Minnesota 4-yard line and had a first and goal with just over 1:00 remaining. Minny (2-0) clinched the win with an interception in the endzone by Antoine Winfield Jr.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Miami OH is 0-2 ATS this year and lost both games outright despite being favored in both. Favored teams that lose each of their first two games of the season outright are 15-6 ATS in game 3 when facing a non-conference foe. However they are 1-5 ATS the last 6 years the week after facing rival Cincinnati. Since the start of the 2007 season, the Gophers have been a favorite of 14 points or more 16 times. They are 5-11 ATS in those games.

South Florida (-10) at Illinois from Chicago - (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

SOUTH FLORIDA – USF had a cakewalk in week one vs Elon and then played host to Georgia Tech last week and picked up a 49-38 win. However, that was one of the more misleading scores from last weekend. USF was outgained 602 to 426 and had not one but TWO kickoff returns for TD’s in the game (98 yards & 97 yards). The Bulls trailed by 10 points early in the 4th quarter and scored the game’s final 3 TD’s two of those coming as a direct result of Yellow Jacket turnovers. Georgia Tech rolled over this South Florida defense for 419 yards rushing in the loss. Stopping the run looks like a concern for this defense as they allowed Elon to run for almost 200 yards in the opener. Starting QB Blake Barnett (Alabama transfer) led the Bulls with 202 yards passing and 91 yards rushing in last Saturday’s win.

ILLINOIS – Illinois comes in with a perfect 2-0 record but they have been fairly underwhelming in doing so. Their first win came at home vs Kent State in a game the Illini trailed 17-3 at half. Illinois finally took a 31-24 lead in the 4th quarter of that game and had to hang on for dear life as Kent moved the ball to the Illini 4-yard line on their final drive of the game. That was a Kent team that was 2-10 a year ago. Last week they beat Western Illinois 34-14 but needed 3 Leatherneck turnovers and a blocked punt for a TD to pull away. The Illini only outgained WIU by 15 yards and they were actually outgained on a yards per play basis. This versus a Leatherneck team that is now 0-2 with their other loss coming to Montana State. The Illini have only outgained their first two overmatched opponents 5.9 YPP to 5.6 YPP. Illinois is also banged up heading into this game with 2 WR’s now out for the season (Dudek and Carter) and starting QB AJ Bush struggling with an injured hamstring and questionable for this game.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – The Illini have played 3 games in their history at Soldier Field and lost all 3 (in 1994, 2013, and 2015). USF (-17) played host to Illinois last year and controlled the game winning 47-23 outgaining the Illini 680 to 354. Illinois is 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs teams outside the Big 10.

Missouri (-6.5) at Purdue - (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m. ET)

MISSOURI – The Tigers remember last year’s embarrassment at home vs Purdue when they were crushed 35-3 as a 7-point favorite. Now the Tigers are laying that same number this season but the game is in West Lafayette. Mizzou comes into this revenge game with a 2-0 record having rolled over their first two opponents UT Martin and Wyoming. Offensively they look like they have picked up right where they left off last season scoring 91 points in their first 2 games. This team won 6 straight games to close out last season and averaged 51 PPG during that stretch. So adding in their two games this season, the Tigers have averaged 50 PPG over their last 8 contests. They are led by NFL prospect Drew Lock at QB who already has nearly 700 passing this year, completed 74% of his passes with 8 TD’s and no interceptions.

PURDUE – We hate to use the term must win game, especially early in the season but that is the bed this Purdue team has made for itself. After a tough loss to open the season at home vs Northwestern, the Boilers fell flat last Saturday and were upset by Eastern Michigan (+16). The 20-19 loss was excruciating for Purdue as they led 19-17 with just over 4:00 minutes remaining and missed a chip shot 38 yard FG which would have given them a 5-point lead. They then allowed EMU to go on a 72 yard drive eating up the final 4:00 minutes of clock and kick the game winning FG as time expired. It was the second straight game that Purdue lost despite outgaining their opponent. Key Boiler penalties kept that final drive alive, something the Boilermakers struggled with as well vs Northwestern. Because of that, head coach Jeff Brohm has said players who commit dumb penalties will now start losing playing time and be taken out of games as they do so.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Purdue crushed Mizzou on the road 35-3 last year as a 7-point underdog. It was no fluke as the Boilers outgained the Tigers by 275 yards! Missouri has been on quite a spread run since last October covering 9 of their last 11 games with the 9 covers coming by 142.5 combined points (15 points per game). The Tigers have only won 3 of their last 14 road games outright and they are a full TD favorite here. Purdue is 0-2 ATS losing both of their first two games outright as favorites. If this number pushes back to 7, The Boilers are just 2-11 ATS the last 13 times they’ve been a home dog of 7 or more.

Akron at Northwestern (-21) - (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m. ET)

AKRON – The Zips come into Evanston with a 1-0 record after throttling FCS Morgan State last weekend. Their season opener at Nebraska was cancelled due to weather two weeks ago. In last week’s 41-7 win over Morgan State, the Akron defense held Bears to just 80 total yards over the first 3 quarters. With some backups in the game and a 41-0 lead, the Zips did allowed 111 yards in the 4th quarter and Morgan State scored their only points with 11 seconds left in the game. Akron is experience on that side of the ball with 11 of their top 12 tacklers back from last year. The offense is a bit inexperienced but they do return dynamic QB Kato Nelson who took over as the starter for their final 5 games last year throwing for just under 1,000 yards and 8 TD’s. Akron was 7-7 last season but they were outgained by an average of 130 YPG so they probably weren’t quite as good as their record in 2017.

NORTHWESTERN – After taking advantage of turnovers in their opening win at Purdue, the Cats played host last Saturday to Duke and had revenge on their minds. That’s because NW was crushed at Duke last year 41-17. Well this one proves that revenge doesn’t always matter. Duke rolled up another easy win beating the Wildcats 21-7 in Evanston last Saturday. The Devils did so even though they played the entire fourth quarter with starting QB Daniel Jones out with an injury. Jones is now out indefinitely with a broken collarbone. NW ran 88 offensive plays in the game to Duke’s 63. Despite running 25 more plays, the Wildcats offense was only able to muster 7 points. They did have plenty of chances to add to that number but they threw 2 interceptions and they were stopped on downs 4 times in Duke territory. Head coach Pat Fitzgerald continued to rotate QB’s Clayton Thorson and TJ Green as Thorson comes back from a major knee injury.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – The Zips are 0-6 SU and just 1-5 ATS their last 6 road openers. Northwestern played one MAC team last year (Bowling Green) and the Cats won and covered. However, previous to that game, the Cats were just 1-10 ATS their previous 11 games vs the MAC. Since 1980 Northwestern is just 8-18-1 ATS as a home favorite when coming off a SU loss.

Ohio State (-12.5) vs. TCU from Arlington - (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

OHIO STATE – To say the Buckeyes have been impressive in their first two games with head coach Urban Meyer serving his early season suspension. Meyer will miss this game as well before he is back on the sidelines at home vs Tulane. The Bucks should finally be tested this week after obliterating their first two opponents (Oregon State & Rutgers) by a combined score of 129-34. Ohio State continued their domination of Rutgers last week in their 52-3 win. With that win OSU has now beaten the Scarlet Knights each of the last 3 season by a combined score of 167-3! The offense has looked great under the direction of new QB Dwayne Haskins as he has completed almost 80% of his passes with 9 TD’s. The defense looked much better last week after allowing Oregon State to put up 31 points in the opener. They held Rutgers to a miniscule 2.1 YPP on 61 offensive snaps. They forced the Knights to punt on 9 of their 13 possessions with 2 others ending in Rutgers turnovers.

TCU – It’s safe to say that TCU will be by far the best defense this OSU offense has seen this season. The Horned Frogs brought back 6 starters and 20 letter winners back on that side of the ball. They allowed just 19 PPG last season and have allowed 19 points in two games this season – both easy wins over Southern and SMU. They’ve also been fantastic defending the pass as their two opponents have combined for only 212 passing yards this season. However, the best offense they faced last year, Oklahoma, did light them up twice scoring 38 & 41 points so it will be interesting to see if they can hold up against the Buckeyes potent playmakers. The Frogs have had an extra day to prepare for this one after taking care of in-city rival SMU last Friday night 42-12. It was a game that TCU led just 14-12 at half before outscoring the Mustangs 28-0 after the break.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Dating back to 2004, TCU is a money making 24-12-1 the last 37 times they’ve been tabbed an underdog by the oddmakers. Digging deeper, the Horned Frogs have been a double digit underdog just 20 times since the start of the 1997 season (ASA’s inaugural season) and they are 16-4 ATS (80%) in those games. Ohio State has been very solid as a double digit favorite away from home hitting 57.5% since 1980 (42-31-1 ATS).
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SEC Notebook - Week 3
September 14, 2018
By Brian Edwards

**LSU at Auburn**

-- LSU will travel to The Plains for a battle of unbeaten SEC West contenders. As of Friday afternoon, most betting shops had Auburn (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread) installed as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 44.5. The Bayou Bengals were +325 on the money line (risk $100 to win $325).

-- LSU (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) came into this year with its lowest season win total since Gerry DiNardo roamed the sidelines prior to the school hiring Nick Saban. Ed Orgeron’s team defied its low expectations at Jerry World on the Sunday night of Week 1 by destroying Miami 33-17 in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. The Bayou Bengals raced out to a 33-3 lead and coasted into the win column. The Hurricanes scored 14 fourth-quarter points to hook up gamblers who took the ‘over’ (47.5 pts.). With a 20-3 advantage late in the second quarter, Jacob Phillips intercepted UM quarterback Malik Rosier and turned it into a 45-yard pick-six. After playing a reserve role for three seasons behind Leonard Fournette and Derrius Guice, senior RB Nick Brossette took full advantage of his second career start by rushing for 125 yards and two TDs on 22 carries.

-- LSU won a 31-0 decision over SE Louisiana as a 40-point home ‘chalk’ last Saturday at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. Orgeron’s bunch took a 24-0 lead into halftime but struggled to produce points in the final 30 minutes of play. LSU only had a 335-254 advantage in total offense, but its defense produced three turnovers and the offense never gave the ball away. Brossette led the way again with 137 rushing yards on 19 attempts. Joe Burrow, the junior quarterback who arrived in Baton Rouge as a grad transfer from Ohio State over the summer, hasn’t produced the gaudy numbers a lot of SEC QBs are currently sporting. But I’ll say this: Dude looked every bit the part of a signal caller capable of leading this team to big-time success in his first career start that came against a top-10 foe – albeit one we had at No. 18 in the preseason, unlike most others – on national television at one of the nation’s premier venues. In other words, Burrow passed ‘my eye test’ with flying colors. Burrow threw two TD passes without an interception and ran for another score in the win over the Lions.

-- Auburn started the season by defeating Washington 21-16 in a heavyweight slugfest at the Mercedes-Benz Dome in Atlanta. The defense stole the show in the second half, giving up yards in bunches between the 20s only to hold the Huskies to merely three points in three deep trips into the red zone. Gus Malzahn’s club took the cash as a 1.5-point favorite and the 37 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 50.5-point total. Jarrett Stidham completed 26-of-36 passes for 273 yards and one TD without an interception. Kam Martin rushed for a team-best 80 yards on 22 carries, while WR Ryan Davis pulled in seven catches for 52 yards. Trailing 16-15 with 6:15 left, JaTarvious Whitlow scored the go-ahead TD on a 10-yard run and the defense did the rest.

-- Auburn failed to cover the enormous 62-point spread in last week’s 63-9 home victory over Alabama State. Stidham was able to clock out early after throwing for 113 yards and one TD without an interception. Whitlow ran for a team-high 122 yards on just 14 attempts, while true freshman Shaun Shivers took 13 totes for 117 yards and one TD. Martin added 40 rushing yards and one TD on seven carries. Another true freshman, WR Anthony Schwartz, caught a 57-yard TD pass from Stidham and had a 23-yard TD run.

-- Auburn owns a mediocre 11-18-1 spread record in 30 games as a home favorite during Malzahn’s six-year tenure.

-- Auburn junior CB Javaris Davis is ‘questionable’ vs. LSU due to an arm injury. Davis started five games as a freshman in 2016, producing 37 tackles, six tackles for loss, seven passes broken up and two interceptions. He had 29 tackles, six PBU, two interceptions, one QB hurry and one TFL last season. WRs Will Hastings and Eli Stove remain out indefinitely.

-- LSU has been a road underdog on Oregeron’s watch just twice, going 2-0 ATS with one outright win at Florida last year.

-- After committing the umpteenth clock-management mistake of his tenure, Les Miles was dismissed as LSU’s head coach one day after losing 18-13 at Auburn two seasons ago. Oregeron has served in that position since then and led LSU to a 27-23 come-from-behind win over AU as a 6.5-point home underdog last season.

-- The home team has five in a row and 16 of the past 18 games in this rivalry.

-- CBS will provide the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

**Colorado State at Florida**

-- The only good news out of Gainesville this week came on Monday when UF head coach Dan Mullen said that senior DE/LB CeCe Jefferson and junior LB David Reese are expected to make their season debuts Saturday night vs. Colorado State. Reese, a preseason fourth-team All-American in Steele’s mag, garnered second-team All-SEC honors in ’17 when he produced 102 tackles, 8.5 TFL’s, one QB hurry and one interception. Jefferson has started 18 career games, contributing 106 tackles, 19 tackles for loss and 9.5 sacks. Jefferson, a five-star recruit from the previous regime, was suspended for UF’s first two outings and Reese has been recovering from a high-ankle sprain sustained more than a week prior to the season opener.

-- Florida opened the season with a 53-6 win over Charleston Southern as a 43-point home favorite. Third-year sophomore QB Feleipe Franks threw for 219 yards and five TDs without an interception. Van Jefferson, the transfer WR from Ole Miss, had four receptions for 34 yards and two TDs.

-- Florida saw its 31-game winning streak over Kentucky ended last Saturday night at The Swamp, where the Wildcats captured a 27-16 win as 13.5-point road underdogs. Mark Stoops’s club gashed UF’s defense with 303 rushing yards, averaging 7.4 yards per carry. Benny Snell stole the show with 175 rushing yards on 27 attempts. QB Terry Wilson connected on 11-of-16 throws for 151 yards and two TDs with one interception. He also had 105 rushing yards and one TD on 10 carries.

-- As of Friday afternoon, most spots had UF listed as a 20-point favorite with a total of 58.

-- Colorado State (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) rallied from a 27-9 deficit in the third quarter to clip Arkansas 34-27 last Saturday in Ft. Collins. The Rams, who won outright as 14-point home underdogs, were staring at an 0-3 record before erupting for 25 unanswered points in the last 18 minutes. RB Izzy Matthews one-yard TD plunge with eight ticks left proved to be the game winner. K.J. Carta Samuels threw for 389 yards and two TDs with one interception. WR Preston Williams, who started his career at Tennessee as a prized recruit, caught 12 balls for 154 yards and two TDs.

-- Prior to its comeback win vs. the Razorbacks, CSU lost 43-34 to Hawaii as a 17-point home favorite and got thumped 45-13 by Colorado in Denver.

-- Carta-Samuels has completed 64.6 percent of his passes for 1,102 yards with an 8/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Williams is his favorite target, hauling in 27 receptions for 391 yards and four TDs.

-- Florida will be without sophomore CB Marco Wilson, who tore his ACL in the first quarter vs. Kentucky. Wilson had started 13 consecutive games since arriving on campus.

-- This is the first meeting between these schools. The Gators haven’t played a Mountain West Conference opponent since defeating Wyoming 32-14 in 2005.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.

**Alabama at Ole Miss**

-- As of Friday afternoon, most spots had Alabama (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) listed as a 21-point favorite with a total of 70.5. The Rebels are +1200 on the money line (risk $100 to win $1,200).

-- Alabama has coasted to a pair of dominant wins over Louisville (51-14) in Orlando and at home vs. Arkansas State (57-7). Tua Tagovailoa has thrived in his first two career starting nods, connecting on 71.4 percent of his passes for 455 yards and six TDs without an interception. He’s also run for 46 yards and one TD on nine carries for a 5.1 YPC average. Jerry Jeudy has emerged as his favorite target with eight receptions for 151 yards and four TDs.

-- Alabama is three-deep at the RB position with Najee Harris, Damien Harris and Joshua Jacobs. N-Harris (7.9 YPC) has 165 rushing yards and two TDs on 21 carries, while D-Harris (6.1 YPC) has run for 116 yards on 19 totes. Jacobs has turned 15 touches into 159 all-purpose yards and one rushing TD.

-- Alabama crushed Ole Miss by a 66-3 count as a 30-point home favorite last season at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The 69 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 55.5-point tally. The Crimson Tide led 59-3 with more than 17 minutes remaining. Jalen Hurts ran for 101 yards and one TD on just 10 carries, in addition to throwing for 197 yards and two TDs without an interception.

-- Ole Miss (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) went to Houston for its opener and downed Texas Tech 47-27 as a 2.5-point underdog. The Rebels had to recover from a 38-35 halftime deficit in their home debut vs. Southern Illinois last week, but they did so with authority by outscoring the Salukis 41-3 in the second half.

-- There’s been minimal discussion about former QB and five-star recruit Shea Patterson in Oxford recently, and there’s a good reason for that. His name is Jordan Ta’amu, who has completed 69.2 percent of his passes for 784 yards and seven TDs without an interception.

-- Ole Miss WR A.J. Brown leads the SEC in catches (15) for 251 receiving yards and three TDs, while D.K. Metcalf is in a fifth-place tie for the conference lead in receptions (11) and is also fifth in receiving yards (174). Metcalf has two TD grabs. DaMarkus Lodge missed last week’s win over SIU due to a concussion, but he was upgraded to ‘probable’ earlier this week. All three WRs have bright futures at the next level.

-- Ole Miss RB Scottie Phillips is fourth in the nation in rushing yards (311), third in rushing yards per game (155.5 YPG), tied for fourth in rushing TDs (four) and 15th in YPC average (10.0).

-- Ole Miss went 0-2 ATS in two games as a home underdog during Matt Luke’s first season on the job last year.

-- Both schools have seen the ‘over’ go 2-0 to date.

-- ESPN will have the broadcast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Missouri at Purdue**

-- Missouri (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) will be looking for revenge in a big-time way Saturday night in West Lafayette. Why, you ask? Well, as most will easily remember, Purdue was right there with Illinois and Rutgers in the conversation for “worst program in the Big Ten” prior to Jeff Brohm’s hire preceding the 2017 campaign. So when Purdue traveled to Columbia in Week 3 last year, the Tigers were seven-point home favorites. All the Boilermakers did was go into Missouri and deal out a 35-3 beatdown.

-- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Missouri installed as a five-point road ‘chalk’ with a total of 65.5. The Boilermakers were +180 to win outright.

-- Missouri has posted home wins over UT-Martin (51-14) and Wyoming (40-13). Senior QB Drew Lock, a first-team All-SEC pick in 2017 when he threw for 3,964 yards with a 44/13 TD-INT ratio, has been nothing short of sensational. He has completed 74.3 percent of his throws for 687 yards and eight TDs without an interception. Lock has also rushed for 56 yards and one TDs on only six attempts.

-- Missouri WR Emanuel Hall is tops in the SEC and second in the nation in receiving yards per game (171.0). He’s in a second-place tie for the SEC lead in both receptions (14) and TD catches (three). Johnathon Johnson has 11 catches for 100 yards and two TDs.

-- Purdue (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) is in desperation mode after losing a pair of home games to Northwestern (31-27) and Eastern Michigan (20-19). The Boilermakers lost to the Eagles on a walk-off field goal as 15-point favorites last week.

-- Purdue RB D.J. Knox will present problems for the Mizzou defense. Knox has rushed for 229 yards and two TDs on 28 attempts for an 8.2 YPC average.

-- QB Elijah Sindelar has found 26-of-44 targets (59.1%) for 283 yards with a 2/3 TD-INT ratio.

-- Missouri is 2-1 ATS in three games as a road favorite since Barry Odom replaced Gary Pinkel as HC. As for Purdue, it lost 28-10 vs. Michigan as an 11-point home underdog last year in its only game as a home ‘dog on Brohm’s watch.

-- This game will kick at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on the Big Ten Network.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- BetDSI has Missouri’s Lock installed as the +300 ‘chalk’ to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. The next-shortest odds belong to Auburn’s Stidham (+420), Houston DT Ed Oliver (+550), Oregon QB Justin Herbert (+550) and Ohio State DE Nick Bosa (+850). Two other SEC players are among the eight others, including three Clemson defensive linemen not named Austin Bryant), who have odds. They’re Ole Miss OT Greg Little (10/1) and Alabama DE Raekwon Davis (25/1).

-- Six of the 14 players listed with odds to win the Davey O’Brien Award at BetDSI hail from SEC schools. Lock (+340) has the second-shortest odds (behind +280 favorite McKenzie Milton of UCF), while Stidham has +780 odds followed by Alabama’s Tagovailoa (28/1), MSU’s Nick Fitzgerald (31/1), UGA’s Jake Fromm (33/1) and Alabama’s Jalen Hurts (47/1).

-- -BetDSI has Alabama with -485 odds to make the CFP. The other SEC squads on the board include Georgia (+125), Auburn (+615), LSU (+1350), Texas A&M (22/1), Florida (85/1) and Tennessee (120/1).

-- Tennessee will take on UTEP at noon Eastern on the SEC Network. As of early Wednesday, most spots had the Volunteers favored by 30.5 points with a total of 47.5. The Miners were ???? on the money line. UT picked up the first win of Jeremy Pruitt’s tenure last week when it beat East Tennessee State 59-3 as a 37.5-point home favorite.

-- Georgia will play host to Middle Tennessee at 7:15 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. After losing 35-7 at Vanderbilt in its opener, Rick Stockstill’s team bounced back to trounced UT-Martin 61-37 as a 19-point home ‘chalk.’ The 98 combined points catapulted ‘over’ the 46.5-point tally. Senior QB Brent Stockstill threw for 407 yards and five TDs without an interception, while Patrick Smith had five catches for 87 yards and three TDs. During Brent’s dad Rick’s 13-year tenure at MT, it has gone 20-27-1 ATS as a road underdog. I reviewed Georgia’s big win at South Carolina in my Week 2 Rewind. The Bulldogs were 33.5-point home ‘chalk’ as of Friday afternoon, while the total was 56.

-- Mississippi State will take on UL-Lafayette at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network. As of Thursday, most spots had the Bulldogs favored by 33 points with a total of 64. The Ragin’ Cajuns have had two weeks to prepare after beating up on Grambling by a 49-17 count as 13.5-point home favorites in Week 1. They are 25-15 ATS as road underdogs since 2010.

-- South Carolina saw its non-conference home game vs. Marshall postponed due to Hurricane Florence. These teams have different open dates so if neither school makes their conference-championship game, they might make it up on Dec. 1.

-- Texas A&M will host ULM at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network. As of Friday afternoon, the Aggies were favored by 27.5 points and the total was 67. Jimbo Fisher’s squad took Clemson to the wire last week and covered the spread in a 28-26 home loss. I elevated the Aggies to No. 17 in my Power Rankings after the strong showing.

-- Kentucky will be in a vintage letdown scenario when it faces FCS foe Murray State at noon Eastern on the SEC Network. We discussed UK’s win at Florida to snap a 31-game losing streak in the rivalry in my Week 1 Rewind. Star senior RB Benny Snell is fifth in the country in both rushing yards (300) and yards per game (150.0 YPG) with two TDs and a 6.4 YPC average. UK junior LB Kash Daniel is the SEC’s Uno in tackles with 22, and he also has three QB hurries and 0.5 TFL’s.
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ACC Report - Week 3
September 11, 2018
By Joe Williams

Boston College at Wake Forest (ESPN, 5:30 p.m. ET)
This game has had its kickoff moved up a couple of hours due to the approach of Hurricane Florence to the state of North Carolina, but unlike UNC and N.C. State, they will be playing this week rather than electing to cancel their game. The Eagles head into Winston-Salem as five-point favorites as of Tuesday evening. Boston College enters the game 6-0-1 ATS over their past seven conference games, and 5-0 ATS in their past five outings. In addition, they're 10-1-1 ATS over the past 12 contests dating back to last season while going 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven against winning teams and 13-3 ATS in the past 16 on the road against a team with a winning home mark. Wake has been pretty solid, too, posting a 10-3-1 ATS mark over the past 14 ACC battles while hitting at a 5-2-1 ATS clip across the past eight games at home. However, they're just 3-7 ATS over their past 10 appearances on Thursday and 0-4 ATS in the past four dating back to last season. The 'under' has hit in four straight meetings in Winston-Salem, and each of the past eight in this series, too.

Miami-Florida at Toledo (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes hit the road for a date with MAC power Toledo, a team which hung with them in South Florida for a half last season before Miami pulled away in the second half. The public loves Miami in this one, but keep in mind that they are 2-5 ATS in the past seven against winning teams, 1-5 ATS in their past six overall and 0-4 ATS in the past four road contests. While Toledo is 9-2-1 ATS in their past 12 games in September, and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 overall, they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven outside of the conference. The under is 8-1 in Miami's past nine road games, but the over is 4-1 in their past five non-conference battles. The over is 7-3 in Toledo's past 10 non-conference contests, too.

Florida State at Syracuse (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Seminoles dropped their opening game against Virginia Tech, and that also doubled as their conference opener. They can ill-afford another setback, and face a difficult Syracuse team on the road. The Orange have been putting up video game-like offensive numbers, averaging 58.5 points per game (PPG) at Western Michigan and at home against FCS Wagner. As such, the Orange are seventh in the nation in scoring offense, and 30th in total yards with 508.0 per game. FSU is a much better opponent than their previous two, however, and this will be the biggest challenge yet. Florida State enters the game 0-7-2 ATS across the past nine conference battles, and 1-5-2 ATS in their past eight against winning sides. They're also 0-2-2 ATS in the past four on the road against teams with a winning home record. Syracuse, on the other hand, has covered four straight in September while going 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 overall. The Orange, underdogs by three as of Tuesday evening, might have the advantage. The home team is 5-2 ATS over the past seven in this series. In addition, the under is 6-1-1 in FSU's past eight road games, and 21-7-1 in their past 29 ACC tilts. The under is 9-2-1 in the past 12 at home for 'Cuse, and 13-3-1 in their past 17 inside the league.

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh (ACC, 12:30 p.m.)
It's another conference opener for both sides when the Ramblin' Wreck invade the Steel City to tangle with the Panthers. Georgia Tech hasn't had difficulty on offense, averaging 39.5 PPG through two outings, but they were trampled for 49 points last week at South Florida and will be looking for redemption. Speaking of trampled, Pitt was embarrassed 51-6 in their rivalry game aginst Penn State, showing how far they are from being an elite team in the nation. These sides met last season in Atlanta, with the Wreck coming up with a 35-17 win on Sept. 23. While Ga. Tech is 0-3-1 ATS in the past four road games, they're an impressive 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 inside the conference. Pitt has posted a 4-1 ATS mark in their past five following a straight-up loss, but they're 7-19 ATS in the past 26 at home and 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven in the month of September.

Georgia Southern at Clemson (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
The Tigers of Clemson opened with Furman, faced a tough road trip to College Station for a battle against Texas A&M, and now it's back to Cupcake City. Might there be a letdown after their emotion win last week against the Aggies? The Eagles have posted a 3-9-1 ATS mark over their past 13 road games, and a trip to Death Valley might not be good for turning that around. Clemson is 8-3 ATS over the past 11 non-conference battles, although they failed to cover the opener against FCS Furman and last week's road game at Texas A&M. As of Tuesday evening the Tigers were favored by 33 1/2 at most shops after opening at 35.

Duke at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
Duke packs the road gear for a second straight week after success away from home last week at Northwestern. The Bears also were on the road, toppling Texas-San Antonio to fire out to 2-0 SU this season. These teams met in Durham last season, with the Blue Devils coming away with a 34-20 win on Sept. 16, 2017. Duke could be stranded in Waco for a day or two after the game depending on how the Triangle area is affected by Hurricane Florence, and the approaching storm could be a bit of a distraction for the players, too. They're catching 6 1/2 from the Bears as of late Tuesday evening. Duke is 4-0 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning record, 5-0 ATS in the past five overall and an impressive 20-5-1 ATS in the past 26 non-conference battles. Baylor is 0-4 ATS in the past four at home, 2-9-1 ATS in the past 12 following a straight-up win and 0-4-1 ATS in the past five outside of the conference.

Ohio at Virginia (ACC, 4:30 p.m.)
The Bobcats of Ohio hit the road for Charlottesville for their second game of the 2018 campaign. Virginia suffered a setback last week at Indiana under rainy and sloppy conditions in Bloomington. This is a line that is a bit difficult to understand. Yes, Ohio is rested after a two-week layoff since their opening game win against FCS Howard. Remember, the Bobcats won that game just 38-32, struggling defensively at home. They're expected to hang with a mid-tier Power 5 team on the road, keeping it within three? Ohio allowed 645 total yards, and 484 passing yards against the Bison in that opener, and they even gave up 161 rushing yards. Virginia isn't likely to just win this game, but they might smash the Bobcats.

Western Kentucky at Louisville (ACC, 7:30 p.m.)
Things have been good for Western Kentucky in recent seasons, but 2018 appears to be a down year for the Hilltoppers. They lost their opener at Wisconsin by a 34-3 count, but at least they covered the 36 1/2-point number. However, they returned home last week to take on Maine, the 22nd-ranked team in FCS at the time, and the 'Toppers suffered the embarrassing loss on their home field. Now, they take it on the road to Louisville, a team which gutted out a 31-7 win against FCS Indiana State despite several starts and stops due to lightning and inclement weather. The Cardinals enter the game 0-2 ATS, but are favored by 22 1/2 as of Tuesday evening. A few years ago, Louisville should have joined Confernece USA rather than ACC. OK, that's a stretch, but they are 16-4-1 ATS in their past 21 vs. C-USA opponents, although they're just 1-9-1 ATS in the past 11 outside of the ACC.

Other Games
East Carolina at Virginia Tech (Postponed)
West Virginia at North Carolina State (Canceled)
UCF at North Carolina (Canceled)
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Big 12 Report - Week 3
September 11, 2018
By Joe Williams

Oklahoma at Iowa State (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
The Sooners and Cyclones will open their Big 12 schedule against each other, and Oklahoma heads to Ames with revenge on its mind after a stunning 38-31 loss against I-State in Norman last season despite being favored by 31 points. The Sooners have managed a dismal 1-4 ATS mark in the past five road games, but they're 5-1 ATS in the past six conference battles. Iowa State failed to cover last week in its opener. They started the season one week late after having their first game canceled due to inclement weather. The offense was sluggish at Iowa, losing a low-scoring battle. Their defense was outstanding, however. Iowa State is 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine against teams with a winning record while going 17-5 ATS in their past 22 on a grass surface, 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 in the Big 12 and 18-7-1 ATS across the past 26 overall. The Sooners, and subsequently the favorite, are 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings with the over hitting in five of the past six in this series.

Rutgers at Kansas (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
The Jayhawks got off the schneid last week with a shocking 31-7 win at Central Michigan, their first road victory since Sept. 12, 2009, They entered last week's game 18-101 with an NCAA-record 46 straight road setbacks, so their emphatic win in Mount Pleasant was rather stunning. In case you were wondering, the last time Kansas had back-to-back victories came way back in 2011, as the opened the season with wins over FCS McNeese State and North Illinois from Sept. 3-10. They haven't won consecutive games against FBS opponents since a four-game win streak from Sept. 12-Oct. 10, 2009 in the final days of the Mark Mangino era. So, should Kansas be favored against another Power 5 conference team? Well, it is Rutgers, and both barely qualify as Power 5. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in the past five non-conference battles, while Kansas is 7-18-1 ATS in the past 26 outside of the Big 12.

Boise State at Oklahoma State (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
One of the more anticipated and evenly matched battles on the schedule this week features the red-hot Broncos of Boise State in their most difficult contest they might face all season. Oklahoma State has mashed Missouri State and South Alabama, averaging 56.5 PPG, but they're still rather unproven. It will be one of the more interesting games to watch on the schedule, as we find out a lot about both sides. The Broncos enter this game 4-0 ATS in the past four non-conference while going 4-1 ATS in the past five road games against a team with a winning home record and 7-2 ATS in the past nine overall. The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in the past eight non-conference tilts. As far as the total is concerned, the over is 4-1 in Boise's past five on the road and 11-5 in their past 16 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 7-1 in the past eight overall for OK State, while going 72-32-2 in the past 106 at Boone Pickens in Stillwater.

Duke at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
Duke packs the road gear for a second straight week after success away from home last week at Northwestern. The Bears also were on the road, toppling Texas-San Antonio to fire out to 2-0 SU this season. These teams met in Durham last season, with the Blue Devils coming away with a 34-20 win on Sept. 16, 2017. Duke could be stranded in Waco for a day or two after the game depending on how the Triangle area is affected by Hurricane Florence, and the approaching storm could be a bit of a distraction for the players, too. They're catching 6 1/2 from the Bears as of late Tuesday evening. Duke is 4-0 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning record, 5-0 ATS in the past five overall and an impressive 20-5-1 ATS in the past 26 non-conference battles. Baylor is 0-4 ATS in the past four at home, 2-9-1 ATS in the past 12 following a straight-up win and 0-4-1 ATS in the past five outside of the conference.

Texas-San Antonio at Kansas State (No national TV, 4:00 p.m.)
The Roadrunners pull into Manhattan to battle the Wildcats, and UTSA is looking to pull the upset. It will be a tall order after a 37-20 setback at home against Baylor last week. They're 0-1-1 ATS in two games so far, both times entering as a 17-point underdog. In this one, they're a three-touchdown underdog. UTSA has hit the 'over' in both outings, thanks mainly to 43.0 PPG allowed. K-State barely escaped in a near-miss against FCS South Dakota before they were tattooed at Bill Snyder Family Stadium last week against Mississippi State. They're 0-2 ATS to date, so being favored by more than three touchdowns is a bit curious. Something's gotta give, though, as UTSA is 1-4 ATS in the past five on the road, 1-3-1 ATS in the past five vs. Big 12 foes and 0-5-1 ATS in the past six overall. K-State is 0-4 ATS in the past four at home and 0-4 ATS in the past four in September.

Houston at Texas Tech (FOX, 4:15 p.m.)
It's an important Lone Star state battle in Lubbock, as the Cougars head west from Houston to take on the Red Raiders. Texas Tech already has a loss this season, coming up short in the opener against Ole Miss by a 47-27 count. They bounced back with a 77-0 win over Lamar, but that proved very little outside of the fact they can beat up a lower-level FCS club. Houston has been more consistent, scoring 45 points in each game at Rice and against Arizona, both wins. Their defense has been decent, allowing just 22.5 PPG, but the Cougars D can be much better. They'll need to be against Texas Tech. The public has hopped on the Cougars, as the Red Raiders opener as a 2 or 2 1/2-point favorite at most shops, while the Cougs are now favored by 1 or 1 1/2. Houston is just 2-8 ATS in their past 10 road games, however, although they're 13-6 ATS in the past 19 outside of the AAC. Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning record, but 5-2 ATS in their past seven outside of the conference.

Ohio State vs. Texas Christian from Arlington, Tex. (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
The marquee game of the weekend takes place at Jerry World when the Buckeyes and Horned Frogs lock horns. Ohio State has won handily against Oregon State and Rutgers, but a battle against TCU is easily the most difficult test. TCU roughed up FCS Southern by a 55-7 count, and then they bounced SMU 42-12 on the road for their first cover. The defense has allowed just 9.5 PPG, but QB Dwayne Haskins and RBs J.K. Dobbins and Mike Weber easily present the largeest test for TCU. The Buckeyes enter the game 7-1 ATS in their past eight neutral-site battles, while going 6-2 ATS in their past eight battles against Big 12 battles. For TCU, they're 2-5 ATS in the past seven outside the conference while going 1-4 ATS in the past five against the Big Ten. They're also a dismal 2-10 ATS in the past 12 neutral-site games and 0-4 ATS in the past four against winning teams. Remember, though, this game is being played in the state of Texas. The 'under is 4-1 in the past five neutral-site games for Ohio State, while going 4-1 in the past five against winning teams. The under is 4-0 in TCU's past four against the Big Ten, 5-1 in the past six agaisnt winning teams and 9-3 in the past 12 overall. However, the 'over' is 9-4 in the past 13 non-conference battles.

Southern California at Texas (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
The USC-Texas should be a marquee game, but both teams have stumbled out of the gate with a loss each through two games. The Trojans offense was listless in Palo Alto last week, managing just three points in a loss to Stanford. While Texas won last week, a win over Tulsa by just seven points didn't make Longhorns fans and alumni forget about the disappointing neutral-site loss against Maryland on Sept. 1. USC enters this game with a dismal 11-27-1 ATS mark over the past 39 road outings, and they're 0-6 ATS in the past six non-conference tilts and 0-5 ATS in the past five in the month of September. While Texas is 6-2 ATS in the past eight tries against Pac-12 clubs, they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall, including 0-2 ATS this season. The 'under' is just 4-1 in the past five for USC in the month of September, but the over is 5-2 in the past seven non-conference tilts. The under is 4-1 in Texas' past five non-conference battles, while going 37-18-1 ATS in the past 56 in Austin.

Other Games
West Virginia at North Carolina State (canceled)
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Pac-12 Report - Week 3
September 12, 2018
By Joe William


San Jose State at Oregon (Pac-12 Network, 5:00 p.m. ET)
The Spartans and Ducks kick off the weekend in the Pac-12 conference at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, and Oregon is favored by more than 40 points in this one. It might not be enough, as the Spartans are horrific. San Jose State kicked off the season 44-38 with a loss at home against UC Davis of the FCS, and they were blanked last week at Washington State by a 31-0 score, just missing as 30-point underdogs. The Spartans are 6-14 ATS over their past 20 against teams with a winning record, and 3-9-1 ATS in the past 13 games overall. In addition, the Spartans have covered just two of their past nine games away from the Bay Area. while going 0-4 ATS in the past four against Pac-12 foes, including last week's shutout setback. Oregon hasn't been much better against the number, going 8-20-1 ATS across their past 29 while posting a 2-8-1 ATS mark over the past 11 non-conference contests. They're also 1-6 ATS in the past seven against teams with a losing mark. The over is 19-6-1 in the past 26 home games agaisnt a team with a losing record record, while going 53-20-1 in the past 74 overall at Autzen.

Oregon State at Nevada (ESPN3, 7:00 p.m.)
The Beavers are back on the road, traveling to the Biggest Little City in America, Reno, to battle Nevada. The Beavers were bludgeoned in their opener at Ohio State, 77-31. While the defense was horrific, they were able to manage some decent offensive totals. They bounced back nicely last week with a 48-25 win and cover against Southern Utah as 13 1/2-point favorites as the 'over' cashed for the second time in as many weeks. Nevada worked over FCS Portland State 72-19 in the opener, but they were outclassed at Vanderbilt by a 41-10 score as 10-point underdogs. Can they bounce back at home? Vegas believes so, ever so slightly, installing the Wolf Pack as a 3 1/2-point favorite. The Beavers have covered just once in their past five non-conference games, last week vs. SUU. They're 0-4 ATS in the past four road contests. Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in the past five home outings, although they're 1-4 ATS in the past five non-conference battles.

Southern California at Texas (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
The USC-Texas should be a marquee game, but both teams have stumbled out of the gate with a loss each through two games. The Trojans offense was listless in Palo Alto last week, managing just three points in a loss to Stanford. While Texas won last week, a win over Tulsa by just seven points didn't make Longhorns fans and alumni forget about the disappointing neutral-site loss against Maryland on Sept. 1. USC enters this game with a dismal 11-27-1 ATS mark over the past 39 road outings, and they're 0-6 ATS in the past six non-conference tilts and 0-5 ATS in the past five in the month of September. While Texas is 6-2 ATS in the past eight tries against Pac-12 clubs, they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall, including 0-2 ATS this season. The 'under' is just 4-1 in the past five for USC in the month of September, but the over is 5-2 in the past seven non-conference tilts. The under is 4-1 in Texas' past five non-conference battles, while going 37-18-1 ATS in the past 56 in Austin.

Washington at Utah (ESPN, 10:00 p.m.)
The Huskies and Utes open their conference portion of the schedule at Rice-Eccles, as Washington tries to keep their playoff chances afloat. They lost a heartbreaker to Auburn in a neutral-site game to open the season and cannot afford another setback or they're likely done from the national playoff conversation. Utah would like to force them out early. It hasn't been pretty for the Utes to date, winning 41-10 over FCS Weber State before winning 17-6 in a soggy battle at Northern Illinois last week in a non-cover. Defense has been good for Utah so far, as they're allowing just 8.0 PPG. The last time these teams met in Seattle on Nov. 18, 2017, the Huskies held off the Utes 33-30. They didn't cover then, but the Huskies are 8-3 ATS across their past 11 confernce battles. However, they're 1-5 ATS in the past six overall and 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road. For Utah, they're 4-1 ATS in the past five overall and they're 5-1 ATS across the past six in September. They've also been good at home, going 5-2-1 ATS over the past eight in Salt Lake City while hitting 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 Pac-12 contests.

Arizona State at San Diego State (CBS Sports Network, 10:30 p.m.)
Head coach Herm Edwards has earned props during the early going, turning Sparky into a contender after they outlasted Michigan State last weekend. QB Manny Wilkins and man-child WR N'Keal Harry, destined for first-round pick status in the 2019 NFL Draft, are one of the better pass-catch connections in the nation. If they played in the east, everyone would know about that. AZ State is just 1-5 ATS across the past six against Mountain West clubs, while going 6-13 ATS across the past 19 on the road. That's the one thing we haven't seen with Edwards, how his team responds on the road. The Aztecs, on the other hand, haven't been good anywhere lately. They're 6-14 ATS in the past 20 against the Pac-12, 6-15-1 ATS in the past 22 games in the month of September, 0-5 ATS in the past five against winning teams and 0-4 ATS in the past four against non-confernce clubs.

Fresno State at UCLA (FOX Sports 1, 10:30 p.m.)
It's a strange time. Fresno State heads to UCLA looking to add to the woes of the Bruins, who have opened 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS, although they did cover at Oklahoma last week. Of course, that was as a 30-point underdog! They enter this one as either a pick 'em or a 1-point favorite, depending on the shop. It's not exactly what everyone expected from Chip Kelly in SoCal. The Bulldogs lost 21-14 as a pick 'em last week at Minnesota, so will they face a similar fate this week? Fresno is 7-1-1 ATS across the past nine road outings while going 6-1 ATS in the past seven games in the month of September. They're also 19-6-1 ATS in the past 26 and 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine against losing teams. UCLA is just 5-11 ATS in the past 16 at home while going 2-9 ATS in the past 11 no-conference games and 5-12 ATS across the past 17 contests overall.

Other Games
UC Davis at Stanford (Pac-12 Network, 2:00 p.m.)
New Hampshire at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 5:00 p.m.)
Idaho State at California (Pac-12 Network, 6:00 p.m.)
Eastern Washington at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m.)
Southern Utah at Arizona (Pac-12 Network, 11:00 p.m.)
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