Notifications
Clear all

Free NCAAFB, NFL & MLB Service Plays For Saturday 9/15/18

11 Posts
1 Users
0 Likes
2,217 Views
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Saturday 9/15/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & MLB games.

 
Posted : September 14, 2018 10:05 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

JIMMY BOYD
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Florida State vs. Syracuse
1* Free Pick on Florida State -150

I think after the Seminoles were embarrassed on their home field by Virginia Tech (nationally televised game) the public was ready to throw in the towel on this team. That's even more the case after they look at the box score and see FSU was trailing in the 4th quarter of their 36-26 win over Samford last week.

Not only did the public and media have high hopes for Willie Taggart and this team, but so did the players and I think they went into that game against Samford feeling a bit sorry for themselves and just not locked in mentally. After almost losing to an FCS team on their home field, you have to think this was one of the best weeks of practice this team has had.

Add in that Syracuse is improved and the Carrier Dome is tough place to play and it all adds up to some big time value on the Seminoles this Saturday. I'm so confident that FSU will bounce back, I'll lay the extra juice and back them on the money line.

The Seminoles are 23-9 in their last 32 with a money line of +135 to -155, while the Orange have just 4 outright wins in their last 15 games played on Saturday. Take Florida State!
__________________

SAL MICHAELS
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Rutgers vs. Kansas
Free Play on Kansas -2½ -110
__________________

BOBBY CONN
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
USC vs. Texas
1* Free Play on Texas -3½ +105
__________________]

INFO PLAYS
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Oklahoma vs. Iowa State
1* Free Play on Iowa State +18 -110
__________________

TOTALS GURU
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Central Michigan vs. Northern Illinois
Free Total Annihilator On Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois over 44½ -110
__________________

 
Posted : September 14, 2018 10:10 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

KENNY WALKER
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
LSU vs. Auburn
Auburn-10 +100
__________________

ALEX SMART
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Idaho State vs. California
Idaho State+41 -120

The Golden Bears (2-0) operate a dual-quarterback, zone-read offense that uses their ground attack as their main mode of moving the chains. Cals two QB threats Brandon McIlwain and Chase Garbers are second and third, respectively, on the team in rushing yardage, and are backed by highly touted senior running back Patrick Laird. Needless to say Idaho State (1-0) knows what coming their way. But the question is can they slow this locomotive down enough to keep this game close enough to cover the spread? The answer is simple in my opinion the only thing that can slow Cal down is Cal. What I mean is that they should roll here vs a lower tier program, but after scoring just one touchdown in each first half of both of its wins so far its obvious that the coaching staff and players don't have fluidity and are still exploring their best offensive options as is obvious by using a dual QB system. Meanwhile, Idaho State likes to try too strike fast, as was evident by the Bengals 30 touchdown drives that were generated in under 10 plays last season, which was once again on display when they quickly converted four of five TD drives against Western State in their first game. Im betting Idaho State has at least once of these drives here today and for a modest offensive output to allow them to stay within the number and cash a ticket for us.

Cal is 0-12 ATS failing to cover by more than 17 points per game coming off a road game where they forced at least three turnovers which happened last time out.

Play on Idaho State to cover
__________________

DOUG UPSTONE
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
UMass vs. Florida International
Florida International-4 -106

On Saturday night, Play Against teams like MASSACHUSETTS rushing for 4.3 to 4.8 YPR, against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games. In the past five years, teams like the Minuteman are a miserable 4-23 ATS.
__________________

BLACK WIDOW
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Alabama vs. Ole Miss
UNDER 71 +105
__________________

MATT JOSEPHS
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Arkansas State vs. Tulsa
OVER 72 -107

Arkansas State is coming off a 57-7 loss at Alabama and quite frequently teams aren't the same the next week especially on defense as they had to deal with 73 plays. ASU's offense should be able to get what they want against Tulsa who allowed 27 to Central Arkansas and 28 to Tulsa. Justice Hansen is leading a very good unit for the Red Wolves. They put up 48 on SE Missouri State in week one. The Golden Hurricane's offense is no slouch either. They scored 38 on CAU and 21 on Texas. ASU doesn't get into a ton of shootouts, but I think this one lights up the scoreboard on Saturday.
__________________

 
Posted : September 14, 2018 10:12 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

CAPPERS CLUB
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Rutgers vs. Kansas
Kansas -2.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Kansas Jayhawks and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights face off on Saturday and in this game the value lies with the Jayhawks.

These are two of the worst programs in Power Five and I will take the home team in this one. The Scarlet Knights come into this game off a beatdown at the Ohio State Buckeyes losing 52-3.

The Jayhawks actually looked good in their last game beating Central Michigan and they have confidence coming into this game, something they aren't used too.

The Jayhawks will be fired up for this one and they will win.

Back the Jayhawks
__________________

MARK WILSON
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Oregon State vs. Nevada
Free Play on Oregon State +5½ -110
_________________

RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Sep 15, 2018
Leicester vs. AFC Bournemouth
Leicester+200

The free soccer pick takes place in the Premier League. Take Leicester at +200.

Leicester 2

Bournemouth 1
__________________

STEVE JANUS
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Missouri vs. Purdue
1* Free Sharp Play on Purdue +7½ -115

My money is on the Boilermakers to cover as a home dog against the Tigers. Purdue went on the road and laid it on Missouri last year 35-3 as a 7-point road dog. However, after dropping their first two games, including last week's shocking loss to Eastern Michigan, the public wants nothing to do with this team. I love head coach Jeff Brohm and with the Boilermakers backs against the wall after that 0-2 start, I think they could not only cover, but pull off the upset. Missouri simply isn't a team that can be trusted, especially on the road. Bet Purdue +7.5!
__________________

PRO COMPUTER GAMBLER
CFL | Sep 15, 2018
Calgary vs. Hamilton
UNDER 52 -113

CFL KEY TREND: Under System: 1. You have a road team. 2. They just had a bad turnover margin of 2+ 3. Total is over 49 - comes to 72-27-0 (72.7%) for the Under (Active on the Under in Hamilton)
__________________

 
Posted : September 14, 2018 10:15 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

MARC LAWRENCE
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh
Play - Pittsburgh (Game 136).

Edges - Panthers: 7-2-1 ATS as conference home dogs Yellow Jackets: 0-6 SUATS L8 as road favorites … With the Panthers returning home off a 45-point home loss, we recommend a 1* play on Pittsburgh. Thank you and good luck as always.
__________________

LARRY NESS
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Washington vs. Utah
Washington-6

My free play is on Washington at 10:00 ET. The Washington Huskies opened as the AP's 6th-ranked team but they opened 2018 with a hard-fought 21-16 loss to then-No. 9 Auburn in Atlanta (Tigers are now ranked 7th). Washington routed FCS North Dakota 45-3 last Saturday but the now No. 10-ranked Huskies' early-season schedule continues to be challenging, as they open Pac-12 play Saturday night by visiting Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City to take on the 2-0 Utah Utes. Utah has started the season with wins over Weber State (41-10) and Northern Illinois (17-6) but will get its first real test of the 2018 season when the Utes now face the nationally-ranked Huskies, who were the preseason conference favorite. Washington has dominated the series, winning 10 of the 11 meetings, but Utah has played the Huskies tough by winning 34-23 on the road in 2015 and dropping hard-fought 31-24 and 33-30 decisions the last two seasons.

Th Washington offense came into the season pinning its hopes on QB Jake Browning and RB Myles Gaskin. However, Browning is off to an uneven start and Gaskin to a very poor one. Browning completed 65.1% of his passes the previous two seasons with 62 TD passes and only 14 INTs. However, he's completing 59.4% after two games, with three TDs and three INTs. Gaskin has run for better than 1300 yards in each of his first three seasons at Washington, averaging 5.9 YPC and adding 49 TDs (45 rushing). Surprisingly, Gaskin rushed for a modest 75 yards against Auburn and then was held to 53 on 15 carries against North Dakota, while notching his first TD run of the season (128 YR on 4.0 YPC!). The Washington defense has played well, despite coming away with only one fumble recovery and no interceptions in its first two outings, allowing 12.0 PPG (22nd-best).

Speaking of defense, Utah's defense is off to a very impressive start, leading the FBS in total defense (143.5 yards allowed per game) and passing yards allowed (62.0), while ranking 6th in points allowed (8.0 per game). Linebacker Chase Hansen, a converted safety, is a key reason why, earning Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Week honors after totaling 12 tackles, including a pair of sacks, recovering a fumble and returning an interception 40 yards for a TD to seal the win over the Huskies. On offense, QB Tyler Huntley has thrown for 565 yards, four TDs and one interception, while RB Zack Moss has totaled 246 yards from scrimmage and has scored three TDs.

Utah was the first team out of the AP top-25 in "Others Receiving Votes " this week and the arrival of a top-10 opponent should only serve to further energize the home crowd, as Utah aims to put a signature win on its resume. Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City has cultivated a modest reputation in recent years as a venue where opponents' dreams are shattered. See Stanford's national title hopes in 2013, USC's pursuit of a conference championship in 2014 and Michigan in its debut with Jim Harbaugh in 2015. However, the Utes have yet to be tested in 2018 and I believe both Browning and Gaskin are due for "breakout" games. Washington's so-so start to 2018 keeps this pointspread "lower than expected" and I'll play the road favorite.

Good luck...Larry
__________________

FREDDY WILLS
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
SMU vs. Michigan
SMU+36

I feel like this line might be off by at least a TD here. SMU played a good game early against TCU last week as it was 14-12 at the half last week before they were shutout in the second half eventually losing 42-12. They lost by 30 points, but gave up two non-offensive TD's so the game itself was much closer than the final indicated.

Michigan meanwhile got redemption by beating down on Western Michigan 49-3, but I can totally see them content to shorten this game and go into the Big 10 schedule healthy as they'll host Nebraska next week.

SMU now 0-2 ATS, so clearly value on their spread here moving forward. They have an extra day of rest here as well. Since 2010, a team that is 0-2 ATS after 7 wins or less the season before facing an opponent that went to a bowl game are 46-24 ATS. That trend makes a lot of sense and this is just far too many points for Michigan to be laying in back to back weeks at home.
__________________

ROSS BENJAMIN

Florida State @ Syracuse 12:00 PM ET

Game# 125-126

Play On: Syracuse +3.0 (5*)

Syracuse has opened their season with wins over Western Michigan 55-42 and Wagner 62-10. They covered both games and as a favorite on both occasions. Despite those pair of victories, they’re still just 8-14 over their past 22 games played. Nevertheless, this has looks of Dino Baber’s best team since he arrived on the season in 2016.

Florida State suffered a surprising one-sided home loss to Virginia Tech on Labor Day. They followed that up with a less than inspiring 36-26 home win over Samford last Saturday, and they trailed that contest to their FCS opponent heading into 4th quarter action.

Any home team which is coming off 2 straight favorite ATS wins in which they scored 50 points or more in each game, resulted in those teams going 78-12 (86.7%) straight up since 1980. The straight up record takes on added significance since Syracuse is a home underdog in this contest. Bet on Syracuse plus the small number for a 5* wager.
__________________

JOHN RYAN
NCAA-F | Sep 15, 2018
Houston vs. Texas Tech
Houston-120

The Play and the Matchup
Houston (169)
HOUSTON (2 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/15/2018 4:15 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on Houston on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 5-star wager on Houston using the line, which currently prices them as 1-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Cougars to have at least a 2.5 yards-per-rush advantage over TT. Houston is projected to average 5.5 yards-per-carry and TT is projected to gain 3.0 yards-per0-rush. IN past games, where Houston has been on the road and attained or exceeded this KPI, they have gone 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS with an average ATS margin of 11 points per game and an average SU margin of 29 PPG.

Her eis a DB situation where playing on a road team using the money line that is an excellent offensive team gaining 6.2 or more YPP after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 4.8 to 5.6 YPP.
27-13 over the last 5 seasons for 67.5%, +4400 per $100 wagered.
The average ML has been a robust 223 dog, so this is a DB situation worth tracking.
__________________

 
Posted : September 14, 2018 10:17 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

DENNIS MACKLIN

DMack's Free Play for Saturday, September 15, 2018 is on the Northern Iowa and Iowa Under the Total

Don't kid yourself. This is not an FCS team coming to visit Big Brother and take home a check. This is an intense regional rivalry that has produced some good football in the past, in fact the Panthers last three visits to Kinnick Stadium were by 1, 8 and 11 points. The Panthers play good quality football and get up for this game. The Hawkeyes have avoided their usual early season black eye with wins over Northern Illinois in a monsoon and against Iowa State in a street fight last week. Iowa doing what they do, trying to rush the ball and playing great defense. The offense hasn't clicked but the defense is elite Top 20. Putting the other NIU on points or less and the Iowa grind, we'll play under the total here.
__________________

CHIP CHIRIMBES

Miami at Toledo Noon ET

Rockets (+) over Hurricanes

Playing against the 'Canes' is one of my favor ways to make money. Now, don't get me wrong I root Miami like the dickens because I have spent so much time on their campus. But, this is a great go against spot for a team that won 77-0 last week over Savannah State and will be a cocky arrogant bunch not mentally prepare for a food football team that will jump on the Canes early. Toledo who is not in the same class with speed and overall talent but has the 'smarts' to get the money here. Shoot the ROCKETS!
__________________

Mark Roberts

UNLV/PRAIRIE VIEW OVER
__________________

Randy Chambers

TCU+
__________________

CAPPERS ACCESS

Notre Dame
Florida
TCU
Arizona St
__________________

BUSTER SPORTS

Event: (127) OKLAHOMA at (128) IOWA STATE
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: September 15, 2018 12PM EDT
Play: IOWA STATE 17.5 (-114)

Our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones Oklahoma has come out of the gate 2-0 and has looked very impressive doing so. Their QB Kyler Murray has been everything that the sooners expected and maybe then some. Today however he has to take his show on the road to what is arguably the toughest place to play for a visiting team in the Big 12. Last year Iowa State walked into Norman as 31-point underdogs and beat the Sooners OR. Today at the time of this writing Iowa State are 17 1/2 point home underdogs. There is no doubt that Oklahoma has some big revenge for what happen last year but we believe Iowa State will be able to play with the Sooners again today especially in Ames. The Sooners lost RB Rodney Anderson for the year in their last game. This will be a huge loss even though the Sooners have plenty of depth. The only thing that is keeping this from being a larger play for us is that Iowa State has a QB issue with Kyle Kempt who orchestrated last year’s big upset. Kempt is looking like he will not play at the time of this writing, but Zeb Noland will play and he has shown in the past that he is more than a capable backup. Backing our selection is the fact that the Cyclones are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games and the fact that the Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. We do not believe that Iowa State will upset the Sooners however 17 1/2 points might be just a little bit too many to cover. So lets get the job done with the Iowa State Cyclones as your free play for today.
__________________

TEDDY COVERS

Event: (209) ARIZONA STATE at (210) SAN DIEGO STATE
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: September 15, 2018 10PM EDT
Play: SAN DIEGO STATE 5.5 (-102)

3% Take San Diego State (#209)

This is the very definition of a ‘spot play’, as we look to fade Arizona State off their high profile win against Michigan State. Yes, Herm Edwards Sun Devils are 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, a solid early season surprise. But make no mistake about it – the Sun Devils are running into a juggernaut in San Diego this weekend.

Arizona State was expected to compete for last place in the PAC-12 South, not first place, in Edwards first season on the job. They may still finish in last, as their PAC-12 slate is brutal. That slate starts next week, at Washington. Coming off a signature win, with a road trip to revenge minded Washington on deck, this has all the makings of a flat spot for this overachieving squad.

Make no mistake about it – Neither Arizona State early season victory means very much moving forward. They blasted bottom feeder UTSA in their opener. Utah State hung 31 on Sparty in East Lansing; ASU managed just 16 last week, 13 of which came against a tired and hot Michigan State defense in the fourth quarter. Without a strong running game, the Sun Devils offense is mostly what QB Manny Wilkins can create. And while Wilkins is a solid senior QB, he’ll be tested by a feisty Aztecs secondary on Saturday Night.

San Diego State beat Arizona State 30-20 last year, and there was nothing fraudulent about that victory. The Sun Devils gained just 1.4 yards per carry while giving up 279 rushing yards. Arizona State trailed by two scores for most of the second half. While the betting markets ‘zig’ towards the revenge angle, I’m looking to ‘zag’ in favor of Rocky Long’s squad; a team with a recent history of beating up on their PAC-12 foes.

The results do not like. The Aztecs have been more than capable of beating the big boys, with wins over Stanford, Cal and Arizona State since the start of the 2016 campaign. They bounced back nicely off their Week 1 ‘revenge’ loss to Stanford, and RB Juwan Washington is already picking up where first rounder Rashaad Penny left off, with more than 300 rushing yards in his first two games. We don’t need the outright upset to cash this ticket….but I wouldn’t be shocked in the slightest if we get it. Take San Diego State.
__________________

 
Posted : September 14, 2018 10:20 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

BRYAN LEONARD

Event: (209) ARIZONA STATE at (210) SAN DIEGO STATE
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: September 15, 2018 10PM EDT
Play: SAN DIEGO STATE 6.0 (-104)

210 Arizona State at San Diego State

The Sun Devils were expected to be a play against team with Herm Edwards taking over the squad. He had been out of coaching for years and was thought to have a hard time communicating with the younger players. That hasn't been the case as the Sun Devils beat both UTSA and Michigan State to start the season. But this is a major flat spot in the schedule after beating the ranked Spartans and having Washington on deck. Arizona State beat the Huskies last year 13-7 as an 18 point home underdog.

San Diego State played Stanford and Sacramento State. In those two games the Aztecs held the opposition to just 31% successful plays. With only Eastern Michigan on deck this is a great spot for Rocky Long and company to bite the higher thought of team. San Diego State is 4-1-1 ATS as a home dog under Rocky Long, and haven't lost in that role since 2012.

PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE
__________________

Mike Williams
Sep 15 '18, 2:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Vanderbilt vs Notre Dame
Play on: Vanderbilt +13½
__________________

Brad Diamond
Sep 15 '18, 10:00 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Washington vs Utah
Play on: Washington -4
__________________

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, September 15, 2018

9/15 07:30 PM PT / 10:30 PM ET

CF (207) FRESNO STATE VS (208) UCLA

Take: (207) FRESNO STATE
__________________

Mike Wynn

Free Play: Free Tulsa -1 Over Arkansas St

 
Posted : September 14, 2018 10:29 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY: Take TULANE -4 over UAB
__________________

Totals4U

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Vanderbilt/Notre Dame over 51
__________________

Jeff Allen Sports

Saturday's Free Selection is on the Atlanta Braves
__________________

Atlantic Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Clemson - 32 1/2
__________________

#1 Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Tulane Green Wave - 3 1/2

 
Posted : September 15, 2018 8:22 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Platinum Plays

Free Pick the Texas Tech Red Raiders +1½ over Houston
__________________

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Early Saturday Free Selection Is
Maryland -14½
__________________

Golden Dragon Sports

FREE WINNER for SATURDAY: Maryland -16
__________________

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Clemson -33
__________________

Hawkeye Sports

Early Saturday's Free Pick: Ball State Cardinals + 15

 
Posted : September 15, 2018 8:26 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Saturday: Take TULSA +1½ over Arkansas St
__________________

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: Central Michigan Chippewas + 14
__________________

Kenny Towers

FREE PLAY FOR SATURDAY - COLORADO ST +20½ over Florida
__________________

John Anthony Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection: SMU Mustangs + 35 1/2
__________________

Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Saturday: Take WISCONSIN -22 over BYU

 
Posted : September 15, 2018 8:31 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Roz Wins

Roz's Saturday, September 15, 2018, Free Pick

9/15 12:30 PM CF (145) BOISE STATE VS (146) OKLAHOMA STATE

Take : Boise State
__________________

Ray Chadwick

Auburn blew a 20-0 lead last year in their 23-27 loss in Baton Rouge as the road favorite to LSU and Coach O.

That dog cover is part of a perfect 4-0 spread mark that Ed Orgeron has enjoyed while at the helm for the Bayou Bengals. Very interested in backing that stat/trend here on Saturday at Jordan-Hare Stadium, especially knowing that the vested and visored head coach on the home sideline is just 4-11-1 as the home favorite since the 2015 season.

Joe Burrow is gaining a better comfort level under center for the Tigers, and while he didn't go nuts in their 31-0 win over SE Louisiana last weekend at home, remember LSU was coming off of their opening week neutral site win over Miami, and did have this Auburn game on their minds.

The Tigers of Auburn have revenge on their minds, but this impost seems pretty steep when you consider that while the Bayou Tigers offense may be a work in progress, their defense is certainly stiff enough to make the generous points work to our favor.

You throw in Gus Mahlzahn's money-burning home chalk mark, and that 100% underdog mark Ed O brings to the table, and we have us a nail-biter on The Plains.

Take the points in this SEC battle on Saturday afternoon.

2* LSU
__________________

Chris Jordan

Guess who likes Duke once again?

I originally released this play early because the line indicated to me the Devils would eventually be favored. A key injury changed that, as I updated my analysis after watching the coach's press conference and began reading my periodicals. But the line adjustment to me is shocking. And I'll gladly take the +6, and will buy a half point as long as they're offering me between +6 and +7.

On the heels of their first two wins, Duke has won 24 of its last 31 non-conference games. This week the Devils travel to play a Baylor team that won't mount much of a threat to a team that arrives with a lot of momentum on the defensive side of the ball.

With eight starters back on the stop unit, I expect Duke to cause major problems for Baylor's offense. Duke linebackers Joe Giles-Harris and Ben Humphreys came into the season with 232 and 207 career tackles, respectively, forming the only active duo in the ACC with 200+ total stops each. They'll be key in plugging the holes to stop the Bears' rushing game.

On the other side of the ball, Duke quarterback Daniel Jones came into the 2018 campaign as one of two active quarterbacks nationally with 5,500+ passing yards and 1,000+ rushing yards, joining Syracuse’s Eric Dungy.

In 26 career games, Jones has compiled 6,920 yards of total offense while accounting for 49 TDs. Last week he was solid in completing 16 of 22 attempts for 192 yards and three touchdowns, and is the ACC's leading passer through two games, completing 74 percent of his throws for 389 yards and four touchdowns.

Now for the bad news. He was lost to a broken clavicle, and is out until next month. Plus, Duke played the Northwestern game without junior wide receiver Aaron Young, who suffered a hamstring injury in practice last week. And yet what Jones has done with the offense is remarkable. The fact his unit has come together the way it has will help the troops rally around junior Quentin Harris, the starter until Jones returns.

Harris played clean up in the Northwestern game, stepping in to play the final quarter. The junior signal-caller ran five times for 14 yards and completed his only two pass attempts for 12 yards total. While the offense may not be as dynamic without Jones, the fact is the system remains the same and Harris is fully capable of learning a package of plays that will utilize his running skills, and capitalize on Baylor's weaknesses.

Look for the Devils to challenge for the outright win.

4* DUKE
__________________

Tommy Brunson

Duke was able to go to Northwestern - winners of 9 in a row dating back to last year! - and hold the Wildcats to just one score in winning that roadie, 21-7. While they did win the game, the Blue Devils lost their starting quarterback Daniel Jones to a broken clavicle. Ouch!

Thus the line jump here, as Baylor is over a field goal favorite. 2nd year coach Matt Rhule does have the Bears out of the gate at 2-0, but wins over Abilene-Christian and UTSA are not exactly signaling a "buy sign" to me to lay this wood against the well-coached Dookies.

David Cutcliffe is known as the "QB Whisperer", and just because Jones is now sidelined with injury doesn't mean backup Quinten Harris is not ready to step in and shine. In limited action, Harris has performed admirable, as he connected on both of his pass attempts last week and busted a 25-yard run. Trust me, Coach Cutcliffe will have him ready to go, and knowing that Duke can rely of their defense to win the field position war has me excited about grabbing what I feel is a generous spot.

The Blue Devils won last year's meeting, 34-20 as they covered as the -11 1/2 point home chalk too. The Blue Devils enter this game having covered 5 straight dating back to last season, while the Bears are just 1-3-1 over the same stretch of games since last year.

I say the points work with this defensive-minded underdog.

3* DUKE
__________________

Jeff Benton

Your Saturday freebie is the Beavers of Oregon State.

The Beavers matched last year's win total with their 48-25 home win over Southern Utah last weekend, and now first year coach Jonathan Smith will look to lead his Oregon State team to a road win for the first time in 21 games - just 4-15-1 in that span against the spread away from Corvallis.

OSU's first road game was that 77-31 loss at Ohio State, but they Beavs did score 31 on a pretty damn good Buckeyes defense, so they should have some success working against this Nevada defense that was just gouged for 41 against the pedestrian Vanderbilt Commodores in Nashville last weekend.

Easier trip for Oregon State to head to Reno this weekend than for the Wolf Pack to go east to Music City, and then come back home for this contest.

Remember this, Nevada has given up 41 points or more in 8 of their last 12 losses dating back to the 2016 season, so expect Oregon State to be able to get their points in this contest.

As I stated earlier, it's a new era at Oregon State, as they are coached by their former quarterback who brings plenty of energy and promise to the table after the stale regime Gary Andersen had in place the past 3 seasons.

They are not getting all that many points, but I would not at all be surprised if we saw an outright Beavers upset in Reno this Saturday night.

Take Oregon State plus the points.

3* OREGON STATE

 
Posted : September 15, 2018 8:37 am
Share: