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CFL Betting Recap - Week 5

CFL Betting Recap - Week 5 1 month 7 hours ago #486107

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 7/16/18
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CFL Betting Recap - Week 5 1 month 4 hours ago #486110

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CFL Betting Recap - Week 5
July 16, 2018
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 2-1 SU in Week 5
-- Underdogs went 2-1 ATS in Week 5
-- Home teams posted a 2-1 SU record in Week 5
-- Road teams posted a 2-1 ATS record in Week 5
-- The 'Under' went 3-0 in Week 5

Analysis

Calgary (4-0) opened the week with an emphatic 27-3 victory at Ottawa (2-2), as their defense was on full display again. The Stampeders are mostly known for their offense by casual fans, and they have scored at least 24 points in each of their four outings. However, they have yielded just 9.5 points per game (PPG) through four games, by far the best defense in the CFL. They moved to 4-0 ATS and the 'under' is a perfect 4-0, too.

The RedBlacks are 0-2 SU/ATS in two meetings with the Stamps, and 2-0 SU/ATS against everyone else. The good news is they will now have to face Calgary for the remainder of the regular season. Ottawa is also on a 3-0 'under' run.

Speaking of 3-0, the 'under' cashed in all three meetings this week, and is 6-1 over the past two weekend in the CFL.

Edmonton (3-2) snuck by Toronto (1-3) in a defensive battle in Northern Alberta, 16-15. The line was set at 54, but the 'under' came in by a mile. After opening with the 'over' in each of their first three games, the 'under' is 2-0 in the past two outings for Edmonton, both against Toronto. The Esks are also a dismal 1-4 ATS through five outings. They're off in Week 6.

The Argos have covered back-to-back outings after opening 0-2 SU/ATS. That's not where bettors are making money on the Argos, however. Toronto has averaged just 15.3 PPG through four outings, and the 'under' has hit in all of their contests to date.

Winnipeg (2-3) has alternated losses and wins through each of their first five outings. It didn't look like the outcome would be a loss in their second end of a home-and-home with the BC Lions (2-2), as they led in Vancouver by a 17-0 score at halftime. It was a defensive battle through the end of the third quarter, with the Blue Bombers leading 17-7. Then, the Lions struck hard. With two minutes remaining, the Lions found the end zone to tie the game at 17-17. It appeared overtime might be happening, but the Lions struck for a Ty Long field goal with :11 remaining in regulation to turn the tables on the Bombers after an ugly 41-19 beatdown last weekend.

Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

-- A pair of .500 clubs meet in the Hammer when Saskatchewan (2-2) and Hamilton (2-2) square off. The Roughriders have posted a 5-2 ATS record in their past seven following a bye week. The Tiger-Cats are 6-0 ATS in their past six following a straight-up loss, and they're 7-2 ATS in the past nine overall. However, the Ti-Cats are also 4-10-2 ATS in the past 16 at home, while going 1-5 ATS in their past six after a bye.

-- Another battle of 2-2 clubs takes place when the Lions and RedBlacks battle each other in Canada's capital city. The Lions won and covered last week, but they're still just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 overall. They're also back on the road, and they're 1-7 ATS in their past eight away from home. The RedBlacks have rebounded nicely, going 5-0 ATS in their past five following a straight-up loss, and 8-2 ATS in the past 10 after a non-cover. While the 'over' is 5-2 in the past seven for BC, the 'under' is 15-5-1 in the past 21 for Ottawa, and 5-2-1 in the past eight at home. The 'under' is also 3-0-1 in the past four meetings in this series.

-- Two sub-.500 teams desperate for a win battle in Hogtown. The Blue Bombers had a rare non-cover last week on the road, as they're still 16-5 ATS in the past 21 on the road, and 17-8 ATS in the past 25 overall. They're also 10-1 ATS in the past 11 games following a non-cover. The Argos are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall, and that will be put to the test as they're 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings with the Bombers. The 'over' is also 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 5-1 in the past six in Toronto.

-- Montreal (1-3) is in search of a much-needed win, but it might not happen against the red-hot Stamps. Montreal has covered just five of their past 21 games overall, including 1-7 ATS in the past eight road outings. The Stamps have covered 20 of their past 28 at home. The 'under' is 5-0 in Montreal's past five, and 9-3 in their past 12 in the month of July. In addition, the under is 12-2 in the past 14 games on a Saturday. For Calgary, the under is 4-1 in their past five at home, and 19-7 in the past 26 games played on a Saturday.

-- The Alouettes have covered six of their past seven meetings with the Stamps, but they're just 2-6 ATS in the past eight trips to Calgary. The 'under' is also 6-2 in the past eight battles in this series.
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