CFL Betting Recap - Week 4

CFL Betting Recap - Week 4
July 9, 2018
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 4
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 4
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 4
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 4
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 4

Analysis

Saskatchewan (2-2) has been a difficult club to figure out. They opened with a win against the defending champs, they dropped two in a row, including last week when they were favored by 10 1/2. This week, they were underdogs by six points at home to Hamilton (2-2) in a low-scoring affair. The 'under' has now connected in three of four games so far for the Roughriders.

Thursday's battle marked the ninth consecutive 300-yard passing performance for Ti-Cats QB Jeremiah Masoli, so that's why QB Johnny Manziel remains nailed to the bench. The defense continues to get better for the boys from The Hammer, allowing 17.5 PPG over the past two games. The 'under' is 3-1 for the Cats to this point.

Ottawa (2-1) maintained their dominance against Montreal (1-3), winning 28-18 as the 'under' connected again. The RedBlacks have hit the under in each of the past two, while the under is 3-1 in four outings for the Alouettes. Offense has been a real chore for the Alouettes, as they have scored 18 or fewer points in three of their past four, averaging just 15.3 PPG.

Edmonton (2-2) was dumped 20-17 in Toronto (1-2), as the Esks continue to alternate wins and losses. They're also a dismal 1-3 ATS overall, and 0-2 ATS on the road. They'll get another crack at the Argos in Edmonton on Friday night.

The Argos picked up their first win of the season, as the bye seemed to do them some good. They were averaging just 13.0 PPG in their first two losses, but they hit 20 for the first time this season in the win. The defense was much improved against the Esks, too. They allowed 34.0 PPG in the first two outings, but the halved that in Week 4. The 'under' has hit in three straight to open the season.

Winnipeg (2-2) hammered the BC Lions (1-2), as the Blue Bombers have alternated wins and losses like the Eskimos. The Bombers are a respectable 3-1 ATS so far this season, including 2-0 ATS at home with the 'over' also 2-0 in their two games on home turf.

Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

-- Calgary (3-0) will look horns with the RedBlacks for the second time this season, this time in Canada's capital city. The RedBlacks will be looking to avenge a 24-14 loss in Calgary on June 28 as 7 1/2-point underdogs. The Stamps are 3-0 ATS with the under also 3-0. The Stamps are 9-3-2 ATS in their past 14 following a bye week.

-- Meanwhile, the RedBlacks are 4-0 ATS in their past four games in July, but just 2-5 ATS in the past seven after a straight-up victory. The 'over' is 3-0-1 in the past four meetings in Ottawa, while going 6-1-1 in the past eight in this series.

-- The Argos have posted a dismal 4-12 ATS mark across their past 16 road games, and for what it's worth, they're a dismal 1-10 ATS in their past 11 appearances on Friday. However, the Esks are 2-5 ATS in their past seven on Friday, so that doesn't really matter. The Esks are 3-8-2 ATS in the past 13 against teams with a losing record, too. The 'over' is 10-2 in the past 12 meetings, while going 5-0 in the past five meetings in Edmonton. Of course, last week was an 'under' result.

-- The Blue Bombers and Lions will square off for a second straight week, this time in Vancouver. Winnipeg won 41-19 last weekend in Manitoba. Winnipeg is 18-5 ATS in their past 23 road outings, while going 6-2 ATS in their past eight against teams with a losing record. They're also 12-4 ATS in the past 16 against Western Conference foes.

-- For the Lions, they're a poor 5-15-1 ATS in the past 21 meetings against Western Conference opponents. They're also 1-4 ATS in the past five home outings. The 'over' looks pretty attractive, going 18-7-2 in the past 27 against Western Conference foes for WPG, while going 13-4 in their past 17 road outings. The over is 4-0 in BC's past four against the West, while going 5-1 in their past six overall. That includes last week in Winnipeg. In fact, the over is 7-1 in the past eight meetings, and 4-0 in the past four meetings in BC.

-- Winnipeg is 4-0 ATS in their past four trips to Vancouver, while going 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 meetings overall in this series.