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CFL Betting Recap - Week 1
June 18, 2018
By Joe Williams
League Betting Notes
-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 1
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 1
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 1
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 1
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 1
Analysis
The opening weekend was a disaster forthe East Division, as all three teams lost their initial game of the season. It was a great weekend for Ottawa (0-0), as they will head into Week 2 in first place as a result of everyone else's misfortune.
Toronto (0-1) lost a rematch of last season's East Final, as Saskatchewan (1-0) exacted a little revenge, 27-19. The Argonauts seemed to have a multitude of chances to get on top and bail out the betting public, but a pick-six late in the game sealed the win for the Roughriders. There were also just 22 total points heading into the fourth quarter, but 'under' (50) needed to chew their nails at the end of the 27-19 victory by the Riders.
Hamilton (0-1) took it on the chin in a 28-14 loss at Calgary (1-0), 28-14. QB Jeremiah Masoli rolled up 344 passing yards while also running for a touchdown, but it wasn't nearly enough for the Ti-Cats. QB Bo Levi Mitchell was up to his normal tricks, tossing for 297 yards and a touchdown while running for 12 yards. The Stamps pass defense isn't likely to be a problem this season, it's just that the Ti-Cats turned to the pass game and abandoned the run after being down late.
The most entertaining game of the weekend was the Thursday night opener in Winnipeg (0-1), as Edmonton (1-0) outlasted the Bombers 33-30. The Blue Bombers were able to hang on for the cover (+7.5), and that was never really in doubt. However, the Esks picked up a touchdown with 1:36 remaining, tying it up with a two-point conversion at 1:22 and then they posted the game-winning field foal from Sean Whyte with just :13 left in regulation. It was a punch in the gut for Winnipeg, and it will be interesting to see how they bounce back in Montreal this weekend.
Team Betting Notes
-- The Alouettes and Blue Bombers were battle in Montreal in a battle between 0-1 teams. The Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their past five following a straight-up loss, and they're 21-8 ATS in their past 29 on the road. In addition, they're 6-2 ATS in their past eight against teams with a losing record.
-- For Montreal, they're 0-11 ATS in their past 11 following a straight up loss, and they're 3-14 ATS in the past 17 overall dating back to last season. On their home turf, they're 5-16 ATS in the past 21 home games and 2-5 ATS in the past seven in June. In this series, Montreal is 1-6 ATS in their past seven home games against Winnipeg. The 'over' has cashed in each of the past five meetings in Montreal, and four of the past five overall.
-- The 'under' is an impressive 23-3 in the past 26 games for Montreal in the month of June.
-- The RedBlacks make their season debut in Week 2 against the Riders. Ottawa has covered in each of their past five outings in June, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven contests on Thursday. The 'under' is 12-4-1 in the past 17 for the RedBlacks, while going 3-1-1 in their past five against teams with a winning overall mark.
-- For Saskatchewan, the under is 10-1 in their past 11 games overall while cashing in each of their past six road outings. The under is also 4-1 in their past five games in the month of June.
-- The Ti-Cats head to Edmonton with a 2-7 ATS mark over their past nine games in the month of June. They're also just 5-12-2 ATS in the past 19 against teams with a winning overall mark. Hamilton has covered five consecutive meetings in Edmonton, while the 'over' is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Northern Alberta. The 'under' is 19-5 in the past 24 games in June.
-- The Esks are 5-0 ATS in the past five games following a straight-up victory, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six overall. However, they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five in June, and 6-13 ATS in the past 19 games at home. The 'under' is 9-4 in the past 13 games in June for Edmonton.
-- The Argos look to bounce back in Week 2, but they're just 5-15 ATS in their past 20 following a straight-up loss. They're also 4-9 ATS in their past 13 against teams with a winning overall mark.
-- The Stamps have posted a 19-9-1 ATS mark in the past 29 following a straight-up wein, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five in June and 1-4-1 ATS in the past six on the road. Calgary travels to meet Toronto in Week 2, and they're 5-1 ATS in the past six trips to Ontario. They're also 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings while the 'under' has hit in five of the past seven in this series.