CFL Betting Recap - Week 9
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
League Betting Notes
Favorites went 3-1 straight up in Week 9
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 9
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 9
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 9
The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 9
Team Betting Notes
Calgary (7-1) annihilated expansion Ottawa (1-7), as the West continues to dominate the East. First-place Calgary has won three straight, and covered each contest.
Edmonton (7-1) kept pace with their provincial rivals by hammering Toronto (3-6) by a 41-27 score. The Esks have won three in a row since losing to Calgary July 24. While they have an impressive straight-up record, they're still just 2-2 ATS over the past four, and 5-2 ATS overall. A rematch with Calgary looms Sept. 1 on the road, with the second game of a home-and-home Sept. 6 in Edmonton.
Montreal (1-7) continues to fight hard, but they suffered another loss Friday in Winnipeg (6-3). The Alouettes have improved since a couple of lopsided losses July 19-Aug. 1 when they lost by an average of 31.0 points per game. Over their past three losses, they have fallen by an average of just 7.8 points per game. Still, a loss is a loss. They're also 1-5 ATS over the past six.
The Blue Bombers put the skids on a two-game SU/ATS losing streak, and they're now 6-3 ATS overall. They 'over' and 'under' has alternated over each of their past five, so no helpful trend there. Next up is a key home-and-home series with Saskatchewan (6-2).
The Roughriders lost QB Darian Durant (finger) to a finger injury at halftime, so former Pitt QB Tino Sunseri was forced into action. He actually rallied the defending champs to a win at BCLions (5-4). Saskatchewan has won five straight games, and they're 4-1 ATS during the span.
Saskatchewan has also had the 'under' cash in five of the past six games. In their previous meeting with Winnipeg, the under hit back on Aug. 7.
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TTAWA (1 - 7) at MONTREAL (1 - 7) - 8/29/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road lined games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WINNIPEG (6 - 3) at SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 2) - 8/31/2014, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (3 - 6) at HAMILTON (1 - 6) - 9/1/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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EDMONTON (7 - 1) at CALGARY (7 - 1) - 9/1/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AUGUST 29, 7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Ottawa's last 18 games
Ottawa is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home
AUGUST 31, 4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games at home
SEPTEMBER 1, 1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
SEPTEMBER 1, 4:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games
CFL Week 10 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett
Oddsshark.com
East meets East and West meets West on the CFL betting schedule for Week 10, with the Ottawa RedBlacks and Montreal Alouettes opening up the week at Molson Stadium on Friday night and a pair of holiday Monday matchups rounding out the week's slate.
Find all of this week's CFL betting lines plus updated Grey Cup futures at Bovada.
Fri Aug 29 - Ottawa at Montreal
Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS | OU 0-0
The Ottawa RedBlacks and the Montreal Alouettes will meet for the first time this season in CFL betting action on Friday night, with the Alouettes having managed to pick up just one ATS victory in their four home games so far this season - and Ottawa sitting at 0-4 ATS on the road. Overall Montreal is an ugly 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS heading into their Week 10 outing with the expansion RedBlacks.
Sun Aug 31 - Winnipeg at Saskatchewan
Last 10 Meetings: Saskatchewan 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 5-5
The Saskatchewan Roughriders are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers heading into their Sunday afternoon matchup in Week 10, with the Riders getting past the Blue Bombers 23-17 as a 3-point road favorite in the first meeting of the season between the two teams on August 7. That was the second straight UNDER result for totals bettors in games between the two teams.
Mon Sep 01 - Toronto at Hamilton
Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 6-4
The Toronto Argonauts and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats will renew their rivalry on Monday afternoon with their annual Labour Day matchup. The Tiger-Cats went 3-1 both SU and ATS against the Argonauts last season, with the OVER/UNDER splitting at 2-2 for totals bettors on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks in those contests.
Mon Sep 01 - Edmonton at Calgary
Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS | OU 5-5
The Calgary Stampeders are riding an eight-game SU winning streak against the Edmonton Eskimos as those rivals also participate in a Labour Day CFL betting matchup on Monday. Calgary topped Edmonton by a score of 26-22 as a 2-point road favorite in their first meeting of the season on July 24, with the combined score an UNDER result for totals bettors. The UNDER is 3-0 in their last three meetings.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
The CFL will close the first-half of its 2014 regular season this upcoming Labor Day Holiday Weekend and all indications continue to point to a league of “haves” (the West Division) and “have nots” (the East Division).
Winnipeg got things going for the West last week with a 24-16 victory over Montreal as a 7½-point home favorite on Friday night. The total stayed UNDER the closing 49½-point line.
Saturday’s CFL double-header kicked things off with Edmonton almost doubling-up Toronto 41-27 as a seven-point favorite at home. This time the total went well OVER the 49½-point line. Calgary rolled over Ottawa 32-7 in the nightcap to easily cover as an 8½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 48-point line.
This past Sunday in the only divisional matchup on the slate, Saskatchewan outlasted British Columbia 20-16 as a 2 ½-point road underdog. The total in that game stayed UNDER the 50 ½-point closing line.
Friday, Aug. 29
Ottawa (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) at Montreal (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -5½
Total: 47
Game Overview
The good news for the expansion RedBlacks is that they have a decent shot at doubling their win total on the year in their first meeting this season against Montreal. Ottawa has held their own against the other two teams they faced from the East with a Week 3 victory over Toronto (18-17) as a one-point home underdog and a 10-point loss to Hamilton as a 6½-point road underdog in Week 4.
The Alouettes continue to sink deeper and deeper into a hole they probably will not be able to climb out of. Their offense is ranked last in the CFL in scoring with an average of 15.6 points a game and they have major issues at the quarterback position. Montreal’s defense has allowed 30 or more points four times during its current six-game losing streak.
Betting Trends
Ottawa is 1-4 against the spread in its last five games and 0-4 ATS in four road games this year. Montreal is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 home games and total has stayed UNDER in its last five division games.
Sunday, Aug. 31
Winnipeg (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS) at Saskatchewan (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -5½
Total: 47
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers snapped a two-game skid both SU and ATS with last week’s win. Drew Willy struggled at quarterback by going 14-for-23 for 200 yards and an interception, but he still got the job done with a 16-point fourth quarter rally to steal the win. Nic Grigsby turned in a solid performance running the ball with 73 yards on 10 carries.
Saskatchewan has now gone 5-0 SU (4-1 ATS) since stumbling out of the gate with a 1-2 start both SU and ATS. Quarterback Darian Durant’s numbers are nothing to write home about with a 60.1 percent completion rate and five interceptions vs. seven touchdown throws, but the Roughriders’ defense has held firm; allowing an average of 18.9 PPG. Durant missed the second half of Sunday’s game against BC with a finger injury and so far his status for this Sunday is unknown.
Betting Trends
The Roughriders won the first meeting this season 23-17 as three-point road favorites and they hold a 6-1 SU edge (5-2 ATS) in the last seven meetings. The total in this series has stayed UNDER in three of the last four games.
Monday, Sept. 1
Toronto (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) at Hamilton (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 50½
Game Overview
Toronto has just three SU victories on the year, but it can open-up a three-game lead in the East Division with a win next Monday. Quarterback Ricky Ray continues to lead the CFL in total passing yards with 2,442 and he has a league-high 15 touchdown throws, but the Argonauts’ downfall has been a defense that is giving-up 27.7 PPG.
The Tiger-Cats have been able to keep the majority of their games relatively close, but they have not played with the consistency needed to turn these losses into wins partially due to multiple injuries at the quarterback position. They will try and snap a three-game skid both SU and ATS which includes a 10-point loss to Calgary at home as 2½-point underdogs before last week’s bye.
Betting Trends
The Tiger-Cats have won the last three meetings both SU and ATS after dropping their previous four games to Toronto both ways dating back to the 2012 regular season. The total in this series has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings.
Edmonton (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Calgary (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4½
Total: 50½
Game Overview
The surprising Eskimos continue to keep pace with Calgary in the West Division title race with a three-game SU winning streak (2-1 ATS). They have scored 26 points or more in seven of their eight games this year and their defense is holding teams to an average of 17.8 PPG. Slotback Adarius Bowman is leading the CFL in receiving yards with 619.
Calgary’s numbers are even more impressive with an offense that is averaging 27.9 PPG complementing a defense that is allowing an average of 15.1 points, which is tops in the CFL. Bo Levi Mitchell has done a good job leading the offense at quarterback. He has thrown for 1,958 yards and 12 touchdowns against just four interceptions.
Betting Trends
The Stampeders grinded-out the early edge in this season’s series with a 26-22 victory in late July as 1½-point road favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 49½-point closing line and it has now stayed UNDER in the last three meetings. Calgary is 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings with a 7-3 edge ATS.
Week 10 CFL
Ottawa (1-7) @ Montreal (1-7) -- Expansion RedBlacks lost last five games, outscored 30-0 in the second half of last two games; Ottawa is 0-4 vs spread as road underdogs, losing by 8-16-11-21 points; in only one of those games did they trail by more than 3 points at the half. Montreal lost its last six games, scoring 13.8 ppg the last four weeks- they're 0-2 as favorites this year. Six of eight Alouette games stayed under total. Als were outscored 35-13 in second half of last couple games. Ottawa scored only 11.5 ppg in last four games.
Winnipeg (6-3) @ Saskatchewan (6-2) -- Roughriders (-3) won 23-17 in Winnipeg three weeks ago running ball for 186 yards, while forcing six Bomber turnovers (+6) in their 12th series win in last 14 meetings. Winnipeg lost its last ten visits here, last three by average score of 42-11- they're 4-2 as underdogs this year, 3-1 on road, with only road loss 38-21 (+3) at Toronto. Riders won five in a row (4-1 vs spread) since their bye, with +13 turnover ratio in those games- they're 2-2 as home favorites. Five of last six Roughrider games, four of last six Bomber games stayed under total.
Toronto (3-6) @ Hamilton (1-6) -- Argonauts are 1-4 on road, with three losses by 14+ points; Toronto lost five of last seven games, with five of those seven staying under total- thye've got a -11 turnover ratio in last six games. Hamilton lost last three games despite scoring 25 ppg in those games; TiCats are 1-2 in their new stadium, with two of the three decided by a single points- they won last three series meetings LY by 14-6-2 points; six of last eight series games went over total. Hamilton seems to get a QB hurt every week; Masoli finished last week's game.
Edmonton (7-1) @ Calgary (7-1) -- Stampeders (-1.5) won 26-22 in Edmonton back in Week 5, its 8th straight series win; Eskimos lost last four visits here, by 1-24-3-14 points, but the game five weeks ago is Edmonton's only loss this year- they're 4-0 SU on road, winning twice as underdogs. Calgary won/covered its last three games, winning by 21-10-25 points, but six of their seven wins came vs weaker eastern teams, as have five of Edmonton's seven wins. Six of eight games for both teams stayed under the total.
Armadillosports.com
Game of the Day: Redblacks at Alouettes
Covers.com
Ottawa Redblacks at Montreal Alouettes (-6, 46)
Something has to give when the Montreal Alouettes host the Ottawa Redblacks on Friday. The Redblacks are mired in a five-game losing streak and the only team in the league with a longer streak of futility is the Alouettes, who have lost six in a row. Despite these slides, both teams still have a realistic shot at the playoffs in the weak East Division.
Montreal could finally have some stability at quarterback after Jonathan Crompton stepped in with a 266-yard performance against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, but Crompton also threw three interceptions and will need to be more accurate if he hopes to hang on to the job. Ottawa’s offense has been even worse than the Alouettes’, recording 15 points over its last two games and managing 46 over its last four. Redblacks quarterback Henry Burris has five touchdown tosses in 2014, putting him on pace for his lowest total as a starter.
LINE HISTORY: The LV Superbook opened the Als as 5.5-point home favorites. They moved to -6.5 before dropping down to -6. The total opened at 47 and has dropped to 46.
INJURY REPORT: Redblacks - DB Jovon Johnson (Questionable, bicep). Alouettes - Chad Johnson (Probably, concussion), Marc-Oliver Brouillette (Questionable, upper body).
ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (1-7): Ottawa lost backup quarterback Thomas DeMarco to a season-ending ACL injury when DeMarco replaced Burris in the fourth quarter in Week 9. Rookie Antoine Pruneau is quickly becoming the most exciting Redblacks player with 24 tackles in three contests as a starter and a pass deflection that led to an interception touchdown last week. Chevon Walker is tied for third in the league with 421 rushing yards.
ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-7): Alex Brink will back up Crompton while Troy Smith remains on the six-game injured list. Brandon Whitaker is second in the league with 431 rushing yards. John Bowman leads the team with seven sacks but has just two in four games since Montreal’s Week 5 bye week.
TRENDS:
* Under is 5-0 in Alouettes last five vs. East.
* RedBlacks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Alouettes are 0-4 ATS in their last four Friday games.
* Under is 10-2 in Alouettes last 12 games overall.
CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 56 percent of wagers are on the Alouettes.
StatFox Super Situations
WINNIPEG at SASKATCHEWAN
Play Against - Home favorites (SASKATCHEWAN) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 37-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.1% | 24.9 units ) 4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )
EDMONTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) off 1 or more straight overs, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game 60-37 since 1997. ( 61.9% | 0.0 units ) 0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )
WINNIPEG at SASKATCHEWAN
Play Against - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (WINNIPEG) after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, when playing on a Sunday 26-5 since 1997. ( 83.9% | 20.5 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )