NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, February 26th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
UAB lost three in row, five of last six games; they’re 5-1 at home in league, losing by 21 to Old Dominion in last home tilt. Middle Tennessee won its last four games, is 5-3 as a road favorite, winning road games by 3-11-13-29-10-26-11 points, with loss at UTEP. MTSU held UAB to 34.8% from floor in 60-49 home win over the Blazers New Years Day, UAB’s first loss to the Blue Raiders in last six series games. Blue Raiders lost their last two visits here, by 5-11 points. C-USA road favorites of 6 or less points are 12-5 vs spread this season.
Wright State lost its last two games, is 5-3 at home in Horizon, 3-3 as home favorites; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 games. UIC lost three in row, 8 of last 11 games; Flames are 4-4 on road, 4-3 as a road underdog, with road losses by 31-4-12-8 points. Wright won 88-86 at Ill-Chicago Jan 29, after trailing by 7 with 9:00 left. Raiders won three of last four series games; teams split last four meetings played here. UIC turns ball over 22.1% of time in league, worst in conference. Horizon home favorites of 8 or less points are 14-19 vs spread this season.
George Mason lost its last two games, is 3-3 on A-14 road, 3-2 as a road underdog, with losses by 10-2-13 points. George Washington won three of its last four games, is 5-2 at home in A-14, 1-3 as a home favorite. Underdogs covered six of their seven A-14 home games. Colonials’ home wins are by 2-4-6-16 points. GW made 11-19 on arc, never trailed in 87-68 win at George Mason Jan 25; Colonials are 7-0 vs Mason in A-14 play, winning games here by 8-8-22 points. A-14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-10 vs spread this season.
Louisville is 3-2 (0-4-1 vs spread) in its last five games; they’re 3-4 as a home favorite, with four of six ACC home wins by 9 or less points. Syracuse lost three of last four games; they’re 2-3 as a road underdog. Louisville won 76-72 in OT at Syracuse Feb 13, surviving 16-30 shooting on foul line. Syracuse was 8-34 on arc; Cardinals led by 14 early, trailed by 3 in OT. Louisville won four of last five in series. Orangemen won two of last three visits here; they lost 72-58 here LY. Double digit home favorites are 9-13 vs spread in ACC games this season.
Butler won its last three games, including a win at Villanova; Bulldogs are 5-3 on Big East road, 2-3 as a road favorite. Xavier lost its last four games, is 1-7 vs spread since Somner got hurt. Musketeers are 5-2 at home in big East, losing to Creighton by 5, Villanova by 16. Xavier lost 83-78 at Butler Jan 14, in foul fest where 77 FT’s were taken. Xavier led by 6 at haff; both teams shot 61%+ inside arc. Musketeers are 6-2 in Big East meetings, winning all three in Cintas Center by 11-17-19 points. Big East road favorites of 3 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.
Houston won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-2 on AAC road, 5-1 as a road favorite, with losses at UCF by 7, SMU by 21- they won last three road games. Memphis lost four of last five games; they’re 5-2 at home in AAC, losing to SMU by 34, Temple by 12. Memphis won 70-67 in OT at Houston Jan 19, despite going 9-21 on foul line, 3-18 on arc. Tigers won seven of last nine series games, winning last eight series games played here. AAC road favorites of 3 or less points are 3-4 vs spread this season.
Arizona State played four starters 40:00 in loss to UCLA Thursday; the 5th starter played 39:00, so zero depth for ASU team that is 3-4 at home in Pac-12, 1-3 as a home underdog. USC made 14-27 on arc in 82-79 home win over Arizona State Jan 22; Trojans won three of last four series games, but lost last four visits to Tempe, by 4-5-5-7 points. USC lost its last three games, is 4-4 on Pac-12 road- they’re 2-1 as a road favorite- snce 2010, Trojans are 4-9-1 as road faves. Pac-12 road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-3-1 vs spread.
Georgia Tech lost four of last six games, is 4-3 as an ACC road underdog, with road losses by 53-1-13-12-12-9 points, with a win at NC State. Notre Dame won its last four games, is 4-1 as a home favorite, with home wins by 7-5-18-7-12 points, with losses to Virginia/Duke. Tech upset Notre Dame 62-60 at home Jan 28; home side is 6-1 in ACC meetings with these two teams. Tech lost its last three visits here, by 3-7-8 points. Double digit home favorites are 9-13 against the spread in ACC games this season.
Illinois won three of its last four games, with pair of wins over Northwestern; they’re 2-5 on Big 11 road, winning last couple away games- they’re 2-5 as road underdogs. Nebraska lost nine of last 12 games after starting Big 14 play 3-0; they’re 3-4 at home in conference, 2-2 vs spread as a home favorite. Illinois is 5-4 in Big 14 meetings with Nebraska; Illini lost three of last four visits to Lincoln. Home side won seven of nine series games. Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 19-16 against the spread this season.
Washington lost its last nine games (2-7 vs spread); Huskies are 0-6 on Pac-12 road, 2-4 as a road underdog- five of their six road losses are by 10+ points. Washington State won 79-74 at Washington New Year’s Day, after trailing by 13 late in first half. Huskies are now just 4-3 in last seven games with Wazzu; they won four of last five visits to Pullman. Coogs are 3-5 at home in Pac-12, they’ve lost five of last six games overall. Wazzu is 2-6 as a home underdog. Pac-12 road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-3-1 vs spread.
St Peter’s won its last five games since a 72-70 home loss to Canisius Feb 6; Peacocks turned ball over 21 times (-13) in the loss. Canisius won seven of last nine series games, winning three of last four played here. St Peter’s is 6-3 SU on MAAC road, 9-0 vs spread, 3-0 as a road favorite. Canisius lost its last two games by total of five points; Griffins lost at home to Fairfield on a buzzer beater Friday. Griffins lost four of last six home games. This series has been swept nine of last 10 years. MAAC road favorites of 3 or less points are 7-3 vs spread this season.
Monmouth smoked Iona 92-74 at home in first meeting Jan 6; they led 54-41 at the half. Gaels are 6-3 in MAAC meetings with Monmouth- they beat the Hawks in last two MAAC tourneys. Monmouth won its last 15 games; they’re 4-5 as MAAC road favorite this year- their last loss was Jan 2 at St Peter’s. Iona split its last six games, losing two of last three at home. Gaels are 3-1 as an underdog this season, including win over Nevada in final of Alaskan Shootout. MAAC road favorites of 3 or less points are 7-3 vs spread this season.
Wisconsin lost three of last four games after a 21-3 start; Badgers lost last two road games, are 5-3 on big 14 road, 0-2 as a road underdog. Michigan State won five of last seven games, is 6-0-1 as a home favorite; Spartans are 4-2-1 vs spread in last seven games overall. Wisconsin is 4-2 in last six games with Michigan State; home side won 16 of last 18 regular season meetings. Badgers lost last nine visits here- their last win in East Lansing was in 2004. Big 14 road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-9 vs spread this season.
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NCAAB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
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Syracuse at Louisville
Togh road ahead for Syracuse. The Orange have had notorious troubles on the road vs the conference with just one win the past eight (3-5 ATS). Expect, Orange do what they typically do on Cardinals' hardwood, and that's drop the cash. They're a money-burning 1-8-1 ATS last ten visits to KFC Yum! Center in Louisville.
Sunday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
The last Sunday of the month dials up some great college basketball action in two of the top conferences in the country this season.
The ACC gets things started with Syracuse going on the road looking for its second-straight upset over a ranked team when it squares off against No. 7 Louisville.
Later in the afternoon, No. 16 Wisconsin will try to keep its feint Big Ten regular season title hopes alive with a win on the road against Michigan State. The third matchup pits Georgia Tech on the road against No. 21 Notre Dame in another ACC tilt.
Syracuse Orange at No. 7 Louisville Cardinals
Opening Odds: Louisville -10, Total 143.5
Betting Matchup
The Orange are flying high following Wednesday’s last-second 78-75 victory against Duke as three-point home underdogs. The total went OVER the closing 150-point line and it has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in their last 11 games. The win snapped a three-game skid and Syracuse (17-12 SU, 12-12 ATS) is now 9-7 in ACC play.
Senior guard John Gillon led the way against the Blue Devils with game-high 26 points. The Orange shot 53.2 percent from the field in that game as opposed to their 45.8 field goal percentage on the year.
Louisville will be looking to bounce back from a 74-63 loss to North Carolina on Tuesday as a 7½-point road underdog that all but ended its chances to win the ACC regular season title. The Cardinals (22-6) have failed to cover in four of their last five games as part of an overall record of 17-9 ATS. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games.
Sophomore guard Donovan Mitchell is Louisville’s leading scorer this season with 15.8 points per game and with 21 points in the loss to the Tar Heels he has exceeded this average in each of his last eight games.
Betting Trends
The Orange are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of their last 11 games following a SU win.
The Cardinals have covered in four of their five games following a SU loss and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of their last five games played on Sunday.
Head-to-head in this ACC tilt, the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in six of the last seven meetings in Louisville. The Cardinals won the first meeting this season 76-72 in overtime to cover as three-point road favorites. The total went OVER the closing 140½-point line.
No. 16 Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans
Opening Odds: Wisconsin -1.5, Total 128.5
Betting Matchup
The Badgers (22-6 SU, 12-13 ATS) are 11-4 SU in Big Ten play, but they put a serious dent in their regular season title hopes with three SU losses in their last four games. With Thursday’s 83-73 setback against Ohio State as seven-point road favorites, they are just 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of their last eight outings.
Sophomore forward Ethan Happ leads Wisconsin in scoring with 14.4 PPG, but he was held to just four points in Thursday’s loss. This followed a combined 42 points in his last two starts.
Michigan State improved to 9-6 SU in Big Ten play with Thursday’s 88-72 rout of Nebraska as a four-point home favorite. It is now 5-2 both SU and ATS in its last seven contests. The total went OVER the closing 132½-point line in that win and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games.
This was the most points the Spartans (17-11 SU, 14-13 ATS) had scored in their last 12 games and on the year they are averaging 72 PPG. Miles Bridges, Nick Ward and Joshua Langford combined for 57 of the team’s 88 points against the Cornhuskers.
Betting Trends
The Badgers have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in their last five games played on Sunday.
The Spartans have gone 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games and the total has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 Sunday games.
The home team in this Big Ten tilt has covered in 17 of the last 25 meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games between the two.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at No. 21 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Opening Odds: Notre Dame -11.5, Total 136.5
Betting Matchup
Georgia Tech fell to North Carolina State 71-69 on Tuesday night as a 2½-point home favorite to fall to 7-8 SU in ACC play. It is 16-12 SU with a 13-10 record ATS. The Yellow Jackets have gone 4-2 ATS in their last six road games and they have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 games closing as an underdog.
They are averaging 68 PPG led by freshman guard Josh Okogie’s 15.6 point scoring average. He put up 25 points in Tuesday’s loss while going 11-for-17 from the field.
With an 81-72 victory on the road against NC State last Saturday as a five-point favorite, Notre Dame extended its current winning streak to four games while going 3-1 ATS. This followed a SU four-game slide (1-3 ATS) in which the Fighting Irish (21-7 SU, 14-7-1 ATS) lost to Georgia Tech 62-60 as seven-point favorites on the road.
Behind junior forward Bonzie Colson’s team-high 16.7 PPG, Notre Dame is averaging 79.5 points. He recently put up 27 points in a victory against Wake Forest and 33 points against Florida State to help pace this current four-game run.
Betting Trends
The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight road games.
The Fighting Irish have covered ATS in five of their last seven games at home and the total has gone OVER in six of those contests.
Head-to-head in this ACC clash, the underdog has covered in seven of the last eight meetings with the other game ending as a PUSH. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four games between the two.