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NCAAB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, February 21st, 2017

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NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, February 21st, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : February 21, 2017 8:51 am
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NCAAB Knowledge

LaSalle was 30-41 on foul line AT Rhode Island in 87-75 win Jan 12; Explorers led 43-22 at the half in win that broke 4-game skid vs URI. Rams won 59-56/79-62 in last two visits here. LaSalle is 3-5 in its last eight games but is 6-1 at home in A-14, with only loss by 12 to Richmond. URI lost two of last three games but is 5-2 on A-14 road, with losses by 3 at Dayton, 11 at Richmond. Home side is 10-4 vs spread in their league games. A-14 road favorites of 4 or less points are 7-6 against the spread this season.

Clemson lost 10 of its last 13 games; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven games, 1-4 as a road underdog, losing road games by 5-12-32-48-2-6 points. Virginia Tech is 5-1 at home in ACC; underdogs covered five of the six games. Hokies’ last four games were all decided by six or less points. Tech won 82-81 at Clemson Jan 22; Hokies shot 66% inside arc, Clemson made 13-27 on arc. Teams split last 12 meetings; Tigers lost four of last five visits to Blacksburg. ACC home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-8 against the spread.

Florida was 0-17 on arc in 56-52 loss at South Carolina Jan 18; Gators led 28-21 at half, were outscored 23-15 on foul line (SC was 23-34 on line). Gamecocks lost last three visits to Florida, by 8-39-16 points. Gators won their last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they’re 4-3 as a home favorite, winning last three by 39-22-17 points (3-0 vs spread). Carolina is 1-3 in last four tilts, which started with 4-OT loss to Alabama; they’re 5-2 on road, with losses by 16 at Kentucky, 9 at Vanderbilt. SEC home favorites of 9+ points are 13-14-1 vs spread.

Western Michigan won its last four games, covered six of its last seven; Broncos are 4-2 as a road underdog, with only road win in seven tries by 17 at Miami. Western Michigan shot 70% (28-40) inside arc, waffled Toledo 90-74 Jan 10, scoring 1.41 ppp, a very high number. Broncos are 7-3 in last ten series games; teams split last four series games played here. Toledo won three of last four games, is 5-1 as a home favorite; their only home loss was to Northern Illinois by a hoop. MAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 15-10 vs spread this season.

Dayton won its last six games, is 4-3 vs spread as an A-14 home favorite, with four of seven home wins by 11+ points. Three of their last four wins were by 7 or less points. George Mason won four of its last five games, is 3-1 as a road underdog- they’re 3-2 on A-14, with losses by 10 in Olean, but hoop at Saint Louis. Dayton is 3-0 vs George Mason in A-14 games, winning by 17-13-34 points, winning 76-63 here two years ago. Double digit home favorites are 10-14-1 against the spread in A-14 games this season.

Ill-Chicago is playing its third game in five nights; Flames lost six of last nine games, are 3-5 at home in Horizon, losing three of last four at home. UIC is 1-2 as a home underdog. Green Bay is 5-3 in its last eight games, 4-4 on Horizon road, 2-1 vs spread as a road favorite. Phoenix beat Ill-Chicago 84-80 in first meeting, rallying back from down 10 with 9:36 left; Green Bay won last nine series games, winning last three in Windy City, by 15-5-2 points. Horizon road favorites of 3 or less points are 4-1 against the spread.

Richmond hung on to win 82-80 at Davidson Dec 31; Spiders led by 17 with 7:06 left- they made 12-27 on arc, were outscored 18-4 on foul line. Davidson is 3-2 in A-14 meetings; teams split two meetings here. Spiders lost last two games, are 5-2 at home in A-14, with losses to VCU, George Mason. Richmond lost to rival VCU in its last game on Friday. Wildcats are 4-3 on A-14 road, ; they scored 74-79 points in winning last two games, over GW, UMass. A-14 road teams are 9-7 vs spread in games where number was 2 or less points.

Marquette lost four of its last six games, is 3-3 as a home favorite- they allowed 79+ points in five of their last six games. St John’s won three of last four games, covered five of last six; they are 2-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 15-28-13-13-24 points. Red Storm allowed 110 points in last game, at Butler. St John’s made 10-24 on arc in 86-72 home win over Marquette Feb 1; Red Storm is 5-3 in last eight series games, winning two of last three visits here. Big East home favorites of 8+ points are 12-8-1 vs spread this season.

Illinois lost its last three home games, by 14-9-13 points, but they did win last two road games; Illini upset Northwestern in Evanston 68-61 two weeks ago, outscoring Wildcats 12-2 over last 3:10. Illinois won four of last six series games but lost two of last three here- road team is 5-3 in last eight series games. Northwestern has Lindsey back; he played 24:00 last game. Wildcats are 5-2 on Big 14 road- they’re 2-0 as road favorites and won last seven games that Lindsey played in. Big 14 home underdogs of 3 or less points are 8-4 vs spread this season.

Indiana lost its last four games and six of its last seven; Hoosiers are 1-5 on Big 14 road, with only win by 3 at Penn State- they’re 2-2 as road underdogs. Indiana won five of last six games with Iowa, winning last two visits here, by 4-3 points. Iowa lost its last three games; they’re 5-2 at home in conference, losing to Maryland/Illinois. Hawkeyes are 2-3 as home favorites. Indiana turns ball over 21.1% of time in Big 14 games, 2nd-worst in conference. Big 14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 12-11 vs spread this season.

Ole Miss lost last two road games; they’re 3-4 on road, 4-2 as a road underdog- they allowed 86 pts/game in last three games. Mississippi State lost four in row, eight of last ten games; they’re 3-4 SU at home, with losses by 10-7-4-5 points. Ole Miss was +11 in turnovers (19-8), +13 on boards in 88-61 home win over Miss State Jan 31; Rebels won six of last seven series games, winning by 6-6 points in last two trips to Starkville. SEC home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-12 against the spread this season.

Colorado State won/covered seven of last eight games, is 4-1 as a road underdog, with only road losses by 1 at Boise, 21 at Fresno. New Mexico split its last six games, is 2-5 as a home favorite, with home wins by 5-7-13-5 points (4-3 SU). New Mexico won 84-71 in chippy game at Colorado State Jan 14, when 5 of 7 Rams who played finished with four fouls. Lobos won six of last eight series games. Rams lost last eight games in The Pit, by 40-18-18-7-33-5-7-13 points. Mountain West home favorites of 3 or less points are 8-11 vs spread this season.

Fairfield turned ball over 23 times (-9) in 91-49 loss at Monmouth Jan 22; game was 50-24 at half. Hawks won last six series games, winning by 1-12 points in last two visits here. Fairfield won six of last eight games, four of last five at home- they’re 1-0 as home underdogs. Hawks won their last 13 games, six in row on road; they’re 3-5 as a road favorite, 2-4 vs spread in last six games overall. Monmouth holds conference opponents to 44% inside arc, best in MAAC. MAAC road favorites of 6 or less points are 14-10 vs spread this season.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : February 21, 2017 8:52 am
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NCAAB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Purdue at Penn State

Behind power forward Caleb Swanigan's 24 points, 15 rebounds and center Isaac Haas chipping in 18 points the Boilermakers throttled Michigan State 80-63 in their last effort cashing as 10 point home chalk. Playing their best basketball of the season the Boilermakers have won five consecutive games (4-0-1 ATS) and eight of its last nine on the hardwood (7-1-1 ATS) moving the record to 22-5 (16-7-1 ATS) overall, 11-3 (9-4-1 ATS) in conference play.

In their last game Penn State shotting only 39.7%, including 4 of 20 from 3-point range were taken behind the woodshed spanked 82-66 by Cornhuskers. Tony Carr (15.0), Lamar Stevens (13.0) were top performers in the loss. Nittany Lions are now 14-13 (13-10-1 ATS) on the campaign, 6-8 (7-6-1 ATS) vs the Big-Ten opponents.

In an earlier meeting at Mackey Arena the Boilermakers jumped to a big 15-2 early lead and never looked back crushing Nittany Lions 77-2 as 13 point home favorites. With the win, Boilermakers have now won 13-of- 15 meetings (9-6 ATS) including 4-2 (3-3 ATS) at Bryce Jordan Center the venue for Tuesday clash.

Boilermakers 15-4-2 ATS in their last twenty-one conference games, a cash stuffing 22-8-2 ATS its last 32 games have opened 8.0 road favorites for the contest.

 
Posted : February 21, 2017 9:08 am
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Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

South Carolina at Florida

Florida (22-5 straight up, 15-10 against the spread) will put its eight-game winning streak on the line Tuesday night at home vs. South Carolina. The Gators will be looking to avenge a 57-53 loss at South Carolina on Jan. 18 when they went 0-for-17 from 3-point range and 15-of-28 (53.6%) at the free-throw line. The Gamecocks took the cash as two-point home favorites, while the 110 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 135.5-point total. UF led by seven at intermission, but USC outscored it 36-25 in the second half. Sindarius Thornwell had 20 points and five rebounds for the winners, while Chris Silva added 11 points and seven boards. UF was paced by Canyon Barry and Kasey Hill with 13 and 11 points, respectively.

Mike White’s team has produced a 6-2 spread record during its eight-game winning streak. The Gators failed to cover the number in Saturday’s 57-52 victory over Mississippi St. as 10-point road ‘chalk.’ Playing without starting center John Egbunu for the first time since he sustained a season-ending ACL tear at Auburn last Tuesday, Kevarrius Hayes produced nine points, 10 rebounds and four blocked shots. Devin Robinson went scoreless but as he’ll need to do moving forward, he had a better presence on the glass with 10 rebounds. Chris Chiozza contributed 14 points, while KeVaughn Allen finished with 11 points.

As of late Monday night, most betting shops had Florida installed as a 9.5-point favorite. UF is 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS at home, going 1-0 ATS in its lone single-digit home favorite spot, an 88-66 win over Kentucky as a 1.5-point ‘chalk.’

The addition of Barry has been pivotal to UF’s turnaround this season. The grad transfer from College of Charleston paces the Gators in scoring (13.2 points per game) and the SEC in free-throw shooting (89.9%). Barry, who used the same granny-shot style utilized by his NBA Hall-of-Famer father Rick at the charity stripe, set a school-record with 42 consecutive FTs before missing one at Auburn last week. Allen (13.1 PPG) and Robinson are also scoring in double figures. Before going down, Egbunu was averaging 7.8 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.4 blocked shots per game.

UF ranks 11th in the nation at defending the 3-point line, forcing foes to convert on just 30.2 percent of their attempts from downtown. Credit their perimeter defense that starts with Hill, the lightning-quick senior guard who is averaging team-highs in steals (1.8 SPG) and assists (4.9 APG).

UF is No. 8 in the RPI Rankings and No. 13 in the Associated Press’s Top 25 poll. The Gators are 1-3 against the RPI Top 25, 5-5 versus the Top 50 and 14-5 against the Top 100. Their defeats have come at FSU, at South Carolina, at home vs. Vanderbilt and on neutral floors against Gonzaga and Duke. Florida’s best wins have come at home over Kentucky, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Georgia and Texas A&M. UF has beaten Miami, Seton Hall, Florida Gulf Coast, St. Bonaventure and Belmont on neutral court, while also winning at Arkansas, at Alabama, at Georgia and at Auburn.

South Carolina (20-7 SU, 10-12-2 ATS) has dropped three of its last four games outright and is in the midst of a 0-5 ATS slide. This slump has prompted USC to fall out of the AP Top 25. Frank Martin’s squad is No. 30 in the RPI, posting a 1-1 record against the Top 25, 3-4 versus the Top 50 and 11-6 against the Top 100. Three of the Gamecocks’ losses (vs. Seton Hall on a neutral court, at home vs. Clemson and at Memphis) came when Thornwell was serving a seven-game suspension.

Thornwell is probably the leading candidate for SEC Player of the Year honors. The senior forward is second in the SEC in scoring (20.2 PPG), first in steals (2.1 SPG), seventh in rebounding (7.0 RPG) and 19th in assists (2.7 APG).

South Carolina saw a four-game winning streak snapped at home vs. Alabama on Feb. 7 when it lost a four-overtime marathon by a 90-86 count as an eight-point home favorite. Since then, the Gamecocks won 77-73 at Mississippi State before losing 83-76 at home to Arkansas. Then on Saturday, they lost a 71-62 decision at Vanderbilt as two-point road favorites. Thornwell scored 21 points to go with six rebounds and three steals. P.J. Dozier finished with 15 points and seven rebounds, while Chris Silva was also in double figures with 14 points.

South Carolina’s best wins have come at home vs. Florida, vs. Monmouth (on a buzzer beater in OT), vs. Michigan, vs. Vermont, vs. Texas A&M, vs. Ole Miss, vs. Auburn and vs. Georgia. USC also has wins at Tennessee, at UGA and vs. Syracuse at Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

South Carolina owns a 6-3 SU record and a 4-4-1 ATS mark in nine true road assignments. The Gamecocks have been road underdogs four times, compiling a 1-2-1 spread record.

South Carolina is 16th in the nation in field-goal percentage defense (39.4%) and second in defending the 3-point line (28.5%).

The ‘under’ is 14-10-2 overall for the Gamecocks, but they’ve seen the ‘over’ go 7-2 in their last nine outings. They’ve seen the ‘under’ go 5-4 in their road outings.

The ‘under’ is 13-12 overall for the Gators, 4-4 in their home contests.

Florida has won seven in a row over South Carolina until losing 73-69 in overtime in Columbia last year. The ‘under’ is 4-1-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these SEC rivals.

Indiana at Iowa

Both teams are in the midst of disappointing campaigns. Iowa, with its 6-8 record in Big Ten play, is in a three-way tie for eighth place in the league, while Indiana is in an 11th-place tie with its 5-9 record. As of late Monday night, most spots had Iowa (14-13 SU, 9-14-1 ATS) favored by two points.

Iowa is No. 115 in the RPI, going 1-5 against the Top 25, 2-8 versus the Top 50 and 5-11 against the Top 100. The Hawkeyes have five quality wins – all at home – over Iowa St., Purdue, Michigan, Ohio St. and Nebraska.

Fran McCaffrey’s squad is 12-4 SU and 7-5 ATS at home. The Hawkeyes have been single-digit home favorites five times, posting a 2-3 record both SU and ATS.

Iowa saw its three-game winning streak snapped in a 101-89 double-overtime loss at Minnesota on Feb. 8. This was an unfathomable bad beat for Iowa backers like me, as the Gophers collected a miraculous cover as seven-point home ‘chalk.’ Since then, the Hawkeyes have lost twice more, including Saturday’s 70-66 loss to Illinois as 4.5-point home favorites. Peter Jok had 16 points, 10 rebounds and four assists in the losing effort. Tyler Cook added 14 points.

Iowa is led by Jok, the senior forward who is averaging team-highs in scoring (20.4 PPG) and rebounding (6.1 RPG). Cook (11.7 PPG) is the only other Hawkeye averaging in double figures.

Indiana (15-12 SU, 12-12-1 ATS) saw its season start to go south when sophomore forward O.G. Anunoby went down with a season-ending knee injury in late January. Since then, IU has lost six of eight games. Anunoby was averaging 11.1 points and 5.4 rebounds per game.

Tom Crean’s team has lost four in a row and six of its last seven, with the only win during this span coming at home over PSU in OT. IU is off of last Wednesday’s 75-74 loss at Minnesota when it covered the number as a five-point road underdogs at The Barn. The Gophers’ Akeem Springs hit the game-winning jumper with three seconds remaining. James Blackmon’s potential winner at the buzzer was off the mark to end a game that saw six ties and 10 lead changes. Blackmon had a team-best 22 points and six rebounds in the losing effort, while Juwan Morgan finished with 14 points and seven boards. Thomas Bryant had eight points and 10 rebounds.

Blackmon leads his team in scoring (17.0 PPG) and is draining 41.7 percent of his 3-pointers. Bryant (13.1 PPG) leads IU in rebounding (7.0 RPG), field-goal percentage (53.3%), steals (0.9 SPG) and blocked shots (1.4 BPG).

Indiana is No. 90 in the RPI, posting a 2-7 record against Top-25 opponents, a 3-8 mark against Top-50 foes and a 6-11 record versus the Top 100. The Hoosiers have home wins over North Carolina, Michigan State, Illinois and Penn State, in addition to a neutral-court scalp of Kansas way back on Nov. 11. They also won outright at PSU.

IU has lost six of its seven road games, going 2-4-1 ATS.

Indiana has won outright in five of the last six head-to-head meetings with Iowa.

The ‘over’ is 12-11-1 overall for the Hawkeyes, 7-6 in their home games.

The ‘over’ is 13-12-1 overall for IU, but the ‘under’ is 4-3 in its road assignments.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Maryland won’t have seven-foot, one-inch center Michael Cekovsky for the rest of the season after he sustained a broken ankle. In 17 games, Cekovsky was averaging 7.6 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.2 blocked shots per game.

Georgia will be without star junior power forward Yante Maten (sprained knee) for an indefinite period of time. Maten is third in the SEC in scoring (18.7 PPG), ninth in rebounding (6.9 RPG) and ninth in blocked shots. The Bulldogs return to the court Thursday at Alabama. The Crimson Tide spanked UGA in Athens last month.

Texas improved to 7-1 ATS when listed as an underdog of 8.5 points or more in last night’s 77-62 loss at West Virginia as a 15.5-point road underdog.

Like Texas, Oklahoma is going through a nightmare season. However, the Sooners haven’t disappointed their betting backers when listed as double-digit underdogs. Lon Kruger’s squad is 4-0-1 ATS when catching double digits. OU is a 12-point underdog tonight at Baylor. The Bears are mired in a 4-10 ATS slump in their last 14 contests. They’ve seen the ‘under’ go 7-2 in their last nine games. These Big 12 rivals will collide in Waco at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

LSU has lost 13 straight games and hasn’t tasted victory since winning at Missouri on Jan. 4. The Tigers, who are three-point home underdogs tonight vs. Auburn, are 1-5 ATS in their last six games. They’ve seen the ‘over’ cash at a remarkable 15-3 clip in their last 18 outings. Tip-off in Baton Rouge is set for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.

The ‘over’ is 11-2 in Clemson’s last 13 games. The Tigers are 2.5-point home underdogs tonight at Va. Tech. This game will tip at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

The basketball version of the Egg Bowl will take place tonight in Starkville, where Mississippi St. will host Ole Miss as a two-point home favorite at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. The Rebels have seen the ‘over’ hit in three games in a row and seven of their last nine. The Bulldogs are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, although we should note that they’ve taken the money in their last three outings.

Monmouth will take a 13-game winning streak into Fairfield tonight as a six-point road ‘chalk.’ King Rice’s squad hasn’t lost since Jan. 2. The Hawks, who are 23-5 overall, are No. 47 in the RPI Rankings.

 
Posted : February 21, 2017 9:10 am
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Trends to Watch - Tuesday
VegasInsider.com

Drain the Swamp

Florida is up to No. 12 in the rankings, and they host previously ranked South Carolina in Gainesville. The Gators have won eight in a row dating back to Jan. 21 when they fell to Vanderbilt. That was a two-game slide that started with a loss in Columbia against the Gamecocks, 57-53. The Gators will be looking for a little revenge. Since that two-game losing streak the Gators are 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS. Totals bettors are also interested in the Gators, as the 'under' has cashed in four of the past five and seven of the past 10, including the first installment of this series.

The Gamecocks are 1-3-1 ATS in their past five road games, 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning overall record and 0-5 ATS in their past five outings overall. On the flip side, the Gators are 20-7 ATS in their past 27 as a favorite, 10-4 ATS in their past 14 as a home favorite and 5-2 ATS in their past seven at home against a team with a winning road mark.

While recent trends appear to point to the Gators, South Carolina is 10-1 ATS in their past 11 trips to Gainesville, and the road team is 18-7-1 ATS in their past 26 meetings overall. The 'under' is also 4-1-1 in the past six meetings in this series. Tip-off is set for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN, and Florida is a 10-point favorite as of Tuesday morning.

Wichita Statement

In recent seasons we've grown accustomed to Wichita State being among the Top 25 teams in the nation, including 2014 when they were a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Shockers have taken the circuitous route to the rankings this season, debuting at No. 25 in both major polls thanks to a 10-game winning streak. They take on Evansville in their regular season home finale Tuesday.

These teams met Jan. 17 on the banks of the Ohio River in Evansville, with the Shockers dumping the Purple Aces by an 82-65 count as 11 1/2-point favorites. That victory kicked off Wichita State's 10-game winning streak, and they're 7-3 ATS during the impressive span. The Aces have been better lately, winning four of their past five outings and they're 5-1 ATS over the past six. The 'over' has also cashed in six of their past seven overall to gain the attention of total bettors. The Purple Aces have struggled on the road, however, going 4-11 ATS in their past 15 away from home. The Purple Aces are also 1-6 ATS in the past seven meetings in this series.

Six Shooters in A-10

There are six teams playing from the Atlantic 10 conference on Tuesday, and all teams have postseason aspirations in some shape or form.

The marquee battle in the A-10 features George Mason against Dayton, as the Patriots look to grab their 19th win of the season and try and make postseason magic again, while the Flyers look to keep on keeping on. Mason has been hot lately, going a perfect 6-0 ATS in their past six as an underdog, including 4-0 ATS in their past four as a road 'dog. They're 16-5 ATS in their past 21 against teams with an overall winning mark, and 4-0-1 ATS in their past five within the league.

For the Flyers, they're also impressive against the number lately, going 11-4 ATS in their past 15 overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall mark. However, they're just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. The 'over' has been the play for both sides lately, going 4-0 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning record, 5-1 in their past six as an underdog and 30-11 in their past 41 overall. The over has hit in seven in a row for Dayton, and 5-0 in their past five as a favorite. The over is also 4-0 in the past four in this series.

Rhode Island was expected to be much better this season, but they've been a Jekyll and Hyde club this season at 17-9 SU/12-13 ATS. URI will head to La Salle looking to repair an ugly road mark against the number. The Rams are just 6-19-1 ATS in their past 26 road games against a team with a winning home mark, and 4-21-1 ATS in their past 26 at home against teams with a home winning percentage over .600. The Explorers are 1-5 ATS in their past six as an underdog, and 1-4 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall record. The road team is 13-3-1 ATS in the past 17 in this series, with the Rams 7-0-1 ATS in the past eight trips to La Salle.

Must-See SEC

Kentucky heads to Missouri looking to stay on track. The Wildcats have won four in a row since a 22-game shellacking at Florida on Feb. 4. UK is 3-8 ATS in their past 11 as a favorite, and 1-5 ATS in their past six on the road. Mizzou is 3-0-2 ATS in their past five at home, and 4-1 ATS in their past five as an underdog. The Wildcats have covered five of the past six in this series.

Louisiana State hosts Auburn, and they look to derail their rivals. Neither team has been very good against the number lately, as LSU is 1-5 ATS in their past six overall and 0-7 ATS in their past seven at home. Auburn is 3-19-1 ATS in their past 23 as a road favorite. However, Auburn is 10-1 ATS in their past 11 trips to Baton Rouge, and the road team has cashed in each of the past six in this series.

Mississippi and Mississippi State square off for the second time this season, and the Rebels hope things go the same way they did the first time. Ole Miss pounded their rivals 88-61 as five-point favorites in Oxford back on Jan. 31, now they'll renew acquaintances in Starkville. The Rebels have covered four in a row in the series, but they're just 3-8 ATS in their past 11 trips at Mississippi State. The 'under' has hit in six of the past eight meetings.

 
Posted : February 21, 2017 9:11 am
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