NCAAB betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, February 20th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NCAAB Knowledge
Florida State lost its last two games (both on road) but is 7-0 at home in ACC (6-1 as a home favorite) with last two home wins by 48-24 points. Home side covered 10 of their last 12 games. FSU won its last five games with Boston College, winning last five games played in Tallahassee, by 3-15-16-3-9 points. BC lost its last ten games, is 4-2 as a road underdog, losing away games by 13-11-23-1-6-11 points. Eagles haven’t played in six days; FSU lost at Pitt Saturday. ACC home favorites of 15+ points are 1-7 vs spread this season.
Virginia lost three in row, five of its last seven games after a 16-3 start; Cavaliers are 3-3 as a home favorite, with home losses to Florida St/Duke. UVa is 18-75 on arc in its last four games. Miami won six of its last eight games; they’re 2-1 vs spread as a road underdog, with road losses by 15-17-12-5 points, with wins at Pitt/NC State. Virginia won four of last five games with Miami, winning last four played here, by 18-1-25-8 points. These two teams (along with Pitt) play slowest tempo games in ACC. ACC home favorites of 9+ points are 12-16 vs spread.
Georgia State lost its last three games by total of 7 points, but is 5-2 at home in Sun Belt, 3-3 as a home favorite, with home wins by 1-20-11-3-14 points. GSU won five of seven Sun Belt games with Texas State, but they lost 63-61 to the Bobcats in LY’s Sun Belt tourney. TSU lost two of three visits here, losing by 27-3 points. Texas State won five of its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they’re 4-2 as a road underdog, with road losses by 5-15-3 points. Sun Belt home favorites of 7+ points are 10-12-1 vs spread this season.
Senior Night for Georgia State team that is 8-0 at home in Sun Belt, with five home wins by 5 or less points. Eagles are 3-4 SU in last seven games; they’re 1-3 vs spread as an underdog this season. Tex-Arlington won four in row, eight of last nine games; they’re 3-3 on Sun Belt road, winning by 6-16-1 point- they’re 3-2-1 as a road favorite. Home side won all four Sun Belt meetings between Tex-Arlington/GSU; Mavericks lost 76-64/82-73 in last two visits here. Sun Belt road favorites of 5 or less points are 5-8-1 vs spread this season.
Troy won its last three games, by 12-1-9 points; they’re 3-3 at home in conference, 2-2 as a home favorite, with home wins by 22-7-9 points. Appalachian State won three of its last four games, is 3-3 at home in Sun Belt. ASU is 4-0 in Sun Belt games with Troy, winning 69-64/75-71 in two visits here. Troy makes 39% on arc in Sun Belt games, #2 in league; ASU has 2nd-worst 3-point defense in league. Trojans have overall worst defense in conference. Sun Belt home favorites of 7+ points are 13-17-1 vs spread this season.
Coastal Carolina is 2-5 on Sun Belt road, 2-5 as a road underdog, with losses by 21-20-11-10-9 points, with wins at Texas St/Little Rock. Home team covered 10 of their last 12 games. South Alabama won four of its last six games, is 3-1 as a home favorite- faves covered five of their Sun Belt home games. Sun Belt home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-7 vs spread. These teams are meeting for first time as Sun Belt rivals.
Texas lost its last three games, by 13-4-3 points; they’re 4-3 as road underdogs, losing all seven road games, five by 9+ points. West Virginia split pair of OT games last week; they’re 3-4 as a home favorite, with home wins by 12-21-16-19-9 points, with home losses to Oklahoma, Okla State. WV won 74-72 at Texas Jan 14, game they trailed by 6 in with 10:35 left, just third win for WV in last nine series games. Longhorns won two of last three visits here. Double digit home favorites are 2-12-1 against the spread in Big X games this season.
Texas Tech lost six of its last eight games but covered last five; Red Raiders are 5-2 in big X home games, with three of seven home tilts decided by a single point. Iowa State won/covered its last three games; they’re 4-3 on Big X road; underdogs covered six of those seven games. ISU beat Texas Tech 63-56 at home Dec 30, after trailing by 14 with 13:27 left; Cyclones are 6-2 in last eight series games, but lost three of last four visits to Lubbock- home sides won nine of last 11 series games. Big X home favorites of 3 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.
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NCAAB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Texas at West Virginia
Longhorns (10-17, 14-12 ATS) journey to Morgantown Monday for a BIG-12 college hoops matchup with Mountaineers (21-6, 12-10 ATS).
Offensively, Longhorns lead by Jarrett Allen (13.2) and two other player in double digits net 68.8 points/game hitting 44.4% of their shots. On the defensive side of the ball the Longhorns are allowing 69.0 per/contest on 42.2% from the field, 31.6% from long range. Life on the road in Big-12 play has not been easy for Longhorns. In eight attempts this season the result has been eight straight losses but, a profitable 5-3 record against the betting line.
The Mountaineers no slouches when it comes to scoring (85.6) are one of the best at keeping the ball out of their own basket giving up just 66.8 points/game on 42.2% from the field, 35.2% from long range. Mountaineers have a 14-2 stretch overall in front of the home audience, however covering hasn't been automatic money in Morgantown with the school 5-6 ATS in line games including 3-5 ATS hosting a conference rival.
Home court will play a big part in West Virginia winning this contest. But, Mountaineers squandering a 14-point lead in the final 2:58 minutes of regulation Monday before losing in overtime at Kansas, then surviving another late-game meltdown Saturday in topping Texas Tech in double OT can't be trusted covering the huge allotment of points.
It takes a certain determination to back Longhorns on the road but those with resolve could be rewarded. That's because Mountaineers have struggled at the betting window laying double digits at home vs the conference (0-5 ATS) and are a money-guzzling 1-8 ATS running the hardwood vs Longhorns. Another nod towards Longhorns, they're on a 5-0 ATS streak handed 12 or more points in unfriendly territory.
Monday's Tip Sheet
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Presidents’ Day offers up a couple of marquee college basketball matchups in the ACC and the Big 12 as part of ESPN’s special Big Monday presentation. The early game sends the ACC’s Miami Hurricanes on the road to face N. 14 Virginia in a 7:00 p.m. (ET) tip. Later that night in the Big 12, the Texas Longhorns travel east all the way to Morgantown to square off against the No. 9 West Virginia Mountaineers.
Miami Hurricanes at No. 14 Virginia Cavaliers
Opening Odds: Virginia -10, 117.5
Betting Matchup
Miami improved to 6-2 straight-up in its last eight games with Saturday’s 71-65 victory against Clemson as a 3½-point home favorite. The Hurricanes (18-8 SU) are now 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 outings as part of an overall record of 9-16 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games.
Senior forward Kamari Murphy scored a career-high 15 points in Saturday’s win and the Hurricanes’ leading scorer this season, senior guard Davon Reed ended the game with 14 points. He is averaging 15.7 points per game while shooting 44.9 percent from the field. Junior guard Ja’Quan Newton is the team’s second-leading scorer with 15 PPG, but he remains out of the lineup serving a team-imposed three-game suspension.
The Cavaliers scored a season low 41 points in a lopsided 24-point loss to North Carolina on Saturday as 6½-point road underdogs. Their third loss in a row (SU and ATS) dropped them to 8-6 SU in ACC play and 18-8 overall. Virginia (15-10 ATS) has now failed to cover in four of their last five games. The total stayed UNDER the closing 129½-point line against the Tar Heels and it has stayed UNDER in six of its last nine games.
The Cavaliers shot a dismal 27.8 percent from the field in that game going just 2-for-20 from three-point range. Senior guard London Perrantes ended the game with 12 points while going 3-for-10 from the floor. He continues to lead Virginia in scoring with 12.6 PPG. The Cavaliers have averaged just 58 PPG during this current slide.
Betting Trends
The Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight Monday games, but they have failed to cover in their last eight games following an ATS win. The total has gone OVER in nine of their last 12 games played on Monday.
The Cavaliers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games at home and they have gone 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record.
Head-to-head in this ACC tilt, the favorite has covered in the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven games between the two.
Texas Longhorns at No. 9 West Virginia Mountaineers
Opening Odds: West Virginia -16, 143
Betting Matchup
The Longhorns’ current losing streak (SU and ATS) reached three games with Saturday’s 64-61 setback against Kansas State as two-point home underdogs. They are now 4-10 in Big 12 play and 10-17 SU (14-12 ATS) overall. The total stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games.
Freshman forward Jarrett Allen scored 12 points in Saturday’s loss and senior guard Kendal Yancy added a team-high 13 points off the bench. Allen has led Texas in scoring this season with 13.2 PPG as part of a team scoring average of 68.6 points that is well down the list in Division I play. The Longhorns are allowing an average of 69 points at the other end of the court.
It took double overtime to get past Texas Tech, but the Mountaineers prevailed in Saturday’s 83-74 victory as 10-point home favorites. West Virginia (21-6 SU, 14-10 ATS) is 6-2 SU in its last eight games while going 5-3 ATS. The total went OVER 142½ points in Saturday’s win and it has gone OVER in 11 of its last 14 games.
Junior guard Jevon Carter scored a season-high 24 points in that game. He continues to lead a trio of players averaging at least 10 points with 12.2 PPG. The Mountaineers are shooting 47.1 percent from the field this season while averaging 85.6 PPG. That is the 10th-highest scoring average in the nation. Defensively, they are giving up 66.8 points a game.
Betting Trends
The Longhorns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a SU winning record and they have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games on the road.
The Mountaineers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine home games.
The home team in this Big 12 clash has covered ATS in six of the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings. West Virginia squeaked past Texas 74-72 in the first meeting this season on Jan. 14 as an 11-point road favorite.
NCAAB Game of the Day: Miami at Virginia
By Covers.com
Miami-Florida at Virginia (-9.5, 117.5)
Two teams with identical records that are trending in opposite directions meet in a key ACC clash Monday as Miami (Fla.) visits struggling Virginia. The Hurricanes have won two straight and four of five after Saturday’s 71-65 victory over Clemson while 15th-ranked Virginia has dropped three straight and five of the past seven contests.
“We know every game is crucial at this time,” Miami senior forward Kamari Murphy, who scored a career-high 15 on Saturday, told reporters. “With guys out, our guys’ motto in the locker room has been to ‘find a way.’ Everybody’s stepping up.” Second-leading scorer Ja’Quan Newton (15.0) will miss his third straight game for violating team rules as the Hurricanes start a stretch in which they play three of four on the road. The Cavaliers lead the nation in scoring defense (55.8 ), but are giving up 66.2 per game over the last five – primarily due to their shooting woes on the other end. “Offensively, we’ve struggled,” Virginia coach Tony Bennett told reporters Saturday. “It’s no mystery we don’t score a ton inside, so when we’re missing some perimeter shots – some were pretty good shots – that puts a lot of pressure on us defensively.”
LINE HISTORY: Virginia opened as 10-point home favorites but that number was bet down to -9.5 by Monday morning. The total hit the board at 118.5 and was dropped a full point to 117.5. Check out the complete line history here.
INJURY REPORT:
Miami - G Ja'Quan Newton (Elig Sat, suspension).
Virginia - F Jeff Jones (Out For Season, academics).
ABOUT MIAMI (18-8 SU, 8-16 ATS, 9-14-1 O/U): The Hurricanes are not a deep team as it is, and without Newton that makes the hard work required on the defensive end even more difficult. “Part of the key for us is being able to hold people under 70,” coach Jim Larranaga told reporters Saturday. “If we can do that and do some good things offensively, then we have a good chance.” Senior guard Davon Reed leads the team in scoring (15.7) and 3-point field goals (67, 41.4 percent) while freshman guard Bruce Brown (11.4 points, 6.2 rebounds, 3.5 assists) has been productive.
ABOUT VIRGINIA (18-8 SU, 14-10 ATS, 8-15-1 O/U): The Cavaliers have found ways to win games without boasting several productive scorers and it may be starting to catch up with them. Senior guard London Perrantes (12.6) is the only player scoring in double figures - after averaging 15.2 in the last six contests - while leading the team in assists (3.8 ) and junior guard Marial Shayok (9.7) is next. Junior forward Isaiah Wilkins tops the team in rebounding (6.3) and freshman guard Kyle Guy is third in the league in 3-point shooting (46.6) despite missing all three attempts against North Carolina.
TRENDS:
* Hurricanes are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
* Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.
* Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
CONSENSUS: 65 percent of users are siding with the road underdog Miami Hurricanes and as of Monday morning there were no selections of the total.