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NCAAB March Madness Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 3/23/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : March 23, 2023 9:49 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NCAA Tournament
Michigan State vs Kansas State (@ MSG)
— Michigan State (21-12) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #107
— Michigan State won seven of its last ten games.
— Last 20 years, Michigan State is 6-3 in Sweet 16 games.
— Spartans have #69 eFG% defense in country.
— Spartans are 9-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan State is 5-8 vs teams ranked in top 40.
— Michigan State’s schedule, to this point: #5
— bench minutes: #248
— Michigan State’s best win: 69-60 over #11 Marquette

— Kansas State (25-9) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #316
— K-State won six of its last eight games.
— K-State allowed 76+ points in seven of its nine losses.
— Last 20 years, Wildcats are 2-0 in Sweet 16 (2010/2018)
— K-State is 8-6 vs teams ranked in top 40.
— Wildcats force turnovers 20.8% of time (#52)
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #21
— bench minutes: #324
— K-State’s best win: 116-103 at #5 Texas.

— This is the first #3-7 matchup in this round in four years.
— Last 10 years, #7-seed is 3-2 vs #3-seed in this round.

Arkansas vs UConn (@ Las Vegas)
— Arkansas (22-13) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #263
— Continuity: #333
— Arkansas won three of its last four games.
— Arkansas was in Elite 8 each of last two years.
— Hogs have #24 eFG% defense in country.
— Hogs are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#63)
— Arkansas is 5-6 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Arkansas’ schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #297
— Arkansas’ best win: 72-71 over #9 Kansas.

— UConn (21-14) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #248
— UConn won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Huskies beat two mid-majors (Iona/Saint Mary’s) to get here.
— UConn is 1-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— UConn is in Sweet 16 since 2014, when Kevin Ollie was coach.
— Hurley is 2-3 in NCAA games; this is his first Sweet 16.
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #216
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #2 Alabama

— Last 15 years, #8-seeds are 3-3 SU in Sweet 16 games.
— Last five years, #4-seeds are 3-9 SU in Sweet 16, 1-2 if favored.

Florida Atlantic vs Tennessee (@ MSG)
— Florida Atlantic (33-3) ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #24
— FAU won its last nine games.
— FAU gave up 80-86-74 points in its three losses.
— Owls split pair of games vs SEC TY (loss to Ole Miss/beat Florida)
— Owls have #15 eFG% defense in country, #25 eFG% offense
— FAU is 7-1 against top 100 teams.
— FAU’s schedule, to this point: #125
— bench minutes: #15
— FAU’s best win: 50-46/66-62 over #32 North Texas

— Tennessee (25-10) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #278
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #114
— Last 14 games: 0-7 if they allow 60+ points, 7-0 if they allow less than 60
— Tennessee won five of its last seven games.
— Last 20 years, Vols are 1-5 in Sweet 16 games.
— Since 1997, Barnes is 3-4 in Sweet 16 games (0-1 since ’08)
— Barnes is 3-17 ATS in his last 20 NCAA tourney games.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #38
— bench minutes: #29
— Tennessee’s best win: 68-59 over #2 Alabama

— Will refs let Tennessee play as aggressively as they did vs Duke?
— Last five years, #4-seeds are 3-9 SU in Sweet 16, 1-2 if favored.

Gonzaga vs UCLA (@ T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas)
— Gonzaga (30-5) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #44
— Continuity: #18
— Gonzaga won its last eleven games.
— Last 7 tournaments, Gonzaga is 4-3 in Sweet 16 games.
— Zags are shooting 58.7% inside arc (#2), 38.4% on arc (#10)
— Zags have #245 eFG% defense.
— Gonzaga is 0-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #314
— Gonzaga’s best win: 100-90 over #2 Alabama

— UCLA (31-5) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #150
— UCLA won 11 of its last 12 games.
— Since 2009, Bruins are 1-4 in Sweet 16 games.
— In his career, Cronin is 1-2 in Sweet 16 games.
— UCLA forces turnovers 23.4% of time (#11)
— Bruins are 31-5 this year, but 2-3 in T-Mobile Arena
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #237
— UCLA’s best win: 82-73 over #10 Arizona.

— Gonzaga beat UCLA 93-90 in OT in national semi-finals two years ago.
— Last eight years, favorites are 4-4 ATS in #2-3 seed games in this round.
— Last 10 years, #2-seeds are 7-4 SU vs #3-seeds in this round
— Both teams played their conference tournament in Las Vegas two weeks ago.

 
Posted : March 23, 2023 9:52 am
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