Matt Severance
ARKANSAS @ GONZAGA | 03/24 | 7:09 PM EDT
ARKANSAS +10
ANALYSIS: Now that this has risen to 10, I'm going to jump as I don't see it getting higher and in fact may go back down to -9.5. The Zags have looked very beatable in their first two games, and the Hogs have a big man who can potentially get Gonzaga freshman string bean Chet Holmgren (and/or Drew Timme) in foul trouble in sophomore forward Jaylin Williams, who has double-doubled in each NCAA Tournament game. Gonzaga has really struggled from the free-throw line in the Big Dance, while Arkansas is shooting 81.2 percent from the charity stripe over the past eight games. I'm definitely not saying Arkansas will win, but it's 4-1 vs. ranked teams this season, including a win over a No. 1 (Auburn).
+2189 99-70-4 IN LAST 173 CBB ATS PICKS
WASHINGTON @ MILWAUKEE | 03/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
WASHINGTON +13
ANALYSIS: The Wizards stink, but we'll take nearly two TDs with the Bucks ruling out both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton. Sounds like a punt game for Milwaukee -- which probably still wins by about 10. This spread will drop.
+1966 74-41-1 IN LAST 116 NBA PICKS
DALLAS @ CAROLINA | 03/24 | 7:00 PM EDT
CAROLINA -220
ANALYSIS: Here's another one where the price is silly, but the Stars are giving newly acquired Scott Wedgewood the start in net, and he's just not good. Dallas can't play Jake Oettinger every single game and backup Braden Holtby is injured. Max Domi is expected to make his Carolina debut. He posted 32 points in 53 games with the Blue Jackets before the trade. I'll probably play this with the Islanders.
FLORIDA @ MONTREAL | 03/24 | 7:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +1.5
ANALYSIS: Have to take the Habs at plus-money (+110) on the puckline at home. The team is 1-2 since netminder Jake Allen returned from injury but both losses were in overtime and that would be just fine here. Cats backup Spencer Knight goaltender has been better of late than he was early in the season but still is more than capable of a terrible game. Anton Lundell (28 points) and Aaron Ekblad (57 points) are both out for Florida.
DETROIT @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 03/24 | 7:30 PM EDT
N.Y. ISLANDERS -220
ANALYSIS: I'm really getting tired of betting the NHL because the books just aren't giving us any value. I've been obliterated the past two nights on home losses as massive favorites by Calgary and Colorado, but what am I supposed to do with limited options? I do usually back the Isles at home when Ilya Sorokin is in net, and he is here. He's 11-3-3 with a 1.81 GAA at home. The Wings have just ruled out Filip Zadina (20 points) and Givani Smith (seven points).
+944 25-9 IN LAST 34 NHL PICKS
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Micah Roberts
TEXAS TECH @ DUKE | 03/24 | 9:39 PM EDT
OVER 137
ANALYSIS: Duke has gone Over the total in 12 of its last 15 games, and while Texas Tech has one of the best defenses in the nation, the Blue Devils' defense will allow the Red Raiders to reach their season average of 72 points. Duke averages an 80-66 score. Texas Tech will try and slow down the Blue Devils, but they have been dictating pace terms lately. Take the Over.
MICHIGAN @ VILLANOVA | 03/24 | 7:29 PM EDT
OVER 135
ANALYSIS: Michigan plays its best when it sets a faster tempo, and the Wolverines have everything cooking right now. They're playing well, playing fast, and it’s how they’ve been able to take control against better teams – they've gone over the total in the last five games as underdogs. They’ve gone over in the last four overall and eight of the last 11. Villanova can play any style, and the Wildcats play along and they’re also No. 1 in the nation making free throws (82.5%). Every point counts. Just the over.
+2346 48-22 IN LAST 70 CBB PICKS
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Jeff Hochman
HOUSTON @ ARIZONA | 03/24 | 9:59 PM EDT
ARIZONA -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Wildcats played the tougher schedule and I think that matters more in the Sweet 16. I see numerous advantages for the Wildcats. Arizona has a lot of experience against really good defensive teams this season. The Wildcats are 9-1 against teams that allow 64 points or less. Houston has very little experience against good offensive teams this season. Houston is 1-1 against teams that average 77 or more points. Take Arizona.
+90 2-1-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS
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Max Gorenstein
ARKANSAS @ GONZAGA | 03/24 | 7:09 PM EDT
ARKANSAS +9.5
ANALYSIS: Yes, this line is skewed because of the Bulldogs struggles in the first two rounds. I still think the line is too high. The Razorbacks also struggled in their first two games, both against slow paced teams. The Bulldogs play at one of the fastest paces in the nation. The Razorbacks are comfortable playing at a fast pace. They should keep this game close enough to cover this spread.
+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB ATS PICKS
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Mario Rojas
624 Arizona over 145
10 St. Louis -1.5 +100
627 Arkansas +9.5
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Dionne D'Amico
5* Sweet 16 High Roller
Houston +1.5 (#623)
Winning games certainly shows how good you are. But if you look very closely it can also show your flaws. In their overtime win and no cover against TCU on Sunday, Arizona certainly had issues on the offensive boards. Houston is one of the best in the nation on the glass at both ends of the court. On the defensive side, they rank 20th in college basketball. They have the size, the strength, and the speed to not just frustrate the Wildcats, but also dominate on the boards. Furthermore, they also have a ton of experience come the month of March. If you recall they went to the Final Four just last year. Forwards, White Jr. and Carlton match up well with big men, Tubelis and Koloko. They are just as big and just as strong. But they also are significantly quicker. This poses a big problem for the Wildcats.
Houston won’t be intimidated here at all as they have stepped out of their conference this season, playing and beating some very big-name foes. And in those matchups against bigger conference opponents, their defense swarmed, frustrated, and overcame many talented offenses. They enter this matchup knowing they have won all five of their postseason games. And for our purposes, have also covered all five of those post-season matchups. The Wildcats are 4-11 against the spread the last 15 games played on neutral sites and 0-4 against spread the last four NCAA Tournament games. The Cougars are 12-3 against the spread the last 15 games played as an underdog and 25-9 against the spread the last 34 games played on neutral sites.
Play Houston.
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Paul Stone
Arkansas
Michigan
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WUnderdog
NCAA
Michigan/Villanova 135.5 Under
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Goodfella
3* Houston +2 -115
EDIT: This is his Free pick
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