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(@shazman)
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Thursday 3/17/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games

 
Posted : March 14, 2022 6:16 pm
(@shazman)
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PAUL STONE

Arkansas
Murray State
Rutgers
Texas A&M CC
South Dakota St
Virginia Tech
Loyola Chicago
TCU
__________________

Potato Kmish

USF -1
San Diego St -1.5
__________________

BRAD POWERS

New Mexico St
San Diego State
Iowa State
Chattanooga
Belmont
Iona
Michigan
Colgate
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Posted : March 14, 2022 6:17 pm
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Youngstown Connection

#742 Providence -2 1240PM Eastern
#738 San Diego St -2 725PM Eastern
#731 San Francisco +1.5 940PM Eastern
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Joe Gavazzi

6% Providence -2
6% Arkansas -5
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Joe Gavazzi

6% Providence -2
6% Arkansas -5
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Pickswise Sports

CBB 3* Best Bets (89-72 Overall)
Boise State
Gonzaga
Murray State [ML]
__________________

ZITI Sports
COLLEGE HOOPS
Tennessee -18 -110 Longwood (2:45 PM)
Iowa -10.5 -110 Richmond (3:10 PM)
Murray State -2 -110 San Francisco (9:40 PM)
Michigan vs. Colorado State UNDER 137 -110 (12:15 PM)

NHL
Washington Capitals -190 Columbus Blue Jackets (7:05 PM)
Florida Panthers -125 Vegas Golden Knights (10:35 PM)
Buffalo Sabres vs Edmonton Oilers OVER 6.5 -115 (9:05 PM)

SOCCER OVER SYSTEM
UEFA - Europa Conference League- FC Copenhagen vs. PSV Eindhoven OVER 2.5 -168 (1:45 PM) (2 BOXES OF ZITI)
UEFA - Europa Conference League- Feyenoord vs. Partizan Belgrade OVER 2.5 -166 (4:00 PM)
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Andy Lang

Valspar Championship

4% Alex Noren Top Swedish (-120)
3% Viktor Hovland Top 20 (-140)
2% Winning Margin 1 Shot Exactly
2% Shane Lowry TOP 40
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Posted : March 17, 2022 8:09 am
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Greg Peterson

Arkansas -5 vs Vermont

Richmond +10.5 vs Iowa

South Dakota State +2 vs Providence

San Diego State -2 vs Creighton

Longwood +18.5 vs Tennessee

Updated Record 324-273-14
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Bob Balfe:

College Basketball

12:15 PM EST
Rotation #727
Michigan -1 over Colorado State (side and total)
Michigan/Colorado State Over 137

College Basketball
1:45 PM EST
Rotation #745
Memphis -3 over Boise State

College Basketball
3:10 PM EST
Rotation #740
Iowa -10.5 over Richmond

College Basketball
9:20 PM EST
Rotation #721
Vermont +5 over Arkansas
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The Winners Circle – Thursday Sports Plays

NBA BASKETBALL
Play Detroit +4 over Orlando

NCAA BASKETBALL
Play Providence -2 over South Dakota State
Play Boise State +2.5 over Memphis
Play Tennessee -17 over Longwood
Play Gonzaga -23.5 over Georgia State
Play New Mexico State +6.5 over Connecticut
Play Kentucky -18 over St. Peter's
Play Creighton +2.5 over San Diego State
Play Murray State -1.5 over San Francisco
Play Kansas -21.5 over Texas Southern

NHL HOCKEY
Play Washington -200 over Columbus
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Ben Burns

3 UCLA -13
3 Texas -1
3 Zaga over 148

2 Mich under 140
2 Fresno -12.5
2 Nova -15
2 Oh St +1.5
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Root

Contrarian— San Diego St -2.5
Chairman — Providence-2.5
Reserve— Boise St +3
Gold Standard— North Carolina -3.5
Pinnacle— Murray St -2.5
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Posted : March 17, 2022 9:50 am
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kelso

personal best
100 kentucky

best bets
indiana
creighton
murray st
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TMT Sports

(Yesterday 1-1) (-$200) (50%)
(Madness 3-1) (+$5,800) (75%)
(Regular Season CBB 210-164) (+$101,300) (56%)

2k Memphis -3 (1:45 pm)
4k Iowa Under 150.5 (3:10 pm)
4k Kentucky Over 131.5 (7:10pm)
4k Indiana +2.5 (7:20pm)
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Pickswise Sports
Adds

CBB 3* Best Bets - Here is everything
Boise State
Gonzaga
St Peter's/Kentucky Over
St Mary's (ML)
San Diego State (ML)
Murray State (ML)

NHL 3* Best Bet
Florida Panthers
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Adam Trigger:

4% Marq

4% New Mex St
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Andrew Jett

CBB
Memphis [ML]
Tennessee
Akron
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Brett Nault

CBB
Michigan [ML]
Iowa
Georgia State
Indiana
Eastern Washington
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Randy Chambers

CBB
Baylor
Iowa
UConn
Murray State
Texas Southern
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Posted : March 17, 2022 11:04 am
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Dave Essler

3* Vermont
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RAS

Eastern Washington/Fresno St. OVER 131.5
Providence -2
1H Norfolk St/Baylor OVER 64
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Al McMordie

NCAA HIGH NOON HANGING - Providence -1.5 -125
NCAA ELITE INFO! - Baylor -20.5 -105
NCAA TRIPLE PACK - KY -17.5 , SD St -2 , UCLA -13.5
73% NBA HIGH ROLLER - Orlando -3.5
SLAPSHOT CLUB - Carolina -105
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World Worst Picker

Colorado State
Boise State
ADDED

He takes Richmond

We take Iowa
__________________

Gianni

Early Update

CBB
To Win 2021-22 NCAABB National Championship:
3% HOUSTON +2500
5% BAYLOR +1200
742) Providence -2 (-120) - Greater Value Betting the Money-Line at -147 or Less
728) Colorado St +2 (-115)

ATP Indian Wells
3% 8249) Carlos Alcaraz -250 vs C Norrie
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Strike Point Sports
College Basketball

7u Michigan -1.5
2u South Dakota State +2.5
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Drew Martin
Game: (747) Indiana U at (748) Saint Marys CA
Date/Time: Mar 17 2022 7:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Caesars
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 127.0 (-110)

Indiana Hoosers vs the St. Mary's Gaels primetime Thursday night from Portland, Oregon sets the stage for our first 5% Best Bet of the NCAA Tournament. St. Patricks day will hopefully get even greener come 10pm on the east coast as we are attacking this matchup from a totals standpoint with value under the total.

First Four to Final Four is what the Hoosiers are attempting to do just one year removed from UCLA's impressive run accomplishing the rare feat. After watching this Indiana defense stifle a very good Wyoming team that ranks similarly with St. Mary's and plays at a faster tempo. It is surprising to see the opening total at 127. The Gaels are one of the slowest tempo teams in the country, actually have only played in one game this calendar year with 70 possessions or more. St. Mary's also has the ninth best defensive effiency rating in the country.

The market is already starting to move, seeing 126.5 now and some of the sharper sports books moving lower. Two top 20 defenses, low possessions, neutral court, win or go home situation setting up for a solid under environment. Bet under- Let's cash!

4% at 124.5
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Prez

12-1 run.

4% REGULATION Vancouver Canucks -135. Good to -155
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Bobby Ligs

Game: (729) Longwood at (730) Tennessee
Date/Time: Mar 17 2022 2:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Tennessee -17.0 (-110)

5% play to -19
4% play to -20
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Posted : March 17, 2022 11:32 am
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Larry Hartstein

SAN FRAN. @ MURRAY ST. | 03/17 | 9:40 PM EDT
MURRAY ST. -1.5
ANALYSIS: It's a shame these dangerous mid-majors have to play in the Round of 64. I see Murray State (30-2) moving on. The Racers made a mockery of the Ohio Valley Conference, destroying top challenger Belmont by 22 and 33 points. The Racers also knocked off NCAA Tournament teams Memphis and Chattanooga. Led by 6-10 K.J. Williams (18.2 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 54.4 percent shooting), they're a complete team with experience and athleticism. The Dons are legit but could struggle with turnovers here, as Murray State forces turnovers 21 percent of the time. The money is coming in on Murray State -- for good reason.

S. DAK. ST. @ PROVIDENCE | 03/17 | 12:40 PM EDT
S. DAK. ST. +2.5
ANALYSIS: This isn't about how "lucky" Providence has been, because the Friars deserve full credit for winning close games en route to the Big East regular-season title. This is about a Jackrabbits team that's reminiscent of last year's Oral Roberts. South Dakota State shoots a nation-best 44.9 percent from beyond the arc, has won 21 straight and features the Summit Player of the Year in Baylor Scheierman. He was the only Division I player to lead his conference in both rebounding (7.8) and assists (4.6). And he averaged 16.2 points on 51.2 percent shooting. South Dakota State leads the nation in effective field-goal percentage and ranks 12th in offensive efficiency, per KenPom. Take the points.

VERMONT @ ARKANSAS | 03/17 | 9:20 PM EDT
ARKANSAS -5
ANALYSIS: Vermont boasts elite scorers in Ryan Davis (17.2 ppg) and Ben Shungu (16.2). As a team, the Catamounts shoot 49.4 percent, which ranks sixth nationally. They ran away with the America East championship game, 82-43 over UMBC. But this is a major step up in class. Arkansas enters on a 15-3 tear. The Razorbacks had tired legs in their SEC Tournament semifinal loss to Texas A&M, but that won't be the case Thursday. Look for Arkansas (16th in defensive efficiency per KenPom) to disrupt the Vermont attack and cover.

+2261 71-44-3 IN LAST 118 CBB ATS PICKS
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Jeff Hochman

VERMONT @ ARKANSAS | 03/17 | 9:20 PM EDT
VERMONT +5.5
ANALYSIS: I always like backing single-digit underdogs in the first round on long winning streaks. The Catamounts have won eight in a row. Schematically, Vermont is off the charts effective. Arkansas did not show up in losing 82-64 as a 6.5-point favorite against Texas A&M. I think Vermont can win outright. Take the points.
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Tom Fornelli

SAN FRAN. @ MURRAY ST. | 03/17 | 9:40 PM EDT
SAN FRAN. +2
ANALYSIS: Murray State is a fun team to watch, but it dominated a bad conference in which it was the biggest bad guy on the block. San Francisco is bigger, better, and has played a much more difficult schedule. I don't think Murray State will quite know how to handle a team that has this much of a size advantage against it.

RICHMOND @ IOWA | 03/17 | 3:10 PM EDT
UNDER 150.5
ANALYSIS: Iowa's defensive numbers for the entire season are not great, but the Hawkeyes have been much better on that end of the court for the last month, and this total hasn't quite caught onto that yet. Also, Richmond is one of the weaker teams in this tournament and it doesn't do anything particularly well other than not turn the ball over. Don't be surprised if Iowa builds a big lead and then takes its foot off the gas in the second half.

MEMPHIS @ BOISE ST. | 03/17 | 1:45 PM EDT
BOISE ST. +3
ANALYSIS: My original plan here was to take Memphis. It had been one of the better teams in the country over the last month until losing to Houston, and I thought I could take advantage of a bad line. Turns out, Memphis is now getting a little too much credit. The Tigers have the best player on the court in Jalen Duren, but they turn the ball over too much, and their subpar rebounding could haunt them against a big Boise team.

S. DAK. ST. @ PROVIDENCE | 03/17 | 12:40 PM EDT
S. DAK. ST. +3
ANALYSIS: Reality has to catch up to Providence at some point, right? The Friars have spent all season overperforming their numbers, and their defense will be tested against an exciting South Dakota State offense. The Jackrabbits are the best three-point shooting team in the country at 44.2% and love to get out in transition. It's a style the Friars don't see a lot of in the Big East, and I think it will cause them problems.

MICHIGAN @ COLO. ST. | 03/17 | 12:15 PM EDT
COLO. ST. +1.5
ANALYSIS: While I have legitimate concerns about Colorado State's ability to rebound in this matchup, I've seen too much of the Michigan defense this season to trust the Wolverines as favorites in this spot. I also have difficulty trusting a Michigan offense that goes through long cold spells like the one we saw against Indiana in the Big Ten Tournament. Also, it's possible that Colorado State has the best player in the game in David Roddy, so I'm taking the Rams to cover.
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Larry Hartstein

MARQUETTE @ N. CAROLINA | 03/17 | 4:30 PM EDT
MARQUETTE +3.5
ANALYSIS: The Tar Heels are explosive offensively, but Marquette is uniquely suited to defend them. The Golden Eagles held Big East opponents to 31.1 percent from beyond the arc and all opponents to 53 percent on attempts at the rim (29th nationally). Marquette finished on a downer, but this is the same team that knocked off Illinois, Villanova (twice) and Providence. UNC has few signature wins, a first-year coach, and a ton of expectations to deal with. Take the points.

+2442 75-46-3 IN LAST 124 CBB ATS PICKS
__________________

Matt Severance

RICHMOND @ IOWA | 03/17 | 3:10 PM EDT
RICHMOND +10.5
ANALYSIS: Yes, there can be such a thing as a letdown in the NCAA Tournament and that might be facing Iowa after winning the Big Ten Tournament. Richmond is playing with free money in a way -- if the Spiders hadn't won the Atlantic 10 Tournament, they wouldn't be here. Their defense was much improved in that tourney. Richmond is also a very veteran team and, for what it's worth, RU is 3-0 vs No. 5 seeds in the NCAA Tournament in school history. I don't think Richmond wins here, but now that it's up to +10.5 we'll take it.

S. DAK. ST. @ PROVIDENCE | 03/17 | 12:40 PM EDT
PROVIDENCE -135
ANALYSIS: Look, I get why South Dakota State is a popular pick here as the Jackrabbits are an amazing offensive team and haven't lost since Dec. 15. But who have they beaten all season? Exactly. Providence looked awful in its Big East Tournament loss to Creighton, but it was the regular-season champion for a reason and has many wins over quality opponents. It should be a huge pro-Friars crowd in Buffalo as well.

SAN FRAN. @ MURRAY ST. | 03/17 | 9:40 PM EDT
MURRAY ST. -1
ANALYSIS: This might be the most interesting matchup of Thursday, but I'm now favoring the Racers, who are 30-2 on the season and haven't lost since Dec. 22 at Auburn, because San Francisco big man and All-WCC first-team pick Yauhen Massalski will not play after reinjuring his knee in practice Monday. He averaged 13.5 points, 9.4 boards and 2.2 blocks per game and also had missed the WCC Tournament semifinal.

MICHIGAN @ COLO. ST. | 03/17 | 12:15 PM EDT
COLO. ST. +1.5
ANALYSIS: I was fully ready to pick Michigan to win this game, but the Wolverines have lost senior guard DeVante' Jones (10.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 4.6 apg) to a concussion. He's also an excellent free-throw shooter. Big loss, especially as the team wasn't prepared for it because it happened in practice Tuesday. Freshman Frankie Collins would be in line to make his first career start in Jones’ place. This spread has dropped one point with the news.

+1840 90-65-4 IN LAST 159 CBB ATS PICKS
__________________

Tim Doyle

MICHIGAN @ COLO. ST. | 03/17 | 12:15 PM EDT
COLO. ST. +2.5
ANALYSIS: Colorado State G David Roddy is the best player in college basketball you have never heard of. He’s built like a tight end, can dribble, pass and score. I called a Colorado State game this season, and they are more talented than the Wolverines. The Rams should be favored, not Michigan.

VERMONT @ ARKANSAS | 03/17 | 9:20 PM EDT
VERMONT +5
ANALYSIS: Nobody dares to put Vermont on their non-conference schedule because they are THAT good. The Catamounts will be playing close to home in Buffalo, and now the world will know how good they are. They win outright.

AKRON @ UCLA | 03/17 | 9:50 PM EDT
AKRON +14
ANALYSIS: UCLA should be favored, but this total is way too high. I call MAC games and Akron head coach John Groce has had tournament success before with Ohio University, and I believe he has two pros in Ali Ali and Enrique Freeman. This one will be close.
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Jimmy Adams

Game: (731) San Francisco at (732) Murray State
Date/Time: Mar 17 2022 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Murray State -125

Murray State has won 20 games in a row as they enter the NCAA Tournament. This is a team that can do some real damage and take out some top seeds. First the Racers must take down San Francisco, a WCC foe that’s had a solid year of their own. Murray State averages 79.3 points per game on 48.1% shooting. Like many teams that we like to bet on, they can score in a variety of ways. K.J. Williams leads this high octane offense by working down low. Justice Hill and Tevin Brown do most of the damage from beyond the arc. This is a team that’s only lost 2 games all season, and one of those was to Auburn. San Francisco is a team the lives and dies by the 3 ball. They struggle with turnovers, which is an area the Racers will be able to exploit. They also aren’t great at the free throw line which could be crucial if this game is close. Look for the Racers to show off their athleticism and come away with a big victory on Thursday. Take Murray State.
Line Parameter: 5% at -140 or lower, 4% at higher than -140
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Delphi Sports

NBA
3* #551 Detroit +4
__________________

Scott Spreitzer

5* St Peter's +17.5
3* Panthers -170
3* Lyon +130 Three Way Bet
3* Providence -3
3* Murray St -2
2* Indiana +2.5
__________________

IC

NCAAB -$10,340 (79-90)

5 Unit Play. #734. Take Under 132 Kentucky vs. St Peter (Thursday @ 7pm est)

5 Unit Play. #748. Take St. Mary's -2.5 over Indiana (Thursday @ 7:20pm est)

5 Unit Play. #725. Take Over 152.5 Marquette vs. North Carolina (Thursday @ 4:30pm est)
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Posted : March 17, 2022 11:52 am
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Godfatherlocks march 17th picks

massive 10k unit picks
#1 - boise state broncos +3
#2 - michigan wolverines -2
#3 - creighton blue jays +2

huge 5k unit picks
#1 - south dakota st jackrabbits +2
#2 - vermont catamounts +5
#3 - murray state racers -2
__________________

Max Gorenstein

MARQUETTE @ N. CAROLINA | 03/17 | 4:30 PM EDT
N. CAROLINA -3.5
ANALYSIS: The Golden Eagles rode their hot start to make the tournament. They have been terrible recently. They are just 3-5 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games. The Tar Heels have been playing great as they are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. I am surprised that this spread is so low given how these teams are trending. The Tar Heels are going to dominate this game on the glass and easily cover this spread.

MICHIGAN @ COLO. ST. | 03/17 | 12:15 PM EDT
COLO. ST. 100
ANALYSIS: The Wolverines will be without starting guard DeVante’ Jones who has arguably been their best player in recent games. The Rams have the best player on the court with David Roddy who has been playing great all season and has only gotten better as the season progressed. He should be a big factor for the Rams on both sides of the ball. The Wolverines’ have been very inconsistent this season and they will struggle against a strong Rams team and lose this game. Back the Rams to advance to the Round of 32.

+344 6-4 IN LAST 10 CBB ML PICKS
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Chip Patterson

LONGWOOD @ TENNESSEE | 03/17 | 2:45 PM EDT
TENNESSEE -18
ANALYSIS: The first-ever appearance for Longwood in the NCAA Tournament comes with a tough opponent in an under-seeded Tennessee team. Playing in Indianapolis, the Vols should have good support from their large fan base and the team rolls in as one of the hottest sides in the country. Longwood is an excellent three-point shooting team on the season but not since a 33-point loss at Iowa on Nov. 9 have the Lancers played anyone close to Tennessee's level in terms of competition.

MEMPHIS @ BOISE ST. | 03/17 | 1:45 PM EDT
UNDER 133.5
ANALYSIS: If Boise State is going to win this game it needs to keep scoring down, because Memphis is going to be able to be able to win a back-and-forth contest with better high-end talent. The Broncos have shown the ability to dictate styles all season en route to Mountain West regular season and tournament titles, and their size can help power the effort to make this a defensive battle.

MICHIGAN @ COLO. ST. | 03/17 | 12:15 PM EDT
COLO. ST. +1
ANALYSIS: Michigan being favored is a lot of respect for Michigan at its best, but I don't think that the Wolverines have been consistent enough to be trusted to live up to that rating. Colorado State can overcome its size disadvantage with an offense that spreads the floor, even going to small ball with Rams star 6-6 forward David Roddy as the de facto center. I could see this game getting a little loose with the better offense winning the game in the closing minutes, and the Rams just have better execution that makes up for the size and talent deficit.
__________________

Justin Perri

GEORGIA ST. @ GONZAGA | 03/17 | 4:15 PM EDT
GONZAGA -22.5
ANALYSIS: Yes, please keep lowering this number. I purposefully waited to give this one out because I had a good feeling about people taking the large number of points. There's a new win condition now at 23, so I'm laying it. Gonzaga is a different style of beast and while Georgia State does play good defense, it's Chet Holmgren and Drew Timme. It's too much to handle. This team routinely won games by 25+ all season and they're likely to put the other 63 teams on notice in their first contest, it's their title to lose. I like it to go big, I think there's lots of value on reverse alt lines, I'm sprinkling (0.1u) on -28.5 +175 type lines if you can find them.

RICHMOND @ IOWA | 03/17 | 3:10 PM EDT
RICHMOND +10
ANALYSIS: I'll bet on a letdown spot for the Hawkeyes here. They just dominated the Big Ten and while I do think they beat the Spiders, I like Gilyard and company to keep it close. This Richmond team is sneaky and effective. They stole a bid by winning their tournament for a reason. I like Richmond to play a to a dignified loss, I project 7.5 points when all is said and done with the late game fouls. Take the +10 and trust the Spiders to play it tight.

MICHIGAN @ COLO. ST. | 03/17 | 12:15 PM EDT
COLO. ST. +2.5
ANALYSIS: I like this Colorado State team a lot more than I do Michigan. The Wolverines look great on paper but their 17-14 record this season speaks volumes. They do come from a loaded Big Ten, but the Rams can hold their own. CSU is 25-5 on the season and David Roddy is having an insane year. He's scoring 19 points on 57.4% shooting and 45% from deep. I think this is going to be one of the best battles of Thursday. I'll take the points on the 6-seed against the 11, there's a lot of popularity bias here. Let's go Rams.

+766 22-13 IN LAST 35 CBB ATS PICKS
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Posted : March 17, 2022 12:12 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57723
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Executive
300 rich +10,
250 marq +4
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Gianni

Added

CBB
4% 1723) Over 65.5 (-115) Norfolk St-Baylor (1st Half)
3% 729) Longwood +18
__________________

Justin Perri

CREIGHTON @ SAN DIEGO ST | 03/17 | 7:27 PM EDT
CREIGHTON +2.5
ANALYSIS: The average team from the Big East is about 5 points better than the average team from the Mountain West. That's a decent gap, and competition during the season matters. In the last month SDST has only played 3 teams inside the top 50, Creighton has played 7. I watched Creighton beat Marquette in person, and the next day they trounced Providence. Losing the final to Villanova is nothing to be ashamed of. This Creighton team will challenge the Aztecs and keep it close in a defensive showdown. Take the points.

+766 22-13 IN LAST 35 CBB ATS PICKS
TUE 3/15

UAB @ HOUSTON | 03/18 | 9:20 PM EDT
UAB +8.5
ANALYSIS: There's going to be a big trend here with my first round picks. We will be taking the points more often than not. UAB is a top 50 team this season and should not be getting 8.5. They have a great offense and are one of the best three point teams in the country. Shooting matters and translates. I think Houston is going to be riding high off the Memphis win and potentially be a bit surprised by a the firepower of the Dragons. This one probably boils down to the Cougars playing to keep their season alive rather than cruising to a three possession win. Take the points.

+766 22-13 IN LAST 35 CBB ATS PICKS
TUE 3/15

MEMPHIS @ BOISE ST. | 03/17 | 1:45 PM EDT
BOISE ST. +2.5
ANALYSIS: I'm back fading Memphis again, I have Boise winning this game in my model's bracket so this is a gimme here getting 2.5 points. Boise has a top 20 defense and we just saw how Memphis did against a stout Houston side. I think the Tigers will be tested and ultimately fail against a Broncos team I've been high on since the start of the year. Boise is playing some of their best basketball of the year and should be able to move on to the next round. Take the 2.5 just in case it ends up being a close loss.

+766 22-13 IN LAST 35 CBB ATS PICKS
TUE 3/15

NORFOLK ST. @ BAYLOR | 03/17 | 2:00 PM EDT
NORFOLK ST. +21
ANALYSIS: I'm taking the points with the Spartans. Norfolk missed three weeks this year due to Covid-19 but since returning in mid January they've played well and lost just 2 of their last 17 games. I think this one finishes under 20 points, as a banged up Baylor team probably is just focused on getting to the second weekend and getting healthy. I also like that Norfolk has guys like Joe Bryant and Jalen Hawkins who were a part of last year's squad which beat Appalachian in a First Four game and got stomped by Gonzaga by 40. They're better this year and have the experience of being here. Meanwhile, Baylor only beat Hampton in the first round by 24 last year. I like this Norfolk squad as a 16 more than that Hampton team. Take the big number, it is March... you never know...

+766 22-13 IN LAST 35 CBB ATS PICKS
TUE 3/15
__________________

Chip Patterson

SAN FRAN. @ MURRAY ST. | 03/17 | 9:40 PM EDT
MURRAY ST. -2
ANALYSIS: Both of these teams have multiple wins against NCAA Tournament teams and in my opinion represent the best No. 7 and No. 10 seeds in the entire field. But San Francisco has to be docked with the loss of Yauhen Massalski, the team's best interior presence, ahead of a showdown with Murray State big man KJ Williams, the 6-foot-10 OVC Player of the Year who averages 18.2 points, 8.6 rebounds and hits 3s at a 41.1% clip.

YESTERDAY 10:41 PM

INDIANA @ SAINT MARY'S | 03/17 | 7:20 PM EDT
INDIANA +2
ANALYSIS: Indiana has beat three NCAA Tournament teams (Michigan, Illinois, Wyoming) since Saint Mary's played its last game, and the only loss in that stretch was a last second heartbreaker to Iowa, another NCAA Tournament team, in the Big Ten semifinals. When it comes to college basketball and the rest vs. rust debate I'll take the rhythm of the Hoosiers, who are very comfortable playing the kind of grinding, defensive battle that Saint Mary's usually prefers.

YESTERDAY 10:35 PM

RICHMOND @ IOWA | 03/17 | 3:10 PM EDT
IOWA -10.5
ANALYSIS: Richmond was on a heater through the Atlantic 10 tournament as it bowled over VCU, Dayton and Davidson on the way to punching its ticket to the NCAA Tournament. But Iowa has been on a heater since the start of February, and it's got the best player on the floor in Keegan Murray. The Hawkeyes have won 12 of their last 14 games outright and covered the spread in 8 of their last 10, and I think they add another cover to that run in a mismatch that deserves a point spread closer to those 2-15 or 3-14 matchups.

YESTERDAY 10:31 PM
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Posted : March 17, 2022 12:43 pm
(@shazman)
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10* San Jose Sharks +140
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NCAAB (4-0 run, 100-92 YTD)
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Murray State -1.5
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Posted : March 17, 2022 2:33 pm
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