Saturday 3/12/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games.
Gianni the Greek
UFC Fight Night
4% Karl Roberson +100 (4% up to -125)
3% Cody Brundage +115
3% Drew Dober -155
5% Karl Roberson +100 - 5% BIG MOVE = Up to -150 ML
1% Added on Fri (3-11) at -130 (UPGRADED to 5% BIG MOVE)
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Scott Spreitzer
5* Blackburn -130 - 3 way wager
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under2goals
Rumania Liga 1
CFR Cluj – FC Voluntari
Under 2
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suarez1x2
ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO
Forest Green – Bradford City
Forest Green -0.75
Odds : 1.95
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totalgoalsvip
German – Bundesliga II
SG Dynamo Dresden – St. Pauli
2 or 3 goals
Odds : 2.00
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Tomas Sports
Tottenham over 2.5
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Randy Chambers
NBA
Heat
Spurs
Bulls [ML]
Warriors
Nuggets
CBB
Iowa
Houston
Memphis
Creighton
Louisiana Tech
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Peter Tran
NBA
Jazz
Nuggets
Wizards
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Pickswise Sports
Saturday Soccer ⚽️ Picks
MLS 3* Best Bet - Portland [-125] (Moneyline 3 way pick)
MLS 2* Plays
Montreal +1.5 goals [-145]
Los Angeles FC/Inter Miami [-160] (Both Teams to Score YES)
Orlando City -1 goal [+120]
Kansas City [-115] (Double Chance Pick To Win or Tie)
CBB 3* Best Bet
Norfolk State
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Ralph Michaels
5% St. Peter’s -140 (Moneyline)
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Martin Green:
Manchester United vs. Tottenham (Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET)
Over 2.5 goals -130 (1 unit)
Harry Kane to score +175 (0.5 unit)
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Jon Eimer:
Juventus vs. Sampdoria (Saturday, 12 p.m. ET)
Juventus ML (1u -155)
Under 2.5 goals (1u +105)
Vlahovic ATGS (.5u +115)
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Greg Peterson
Arkansas -5 vs Texas A&M
Memphis vs SMU Over 139.5
Kansas -2 vs Texas Tech
San Diego State -2 vs Boise State
Arizona -1.5 vs UCLA
Updated Record 315-262-14
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Root
Contrarian— Davidson -3.5
Chairman — UAB -3.5
Reserve— Purdue-6.5
Gold Standard— Texas Tech +2
Pinnacle— UCLA +2
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Ben Burns
CBB
3 Purdue -5.5
3 Princeton -5.5
2 Vermont under 143.5
2 UCLA +2
NBA
3 Pacers +6
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Ziti sports
COLLEGE HOOPS
Purdue -6.5 -110 Michigan State (3:30 PM)
New Mexico State -5 -110 Abilene Christian (10:00 PM)
Cornell vs Princeton UNDER 152.5 -110 (11:00 AM)
Akron vs Kent State UNDER 124.5 -110 (7:30 PM)
Louisiana Tech vs UAB UNDER 135.5 -110 (8:30 PM)
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors OVER 234.5 -110 (8:40 PM)
Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 220.5 -110 (10:10 PM)
NHL
Nashville Predators -130 St. Louis Blues (12:35 PM)
Anaheim Ducks vs New Jersey Devils OVER 6 -120 (7:05 PM)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers OVER 6.5 +100 (10:05 PM)
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Tom Fornelli
CREIGHTON @ VILLANOVA | 03/12 | 6:30 PM EST
VILLANOVA -6.5
ANALYSIS: Once Creighton knocked off Providence on Friday, the game between Villanova and UConn took on a championship game feel. That's not to say that Creighton isn't good -- it did beat both Nova and UConn during the season -- but there's been a pretty clear drop off from the Big East's top three and everyone else all season. After surviving the Huskies, the Wildcats shouldn't have too much trouble tonight.
RICHMOND @ DAYTON | 03/12 | 3:30 PM EST
DAYTON -2
ANALYSIS: Richmond has been the Cinderella of this A-10 Tournament, but today's the day its defense should catch up to it. The Spiders are a good offensive team and shot lights out from three against VCU, but it was an outlier performance. They aren't likely to find nearly as much success against Dayton, nor can we count on their defense to slow the best three-point shooting team in the conference.
INDIANA @ IOWA | 03/12 | 1:00 PM EST
IOWA -5.5
ANALYSIS: It's been a nice run for Indiana in the Big Ten Tournament, but it should end today. The Hoosiers used terrific defense to get past Michigan and Illinois, but defense alone won't beat Iowa. You need to score points too, and Indiana's offense has still struggled, as it averaged only 0.98 points per possession in the win over Illinois.
+299 14-10-2 IN LAST 26 CBB ATS PICKS
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Justin Perri
INDIANA @ IOWA | 03/12 | 1:00 PM EST
IOWA -6
ANALYSIS: It's time for the clock to strike midnight and for Cinderella to return home with only one shoe to show for her efforts. ShotQuality.com calculated that Illinois would have beaten Indiana in 90% of the games in which the shots occurred the way they did. Indiana should not be here, they hit bad quality shots and the Illini missed good looks. That type of luck isn't unheard of in March but the Iowa Hawkeye's Top 5 rated offense in efficiency should have something to say about this magical Hoosiers run. This team can flat out score, I do not think anyone is keeping up with them if they continue to play as they have. I'll take the -6 before we have to eat the hook on a line that likely will inflate.
UMBC @ VERMONT | 03/12 | 11:00 AM EST
VERMONT -15
ANALYSIS: The America East Final features two teams that are separated by quite a large margin. So much so that 15 points is not enough. Vermont is a top 60 team in the country while UMBC is outside the top 200. The Catamounts already beat this team by 17 and 27 this year. More importantly, they're playing for a trip to the big dance in front of their fans on their home floor. We've seen what happens with these smaller conferences who don't have neutral court finals this year, Bryant and Colgate dominated on the way to a championship and a punched ticket. Vermont executes on every level and has a real chance to win this by 20+. Lay the large number.
+778 10-2 IN LAST 12 CBB PICKS
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RAS
Montana St -3.5
SE Louisiana St. -1.5
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Pickswise Sports
CBB Add
CBB 3* Best Bet
Michigan State/Purdue Over
NBA 3* Best Bets
Timberwolves/Heat Over
Wizards
NBA 2* Plays
Heat
Bucks [ML]
Bucks/Warriors Over
Raptors
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kelso
personal best
100 new mexico st
chairmans
25 jazz
best bets
15 houston
15 michigan st
15 arizona
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Sharp plays.
NBA Full Game: MIL/GSW OV235.5
54 and 32 for year. 62.8%
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Ben Burns
Red Wings +1'
Javier Basharat MMA
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Paul Stone
UCLA +1.5
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STEVE BUDIN
Pick: 50 Dime - Iowa
Line: The Hawkeyes are -6 as I go live at 6:20 am eastern
Boston Bruins -1.5 (10*)
Calgary Flames -1.5 (10*)
In Game Trap
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CleInsiderSports (5-1-1 yest)
Early Card
CBB
Arkansas -6
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WWP - be careful, 0-7 yesterday.
Peabody takes - Arkansas, Indiana
We take - Texas A&M, Iowa
Good Luck !
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John Ryan
NBA Total of the Year
Milw/ Gold St Under 236
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Mario Rojas
608 Dayton -2
61 St Louis +120
627 Creighton +7
610 Arkansas under 139
624 Kansas over 134
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Godfather Locks
massive 10k unit picks
#1 - indiana hoosiers +5.5
#2 - villanova wildcats -7
#3 - duke blue devils -6
#4 - texas tech red raiders +2.5
huge 5k unit picks
#1 - tennessee volunteers +3
#2 - arizona wildcats -1.5
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Marco D'Angelo
4% LA KINGS ML
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Big Al
Slapshot
La kings
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H&H Sports
Update #1 - Back by 4:30 or Sooner
CBB
3.5* Arizona -120 [ML]
3* Iowa -5.5 buy to -5 [-120]
3* Kentucky -125 [ML] - played last night
3* Kent State -150 [ML]
2* Texas A&M +6
2* Yale -150 [ML]
1* Dayton -130 [ML]
1* St Peter's -130 [ML]
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The Whale
Conservative Selections for Saturday
Saturday Payday - Play until you win one unit
A Bet 10am 609 Over 138.5 on Texas AM
B Bet 1pm 622. St Peter's -2.5
C Bet 540pm 1555 Over 115.5 on Bucks first half (if A and B lose)
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Straight Selections By Sport and Time
College Basketball to win $150
10 am 609 Over 138.5 on Texas A&M and Arkansas
10am 614 Iowa -5.5
1230pm 612 Tennessee +2.5
1pm 622 St Peter's -2.5
2pm 620 SMU +4.5
3pm 624 Over 134.5 on Kansas
3pm 626 Boise State +2.5
3pm 626 Over 117.5 on Boise State
430pm 630 Kent State -3.5
430pm 630 Over 124.5 on Kent State
530pm 633 Virginia Tech +5.5
6pm 637 Over 143.5 on UCLA
NBA First Halfs to win $150
510pm 1551 Minnesota +3 first half
510pm 1551 Over 117 on Minnesota first half
510pm 1553 Cavs +2.5 first half
510pm 1553 Over 114.5 on Cavs first half
540pm 1555 Bucks -.5 first half
540pm 1555 Over 115.5 on Bucks first half
710pm 1561 Wizards -3 first half
NBA Full Game Selections to Win $150
510pm 549 Pacers +5.5
540pm 555 Bucks money line
540pm 555 Over 237 on Bucks
610pm 557 Under 230 on Kings
710pm 561 Wizards -6
NHL to Win $150
4pm 71 Arizona puck line +1.5 +120
4pm 65 Over 6 on Chicago
4pm 70 Over 6 on Montreal
4pm 71 Over 6 on Arizona
630pm 77 LA Kings -135
NBA First Half Two Team Parlays Bet $80
510pm 1551 Minnesota +3 first half
510pm 1551 Over 117 on Minnesota first half
510pm 1553 Cavs +2.5 first half
510pm 1553 Over 114.5 on Cavs first half
540pm 1555 Bucks -.5 first half
540pm 1555 Over 115.5 on Bucks first half
NBA Full Game Two Team Parlays Bet $80
510pm 549 Pacers +5.5
540pm 555 Bucks money line
540pm 555 Over 237 on Bucks
710pm 561 Wizards -6
NHL Two Team Parlays Bet $80
4pm 71 Arizona puck line +1.5 +120
4pm 65 Over 6 on Chicago
4pm 70 Over 6 on Montreal
4pm 71 Over 6 on Arizona
College Basketball Two Team Parlays Bet $80
10 am 609 Over 138.5 on Texas A&M and Arkansas
10am 614 Iowa -5.5
1230pm 612 Tennessee +2.5
1pm 622 St Peter's -2.5
2pm 620 SMU +4.5
3pm 624 Over 134.5 on Kansas
3pm 626 Boise State +2.5
3pm 626 Over 117.5 on Boise State
430pm 630 Kent State -3.5
430pm 630 Over 124.5 on Kent State
530pm 633 Virginia Tech +5.5
6pm 637 Over 143.5 on UCLA
College Basketball Round Robins 2's and a 3 for $20 a way for $80
10 am 609 Over 138.5 on Texas A&M and Arkansas
10am 614 Iowa -5.5
1230pm 612 Tennessee +2.5
1pm 622 St Peter's -2.5
2pm 620 SMU +4.5
3pm 624 Over 134.5 on Kansas
3pm 626 Boise State +2.5
3pm 626 Over 117.5 on Boise State
430pm 630 Kent State -3.5
430pm 630 Over 124.5 on Kent State
530pm 633 Virginia Tech +5.5
6pm 637 Over 143.5 on UCLA
NBA First Half Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $20 a way for $80
510pm 1551 Minnesota +3 first half
510pm 1551 Over 117 on Minnesota first half
510pm 1553 Cavs +2.5 first half
NBA First Half Round Robin by 3's only for $15 a way for $60
510pm 1553 Over 114.5 on Cavs first half
540pm 1555 Bucks -.5 first half
540pm 1555 Over 115.5 on Bucks first half
710pm 1561 Wizards -3 first half
NBA Full Game Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $20 a way for $80
510pm 549 Pacers +5.5
540pm 555 Bucks money line
540pm 555 Over 237 on Bucks
NHL Round Robin 3's and a 4 for $10 a way for $50
4pm 65 Over 6 on Chicago
4pm 70 Over 6 on Montreal
4pm 71 Over 6 on Arizona
630pm 77 LA Kings -135
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IC
5* Arkansas Under 138.5
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Jim Feist
NBA
3* #560 Denver -5.5
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4deep bets - Tommy g
SATURDAY PLAYS
11am: Princeton ML, Villanova ML -120 (5u) max
11am: Vermont alt line -9.5, Villanova ML -127 (5u) max
1pm: St Louis +3.5 (5u) max
1pm: Indiana +6 (5u) max
1pm: Norfolk State ML, Villanova ML -130 (5u) max
1pm: Texas A&M +6 (2u)
2pm: Yale -145 (3u)
Parlay: Norfolk ML, Villanova ML, Kentucky ML, Memphis ML, Long Beach ML +805 (2u)
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Strike Point Sports
College Basketball
3u Yale -3
2u Arizona -1.5
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John Ryan
4* Columbus +170
4* Penn +3
4* Arizona -1.5
4* UAB Over 136.5
4* Iowa -6
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Las Vegas Cris
Parlay - Basharat and Burnell
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Brad Feinberg
Dejounte Murray over 1.5 steals
Dejounte Murray over 7.5 rebounds
Tyrese Haliburton- over 7.5 assists
Andrew Wiggins- over 1.5 threes
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Steve Merril CBB
4% Texas Tech +1.5
4% VT +6.5
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Vegas sharp
4* michigan st +6.5
4* texas tech +2.5
3* iowa -5.5
3* ucla +1.5
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R&R Totals
Game: (561) Washington Wizards at (562) Portland Trail Blazers
Date/Time: Mar 12 2022 10:10 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 220.5 (-110)
TOP NBA Over-Under
NOTE: Try to get 220.5 or better. Play is good to 223
Game: (306005) Texas Southern at (306006) Alcorn State
Date/Time: Mar 12 2022 6:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 130.0 (-110)
Game: (69) Seattle Kraken at (70) Montreal Canadiens
Date/Time: Mar 12 2022 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 6.0 (-120)
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Carmine Bianco
4% Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils
Total Over 6.0 (-120)
4% Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators
Chicago Blackhawks -110
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From the Swami site ...
10 Game of the Year Total Play --- Under [617] Tulane Green Wave vs. [618] Houston Cougars
Centaur Sports Sat Mar 12th, 2022 3:00pm EST
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GIANNI THE GREEK
4*Wolves
3*Arkansas
3*Penn
3*Richmond
3*Texas Southern
3*Villanova
3*Arkansas Under
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Executive
300 sdgst
300 villanova
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Tom Fornelli
TEXAS TECH @ KANSAS | 03/12 | 6:00 PM EST
TEXAS TECH 125
ANALYSIS: These two split their regular season meetings, but Kansas needed two overtimes to squeeze by Tech in Lawrence. In Lubbock, the Red Raiders won by eight. Tech has the most efficient defense in the country, and that plays well in March. This game feels closer to a coin flip than the price on Tech suggests.
+249 19-15-4 IN LAST 38 CBB PICKS
11:21 AM
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 03/12 | 3:30 PM EST
MICHIGAN ST. 240
ANALYSIS: The most entertaining aspect of the Big Ten Tournament this season is that there are so many teams capable of winning it since the conference doesn't have a dominant team. Purdue is the "most dominant" squad left, but the Boilermakers have struggled to defend all season long, and it will bite them eventually. Kind of like it did when Michigan State beat the Boilermakers in their lone meeting this year. Sparty is a good value at this price.
+249 19-15-4 IN LAST 38 CBB PICKS
11:19 AM
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Micah Roberts
LA. TECH @ UAB | 03/12 | 8:30 PM EST
OVER 135.5
ANALYSIS: Louisiana Tech has stayed under in its last three, and I think its last game sparked an over-reaction in today’s total. Tech beat North Texas 42-36 on Friday, but UAB doesn't hold the ball like UNT and is hard to control. UAB won and covered both meetings this season, and both flew over the posted total by 14 points each. A week ago when they played, the total was 146.5.
+1379 27-12 IN LAST 39 CBB PICKS
12:16 PM
UCLA @ ARIZONA | 03/12 | 9:00 PM EST
OVER 143
ANALYSIS: Arizona and UCLA have met twice this season, and each won and covered at home, Both games stayed under, with the totals set at 149 and 150. The teams are playing at their best right now and are playing at faster paces. That has helped UCLA go over in four games during its five-game win streak. The Wildcats' matchups have gone over in all five during their current win streak.
+1379 27-12 IN LAST 39 CBB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 UCLA O/U PICKS
11:40 AM
TEXAS A&M @ ARKANSAS | 03/12 | 1:00 PM EST
OVER 138.5
ANALYSIS: This total is off by about eight points, so I had to bet it. It’s crazy, because the previous meetings this season were set at 144 and 145, and both flew over. Texas A&M covered the spread in both. In fact, the last six meetings between these teams have gone over, and the Aggies covered all six. Arkansas' games have gone over in its last five, and both teams went over most of the season.
+1379 27-12 IN LAST 39 CBB PICKS
10:53 AM
AKRON @ KENT ST. | 03/12 | 7:30 PM EST
KENT ST. -140
ANALYSIS: Akron just beat Toledo and Buffalo as an underdog. Today’s championship price is lower than both of those games, and Kent State is the best team in the MAC. The Zips have regrouped to win seven straight (6-1 ATS) after a three-game losing streak as a big favorite in early February. The Golden Flashes won and covered both meetings this season, and the last four meetings have stayed under the total. Kent State has won 14 straight (12-2 ATS). I’m on the momentum of Kent State.
+1379 27-12 IN LAST 39 CBB PICKS
9:51 AM
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Mike Barner
WASHINGTON @ PORTLAND | 03/12 | 10:00 PM EST
WASHINGTON -6
ANALYSIS: It's been about as bad as it gets for the Trail Blazers. Not only have they lost six straight games, but each of those losses has been by at least 14 points. In fact, five of those losses came by at least 30 points. Anfernee Simons (quadriceps) will miss his third straight game, robbing them of their best scorer. The last two games with him out, they scored 81 and 85 points, respectively. Even with the Wizards playing the second game of a back-to-back set, they could end up with a decisive victory here.
+1545 98-75-3 IN LAST 176 NBA PICKS
+1298 35-20 IN LAST 55 POR ATS PICKS
+1334 31-16 IN LAST 47 WAS ATS PICKS
1:36 PM
MILWAUKEE @ GOLDEN ST. | 03/12 | 8:30 PM EST
MILWAUKEE -2
ANALYSIS: Reinforcements could soon be coming for the Warriors. Draymond Green (back), who has been out since the beginning of January, is targeting to return Monday. Unfortunately for them, that means they will have to face Giannis Antetokounmpo on Saturday without their best defensive player. Green did not play the first time these two teams met this season, leaving Giannis to score 30 points in a 19-point home win for the Bucks. This game could be closer with the Warriors now at home, but I still expect the Bucks to cover this small number.
+1545 98-75-3 IN LAST 176 NBA PICKS
+1373 38-22 IN LAST 60 GS ATS PICKS
+421 24-18 IN LAST 42 MIL ATS PICKS
1:28 PM
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Micah Roberts
SACRAMENTO @ UTAH | 03/12 | 9:00 PM EST
UTAH -9.5
ANALYSIS: The Kings have lost their last three but covered twice, in tough losses to the Nuggets and at Dallas. The Jazz lost at San Antonio Friday night and at Dallas five days ago, with a home win and cover against the Blazers in between. The Jazz haven’t gotten into their playoff groove yet, but they are healthy and taking care of business at home lately. The Jazz have stayed under in their last five.
+381 6-2-1 IN LAST 9 SAC ATS PICKS
1:12 PM
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Chip Patterson
VA. TECH @ DUKE | 03/12 | 8:30 PM EST
DUKE -6
ANALYSIS: Both Syracuse and Miami were arguably tougher matchups for Duke because of their offensive firepower, but now the Blue Devils will need to focus on efficiency in what will likely be a slower paced game. That's where I think the tournament performance of Wendell Moore (averaging 22.0 PPG in the two wins) helps brings balance to a squad that has a clear advantage down low. A lower scoring game makes it tougher for favorites to cover, but after clearing two tough hurdles I think size, strength and execution rule the day for the Blue Devils.
11:47 AM
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 03/12 | 3:30 PM EST
MICHIGAN ST. +6.5
ANALYSIS: Michigan State's defense has largely been below the Tom Izzo standard -- current adjusted efficiency numbers, per KenPom, rank as low as any Sparty team since 2006! -- but we saw something vintage in the win against Wisconsin. Big man Marcus Bingham playing his best basketball is exactly what you want heading into the matchup with Purdue's twin towers, and I think the improved defense helps power a cover for the underdog.
11:36 AM
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WWP
He's on
Kentucky
Michigan St
We play
Tennessee
Purdue
I know it's past post but I just saw it. Some want for record keeping
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Gianni The Greek
Added
4*SE Louisiana
4*Fullerton
3*Montana State
3*Long Beach State Under 136.5
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Udog
9-1 last 10
Creight BJays
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Marc Lawrence
4Duke
3Louisiana Tech
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