Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 3/28/21
627FLORIDA ST -628 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.
641CREIGHTON -642 GONZAGA
CREIGHTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.
643OREGON -644 USC
USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
643OREGON -644 USC
USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, March 28
Sunday’s NCAA games
Florida State (4) vs Michigan (1)
Florida State (18-6)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #103
— FSU is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.
— Seminoles have #21 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida State is shooting 38.2% on the arc (#16)
— Deep team; they’re #25 in bench minutes.
— Florida State is the tallest team in the country.
— Since 1997, Hamilton is 1-3 in Sweet 16 games.
Michigan (22-4)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #58
— Continuity: #146
— Michigan is 4-3 in its last seven games, after an 18-1 start.
— Key player Livers missed last three games (check status)
— Michigan has #6 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are shooting 38.5% on arc (#11)
— Since 1998, Michigan is 1-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.
— Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.
— Three years ago, Michigan beat Florida State 58-54 in a regional final.
Creighton (5) @ Gonzaga (1)
Creighton (22-8)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #18
— Creighton won five of its last six games.
— Bluejays are shooting 55.9% inside the arc (#10)
— Creighton has #28 eFG% defense in country.
— Bluejays beat Cal-Santa Barbara/Ohio to get here.
— This is as far as Creighton has ever gotten in this event.
Gonzaga (28-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #179
— Gonzaga has one win this season by less than 10 points.
— Gonzaga’s first two tournament wins were by 43-16 points.
— Zags are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga gets 57.2% of its points on 2-point shots (#30)
— Under Few, Gonzaga is 2-6 in Sweet 16 games, winning in 2015, 2019.
— Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.
Oregon (7) vs USC (6)
Oregon (21-6)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #227
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #266
— Oregon is 7-1 since their loss at USC February 22.
— Oregon won 12 of their last 14 games.
— Ducks are shooting 38.2% on arc (#15)
— Oregon is 5-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
— Under Altman, Ducks are 2-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.
USC (24-7)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #317
— USC won five of its last six games.
— USC has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#1)
— Trojans are shooting only 64.3% on foul line (#328)
— USC gave up 56-51 points in its wins last week.
— USC last made the Elite 8 in 2001, when Henry Bibby was coach.
— Since 2002, when conference rivals meet in NCAA Tournament, from the Sweet 16 on, underdog was 7-4 ATS in those games.
— Oregon lost 72-58 at USC February 22; game was 43-22 at the half.
— Since 1987, favorites are 3-3 ATS when #6-7 seeds meet in this round.
UCLA (11) vs Alabama (2)
UCLA (20-9)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #29
— UCLA has lost four in row before winning three games last week.
— UCLA is shooting 37.4% on the arc (#28)
— Bruins are 7-7 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 11-7 in NCAAs.
— Cronin is 9-11 in NCAAs, 3-5 after the first round.
Alabama (26-6)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #12
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #152
— Alabama won eight in row, 11 of last 12 games.
— Crimson Tide has #17 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama gets 40.1% of its points on 3-pointers (#15)
— Alabama is grabbing 32.1% of its missed shots (#53)
— Crimson Tide hasn’t been this far in the last 24 years.
— Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
NIT Final
Memphis vs Mississippi State
Memphis (19-8)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #78
— Memphis won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#313)
— Tigers are shooting only 61.4% on foul line (#341)
— Memphis is 9-3 outside the AAC (non-conf schedule #198)
— Tigers made 14-27 on arc yesterday, scored 1.32 ppp.
Mississippi State (18-14)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Miss State is grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#8)
— Bulldogs have #39 eFG% defense in country.
— Miss State is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#318)
— Bulldogs are shooting 65.9% on foul line (#311)
— Miss State allowed 65.7 ppg in its three NIT wins.
— Bulldogs made 10-20 on arc, never trailed in yesterday’s win.