Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 3/27/21
621VILLANOVA -622 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the current season.
623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.
623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games in the current season.
625OREGON ST -626 LOYOLA-IL
OREGON ST is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.
627FLORIDA ST -628 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.
629MEMPHIS -630 COLORADO ST
MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.
631MISSISSIPPI ST -632 LOUISIANA TECH
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games in the current season.
647SYRACUSE -648 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, March 27
NCAA Tournament
Saturday’s games
Villanova (5) vs Baylor (1)
Villanova (18-6)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #7
— Villanova PG Gillespie is out for year; they beat Winthrop/North Texas to get here.
— Villanova is 7-5 in last dozen games, after an 11-1 start.
— Wildcats get 37.3% of their points on arc (#39)
— Wildcats’ bench plays #300 minutes; injuries are costly.
— Since 2005, Villanova is 4-2 in Sweet 16 games.
Baylor (24-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #32
— Baylor is 7-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 41.5% on the arc (#1)
— Baylor forces turnovers 24.7% of time (#3)
— Bears are grabbing 36.7% of their missed shots (#6)
— Under Drew, Baylor is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.
— Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.
Oral Roberts (15) vs Arkansas (3)
Oral Roberts (18-10)
— ranked #128 by KenPom
— Tempo: #46
— Experience: #250
— Continuity: #272
— Oral Roberts won its last seven games, scoring 82.7 ppg.
— ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
— Oral Roberts is shooting 38.2% on arc (#14), 82.4% on line (#1)
— ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; their bench played total of only 53:00 in their two wins last week, which were both by 3 points.
— This is Oral Roberts’ first NCAA Tournament since 2008.
Arkansas (24-6)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won 11 of its last 12 games.
— Arkansas is 10-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #274)
— Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
— Razorbacks were down 14 in first half to Colgate in 1st round, still won by 17.
— Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#38)
— Musselman is 4-3 in NCAA Tournament games.
— Oral Roberts lost 87-76 at Arkansas December 20; ORU was up 41-31 at the half.
— ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; Florida Gulf Coast (+13) lost 62-50 to Florida in this round, eight years ago.
Oregon State (12) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Oregon State (19-12)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #154
— Oregon State won five in row, eight of its last nine games.
— Oregon State is getting 21.3% of its points on foul line (#44)
— Beavers are shooting 47.0% inside arc (#275)
— OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time, after they were 5th in regular season.
— Beavers’ wins last week were their first tournament wins since 1982.
Loyola Chi (26-4)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #36
— Continuity: #11
— Loyola won eight in row, 19 of last 20 games.
— Loyola is shooting 57.7% inside arc (#4).
— Ramblers are 6-3 vs top 100 teams.
— Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond, beat Ga Tech/Illinois.
— Ramblers are #2 team in country on defensive boards.
— Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.
— This is only 2nd #8-12 seed game ever in Sweet 16; 12-seed Missouri (+1) beat UCLA in 2002.
— Rhode Island (-8.5) beat 13-seed Valparaiso 74-68 in only 8-13 game, in 1998.
Syracuse (11) vs Houston (2)
Syracuse (18-9)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #67
— Syracuse won eight of their last 11 games.
— Orangemen are 5-7 vs teams in the top 50.
— Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Orangemen made 29-58 on arc in their two wins last week.
— Since 2003, Syracuse is 4-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.
Houston (25-3)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #107
— Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 29.3% on arc (#12)
— Cougars won their last nine games, six of them by 24+ points.
— Houston finished last game on 13-2 run to nip Rutgers 63-60.
— Since 1997, Sampson is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.
— Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
NIT tournament
Memphis vs Colorado State
Memphis (18-8)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #78
— Memphis won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis is turning ball over 22.0% of time (#316)
— Tigers are shooting only 60.9% on foul line (#341)
— Memphis is 8-3 outside the AAC (non-conf schedule #197)
Colorado State (20-6)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #308
— Continuity: #36
— Rams won eight of their last ten games.
— Colorado State is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#12).
— Colorado State is shooting 79.5% on foul line (#7)
— 43.3% of shots they take are 3’s (#43)
— Rams are 5-1 outside Mountain West, losing at Saint Mary’s.
Louisiana Tech vs Mississippi State
Louisiana Tech (23-7)
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #116
— Bulldogs won seven of their last eight D-I games.
— Louisiana Tech has three senior starters.
— Bulldogs have the #11 eFG% defense- they’re #34 on defensive boards.
— Tech lost at LSU, beat Ole Miss, their two SEC games this year.
— Tech was held to 55-48 points in last two losses.
Mississippi State (17-14)
— ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #313
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Miss State is grabbing 36.2% of their missed shots (#8)
— Bulldogs have #43 eFG% defense in country.
— Tech made 10-16 on arc, won 74-67 at Miss State last season.
— Miss State beat North Texas by 6, in their one C-USA game.
— Miss State starts three sophs and a freshman; they’re using these games to help build for next season.