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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 3/18/21

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 3/18/21

 
Posted : March 18, 2021 7:41 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57723
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NCAAB Matchups

 
Posted : March 18, 2021 7:44 am
(@shazman)
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711NORFOLK ST -712 APPALACHIAN ST
NORFOLK ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

713DRAKE -714 WICHITA ST
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

717UCLA -718 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

719NC STATE -720 DAVIDSON
DAVIDSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

721SMU -722 BOISE ST
SMU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

 
Posted : March 18, 2021 7:45 am
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 18

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NORFOLK ST (16 - 7) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (17 - 11) - 3/18/2021, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORFOLK ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DRAKE (25 - 4) vs. WICHITA ST (16 - 5) - 3/18/2021, 6:27 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
DRAKE is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MOUNT ST MARYS (12 - 10) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (16 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 5:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCLA (17 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN ST (15 - 12) - 3/18/2021, 9:57 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
UCLA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
UCLA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (13 - 10) vs. DAVIDSON (13 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 225-172 ATS (+35.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 110-70 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NC STATE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
NC STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (11 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (17 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SMU is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SMU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 96-136 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : March 18, 2021 7:46 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 18

NCAA tournament
Texas Southern vs Mount St Mary (@ Indiana U)
Texas Southern (16-8)
— ranked #229 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #238
— Tigers won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Texas Southern is 3-5 outside SWAC this season- they finished 3rd in the SWAC.
— Tigers have #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas Southern is coached by former LSU coach Johnny Jones.
— Tigers are shooting 27.7% on arc (#342)
— Texas Southern is 1-5 in NCAA tourney games; Jones is 0-3.

Mount St Mary (12-10)
— ranked #219 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #142
— Mountaineers are 1-3 outside the NEC.
— Mountaineers finished T3rd in the NEC regular season.
— Mount St Mary won last four games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
— Mountaineers have #14 eFG% defense.
— Mount St Mary split two play-in games, in 2014, 2017

— Since 2006, NEC teams are 4-3 in these play-in games.
— Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-9 in play-in games.

Drake vs Wichita State (@ Purdue)
Drake (25-4)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #265
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #179
— Drake gets 6-6 Hemphill back; good player. He missed last nine games.
— Drake’s PG is out for the year.
— Drake is 9-0 outside MVC (non-conference schedule #310)
— Bulldogs have #30 eFG% in country.
— Drake is 7-4 in last 11 games, after an 18-0 start.
— Bulldogs are in NCAAs for first time since 2008. .

Wichita State (16-5)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #225
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #234
— Wichita won eight of its last nine games.
— Shockers have #48 eFG% defense in country.
— Wichita shoots only 44.7% inside arc (#322)
— Shockers are 2-4 this season vs teams in top 100.
— Wichita is in NCAAs for 8th time in nine years but have rookie head coach now, who was an interim coach most of season.
— Since 2012, Shockers are 5-2 in first tourney game.
— Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in conference games.

— These teams were MVC rivals until 2017.
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in their first tourney game.

Applachian State vs Norfolk State (@ Indiana U)
Applachian State (17-11)
— ranked #209 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #237
— ASU has four wins vs non-D-I teams- before winning Sun Belt tourney, they were only 9-11 vs D-I teams.
— Two of their four wins in Sun Belt tourney were in OT.
— Mountaineers have #274 eFG% in country (46.7% inside arc, #283)
— 43.9% of shots they take are on the arc (#38)
— Ohio State beat their rivals Michigan yesterday by a point.
— App State beat South Carolina State of MEAC 81-61 November 25.
— Mountaineers went 7-8 in Sun Belt this season.
— Last time App State made NCAAs was 2000.

Norfolk State (16-7)
— ranked #200 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #125
— Norfolk State won eight of its last nine games.
— Spartans have #54 eFG% defense in country.
— Norfolk beat James Madison/George Mason on the road.
— Spartans are shooting 37.4% on arc (#33)
— Norfolk State made NCAAs in 2012, upsetting Missouri as a 15-seed.

— Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
— Since 2004, MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.

UCLA vs Michigan State (@ Purdue)
UCLA (17-9)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #25
— UCLA lost its last four games, giving up 74.8 ppg.
— UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
— Bruins are 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 8-7 in NCAAs; they’re 8-2 in first game of last 10 tournaments they were in.
— Cronin is 6-11 in NCAAs, 5-6 in his first game of tournament.

Michigan State (15-12)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #75
— Spartans lost three of their last five games.
— Michigan State has #266 eFG% in country (##255 on arc, #252 inside arc).
— MSU is 6-0 outside the Big 14 this season (#220 non-conf schedule)
— Spartans are 17-8 in last 25 NCAA tournament games.

— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in play-in/first round games.
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
— This game is at Purdue, John Wooden’s alma mater.

NIT tournament
Davidson vs NC State (@ Denton, TX)
Davidson (13-8)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #181
— Continuity: #36
— Davidson lost three of its last five games.
— Wildcats are 5-3 outside the A-14.
— Davidson gets 40.4% of their points on arc (#12)
— Wildcats shoot 56.8% inside arc (#8).

NC State (13-10)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #190
— Experience: #223
— Continuity: #128
— NC State won five of their last six games.
— Wolfpack force turnovers 22.0% of time (#37)
— NC State is 5-9 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Wolfpack lost 80-69 at Saint Louis of A-14 on December 17.

SMU vs Boise State (@ Frisco, TX)
SMU (11-5)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #52
— SMU has played one game since February 8th.
— SMU was down 61-41 with 6:05 left Friday, lost 74-71.
— Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#8)
— Mustangs start four juniors and a senior- they’re 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
— SMU lost last five times they allowed 70+ points.

Boise State (18-8)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #127
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #245
— Boise lost its last four games, all by 7 or fewer points, or in OT.
— Broncos split their last ten games, after a 6-0 start.
— Broncos are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#71)
— Boise State is 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Boise State has #29 eFG% defense in country.

 
Posted : March 18, 2021 7:47 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57723
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NCAAB

Thursday, March 18

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas Southern @ Mount St. Mary's
Texas Southern
No trends to report
Mount St. Mary's
No trends to report

Drake @ Wichita State
Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake's last 5 games when playing Wichita State
Drake is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Wichita State
Wichita State
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wichita State's last 5 games when playing Drake

North Carolina State @ Davidson
North Carolina State
No trends to report
Davidson
No trends to report

Appalachian State @ Norfolk State
Appalachian State
No trends to report
Norfolk State
No trends to report

Southern Methodist @ Boise State
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
Boise State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Southern Methodist

UCLA @ Michigan State
UCLA
UCLA is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan State
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing UCLA

 
Posted : March 18, 2021 7:48 am
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