Saturday 3/13/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NCAAB games.
Matt Severance
TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE | 03/13 | 7:00 PM EST
CHARLOTTE -2
ANALYSIS: We are going to jump this Saturday line now because it likely will rise -- the Raptors remain without three starters in Pascal Siakam, Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby in COVID protocols (plus two reserves). It's also the front end of a back-to-back for them. Charlotte is healthy as of this writing.
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official Exterminator NBA system bet(s):
Sacramento Kings {A} bet - Bet on the point spread and buy 3 points at no worse than -170 odds to bring the spread from +4 to +7. If the {A} bet fails, please double up on the {B} bet by taking them again on 3/15. The potential {C} bet is on 3/17.
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Worlds Worst Picker
Ohio St
Texas
Illinois
We play:
Michigan
Ok st
Iowa
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Dave Cokin NHL Best Bet
4% Philadelphia Flyers (-120)
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Gus Augustine
40 Dime
Winner # 10 of 15
Big 12 Bankroll Builder
Texas -1.5
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Jeff Hochman
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 03/13 | 7:00 PM EST
PHILADELPHIA -120
ANALYSIS: The Flyers are 1-2 in their past three games despite outshooting all three opponents by a combined 103-68 margin. Both losses were against these Capitals. Washington is 3-0 in its past three despite getting outshot in all three games by a combined 101-79 mark. The Flyers are ranked No. 3 in face-off win percentage, while the Capitals are ranked No. 23 this season. Take the hungry host!
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Insider Sports Report
Premier Picks® For 03/13/21
5* Western Kentucky -1 over North Texas (NCAAB)
Range: +1 to -3
3* Alabama -3 over Tennessee (NCAAB)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5
3* Sacramento +4 over Atlanta (NBA)
Range: +6 to +2
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Stephen Oh
PORTLAND @ MINNESOTA | 03/13 | 8:00 PM EST
PORTLAND -4.5
ANALYSIS: When these teams last met, on Jan. 7 in Portland, the Blazers won by 18 with Damian Lillard dominating (39 points, seven rebounds, seven assists and three steals). Portland is 10-8 on the road this season. My model says the Blazers cover almost two-thirds of the time and win by 10, so you're getting strong value at this number.
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College Basketball(Bob Balfe)
3:00 PM EST
Rotation #610
Wichita State -4 over Cincinnati
Wichita State had an interim coach this year in Issac Brown who then earned his way to now be the regular full time coach of the Shockers. I thought this team would dip off after Gregg Marshall left, but maybe the pixie dust of his recruiting is left over and we will judge Brown based on his recruits in the future. This team will be better when they force turnovers and share the ball a little more. Cincinnati doesn’t have a great offense this year and they also are bad behind the three point line. The American Conference is all about defense, but they are middle of the road when it comes to that as well. I think the Shockers are the better team and they have a few really clutch players. Look for this team to be up big in three point differential. The Shockers don’t give the ball away enough for Cincinnati to make up the difference. Take Wichita State.
College Basketball
6:00 PM EST
Rotation #616
Texas -1.5 over Oklahoma State
Mike Boynton is the real coach of the year. This team does not have the experience to be doing what they are doing now, but they are doing it! Cade Cunningham is amazing and I really do think this team could cut down the nets in the NCAA Tournament. The bad news is they are young and they just played a peak out game by beating Baylor. It’s so hard to comeback the very next day and match that energy against a Texas team that got an absolute gift by not having to play a game yesterday because Kansas dropped out with covid. Texas is a veteran team that should be able to take advantage of the aggressive play of the Cowboys and to get a few points off of turnovers. This team has a lot of juniors and seniors who want to win the BIG 12 Title and have experience and the calm nature to handle the nerves today. I like the Longhorns on the glass and they certainly have the offensive and defensive talent to win this championship and the talent to make a deep run in next weeks tournament. All eyes are on Cade Cunningham and the Cowboys. The Longhorns are going to have something to say about that. Take Texas.
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Kyle Akins
INDIANA @ PHOENIX | 03/13 | 10:00 PM EST
INDIANA +6.5
ANALYSIS: Indiana has been struggling, but it has come against a legitimately tough set of mainly road opponents. The Pacers can't allow this game to just go by the wayside, considering their recent struggles. Indiana has covered in just one of its last nine games, while Phoenix has covered in eight of its last nine games. Teams that have covered in at least eight of their last 10 games against teams that covered in no more than two of their last 10 games are 64-88-4 ATS.
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Big Al
Big East GOY - Creighton
NHL GOW- Philly Flyers
MAC GOY- Iona
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Dave Cokin FCS Spring Football Play
VMI -6'
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Wayne Root
Gold standard- Alabama
Pinnacle- Georgia Tech
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Big Al
Big East GOY - Creighton
NHL GOW- Philly Flyers
MAC GOY- Iona
additional plays
NCAAB
Texas -1.5
NBA
Portland -4.5
Indiana +6.5
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Ben Burns
Ohio State
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Jack Banks
Wichita State
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Matt Fargo
10* MWC Tournament Game of the Year
San Diego st
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Stephen Nover
Tourney Total/Yr
Ok St/Tex under 145
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Godfatherlocks
5 top rated 2000* picks
#1 - tennessee volunteers +4 (ncaab)
#2 - iowa hawkeyes +3.5 (ncaab)
#3 - arkansas razorbacks -3.5 (ncaab)
#4 - texas longhorns -2.5 (ncaab)
#5 - ga tech yellow jackets +4.5 (ncaab)
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Howard Eskin
michigan
oklahoma St.
Creighton
Florida St
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Ian Parker
Belal Muhammad (+210)
Ryan Spann (+115
Dan Ige (-120)
Jonathan Martinez (-280)
Darren Stewart (-175)
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IC
Texas -2.5 (5U)
Flyers (4U)
Everton (3U)
Harman/Im Rd. 3 (3U)
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Scott Spreitzer
Arkansas -3.5 (3U)
Whitchita State -4 (7U)
Flyers (4U)
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Mike Barner
TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE | 03/13 | 7:00 PM EST
CHARLOTTE -2.5
ANALYSIS: The Raptors will remain shorthanded Saturday with Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby all still in the health and safety protocols. They have lost three straight games since those three went out, two of which came by at least seven points. The Hornets are sporting a healthy roster coming into this matchup, so I like them to cover this small line.
PORTLAND @ MINNESOTA | 03/13 | 8:00 PM EST
PORTLAND -4.5
ANALYSIS: In their first game out of the All-Star break, the Timberwolves defeated the Pelicans by 30 points. Prior to that, they had lost nine straight games, eight of which came by at least five points. The only other time they faced Portland this season, they lost by 18 points. Without D’Angelo Russell (knee) and Malik Beasley (suspension), this has the makings of another potential blowout.
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Jonathan Willis - VegasInsider
FCS Spring Football Week #6
15-5 year to date
FCS Football
Villanova -16.5
East Tennessee State +10
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Thom Cunningham (VegasInsider CBB) - Alabama/Tennessee Over 139.5
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David Schwab - VegasInsider
CBB
Michigan -5
Michigan/Ohio State Over 142
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Tim Doyle
GEORGETOWN @ CREIGHTON | 03/13 | 6:30 PM EST
GEORGETOWN +8.5
ANALYSIS: The last time these teams faced off in Omaha, it was all Hoyas. Ride the wave of Patrick Ewing in The Garden for a team that’s going to steal a NCAA Tournament bid with a win.
GEORGIA TECH @ FLORIDA ST. | 03/13 | 8:30 PM EST
GEORGIA TECH +4.5
ANALYSIS: This is not the same Georgia Tech team that lost to Mercer earlier in the year. The Yellow Jackets are loaded with experience and boast ACC Player of the Year Moses Wright. The rest day should help, too; they got Friday off after Virginia had to withdraw because of COVID. The rest is the key to a cover. Take the dog.
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Ben Burns
Ohio State
EPL
Man City vs Fulham UNDER 3 (GOW)
NCAAB
Oklahoma St. vs Texas UNDER 145 (TOW)
Creighton -8 (Big East Tourny BOB)
NHL
Florida (Personal Fav)
NBA
Indiana -7 (Non-Conf BOB)
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Chris Jordan
Top-Rated
1000♦
Big Ten Tournament
Game of the Year
Illinois
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Karl Garrett
40 DIME
Winner # 9 of 10
$10 bettors up $3,000 last 11 days
North Division Rivalry Lock
Calgary Flames
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Kenny White
MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON | 03/13 | 5:30 PM EST
MEMPHIS +7.5
ANALYSIS: Memphis continues its tale of two seasons, The Tigers started 1-8 ATS and have since gone 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games. These teams played six days ago, and Houston won on a buzzer beater. Memphis has the No. 2 defense in the country in points per possession allowed. My numbers have Houston by four.
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Scott Delaney
Top-Rated
100 Dime
SEC Tournament
Game of the Year
Arkansas
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Mitchell Newman
TOP-RATED
100 DIME
Winner # 20 of 30
Big Twelve Title Lock
Oklahoma st
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Steve Budin
BROOKLYN COLLEGE BOYS
50 DIME
SEC Game of the Month
Arkansas
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Accu Picks
NBA
3* #551/552 Portland/Minnesota OVER 233
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Kirby Maxwell
60 DIME
Winner # 7 in a Row
AAC TOURNAMENT LINE LOCK
Witchita st
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Brandon Lang
75 DIME
-COLLEGE BASKETBALL-
MONEY MAKER
Oklahoma st
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Tommy Brunson
75 DIME
Winner # 9 of 12
SEC Bankroll Builder
Alabama
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Trace Adams
Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner # 26 of 39
Big East Rivalry Lock
Georgetown
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Bob Valentino
Top-Rated
100 DIME
College Winner # 22 of 27
( - and 15 of 17 - )
ACC Championship Lock
Florida st
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Al DeMarco
Raise the Bar 20-Dime
College Winner # 21 of 34
Alabama
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H&H Sports (CBB) - Triple Dime Michigan -5
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David Schwab - Play #2
VegasInsider College Basketball
CBB
Iowa +4
Iowa/Illinois Over 154 (BIG PLAY)
Play #3
VegasInsider College Basketball
CBB
Oklahoma State +3
Oklahoma State/Texas Over 144
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IC
3 - Knicks -4.5
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Vince Akins ( Sportsbook Breakers)
NBA
Charlotte Hornets -2.5
Dallas Mavericks +1.5
Sacramento Kings/Atlanta Hawks Over 238.5
New York Knicks/OKC Thunder Under 209
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charlie
iowa over 153.5
iona-8.5
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Micah Roberts
INDIANA @ PHOENIX | 03/13 | 10:00 PM EST
PHOENIX -7
ANALYSIS: The Pacers have been struggling, losing six of their last seven games with their only win coming against Cleveland 10 days ago. I don’t see them getting better tonight. The Suns are playing the best ball in the West now that the Jazz has gone 0-3 ATS in their last three. Why not get the No. 1 seed? It’s an obtainable goal. The Suns have won and covered their last five. They get the double-digit win tonight.
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Kenny White
OREGON ST. @ COLORADO | 03/13 | 10:30 PM EST
OREGON ST. +9
ANALYSIS: Oregon State has been a spread covering machine. The Beavers are 19-6 ATS in their last 25 games. Colorado won both of the regular season meetings. The first one was by 29 points in Boulder, but the second was a nail-biter, by four points in Corvallis. Wayne Tinkle's team has not only been covering, the Beavers have won five of their last six games. My numbers have Colorado by five.
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Doug Upstone
5* Charlotte -2
3* OKC +4
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JV Miller
nhl columbus +105
nhl winnipeg +1.5 -155
nba phoenix -6.5 -109
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Michael Crosson
VegasInsider NBA
Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets
TV: NBA TV - Time: 10:05pm
Best Bet - Dallas Mavericks +1.5
NBA Player Prop Best Bet
Jamal Murray over 22.5 points (-105)
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Scott Spreitzer
Suns -7 (4U)
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Oskeim Sports Game: (629) New Mexico State at (630) Grand Canyon
Date/Time: Mar 13 2021 10:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Grand Canyon +1.5 (-110)
Grand Canyon swept the regular-season series and looks to reach the NCAA tournament for the first time in program history. New Mexico State defeated the Lopes in the conference tournament in both 2018 and 2019 but this year's Grand Canyon squad has the talent to finally reach the Big Dance. Grand Canyon is a profitable 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games overall, including 9-3 ATS following a win, 10-3 ATS versus teams with a winning record, 4-1 ATS in neutral-site affairs, and 4-0 ATS as an underdog.
My math model favors the Lopes by 3.15 points in this game but the betting market has inflated the point spread due to New Mexico State's name (and program) recognition. The Aggies are overvalued in the market as evidenced by their 3-7 ATS record following a win and 4-9 ATS mark versus .601 or greater opposition. Finally, Grand Canyon is ranked 19th in the nation in rebounds per game (39.8) and 13th in field goal percentage (49.44), whereas the Aggies are ranked 103rd (36.8) and 241st (42.87), respectively, in those statistical categories. Take the Lopes and invest with confidence.
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Digbets - icedout (2:00pm pst) 2 carats
nhl - columbus blue jackets +110
digbets - mountain west championship (3:00pm pst) 4 carats
cbb- san diego state -1
digbets - first half special (12:25pm pst) 2 carats
cbb- illinois first half -2
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Goodfella
3* - Illinois ML
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Executive
600 - Houston Cougars
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Zack Cimini
NORTH TEXAS @ W. KENTUCKY | 03/13 | 9:00 PM EST
NORTH TEXAS +1.5
ANALYSIS: Expect North Texas to continue to play stingy defense, rely on timely baskets and get an automatic NCAA Tournament bid. Play North Texas.
OREGON ST. @ COLORADO | 03/13 | 10:30 PM EST
COLORADO -9
ANALYSIS: Oregon State’s senior backcourt of Ethan Thompson and Zach Reichle has vaulted the Beavers to the Pac-12 title game. They’ll face a Colorado team that has had two close calls against California and USC in the Pac-12 Tournament. Expect the Buffaloes to raise their level of play and defeat Oregon State for the third time this season. Play Colorado.
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