Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 3/4/21
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, March 4
Oklahoma State @ Baylor
Oklahoma State (17-6, 10-6)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #43
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #287
— Oklahoma State won its last five games, two of them in OT.
— Cowboys have #35 eFG% defense in country.
— OSU turns ball over 21.1% of time (#278)
Baylor (19-1, 11-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #182
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #34
— Baylor is 2-1 since its three-week COVID pause.
— Bears won tough OT game in West Virginia Tuesday, playing four guys 33:00+.
— You’re reading ************.com
— Baylor forces turnovers 25.5% of time (#3).
— Baylor won 81-66 in Stillwater January 23.
— Baylor won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Cowboys lost four of last five visits to Waco.
Michigan State @ Michigan
Michigan State (14-10, 8-10)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #76
— Spartans won four of their last five games overall.
— Michigan State lost five of last six road games.
— Spartans have #247 eFG% in country.
Michigan (18-2, 13-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #151
— Michigan had 7-game win streak snapped by Illinois Tuesday.
— Wolverines have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Michigan is shooting 38.8% on the arc (#13).
— State won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.
Arizona State @ Colorado
Arizona State (10-11, 7-8)
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #137
— ASU lost last four road games; their last road win was December 13 at Grand Canyon, which is in Phoenix.
— Sun Devils are 2-10 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— ASU did win last three games overall, against the two Washington teams.
Colorado (19-7, 13-6)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #87
— Colorado won three in row, six of last eight games
— Buffaloes won 10 of their 11 home games, losing by 3 to Utah.
— Last three games, Colorado allowed only 60 ppg.
— Colorado won six of last nine series games.
— Sun Devils lost their last five visits to Boulder.
Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas (15-7, 9-6)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #135
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #4
— Texas is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 10-1 start.
— Longhorns have #25 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas won four of six Big X road games.
Oklahoma (14-8, 9-7)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #54
— Oklahoma lost its last three games, by 5-4-4 points.
— Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#33)
— Seven of their last eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Sooners won 80-79 in Austin January 26.
— Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played in Norman.
Atlantic 14 tournament (@ VCU, Richmond, VA)
Duquesne vs Richmond
Duquesne (8-8, 7-7)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #114
— Duquesne won four of its last six games.
— Dukes are shooting only 30% on arc (#311), 65.5% on line (#316)
— Last three games, Duquesne allowed 79.7 ppg.
— Last 11 years, Duquesne is 1-10 in this event, 0-4 last five years.
Richmond (13-7, 6-5)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #10
— Spiders are 3-4 in their last seven D-I games, after a 9-3 start.
— Opponents are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#321)
— Richmond has #45 eFG% (54.6% inside arc, #30)
— Last four years, Richmond went W-L in A-14 tourney.
— Duquesne lost 79-72 at Richmond February 20.
— Spiders won 10 of last 11 series games.
St Joe’s vs UMass
St Joe’s (5-14, 4-9)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #167
— St Joe’s won last four games, scoring 84 ppg, with Daly back.
— Hawks played four starters 33:00+ in yesterday’s win over LaSalle.
— St Joe’s has #287 eFG% defense in country.
— Last 4+ years, Hawks are 3-4 in A-14 tourney.
UMass (7-6, 6-4)
— ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #35
— Experience: #330
— Continuity: #223
— UMass lost last two games, giving up 79-78 points, since a 17-day pause.
— Opponents are shooting 51.5% inside arc (#238)
— Minutemen are shooting 32.1% on arc (#254)- they take lot of 3’s.
— Last six years, UMass is 3-6 in A-14 tourney.
— UMass won six of last eight series games.
George Washington vs George Mason
George Washington (4-11, 3-5)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #269
— Colonials lost four of their last five games.
— Last two games, GW scored 58-41 points.
— GW is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#250).
— GW went W-L in this tournament six of last seven years.
George Mason (12-8, 8-6)
— ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #23
— Patriots won their last four games, including a win here over VCU.
— Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
— Patriots won four of five games vs teams outside top 200.
— Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.
— George Washington won 11 of last 15 series games.
Rhode Island @ Dayton
Rhode Island (10-14, 7-10)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #306
— Rams lost six of their last seven games.
— Rhode Island is 4-8 vs top 100 teams.
— Rams have #230 eFG% in country (30.9% on arc, #290)
— Last four years, URI is 7-2 in this event (DNP LY)
Dayton (13-8, 9-7)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #225
— Dayton lost four of its last seven games.
— Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#288)
— Dayton has #22 eFG% in country (55.8% inside arc, #18)
— Last four years, Dayton is 0-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.
— These teams split couple games TY; URI’s win was in double OT.
— Dayton won four of last six series games.
Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Southern Illinois vs Bradley
Southern Illinois (11-13, 5-13)
— ranked #198 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #286
— Salukis lost six of their last eight games.
— Last six games, SIU scored only 59 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#309).
— Last eight years, Salukis are 4-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)
Bradley (12-15, 6-12)
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #216
— Bradley lost four of its last five games overall.
— Braves lost six of last seven games away from home.
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#41)
— Bradley won Arch Madness the last two years.
— Teams split pair of games in Peoria, February 6-7.
— Bradley won four of last five series games.
— Braves beat SIU 64-59 in Arch Madness last year.
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa
Illinois State (7-17, 4-14)
— ranked #195 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #262
— Redbirds lost nine of last 11 games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 54.6% inside arc (#313)
— ISU is shooting 65.3% on the foul line (#322)
— Last five years, Redbirds are 7-5 in Arch Madness.
Northern Iowa (9-15, 7-11)
— ranked #159 by KenPom
— Tempo: #149
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #192
— Panthers won three of their last four games.
— You’re reading ************.com
— Opponents are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#303)
— UNI is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
— Last five years, Panthers are 9-3 in Arch Madness.
— UNI swept Illinois State last weekend, 70-56/94-87 2OT
— Panthers won four of last five series games.
OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Murray State vs Jacksonville State
Murray State (13-12, 10-10)
— ranked #157 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #83
— Racers lost three of their last four games.
— Murray is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#286).
— Racers are 2-7 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
— Last 11 years, Racers are 15-7 in OVC tourney, winning it 4 times.
Jacksonville State (17-8, 13-6)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #326
— Jax State won three in row, seven of last eight games.
— Last three games, Gamecocks scored 79.7 ppg.
— Jax State is grabbing 32.4% of its missed shots (#49)
— Last four years, Gamecocks are 5-3 in this event.
— Jax State swept Murray this year, 85-82/87-84
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Murray beat Jax State is two of last three OVC tourneys.
Austin Peay vs Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay (14-12, 10-10)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #136
— Governors lost last three games, by 7-5-8 points.
— Austin Peay has #330 eFG% defense in country.
— Governors are 2-6 vs teams in top 200.
— Last three years, Austin Peay went W-L in OVC tourney.
Eastern Kentucky (21-6, 15-5)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #208
— EKU won three in row, six of last seven games.
— In their last six wins, Eastern Kentucky scored 81+ points.
— Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
— Last six years, EKU is 1-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.
— These teams split couple games this year; road team won both.
— Austin Peay won five of last seven series games.
WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego (3-10, 2-7)
— ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #184
— Toreros lost their last three games, giving up 91 ppg.
— San Diego is 1-10 vs teams ranked in top 300 (beat Santa Clara)
— Opponents are shooting 39.0% on the arc (#337).
— Last seven years, San Diego is 2-7 in WCC tourney.
San Francisco (10-13, 4-9)
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #163
— USF lost its last six games, scoring 66.2 ppg.
— Over half their shots (50.2%) come from behind the arc.
— Dons are 6-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— Last seven years, Dons are 5-7 in WCC tourney.
— Toreros lost 70-62 in San Francisco New Year’s Eve.
— Teams split last 12 series games.
717MONMOUTH -718 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.
719ST PETERS -720 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.
721ST PETERS -722 IONA
IONA is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots since 1997.
723FAIRFIELD -724 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after allowing 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
725MIDDLE TENN ST -726 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
727OKLAHOMA ST -728 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.
729MICHIGAN ST -730 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.
731TCU -732 W VIRGINIA
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
733CANISIUS -734 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.
735VANDERBILT -736 CINCINNATI
VANDERBILT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.