NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, March 2
Baylor @ West Virginia
Baylor (18-1, 10-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #99
— Continuity: #35
— Baylor split two games, after its 21-day pause.
— Bears are forcing turnovers 25.7% of time (#3)
— Baylor is grabbing 36.9% of its missed shots (#5).
West Virginia (17-6, 10-4)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #34
— WVU won three in row, six of last seven games.
— Mountaineers’ last four losses were all by 5 or fewer points.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— WVU is grabbing 35.4% of its missed shots (#16).
— Baylor won three of last four series games.
— Bears lost four of last five visits to Morgantown.
Xavier @ Georgetown
Xavier (13-5, 6-5)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #188
— Xavier lost three of their last five games overall.
— Musketeers are shooting 55.1% inside arc (#24), has #54 eFG%.
— Xavier is 11-2 vs teams outside the top 50.
Georgetown (8-11, 6-8)
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #111
— Experience: #59
— Continuity: #249
— Georgetown won three of its last four games.
— Hoyas are turning ball over 22.6% of time (#323)
— Georgetown is getting 36% of its points on arc (#55) (36.3%, #63)
— Xavier won eight of last nine series games.
— Musketeers won five of last six visits here.
Illinois @ Michigan
Illinois (18-6, 14-4)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #172
— Experience: #219
— Continuity: #47
— Illinois won nine of its last ten games.
— Illini star Dosunmu (nose) isn’t expected to play here.
— Illinois is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#19)
Michigan (18-1, 13-1)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #226
— Experience: #58
— Continuity: #151
— Michigan won its last seven games, giving up 57-57 in last two.
— Michigan is shooting 39% on the arc (#11)
— Wolverines have #2 eFG% defense (#2 inside arc)
— Michigan won six of last nine series games.
— Illini lost five of last six visits to Ann Arbor.
Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State (10-10, 8-10)
— ranked #200 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #302
— Continuity: #301
— Fresno lost three of its last four games overall.
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#295)
— Fresno has #250 eFG% in country (#285 on arc, #185 inside arc).
Boise State (18-6, 14-5)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #246
— Broncos split their last ten games.
— Boise is 11-0 SU at home this season.
— Broncos are #25 in country on defensive boards.
— Bulldogs lost 73-51 in Boise January 20.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Fresno lost 13 of last 15 visits to Boise (2-2 in last four)
Duke @ Georgia Tech
Duke (11-9, 9-7)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #162
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #252
— Duke won four of its last five games.
— Blue Devils are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#38)
— Duke is getting only 13% of its points on foul line (#344)
Georgia Tech (13-8, 9-6)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #9
— Tech won its last four games, giving up 63.8 ppg.
— Yellow Jackets are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#38)
— Tech is shooting 54.5% inside arc (#35)
— Tech lost 75-68 in Durham January 26.
— Duke won last 14 series games.
— Blue Devils won last five visits here, all by 7+ points.
Indiana @ Michigan State
Indiana (12-12, 7-10)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #283
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #81
— Indiana lost its last three games, by 7-11-16 points.
— Hoosiers are shooting 48.6% inside arc (#222).
— Indiana is getting 22% of its points on foul line (#27)
Michigan State (13-10, 7-10)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #77
— Spartans won three of their last four games.
— Michigan State has #234 eFG% in country.
— Spartans are 6-1 last seven times they scored 66+ points.
— Spartans won 78-71 at Indiana February 20.
— Indiana is 4-3 in last seven series games.
— Hoosiers lost four of last five games in Breslin Center.
Memphis @ South Florida
Memphis (14-6, 10-3)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #322
— Continuity: #67
— Memphis won five in row, eight of last nine games.
— Tigers have #3 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis is turning ball over 22.5% of time (#321).
South Florida (8-10, 4-8)
— ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #139
— Continuity: #76
— USF lost five of its last six games.
— Last four home games, Bulls scored only 54.4 ppg.
— USF has #321 eFG%, shooting 42.9% inside arc (#340)
— Bulls lost 58-57 at Memphis December 29.
— Teams split last six meetings.
— Tigers won three of last four visits to Tampa.
Wisconsin @ Purdue
Wisconsin (16-9, 10-8)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #13
— Wisconsin is 4-6 in its last ten games overall.
— Badgers have won four of last six road games.
— Badgers are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#292)
Purdue (16-8, 11-6)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #328
— Continuity: #113
— Purdue won its last three games, by 10-17-21 points.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— In their last three games, Boilers scored 74.3 ppg.
— Purdue is a top 40 rebounding team in country.
— Purdue won six of last eight series games.
— Badgers lost last four games in Mackey Arena, by 11-11-28-19 points.
Kentucky @ Ole Miss
Kentucky (8-14, 7-8)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #339
— Continuity: #342
— Kentucky won three of its last four games.
— Wildcats are grabbing 33.5% of their own missed shots (#31)
— Kentucky has #301 eFG% in country (45.5% inside arc, #311)
Ole Miss (13-10, 8-8)
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #213
— Rebels were on 5-1 roll before losing last game, at Vandy.
— Ole Miss is shooting 28.5% inside arc (#339)
— Ole Miss is forcing turnovers 24% of time (#7)
— Kentucky won last 11 series games.
— Wildcats won last four visits to Oxford, by 13-14-23-4 points.
Horizon tournament (@ campus sites)
Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State
Fort Wayne (8-14, 7-14)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #167
— Mastodons upset Green Bay in double OT Thursday.
— Fort Wayne lost nine of its last eleven games.
— Fort Wayne are turning ball over 24.2% of time (#342)
— Last four years, Mastodons went 2-4 in Summit tourney.
Cleveland State (16-7, 16-4)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #286
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #121
— Cleveland State hasn’t played in ten days.
— Vikings won six of their last eight games.
— Cleveland State is #305 team on defensive boards.
— Last nine years, Vikings are 4-8 in Horizon tourney, 2-5 in first game.
— These teams split pair in Fort Wayne, February 19-20
Detroit @ Northern Kentucky
Detroit (12-9, 11-6)
— ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #206
— Detroit won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Titans are shooting 39% on the arc (#12).
— Detroit has #318 eFG% defense in country.
— Detroit is 3-7 in Horizon tourney, since they won it in 2012.
Northern Kentucky (13-10, 11-7)
— ranked #187 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #171
— NKU won eight of its last ten games.
— Norse is 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Opponents are shooting 35% on arc (#244).
— NKU hasn’t played in ten days; they’ve won this tournament three of last four years.
— NKU is 8-1 vs Detroit in Horizon meetings.
— Titans are 0-4 at NKU, with all four losses by 14+ points.
Milwaukee @ Wright State
Milwaukee (9-11, 8-10)
— ranked #216 by KenPom
— Tempo: #106
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #143
— Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games.
— Opponents are shooting 37.8% on the arc (#321).
— Panthers lost five of their last seven road games.
Wright State (18-5, 16-4)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #94
— Raiders haven’t played in ten days.
— Wright State has #8 eFG% defense in country.
— Raiders won 10 of their last 11 games.
— Last five years, Wright State is 8-4 in this event, winning it in 2018.
— Wright St beat Milwaukee 92-81/92-82 in Dayton, February 12-13.
— Raiders won six of last seven series games.
— Panthers lost last four visits here, by 2-12-11-10 points.
Youngstown State @ Oakland
Youngstown State (15-11, 10-11)
— ranked #226 by KenPom
— Tempo: #207
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #101
— Youngstown won six of its last seven D-I games.
— Penguins have #320 eFG% defense in country.
— YSU is grabbing 33.1% of its missed shots (#39)
— Youngstown is 4-7 in this event, winning twice in 2017.
Oakland (10-17, 10-10)
— ranked #207 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #271
— Continuity: #271
— Oakland lost four of last six games; their last two losses were both in 2OT’s.
— Grizzlies have #338 eFG% defense in country.
— Oakland is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Oakland went W-L in this event the last three years.
— Penguins lost 82-65/81-74 at Oakland, on January 15-16.
— Oakland won four of last five series games.
— Youngstown lost last four visits here, by 4-8-17-7 points.
Nets vs. Heat NBA Prediction The second game of Sunday’s ESPN NBA double header takes basketball fans to Miami where the Heat will host the Nets at 3:30 p.m. ET. The Nets have been a good ATS play against the Heat but will they cover as a 5.5-point favorite today?
Pelicans vs. Knicks NBA Prediction The first game of ESPN’s NBA double header takes place at Madison Square Garden on Sunday where the Knicks will host the Pelicans at 1:00 p.m. ET. What’s the best play on the board when it comes to this matchup?
Tigers vs. A's MLB Prediction The A’s will go for a four-game sweep of the Tigers on Sunday when the two teams meet at 4:07 p.m. ET in Oakland. With Matthew Boyd set to oppose Chris Bassitt in the pitching matchup, are the A’s the best play on the board?
Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Prediction The Dodgers will go for a sweep of their NL West rivals the Padres on Sunday when the division foes meet at 4:10 p.m. ET in San Diego. Will the Dodgers complete the sweep of are the Padres a good bet as an underdog?
Capitals vs. Bruins NHL Prediction The Capitals have been a good bet in previous meetings with the Bruins, but Washington is playing the second game of a back-to-back set and is an underdog. Will the Caps still cash for bettors?
Warriors vs. Celtics NBA Prediction The ABC Saturday night matchup of the week in the NBA will take place in Boston where the Celtics will host the Warriors at 8:30 p.m. ET tonight. Will the Celtics cover as a 4.5-point home favorite or is there a better option on the board?
Jazz vs. Lakers NBA Prediction The Lakers will host the Jazz in a Saturday afternoon matinee when the two teams meet at 4:30 p.m. ET from STAPLES Center in L.A. With the Lakers catching 6.5 as a home dog and the total sitting at 216, what’s the best play when it comes to this matchup?
Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Prediction Following an epic series opener between the two teams on Friday, the Dodgers and Padres will meet again on Saturday night at 8:40 p.m. ET from Petco Park. Will the over cash again for bettors?
Rays vs. Yankees MLB Prediction The Yankees have had all sorts of issues with American League East rival Tampa to start the season and they’ll host the Rays again at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday. Are the Rays another wise bet this afternoon in the Bronx?
Blues vs. Coyotes NHL Prediction The Blues are one spot ahead of the Coyotes for a playoff spot but that could change depending on what happens on Saturday evening in Arizona. Will the Coyotes pull off a small upset against the Blues at 6:00 p.m. ET tonight?
