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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 2/25/21

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 2/25/21

 
Posted : February 25, 2021 8:42 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB Matchups

 
Posted : February 25, 2021 8:44 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 25

Iowa @ Michigan
Iowa (17-6, 11-5)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #48
— Iowa won last four games, scoring 79.5 ppg.
— Hawkeyes are 1-5 if they allow 80+ points, 16-1 if they allow less.
— Iowa is shooting 40.3% on the arc (#4)

Michigan (16-1, 11-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #57
— Continuity: #149
— Michigan won its last five games.
— Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#2)
— You’re reading ************.com
— Michigan is 3-0 since its COVID pause, winning by 8-7-5 points.

— Michigan won five of last seven series games.
— Iowa lost 74-59/103-91 in last two visits here.

Western Kentucky @ Houston
Western Kentucky (15-4)
— ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #91
— Hilltoppers haven’t played in 12 days.
— WKU won its last six games, giving up 65.8 ppg.
— WKU has wins over Memphis/Alabama; are they an at-large team?

Houston (18-3)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #165
— Continuity: #122
— Houston split its last four D-I games.
— Cougars have the best eFG% defense in country.
— Houston is also #1 in country on offensive boards.

UCLA @ Utah
UCLA (16-5, 12-3)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #18
— UCLA won 3 in row overall, but lost 3 of last 4 road games.
— Six of Bruins’ last nine games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— UCLA outscored ASU 10-2 over final 3:56 of their 80-79 home win Saturday.

Utah (9-10, 6-9)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #17
— Utah lost its last three games, scoring 62 ppg.
— This is Utah’s second home game in 40 days.
— Utes are a poor rebounding team (#248 on both ends on boards)

— Utah lost 72-70 at Pauley Pavilion New Year’s Eve.
— UCLA won last three series games.
— Bruins lost four of last six visits to Salt Lake City.

Ohio State @ Michigan State
Ohio State (18-5, 12-5)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #132
— Buckeyes won seven of its last eight games overall.
— Ohio State won their last six road games.
— Buckeyes have #46 eFG% in country.

Michigan State (12-9, 6-9)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #78
— Spartans won four of their last six games.
— MSU shot 54.9% inside arc in Tuesday’s upset of Illinois.
— Spartans have #219 eFG% in country (#227 inside arc).

— Spartans lost 79-62 in Columbus January 31.
— Michigan State won four of last five series games.
— Buckeyes lost their last seven visits to East Lansing.

San Francisco @ BYU
San Francisco (10-11, 4-7)
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #81
— Continuity: #165
— USF lost its last four games, all at home, scoring 62.8 ppg.
— Dons split their last four road games.
— Over half the shots they take are 3’s (34.5%, #127)

BYU (17-5, 8-3)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #202
— Experience: #80
— Continuity: #272
— BYU won eight of its last ten games.
— Cougars are shooting 55.4% inside arc (#23)
— BYU is 3-1 at home in WCC (lost to Gonzaga)

— BYU won 72-63 at USF on January 16.
— BYU won 13 of last 16 series games.
— Dons lost seven of last eight visits to Provo.

Oregon @ Stanford
Oregon (14-5, 9-4)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #284
— Oregon won five of its last six games.
— Average total in Ducks’ last four games is 125.2.
— Oregon is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#64)

Stanford (14-9, 10-7)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #74
— Stanford won four of its last six games, lost last one in 3OT’s.
— Cardinal split its four games in Maples Pavilion.
— Stanford turns ball over 21.1% of time (#281)

— Stanford lost 73-56 in Eugene January 2.
— Home side won eight of last nine series games.
— Ducks lost three of last four visits to the Farm.

USC @ Colorado
USC (19-4, 13-3)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #321
— USC won eight of its last nine games.
— Trojans won their last four road games.
— Opponents are shooting 42.2% on arc (#3)

Colorado (17-7, 11-6)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #89
— Colorado won four of its last six games.
— Buffaloes won six of seven Pac-12 home games.
— Last three games, Colorado scored only 59.7 ppg.

— Buffs won 72-62 at the Galen Center on New Year’s Eve.
— Colorado won last five series games.
— Trojans lost 78-67/70-66 in last two visits to Boulder.

LMU @ Pepperdine
LMU (11-7, 6-4)
— ranked #115 by KenPom
— Tempo: #225
— Experience: #150
— Continuity: #211
— LMU won four of its last five games.
— Lions are turning ball over 23.3% of time (#332)
— LMU is #3 in country on defensive boards.

Pepperdine (10-10, 6-5)
— ranked #113 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #112
— Continuity: #61
— Waves lost last two games, by 4-5 points.
— You’re reading ************.com
— Pepperdine won four of their last five home games.
— Waves pass ball well (59.5% of hoops got assists, #29)

— Home side won 10 of last 11 series games.
— LMU lost its last eight visits to Malibu.

Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State (18-4, 14-3)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #69
— Continuity: #246
— Boise swept Utah State LW, has won four in row overall.
— Broncos lost three of their last four road games.
— Boise has #58 eFG% in country (53.2% inside arc, #55)

San Diego State (17-4, 11-3)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #149
— Aztecs won last eight games, all vs cruddy teams.
— San Diego State forces turnovers 23.0% of time (#18)
— San Diego State is shooting 38.7% on the arc (#15).

— Aztecs won last four series games.
— Boise lost last three visits to Viejas, by 8-6-18 points.

Horizon League tournament (@ campus sites)
Robert Morris @ Detroit
Robert Morris (18-5, 13-1)
— ranked #290 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #155
— Robert Morris lost 11 of its last 12 games (4 of 11 losses in OT)
— Colonials have #314 eFG% defense in country.
— In their last four games, RMC allowed 83.3 ppg.
— Robert Morris won the NEC tournament LY.

Detroit (11-9, 10-6)
— ranked #147 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #210
— Detroit won 10 of last 12 games, after a 1-7 start.
— Detroit won its last six home games.
— Titans have #332 eFG% defense in country.
— Last four years, Detroit is 0-3 in this event; they DNP last year.
— This is first time since 2013 that Titans were over .500 in Horizon.

— This is Robert Morris’ first year in Horizon.
— Colonials got swept here, 85-74/80-61 just last weekend.

Ill-Chicago @ Youngstown State
Ill-Chicago (9-12, 6-10)
— ranked #271 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #226
— Flames lost eight of their last nine games.
— UIC gets only 13.4% of its points on foul line (#341)
— Flames are shooting 32.6% on arc (#231), 65.5% on line (#316)
— UIC lost in finals of this event LY; they’re 6-6 in last six Horizon tourneys.

Youngstown State (14-11, 9-11)
— ranked #242 by KenPom
— Tempo: #208
— Experience: #211
— Continuity: #102
— Penguins won five of their last six D-I games.
— Youngstown grabs 33.4% of its missed shots (#37)
— Penguins have #326 eFG% defense in country.
— Last seven years, Youngstown is 3-7 in this tournament.

— Flames split pair of games at Youngstown in mid-January
— Teams split last six series games.
— UIC won three of last four visits to Youngstown.

Fort Wayne @ Green Bay
Fort Wayne (7-14, 6-14)
— ranked #286 by KenPom
— Tempo: #93
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #166
— Mastodons lost nine of their last ten games.
— Fort Wayne is turning ball over 24.7% of time (#344)
— Mastodons are shooting 57.7% inside arc (#8), 39.3% on arc (#9)
— Last six years, Fort Wayne was 3-6 in Summit tournament.

Green Bay (8-16, 8-12)
— ranked #236 by KenPom
— Tempo: #279
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #299
— Green Bay is 8-7 in its last 15 games, after an 0-9 start.
— Phoenix won six of their last seven home games.
— Opponents are shooting 35.7% on arc (#269).
— Last three years, Green Bay went W-L in Horizon tourney.

— Fort Wayne got swept here, 77-59/87-73 in late January.

IUPUI @ Milwaukee
IUPUI (8-9, 7-9)
— ranked #256 by KenPom
— Tempo: #28
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #76
— Jaguars won three of their last four games.
— IUPUI won four of its last six road games.
— Opponents are shooting 56.5% inside arc (#339)
— Last nine years, IUPUI is 1-9 in conference tourneys.

Milwaukee (8-11, 7-10)
— ranked #227 by KenPom
— Tempo: #104
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #141
— Milwaukee lost five of its last six games.
— Panthers have #285 eFG% defense in country.
— Average total in their last four games, 172.3.
— Last three years, Milwaukee is 1-2 in this event.

— Milwaukee split pair of games at IUPUI in late January.
— Milwaukee won five of last seven series games.
— IUPUI lost last three visits here, by 1-12-4 points.

 
Posted : February 25, 2021 8:44 am
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727MIAMI OHIO -728 W MICHIGAN
MIAMI OHIO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game since 1997.

729E MICHIGAN -730 OHIO U
OHIO U is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

735TENN-MARTIN -736 SIU EDWARDSVL
TENN-MARTIN is 7-28 ATS (-23.8 Units) as a road underdog or pick in the last 3 seasons.

737IOWA -738 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

739WASHINGTON -740 ARIZONA ST
ARIZONA ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

741TENNESSEE ST -742 MOREHEAD ST
TENNESSEE ST is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after a conference game in the last 3 seasons.

743COLL OF CHARLESTON -744 UNC-WILMINGTON
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 61-32 ATS (25.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

749W KENTUCKY -750 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the current season.

751BELMONT -752 E KENTUCKY
E KENTUCKY is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

753UCLA -754 UTAH
UCLA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

 
Posted : February 25, 2021 8:45 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAB

Thursday, February 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami-Ohio @ Western Michigan
Miami-Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami-Ohio's last 10 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Western Michigan's last 10 games when playing Miami-Ohio
Western Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami-Ohio

Eastern Michigan @ Ohio
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 11 games when playing Ohio
Ohio
Ohio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Central Michigan @ Buffalo
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Central Michigan's last 15 games when playing Buffalo
Central Michigan is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Michigan

Tennessee-Martin @ Southern Illinois-Edwardsville
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee-Martin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Illinois
Tennessee-Martin is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Illinois-Edwardsville's last 7 games when playing Tennessee-Martin
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Illinois-Edwardsville's last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee-Martin

St. Francis-Brooklyn @ Merrimack
St. Francis-Brooklyn
No trends to report
Merrimack
No trends to report

Tennessee State @ Morehead State
Tennessee State
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tennessee State's last 16 games on the road
Tennessee State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Morehead State
Morehead State
Morehead State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Morehead State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Wagner @ Central Connecticut State
Wagner
No trends to report
Central Connecticut State
No trends to report

LIU-Brooklyn @ Bryant
LIU-Brooklyn
No trends to report
Bryant
No trends to report

Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart
Fairleigh Dickinson
No trends to report
Sacred Heart
No trends to report

Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis-Pennsylvania
Mount St. Mary's
No trends to report
St. Francis-Pennsylvania
No trends to report

Iowa @ Michigan
Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games on the road
Iowa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Iowa

Washington @ Arizona State
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
Washington is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Arizona State
Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona State's last 16 games at home

Florida A&M @ South Carolina State
Florida A&M
No trends to report
South Carolina State
No trends to report

Nebraska @ Illinois
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games when playing Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games on the road
Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Illinois's last 8 games at home
Illinois is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Nebraska

Western Kentucky @ Houston
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Robert Morris @ Detroit
Robert Morris
No trends to report
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Belmont @ Eastern Kentucky
Belmont
Belmont is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Kentucky
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Kentucky's last 6 games when playing at home against Belmont

UCLA @ Utah
UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games when playing Utah
UCLA is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against UCLA
Utah is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home

UIC @ Youngstown State
UIC
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UIC's last 7 games when playing on the road against Youngstown State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UIC's last 5 games on the road
Youngstown State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Youngstown State's last 7 games when playing at home against UIC
Youngstown State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

IUPUI @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee
IUPUI
The total has gone OVER in 17 of IUPUI's last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of IUPUI's last 6 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing IUPUI

IPFW @ Wisconsin-Green Bay
IPFW
IPFW is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
IPFW is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Weber State @ Sacramento State
Weber State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Weber State's last 13 games when playing Sacramento State
Sacramento State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento State's last 5 games when playing at home against Weber State
Sacramento State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
No trends to report
Texas Southern
No trends to report

Portland State @ Northern Colorado
Portland State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing Portland State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland State

Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois
Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southeast Missouri State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Illinois's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Illinois's last 6 games when playing at home against Southeast Missouri St

Murray State @ Jacksonville State
Murray State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Murray State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville Stat
Murray State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville State's last 8 games when playing at home against Murray State
Jacksonville State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Murray State

Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine
Loyola Marymount
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola Marymount's last 6 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Pepperdine
Pepperdine is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Loyola Marymount
Pepperdine is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Portland @ San Diego
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Montana @ Idaho State
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho State
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Idaho State
Idaho State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho State's last 5 games when playing at home against Montana

Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech
Austin Peay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Austin Peay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Austin Peay's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee Tech's last 6 games at home
Tennessee Tech is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Austin Peay

Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boise State's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
Boise State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State

Ohio State @ Michigan State
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio State
Michigan State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Ohio State

Northwestern @ Minnesota
Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Oregon @ Stanford
Oregon
Oregon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Oregon is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Stanford
Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games at home
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon

USC @ Colorado
USC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of USC's last 5 games when playing Colorado
USC is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing USC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing USC

San Francisco @ BYU
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against BYU
BYU
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
BYU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Oregon State @ California
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State's last 7 games when playing on the road against California
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State's last 7 games when playing California
California
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of California's last 7 games when playing Oregon State

Pacific @ Saint Mary's-California
Pacific
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pacific's last 6 games on the road
Pacific is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pacific
Saint Mary's-California is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Pacific

Washington State @ Arizona
Washington State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington State's last 12 games on the road
Washington State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Washington State

 
Posted : February 25, 2021 8:45 am
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