NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 1/19/21

Tuesday 1/19/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NBA, & NCAAB games

601UNC-WILMINGTON -602 TOWSON ST
UNC-WILMINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

605PURDUE -606 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

607KANSAS ST -608 OKLAHOMA
KANSAS ST is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game since 1997.

609BALL ST -610 MIAMI OHIO
MIAMI OHIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

611MARYLAND -612 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

611MARYLAND -612 MICHIGAN
Juwan Howard is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers (Coach of MICHIGAN)

613BUTLER -614 DEPAUL
BUTLER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

615MIAMI -616 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

617AKRON -618 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

619TENNESSEE -620 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 19

Purdue @ Ohio State
Purdue (10-5, 5-3)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #127
— Purdue won last three games, scoring 80-81 points in last two.
— Boilers are 2-4 in true road games, winning at Michigan State/Indiana
— 45.8% of opponents’ shots are from behind arc (#335)

Ohio State (11-3, 5-3)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #91
— Continuity: #168
— Ohio State won its last three games, scoring 82.3 ppg.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Buckeyes get 23.3% of their points on foul line (#25)
— Ohio State is shooting 34.1% on arc (#155).

— Purdue beat Ohio State 67-60 at home December 16.
— Boilers won five of last seven series games.
— Purdue won two of last three visits to Columbus.

Kansas State @ Oklahoma
Kansas State (5-9, 1-5)
— ranked #155 by KenPom
— Tempo: #339
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #281
— Wildcats lost last four games, scoring 63 ppg.
— K-State has #323 eFG% in country.
— Wildcats are 1-7 vs top 100 teams; their best win is #95 Iowa State.

Oklahoma (7-4, 3-3)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #51
— Sooners lost three of their last five games.
— Oklahoma is 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100; all four wins were by 14+.
— Sooners scored 62.3 ppg in three Big X losses; 82-75-82 in wins.

— K-State is 8-4 in last dozen series games.
— Wildcats lost four of their last five visits to Norman.

Maryland @ Michigan
Maryland (8-6, 2-5)
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #151
— Continuity: #104
— Terps lost six of last nine D-I games.
— Maryland actually has road wins at Wisconsin, Illinois.
— Terps have #44 eFG% in country.

Michigan (11-1, 6-1)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #229
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #150
— Michigan had its first loss Saturday, at Minnesota
— Wolverines are 4-0 at home in Big 14 (3 wins by 19+ points)
— Michigan shot 75% inside arc in in 84-73 win at Maryland Dec 31st.

— Michigan won five of last six series games.
— Terps lost last two visits to Ann Arbor, 85-61/65-52.

Butler @ DePaul
Butler (4-7, 3-5)
— ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #243
— Continuity: #260
— Butler is 0-4 on Big East road, with three losses by 12+ points.
— Bulldogs are 0-7 when they allow more than 66 points.
— Butler has #290 eFG% defense in country.

DePaul (2-4, 0-4)
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #30
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #178
— DePaul’s two wins are over teams #333/#193.
— Blue Demons lost their two Big East home games, by 8-7 points.
— DePaul is turning ball over 24.0% of time (#340).

— Butler won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Butler lost 79-66 here LY, their first loss in last seven visits here.

Tennessee @ Florida
Tennessee (10-1, 4-1)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #229
— Continuity: #94
— Vols’ only loss was 71-63 at home to Alabama.
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 25.4% of time (#8)
— Vols have SEC road wins by 20-14 points, at Mizzou/Texas A&M.

Florida (6-4, 3-3)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #183
— Florida lost three of its last four games.
— SEC opponents are shooting 38.7% on arc (#13 of 14)
— Florida is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time

— Tennessee won last four series games.
— Vols lost three of last four visits to Gainesville.

South Carolina @ Missouri
South Carolina (3-3, 1-1)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #21
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #97
— Carolina is 0-2 on road, losing by 10 at Houston, 5 at LSU.
— Gamecocks are turning ball over 22.1% of time (#292)
— Carolina’s best win was 69-58 over #81 Tulsa.

Missouri (8-2, 2-2)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #160
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #6
— Mizzou was held to 53-63 points in its two losses.
— Tigers are shooting 27.3% on the arc (#330).
— Mizzou has #14 eFG% defense in country.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Gamecocks lost four of last five visits to Mizzou.

USC @ Oregon State
USC (11-2, 5-1)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #330
— Trojans swept first two Pac-12 road games, by 14-9 points.
— Opponents are shooting 40.4% inside arc (#4).
— USC is the tallest team in the country.

Oregon State (6-5, 2-3)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #81
— Continuity: #152
— Beavers split their four Pac-12 home games.
— Oregon State allowed 86 ppg in their last three games overall.
— Beavers have #285 eFG% in country.

— USC won seven of last nine series games.
— Trojans won three of last four visits to Corvallis.

Penn State @ Illinois
Penn State (3-5, 0-4)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #44
— Continuity: #44
— Penn State has three losses by 4 or fewer points, or in OT.
— PSU is 1-3 in true road games; only win was at #36 Virginia Tech
— To this point, Penn State has played 2nd-hardest schedule in country.

Illinois (9-5, 5-3)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #222
— Continuity: #43
— Illinois lost last two games, by 3-6 points, both at home.
— Illini has #12 eFG% in country, shooting 40.5% on arc (#8).
— Illinois is only 6-5 vs top 100 teams.

— Penn State won six of last seven series games.
— Nittany Lions won last two visits here, by 13-7 points.

Colorado State @ Utah State
Colorado State (10-2, 7-1)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #48
— Rams won last four games, scoring 83.8 ppg.
— CSU’s only league loss was 78-65 at San Diego State, where they split a pair.
— Rams split four true road games, also losing 53-33 at Saint Mary’s.

Utah State (11-3, 8-0)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #142
— Aggies are 4-0 in Mountain West home tilts (three wins by 12+).
— Utah State is giving up only 51.3 ppg in league games.
— Aggies lost three of their five top 100 games.

— Utah State won last five series games.
— Rams lost last two visits to Logan, by 15-16 points.

Seton Hall @ Villanova
Seton Hall (9-5, 6-2)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #244
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #126
— Pirates won eight of their last ten games.
— Seton Hall is 3-1 on Big East road, losing 89-53 at Creighton.
— Pirates get 23.0% of their points on foul line (#27).

Villanova (8-1, 3-0)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #351
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #8
— Villanova hasn’t played since December 23.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wildcats’ one loss was in OT to Virginia Tech, on a neutral floor.
— Villanova has #22 eFG% in country.

— Villanova won eight of last ten series games.
— Pirates won 70-64 here LY, their only win here since 2004 (1-11)

Duke @ Pittsburgh
Duke (5-3, 3-1)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #187
— Experience: #342
— Continuity: #250
— Blue Devils lost three of their five top 100 games.
— Duke split two road tilts, losing at Va Tech, winning 75-65 at Notre Dame.
— Duke has #256 eFG% defense in country.

Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-1)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #139
— Pitt has #17 eFG% defense in country.
— Panthers are 4-1 in top 100 games, losing to Louisville by 10.
— Their best player Champagnie returned to lineup last game, scoring 24 points.

— Duke won seven of last eight series games.
— Blue Devils won two of last three visits to Pittsburgh.

Alabama @ LSU
Alabama (11-3, 6-0)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #162
— Alabama won last seven games, after a 4-3 start.
— Crimson Tide scored 88.8 ppg in last four games.
— Alabama gets 38.0% of its points on the arc (#34).

LSU (10-2, 5-1)
— ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #41
— Continuity: #13
— LSU won its last four games, scoring 86.5 ppg.
— Tigers are 4-0 in SEC home games, winning by 23-2-16-5 points.
— LSU has #20 eFG% in country- they’re shooting 56.9% inside arc (#21).

— LSU won three of last four series games.
— Alabama lost 88-79/90-76 in last two visits here.

Ole Miss @ Mississippi State
Ole Miss (6-6, 1-4)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #99
— Continuity: #184
— Ole Miss lost its last three games, giving up 75 ppg.
— Rebels lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
— Ole Miss lost its last three road games, by 3-18-9 points.

Mississippi State (9-5, 4-2)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #314
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs won eight of their last 11 games.
— Miss State split its four SEC home games.
— Bulldogs are grabbing 38.6% of their own missed shots (#5).

— Teams split last six series games.
— Teams also split last six meetings in Starkville.

NCAAB Matchups