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Tuesday 1/19/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NBA, & NCAAB games
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601UNC-WILMINGTON -602 TOWSON ST
UNC-WILMINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons. 605PURDUE -606 OHIO ST OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. 607KANSAS ST -608 OKLAHOMA KANSAS ST is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game since 1997. 609BALL ST -610 MIAMI OHIO MIAMI OHIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons. 611MARYLAND -612 MICHIGAN MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. 611MARYLAND -612 MICHIGAN Juwan Howard is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers (Coach of MICHIGAN) 613BUTLER -614 DEPAUL BUTLER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 615MIAMI -616 SYRACUSE SYRACUSE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons. 617AKRON -618 BOWLING GREEN BOWLING GREEN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the last 3 seasons. 619TENNESSEE -620 FLORIDA FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game in the last 3 seasons. |
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up Tuesday, January 19 Purdue @ Ohio State Purdue (10-5, 5-3) — ranked #26 by KenPom — Tempo: #275 — Experience: #329 — Continuity: #127 — Purdue won last three games, scoring 80-81 points in last two. — Boilers are 2-4 in true road games, winning at Michigan State/Indiana — 45.8% of opponents’ shots are from behind arc (#335) Ohio State (11-3, 5-3) — ranked #16 by KenPom — Tempo: #296 — Experience: #91 — Continuity: #168 — Ohio State won its last three games, scoring 82.3 ppg. — You’re reading ***************.com — Buckeyes get 23.3% of their points on foul line (#25) — Ohio State is shooting 34.1% on arc (#155). — Purdue beat Ohio State 67-60 at home December 16. — Boilers won five of last seven series games. — Purdue won two of last three visits to Columbus. Kansas State @ Oklahoma Kansas State (5-9, 1-5) — ranked #155 by KenPom — Tempo: #339 — Experience: #331 — Continuity: #281 — Wildcats lost last four games, scoring 63 ppg. — K-State has #323 eFG% in country. — Wildcats are 1-7 vs top 100 teams; their best win is #95 Iowa State. Oklahoma (7-4, 3-3) — ranked #28 by KenPom — Tempo: #213 — Experience: #65 — Continuity: #51 — Sooners lost three of their last five games. — Oklahoma is 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100; all four wins were by 14+. — Sooners scored 62.3 ppg in three Big X losses; 82-75-82 in wins. — K-State is 8-4 in last dozen series games. — Wildcats lost four of their last five visits to Norman. Maryland @ Michigan Maryland (8-6, 2-5) — ranked #45 by KenPom — Tempo: #292 — Experience: #151 — Continuity: #104 — Terps lost six of last nine D-I games. — Maryland actually has road wins at Wisconsin, Illinois. — Terps have #44 eFG% in country. Michigan (11-1, 6-1) — ranked #5 by KenPom — Tempo: #229 — Experience: #72 — Continuity: #150 — Michigan had its first loss Saturday, at Minnesota — Wolverines are 4-0 at home in Big 14 (3 wins by 19+ points) — Michigan shot 75% inside arc in in 84-73 win at Maryland Dec 31st. — Michigan won five of last six series games. — Terps lost last two visits to Ann Arbor, 85-61/65-52. Butler @ DePaul Butler (4-7, 3-5) — ranked #91 by KenPom — Tempo: #308 — Experience: #243 — Continuity: #260 — Butler is 0-4 on Big East road, with three losses by 12+ points. — Bulldogs are 0-7 when they allow more than 66 points. — Butler has #290 eFG% defense in country. DePaul (2-4, 0-4) — ranked #89 by KenPom — Tempo: #30 — Experience: #144 — Continuity: #178 — DePaul’s two wins are over teams #333/#193. — Blue Demons lost their two Big East home games, by 8-7 points. — DePaul is turning ball over 24.0% of time (#340). — Butler won 12 of last 13 series games. — Butler lost 79-66 here LY, their first loss in last seven visits here. Tennessee @ Florida Tennessee (10-1, 4-1) — ranked #6 by KenPom — Tempo: #309 — Experience: #229 — Continuity: #94 — Vols’ only loss was 71-63 at home to Alabama. — Tennessee is forcing turnovers 25.4% of time (#8) — Vols have SEC road wins by 20-14 points, at Mizzou/Texas A&M. Florida (6-4, 3-3) — ranked #37 by KenPom — Tempo: #92 — Experience: #248 — Continuity: #183 — Florida lost three of its last four games. — SEC opponents are shooting 38.7% on arc (#13 of 14) — Florida is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time — Tennessee won last four series games. — Vols lost three of last four visits to Gainesville. South Carolina @ Missouri South Carolina (3-3, 1-1) — ranked #62 by KenPom — Tempo: #21 — Experience: #233 — Continuity: #97 — Carolina is 0-2 on road, losing by 10 at Houston, 5 at LSU. — Gamecocks are turning ball over 22.1% of time (#292) — Carolina’s best win was 69-58 over #81 Tulsa. Missouri (8-2, 2-2) — ranked #38 by KenPom — Tempo: #160 — Experience: #8 — Continuity: #6 — Mizzou was held to 53-63 points in its two losses. — Tigers are shooting 27.3% on the arc (#330). — Mizzou has #14 eFG% defense in country. — Teams split last six series games. — Gamecocks lost four of last five visits to Mizzou. USC @ Oregon State USC (11-2, 5-1) — ranked #20 by KenPom — Tempo: #180 — Experience: #182 — Continuity: #330 — Trojans swept first two Pac-12 road games, by 14-9 points. — Opponents are shooting 40.4% inside arc (#4). — USC is the tallest team in the country. Oregon State (6-5, 2-3) — ranked #153 by KenPom — Tempo: #335 — Experience: #81 — Continuity: #152 — Beavers split their four Pac-12 home games. — Oregon State allowed 86 ppg in their last three games overall. — Beavers have #285 eFG% in country. — USC won seven of last nine series games. — Trojans won three of last four visits to Corvallis. Penn State @ Illinois Penn State (3-5, 0-4) — ranked #47 by KenPom — Tempo: #186 — Experience: #44 — Continuity: #44 — Penn State has three losses by 4 or fewer points, or in OT. — PSU is 1-3 in true road games; only win was at #36 Virginia Tech — To this point, Penn State has played 2nd-hardest schedule in country. Illinois (9-5, 5-3) — ranked #10 by KenPom — Tempo: #85 — Experience: #222 — Continuity: #43 — Illinois lost last two games, by 3-6 points, both at home. — Illini has #12 eFG% in country, shooting 40.5% on arc (#8). — Illinois is only 6-5 vs top 100 teams. — Penn State won six of last seven series games. — Nittany Lions won last two visits here, by 13-7 points. Colorado State @ Utah State Colorado State (10-2, 7-1) — ranked #78 by KenPom — Tempo: #96 — Experience: #315 — Continuity: #48 — Rams won last four games, scoring 83.8 ppg. — CSU’s only league loss was 78-65 at San Diego State, where they split a pair. — Rams split four true road games, also losing 53-33 at Saint Mary’s. Utah State (11-3, 8-0) — ranked #48 by KenPom — Tempo: #140 — Experience: #267 — Continuity: #142 — Aggies are 4-0 in Mountain West home tilts (three wins by 12+). — Utah State is giving up only 51.3 ppg in league games. — Aggies lost three of their five top 100 games. — Utah State won last five series games. — Rams lost last two visits to Logan, by 15-16 points. Seton Hall @ Villanova Seton Hall (9-5, 6-2) — ranked #44 by KenPom — Tempo: #244 — Experience: #19 — Continuity: #126 — Pirates won eight of their last ten games. — Seton Hall is 3-1 on Big East road, losing 89-53 at Creighton. — Pirates get 23.0% of their points on foul line (#27). Villanova (8-1, 3-0) — ranked #4 by KenPom — Tempo: #351 — Experience: #137 — Continuity: #8 — Villanova hasn’t played since December 23. — You’re reading ***************.com — Wildcats’ one loss was in OT to Virginia Tech, on a neutral floor. — Villanova has #22 eFG% in country. — Villanova won eight of last ten series games. — Pirates won 70-64 here LY, their only win here since 2004 (1-11) Duke @ Pittsburgh Duke (5-3, 3-1) — ranked #24 by KenPom — Tempo: #187 — Experience: #342 — Continuity: #250 — Blue Devils lost three of their five top 100 games. — Duke split two road tilts, losing at Va Tech, winning 75-65 at Notre Dame. — Duke has #256 eFG% defense in country. Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-1) — ranked #66 by KenPom — Tempo: #119 — Experience: #325 — Continuity: #139 — Pitt has #17 eFG% defense in country. — Panthers are 4-1 in top 100 games, losing to Louisville by 10. — Their best player Champagnie returned to lineup last game, scoring 24 points. — Duke won seven of last eight series games. — Blue Devils won two of last three visits to Pittsburgh. Alabama @ LSU Alabama (11-3, 6-0) — ranked #17 by KenPom — Tempo: #15 — Experience: #124 — Continuity: #162 — Alabama won last seven games, after a 4-3 start. — Crimson Tide scored 88.8 ppg in last four games. — Alabama gets 38.0% of its points on the arc (#34). LSU (10-2, 5-1) — ranked #43 by KenPom — Tempo: #325 — Experience: #41 — Continuity: #13 — LSU won its last four games, scoring 86.5 ppg. — Tigers are 4-0 in SEC home games, winning by 23-2-16-5 points. — LSU has #20 eFG% in country- they’re shooting 56.9% inside arc (#21). — LSU won three of last four series games. — Alabama lost 88-79/90-76 in last two visits here. Ole Miss @ Mississippi State Ole Miss (6-6, 1-4) — ranked #60 by KenPom — Tempo: #272 — Experience: #99 — Continuity: #184 — Ole Miss lost its last three games, giving up 75 ppg. — Rebels lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start. — Ole Miss lost its last three road games, by 3-18-9 points. Mississippi State (9-5, 4-2) — ranked #69 by KenPom — Tempo: #314 — Experience: #299 — Continuity: #253 — Bulldogs won eight of their last 11 games. — Miss State split its four SEC home games. — Bulldogs are grabbing 38.6% of their own missed shots (#5). — Teams split last six series games. — Teams also split last six meetings in Starkville. |
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