Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 9/8/20
NBA public betting, line movement September 8
Patrick Everson
LeBron James and the Lakers meet Jeff Green and the Rockets on Tuesday in Game 3 of the Western Conference semifinals. The SuperBook opened Los Angeles 5.5-point chalk and moved to -5.
NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs roll on with a pair of conference semifinal games on the Tuesday docket. The Los Angeles Lakers meet the Houston Rockets in a prime-time Game 3, preceded by Game 5 of the Miami Heat-Milwaukee Bucks series.
The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups.
NBA line movement
After getting dumped by 15 in Game 1, the Lakers fended off the Rockets 117-109 in Game 2 to draw even in the best-of-7 series. For Game 3, Los Angeles opened as a 5.5-point favorite, the line ticked to -5 Monday morning and stuck there through Monday night at The SuperBook. The total opened at 224 and reached 225.5 in fairly short order before dialing back to 225 late Monday night.
Milwaukee lost Giannis Antetokounmpo to a sprained ankle in the first half of Sunday’s Game 4, yet stunningly avoided a series sweep. The Bucks forced overtime against the Heat and ultimately prevailed 118-115 to move within 3-1 in the best-of-7 series.
Antetokounmpo is questionable for Tuesday’s 6:30 p.m. ET start, but the line movement would indicate bettors and oddsmakers expect him to play. The SuperBook opened at Heat -3, initially moved to -3.5, then dialed down to -2 by Monday night.
NBA public betting
The Consensus, often a good indicator of public betting, is once again on the Rockets, with Houston landing 60 percent of early picks against the Lakers. Heat-Bucks was almost dead two-way late Monday evening, with a slight lean to Miami, which was grabbing 52 percent of Consensus picks.
705MIAMI -706 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
707LA LAKERS -708 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.
NBA
Dunkel
Tuesday, September 8
Miami @ Milwaukee
Game 705-706
September 8, 2020 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Miami
121.861
Milwaukee
120.952
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3
217
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+3); Over
LA Lakers @ Houston
Game 707-708
September 8, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
119.306
Houston
119.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 5
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+5); Under
NBA
Long Sheet
Tuesday, September 8
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MIAMI (51 - 30) vs. MILWAUKEE (61 - 21) - 9/8/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 99-76 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 80-62 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 78-61 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
MIAMI is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 224-274 ATS (-77.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (57 - 21) vs. HOUSTON (49 - 32) - 9/8/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
HOUSTON is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Tuesday, September 8
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Trend Report
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Miami @ Milwaukee
Miami
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Milwaukee is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home
LA Lakers @ Houston
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home