Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 9/3/20
NBA public betting, line movement September 3
Patrick Everson
Kawhi Leonard and Jamal Murray collide when the Clippers face the Nuggets in Thursday's Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals. The SuperBook has Los Angeles an 8.5-point favorite.
NBA betting odds are on the board and getting attention for a pair of conference semifinal playoff games Thursday night. The Denver Nuggets, fresh off an exhilarating series against the Utah Jazz, meet the Los Angeles Clippers in prime time, preceded by Game 3 of the Toronto Raptors-Boston Celtics series.
The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s matchups.
NBA line movement
Denver rallied from a 3-1 series deficit to Utah, winning the final three games to advance to the Western Conference semis. The Nuggets finished with an 80-78 victory in Game 7 Tuesday night. Meanwhile, Los Angeles went six games with Dallas, capped by a 111-97 win Sunday. The SuperBook opened the Clippers -8 and moved to -8.5 by Wednesday afternoon for Thursday’s 9 p.m. ET tipoff.
Defending NBA champion Toronto is already on the ropes in the Eastern Conference semis, trailing Boston 2-0 after a 102-99 loss Tuesday. The Raptors opened -1 at The SuperBook for Game 3, then the game spent a couple of hours at pick ‘em Wednesday before going back to Toronto -1 for a 6:30 p.m. ET start.
NBA public betting
"We're getting early bets on the Raptors -1, some parlay money on the Over, but not a lot," Osterman said of action on the first game, before moving on to the nightcap. "The Clippers are getting bet pretty well on the moneyline. Not much on anything else yet."
The Consensus, often indicative of where the public money is flowing, shows some early belief in the underdog Nuggets to cover the spread. As of Wednesday night, Denver was landing 60 percent of Consensus picks against L.A., while desperate Toronto was drawing 61 percent of early picks against Boston.
733TORONTO -734 BOSTON
BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the current season.
735DENVER -736 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.
NBA
Dunkel
Thursday, September 3
Toronto @ Boston
Game 733-734
September 3, 2020 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
125.405
Boston
128.300
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
214
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+1); Over
Denver @ LA Clippers
Game 735-736
September 3, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Denver
121.779
LA Clippers
121.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
223
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+8 1/2); Under
NBA
Long Sheet
Thursday, September 3
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TORONTO (57 - 21) vs. BOSTON (54 - 24) - 9/3/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 227-278 ATS (-78.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 43-33 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (50 - 30) vs. LA CLIPPERS (53 - 25) - 9/3/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 44-33 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 78-63 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 75-61 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Thursday, September 3
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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games
Denver @ LA Clippers
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver