Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 8/22/20
NBA public betting, line movement for August 22
Patrick Everson
Anthony Davis and Damian Lillard collide again Saturday for Game 3 of the Lakers-Trail Blazers series. The SuperBook has Los Angeles a 7-point favorite, and early action is on the Lakers.
NBA betting odds are up for Saturday’s contests, a quartet of Game 3s in the first round of the NBA playoffs. The Los Angeles Lakers and Portland Trail Blazers are back at it in the marquee matchup, in a prime-time tipoff.
The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s matchups.
NBA line movement
The top-seeded Lakers rebounded from a Game 1 loss by thumping the Blazers 111-88 as 7-point favorites Thursday night. For Game 3, The SuperBook opened Los Angeles -7.5 Friday morning, then moved to -7 for a short stretch Friday afternoon before going back to the opener. Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET.
In a 6 p.m. ET start, the Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder meet in Game 3, with the Rockets leading the best-of-7 series 2-0. The Rockets again won’t have Russell Westbrook (strained quad), though that hasn’t hindered Houston so far. James Harden and Co. opened 3-point favorites, and the line was stuck there Friday night.
Like the Lakers, the top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks got upended in Game 1 against the Orlando Magic, then won Game 2 111-96 as 13.5-point favorites Thursday. The Bucks opened -12.5 late Thursday night and hadn’t moved by late Friday night, for a 1 p.m. ET tipoff.
NBA public betting
Derek Wilkinson, executive manager of operations for The SuperBook, said the early Lakers-Blazers action has provided zero surprises.
“As predicted, it’s been all Lakers money so far, both moneyline and spread. That line will probably go up more,” Wilkinson said, before moving on to Rockets-Thunder. “Hardly any bets so far, but it’s been a lot of small parlays with the Rockets and Over.”
The total opened 224, spent a few hours at 224.5, then went back to 224 Friday.
731MILWAUKEE -732 ORLANDO
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
733INDIANA -734 MIAMI
MIAMI is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
735HOUSTON -736 OKLAHOMA CITY
HOUSTON is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more in the current season.
737LA LAKERS -738 PORTLAND
LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.
NBA
Long Sheet
Saturday, August 22
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MILWAUKEE (57 - 18) vs. ORLANDO (34 - 41) - 8/22/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 96-72 ATS (+16.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 80-60 ATS (+14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 85-63 ATS (+15.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 77-58 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 75-57 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
ORLANDO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 10-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (45 - 30) vs. MIAMI (46 - 29) - 8/22/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (46 - 28) vs. OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 30) - 8/22/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (53 - 20) vs. PORTLAND (37 - 40) - 8/22/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
PORTLAND is 33-41 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-5 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Saturday, August 22
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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ Orlando
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Orlando's last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Indiana @ Miami
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Houston @ Oklahoma City
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Lakers @ Portland
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
NBA
Dunkel
Saturday, August 22
Milwaukee @ Orlando
Game 731-732
August 22, 2020 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.550
Orlando
109.538
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 16
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 12
225
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-12); Over
Indiana @ Miami
Game 733-734
August 22, 2020 @ 3:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
111.791
Miami
124.896
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 13
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5
214
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-5); Over
Houston @ Oklahoma City
Game 735-736
August 22, 2020 @ 6:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston
118.164
Oklahoma City
112.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Over
LA Lakers @ Portland
Game 737-738
August 22, 2020 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
118.057
Portland
118.240
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
Even
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 7 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+7 1/2); Under