Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 8/1/20
NBA public betting, line movement, sharp money for August 1
Patrick Everson
Anthony Davis and the Lakers beat the Clippers on opening night in the NBA Bubble. The Lakers opened as 3.5-point favorites against the Raptors and moved to -4 for a Saturday night game.
NBA betting odds are on the board for Day 3 inside the NBA Bubble, with five games on the Saturday slate in Orlando. Among the highlights is the defending NBA champion Raptors squaring off against the Lakers.
CG Technology sportsbooks risk analyst Dave Sharapan provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s matchups. Covers will update this action report with NBA sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.
NBA line movement
The Lakers are coming off a 103-101 win over the Clippers on Thursday’s opening night in the NBA Bubble. CG Tech books opened the Lakers -3.5 and moved to -4 Friday for Saturday’s 8:30 p.m. ET nightcap.
The Clippers and Pelicans also return for their second game of the restart, a 6 p.m. ET matchup. Los Angeles is holding steady as a 5.5-point favorite at CG Tech. The 76ers-Pacers 7 p.m. ET tilt opened Philadelphia -4, moved to -5, back to -4, then back to -5 Friday.
Also, generally speaking, bettors are firing like mad on Overs since the NBA restart began.
“The story of NBA Bubble betting so far is the totals being bet one way – Over, and then Over, and then Over again,” Sharapan said. “Totals are moving 5 to 8 points, like it’s the Showtime Era again.”
NBA sharp money
“Sharp play took Pacers +5, so we went back to -4,” Sharapan said of the back-and-forth movement on the Sixers-Pacers line.
NBA public betting
No surprise that public betting is on the Lakers so far.
“No significant wagers, just a steady flow of Laker money,” Sharapan said, before pointing to yet another total on the move. “The total was 213.5, we took a limit play from a stranger on the Over, and it’s now 215.”
Pelicans-Clippers has minimal action, but Sharapan said there are far more parlays on the Clippers than the Pelicans. He also expects to see some New Orleans money Saturday and perhaps a line drop.
Sixers-Pacers is Pros vs. Joes, with the public playing the Sixers -4. Public bettors are also on the Over, with the total opening at 211 and rising to 216. Sharapan said the Heat-Nuggets total went from 210 to 212.5 in the day’s first game, a 1 p.m. ET tipoff.
717MIAMI -718 DENVER
DENVER is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
719UTAH -720 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.
721NEW ORLEANS -722 LA CLIPPERS
NEW ORLEANS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
723PHILADELPHIA -724 INDIANA
PHILADELPHIA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.
725LA LAKERS -726 TORONTO
LA LAKERS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent in the current season.
NBA
Long Sheet
Saturday, August 1
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MIAMI (41 - 24) vs. DENVER (43 - 22) - 8/1/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UTAH (42 - 23) vs. OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 24) - 8/1/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 93-71 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ORLEANS (28 - 37) vs. LA CLIPPERS (44 - 21) - 8/1/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 83-68 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (39 - 26) vs. INDIANA (39 - 26) - 8/1/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-5 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (50 - 14) vs. TORONTO (46 - 18) - 8/1/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
LA LAKERS are 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 223-274 ATS (-78.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NBA
Saturday, August 1
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Trend Report
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Miami @ Denver
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Utah @ Oklahoma City
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Utah
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Utah
New Orleans @ LA Clippers
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia @ Indiana
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Lakers @ Toronto
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Lakers is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers