Tuesday 3/10/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games.
Stephen Oh
VANCOUVER -127
N.Y. ISLANDERS @ VANCOUVER | 3/10 | 10:00 PM EDT
5:53 PM
My model says that the Canucks win this game outright well over 60 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them here. Both teams are struggling right now, as Vancouver has lost five of six while New York has dropped six in a row (0-3-3). But the Canucks posted an overtime win on the road in their meeting last month and have won 13 of their last 18 home contests. Take Vancouver.
7-3 IN LAST 10 NHL ML PICKS | +270
WASHINGTON -4
NEW YORK @ WASHINGTON | 3/10 | 7:00 PM EDT
5:34 PM
My model says that the Wizards cover the spread well over 60 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. Washington won two of the previous three meetings between the teams this season, including a 114-96 triumph at New York on Feb. 12. The Knicks have lost four straight on the road and covered the spread only seven times in their last 24 meetings with the Wizards.
18-5 IN LAST 23 NBA PICKS | +1248
26-16 IN LAST 42 WAS ATS PICKS | +839
3-2 IN LAST 5 NY ATS PICKS | +80
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Stephen Oh
Virginia Tech +2.5
My model says that the Hokies cover the spread well over 70 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. Virginia Tech won the battle between these schools in January, posting a double-overtime victory at home. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings. Take the Hokies and the points.
26-15 IN LAST 41 CBB PICKS | +898
5-3 IN LAST 8 VATECH ATS PICKS | +174
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Kenny White
CANISIUS +3.5
CANISIUS VS IONA | 3/10 | 7:00 PM EDT
8:35 AM
MAAC FIRST ROUND -- Canisius is 3-2 SU last five and 4-2 ATS past six. The Golden Griffins have lost the last four game to Iona, two this year and two last year. Iona lost senior starting point guard Asante Gist and senior power forward Mo Thiam, which has forced it to a six-man rotation. Neither team is very good. Iona’s best win is against Rider, which the Gaels beat twice. Canisius beat #123 St. Bonaventure, #148 Siena and Rider #188. I have Iona one-point better than Canisius, but the Griffs have the revenge factor and better current form plus the higher-ranked defense.
7-3 IN LAST 10 CBB ATS PICKS | +369
OVER 136.5
PITTSBURGH VS WAKE FOREST | 3/10 | 4:30 PM EDT
8:31 AM
ACC FIRST ROUND -- Wake Forest vs teams comparable to Pittsburgh: Georgia Tech L 79-86 (165), Clemson W 56-44 (100), Virginia L 63-65 (128), Clemson L 68-71 (139), Virginia Tech L 70-80 (150), vs Pittsburgh W 69-65 (134) Median: 136.5 points. I actually could take out Virginia which raises the Deacons' median to 139. Pittsburgh vs teams comparable to Wake: NC State L 73-77 (150), Notre Dame L 72-80 (152), Boston College W 74-72 (146) North Carolina W 73-65 (138) and Wake L 65-69 (134) Median: 146. Average median total: 142.5. Wake is 15-4-2 Over in last 21 games.
3-2 IN LAST 5 CBB PICKS | +82
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAKE O/U PICKS | +90
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SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
8:27 AM
UNDER 114
MANHATTAN VS FAIRFIELD | 3/10 | 5:00 PM EDT
MAAC FIRST ROUND -- These two met Friday and the result was a disaster for Manhattan, losing 66-50 laying 5 points. The Jaspers were sloppy with the ball and this indicates Coach Steve Masiello will orchestrate a half-court affair. Manhattan has 13 straight Unders when it is off a game in which its shot-per-turnover ratio was worse than four and it failed to cover by more than four. In Fairfield's last two games only 30% and 46% of its baskets were assisted and this points to the Under. The Stags have stayed Under 10 straight as a dog when 50% or fewer of their baskets were assisted in each of their last two. All 10 games are from this season. If this one stays close it should stay Under.
37-20 IN LAST 57 CBB PICKS | +1492
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VIP SPORTS LOCK CLUB
N. Carolina -4
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CleInsiderSports
NBA
Pass
NCAAB
Pittsburgh -1
NHL
Canadiens ML (-105)
MLB
Phillies ML (-150)
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Jimmy Adams
North Carolina -3.5
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Joe Williams
Tampa Bay Lightning -102 (USDice)
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Matt Blunt
Tuesday CBB Best Bet - Gonzaga -9 (-105) USDice
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Toby Martone-Smith
Champions League Round of 16
RB Leipzig -185 vs Tottenham Hotspur +490
The Pick - RB Leipzig -185
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MICAH ROBERTS
WAKE FOREST +2
PITTSBURGH VS WAKE FOREST | 3/10 | 4:30 PM EDT
ACC FIRST ROUND -- Pittsburgh is on a seven-game losing streak while covering only once. The most telling losses during that stretch were a 72-49 home loss to Syracuse and a 72-52 home loss as 3.5-point favorites against Clemson four weeks ago. Wake Forest won 69-65 at Pitt (-6.5) Jan. 4 and has won two of its last four, one of which was in overtime against Duke. Back Wake Forest.
3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB ATS PICKS | +188
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 PITT ATS PICKS | +200
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Insider Sports Report
4* North Carolina -2.5 over Virginia Tech (NCAAB)
3* N.Y. Knicks +4 over Washington (NBA)
3* Niagara -1 over Marist (NCAAB)
Elite Sports Picks
Wake Forest -1 over Pittsburgh (NCAAB)
National Sports Service
4* Saint Francis-PA +1 over Robert Morris (NCAAB)
3* Fairfield +2 over Manhattan (NCAAB)
3* Memphis -3 over Orlando (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks For 03/10/20
4 Unit --> North Carolina -2.5 over Virginia Tech (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Alabama A&M +13 over Prairie View A&M (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Hartford +7 over Stony Brook (NCAAB)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 03/10/20
4★ Wake Forest -1 over Pittsburgh (NCAAB)
3★ Orlando +3 over Memphis (NBA)
3★ Southern -9 over Alabama St. (NCAAB)
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Millerlocks
7:00 pm est ncaab
northeastern vs. Hofstra
pick: Hofstra (-116)
risk: 11 units
7:05 pm est nba
boston celtics vs. Indiana pacers
pick: Indiana pacers +3 (-105)
risk: 11 units
8:05 pm est nba
dallas mavericks vs. San antonio spurs
pick: Dallas mavericks -4 (-102)
risk: 11 units
9:00 pm est ncaab
alabama state vs. Southern
pick: Southern -10 (+100)
risk: 11 units
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JARED SMITH BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (609) Canisius at (610) Iona
Date/Time: Mar 10 2020 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Iona -3.5 (-119)
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Cal Sports
Game: (613) Northeastern at (614) Hofstra
Date/Time: Mar 10 2020 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Hofstra -1.0 (-110)
View Analysis
All-Access note: This is one of two plays for Tuesday plus my opinions. BACK AT 10:30 AM ET WED with any early tips.
#614 4* Hofstra -1 Northeastern 7 PM
We have the best team in the conference with 25 wins versus the #6 seed and the game is basically a pick’em? Hofstra has the #1 offense and #3 defense in the CAA and two of the top 5 players in the league. The Pride have won gone 11-1 their last 12 games both SU & ATS.
Game: (605) North Carolina at (606) Virginia Tech
Date/Time: Mar 10 2020 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: North Carolina -4.0 (-115)
View Analysis
#605 3* North Carolina -4 Virginia Tech 7 PM
Just a simple value play. When these two played on Jan 22nd VT won in OT and the Tar Heels were without Cole Anthony and Brandon Robinson. Both at back and NC won 3 of 4 with the loss at Duke
Also liked:
#604 Wake Forest
#610 Iona
#615 Illinois Chicago
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Teyas sports ncaab
3/10/2020
GUARANTEE CBB HOFSTRA -2
BONUS PLAYS CBB
HOFSTRA OVER 136
UIC +4 & OVER 128
GONZAGA -9
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DR. CHUCK NCAAB
Game: (308341) MD Eastern Shore at (308342) Delaware State
Date/Time: Mar 10 2020 6:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Delaware State 0.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Delaware State PK
Interesting stat as I delve deep into the SDQL database as we often do, and find only 1 single time in database history have 2 teams with a .250 or worse win percentage on the season faced each other in a conference tourney game! This is clearly for several reasons: only certain # of teams make tourney, seeding causing 1 better 1 worse, parity allows for teams to regularly win more than 1 of every 4 games, etc. Today we have just such an occasion...in the MEAC tourney first round matchup between Maryland-Eastern Shore and Delaware State. Additional fun fact, these 2 teams really up the ante for the SDQL as they are both SUB-.170 win percentage on the season...making that .250 benchmark almost like an ocean of wins!
Of the many reasons this is even our play tonight, actual record for a team means as close to NOTHING for me capping a game as it matters the mascots for these 2 teams are the Hawks & Hornets. Vegas does the best job it can evening out this very factor by using spreads and thus rendering the fact these teams are 5-26 and 5-25 respectively completely meaningless, the fact it is an "added" game with a 6 digit line number = meaningless, maybe you've never even effing heard of UMES= who gives a damn! We do this to make money, find advantages, and beat Vegas, and beating them where they absolutely DON'T CARE is the best scenario! Think Vegas is stressed about the UNC-VaTech game tonight? Yep, me too...think Vegas cares at all about this game and therefore isn't exactly certain WHAT should be the right number to hang? Absolutely!
Delaware State has an almost identical record to the opponent tonight, but down the stretch in league play, covered 6 of 7 games including the last 4 games, winning 2 of them outright...as dogs! This includes a win in Princess Anne, MD as a 5 point dog, leaving with a 21 point drubbing of the home Shore boys! There is an almost 30 point differential the past 3 weeks between these 2 teams with regard to offensive efficiency - with UMES registering an almost made up sounding 78 rating! DSU also has a 17%/15%/14% point edge in EFG/2P/3P shooting percentage during this timeframe...and Delaware State also likes to run and score quick...often allowing the opponent to go right back down and score...if they are able...but UMES happens to not have this ability! The Shore has also had an abysmal overall season as their record shows, but have gotten progressively worse and can gracefully bow out tonight after the MEAC tourney game...and end the misery!
This pickem price is dead "ON" when using the away HCA number they used in Maryland 2 weeks ago, but considering the nearly 30 point cover by the Hornets in that game and subsequent additional win as a dog, I find this math to be as lazy as it comes from Vegas....so let's hammer and exploit this far off line and make the books hurt while they ain't even looking!
Game: (308345) St. Francis (PA) at (308346) Robert Morris
Date/Time: Mar 10 2020 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: St. Francis (PA) -1.0 (-120)
View Analysis
Get this one quick...or maybe wait and don't buy the hook....not the desirable strategy, but yesterday was nothing short of GRUESOME, and I'm not effing around with stupid shit not trying to better ourselves...this is some pansy stuff and I apologize, but I am also posting this late and if you're interested in waiting I think there could possibly be a smidge of a buy back purely do to movement.
However, SFPA is winning this league and taking out Bobby Morris in the rubber match title game tonight...if you guys follow my Twitter you saw me post about my amazingly fond memories of the Big East (the real one not this non-football replacement) and the Kemba run from 9 years ago and how THAT is what I look forward to most...the stud player who throws the team on his back and says, let's get this! Isaiah Blackmon and the Red Flash are far far too good on offense, in fact, to lose to Bobby Mo again in a couple week period!
NEC chamions Rob Kimmel and the Red Flash!
Game: (613) Northeastern at (614) Hofstra
Date/Time: Mar 10 2020 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Hofstra -1.5 (-108)
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Teyas sports nba
3/10/2020
guarantee nba phoenix +5
bonus plays nba
phoenix under 233
boston -3
memphis -2 1/2
dallas -3 1/2
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WUnderdog
NBA
minnesota +12.5 vs houston
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Vic Monte
North Carolina -4
Illinois-Chicago +4.5
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