Saturday 3/7/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games.
R.J. White
XFL 202
HOUSTON -13.5
SEATTLE @ HOUSTON | 3/7 | 2 p.m. ET
The Dragons have allowed the highest completion percentage and second-highest yards-per-pass attempt number in the league. That's not great going into a matchup with a Roughnecks team that throws the ball close to 70 percent of the time. And while I'd like to think Seattle can keep up offensively against a defense that's tied for worst in points allowed per game, the Dragons' offense has looked pretty uninspiring, ranking last in completion percentage and yards per attempt. They stayed close to the St. Louis last week thanks largely to their rushing attack, but Houston's defense has yielded the fewest yards per carry in the league. The bottom line is, there's no reason to think Houston will fail to score 27 points for the first time this year, but I have my doubts Seattle can even get to 13 in this matchup.
NEW YORK +8
NEW YORK @ DALLAS | 3/7 | 5 p.m. ET
The Guardians were pretty lucky to win last week after getting outgained by 100 yards, but part of the reason they did was by buckling down on third down, where they allowed only two conversions in 12 attempts. That's a key stat heading into this matchup, as the Renegades will be forced to throw Philip Nelson into action in place of the injured Landry Jones (knee). Nelson led Dallas to just one third-down conversion in 10 tries during a season-opening home loss to the BattleHawks in which the Renegades produced only three field goals. New York looks like it found a QB in Luis Perez, as the team posted its best completion percentage of the year by far last week. If Perez remains under center, he'll need to stretch the field a bit better, but if he's starting, I think the Guardians can cover this line against a backup QB on the other side, even though they've been awful on the road thus far.
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Brian Bitler
XFL - Best Bet - New York +8
Regular Play - Seattle +13
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Stephen Oh
Florida International -1
Creighton -3.5
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Sports Analytics 24/7
NCAAB (Saturday)
West Virginia ML -110
**Play of the Week
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Football Jesus
NCAA Duke /Carolina over total
XFL under total SEA/HOU game
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TEYA SPORT Early NCAAB
3/7/2020
GUARANTEE CBB VILLANOVA -7 1/2
BONUS PLAYS CBB
VILLANOVA UNDER 144 1/2
WISCONSIN +2
CREIGHTON -3 1/2
VIRGINIA OVER 114 1/2
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Teya sport nba
3/7/2020
guarantee nba golden st +2
bonus plays nba
golden st under 227
utah over 214
portland -3 & over 230 1/2
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VIP SPORTS LOCK CLUB
Duke -11.5
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Greg Shaker | CBB Total - Saturday, Mar 7 2020 2:30PM
631 Alabama / 632 Missouri OVER 149.0 BetOnline triple-dime bet
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TEYA SPORT Late NCAAB
3/7/2020
GUARANTEE CBB N.CAROLINA +11 1/2
BONUS PLAYS CBB
TCU -1
BUTLER +2 1/2 & UNDER 128 1/2
WASHINGTON +10 1/2
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Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
Mostly off the board currently.
8:21 AM
MEMPHIS -5.5
ATLANTA @ MEMPHIS | 3/07 | 8:00 PM EST
This is a matchup between two teams that just played Friday. The Hawks are 3-8 ATS in the second game of back-to-back sets this season while the Grizzlies are 6-3 ATS in those situations. The Hawks are also an ugly 10-22 ATS on the road. To make matters worse, Trae Young (illness) sat out Friday, and his status for Saturday is still in doubt. Even if he does play, I like the Grizzlies to cover at home. When these two teams met in Atlanta on Monday, the Grizzlies won by 39 points despite Young playing in that contest.
93-58-2 IN LAST 153 NBA ATS PICKS | +2920
13-6 IN LAST 19 ATL ATS PICKS | +641
11-6 IN LAST 17 MEM ATS PICKS | +439
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SDQL Gurus
OVER 227
PHILADELPHIA @ GOLDEN ST. | 3/07 | 8:30 PM EST
8:24 AM
Philadelphia scored 51 of its 125 points from the arc in its win over the Kings on Thursday. The Sixers are 7-0 Over after they had at least 35 percent of their points from threes, going over by an average of 14.9 points. Golden State is coming off a 121-113 loss to the Raptors that featured five ties, three of which were in the second half. The Warriors are 9-0 Over as a home underdog with rest off a loss as a home dog that was tied five times, going over by an average of 14.4 points. We make the play the Over.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA O/U PICKS | +91
OVER 127.5
RUTGERS @ PURDUE | 3/07 | 2:00 PM EST
8:17 AM
Purdue leads the Big Ten in offensive rebounds per game at 10.9. Rutgers has taken advantage of teams that crash the offensive boards with their fast break. The Scarlet Knights have 10 straight Overs with fewer than six days rest when they are visiting a team that has more than 30.5 percent of their total rebounds on the offensive side of the floor. Also, Rutgers is averaging only 11.9 turnovers this season. The Over is 16-0 when the Boilermakers are coming off a win and are facing a team that is averaging fewer than 12 turnovers per game. The value is with the Over.
32-19 IN LAST 51 CBB PICKS | +1105
UNDER 131.5
CALIFORNIA @ OREGON ST. | 3/07 | 4:30 PM EST
8:14 AM
The Beavers are coming off a 68-65 win over Stanford in Corvallis. Oregon State has 15 straight Unders at home when it is coming off a home win in which it scored 82 points or fewer, as long as it is not laying more than 24 points. Meanwhile Cal is coming off a 90-56 loss to Oregon in which the Bears' leading scorer had 15 points and their second-leading scorer had only 10. This has been a big Under spot, as the Golden Bears have 15 straight Unders as a road dog coming off a road loss in which they had fewer than four double-digit scorers. We are on the Under.
32-19 IN LAST 51 CBB PICKS | +1105
SETON HALL +3.5
SETON HALL @ CREIGHTON | 3/07 | 2:30 PM EST
8:10 AM
The Pirates have a remarkable performance dichotomy based on the number of points they scored at home in their last game. If they scored fewer than 82 points at home in their last game, the Pirates are 54-19 ATS. If they scored 82 or more in their last game, they are 6-18 ATS. Seton Hall is coming off a 79-77 loss to Villanova at home. In that loss, Seton Hall committed only seven turnovers, well under their season average of 12.7. The Pirates are 10-0 ATS as an underdog after a game in which they committed at least 5.1 turnovers fewer than their season average. We are grabbing the points.
32-19 IN LAST 51 CBB PICKS | +1105
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Nigel seeley
fleetwood
coventry draw no bet
swindon
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Kenny White
UNDER 148
W. KENTUCKY @ FIU | 3/07 | 7:00 PM EST
8:01 AM
FIU went from one of the top five fastest teams to the fourth fastest in its own conference. Its pace went from 80 in November and December to 75 in January to 70 in February. The Panthers had gone Under in six in a row until their last game against Louisiana Tech. FIU's games are averaging just 130 points. Under is the play.
2-1 IN LAST 3 FIU O/U PICKS | +90
OVER 141.5
BOSTON COLLEGE @ FLORIDA ST. | 3/07 | 4:30 PM EST
7:58 AM
The Seminoles continue to push the pace, especially at home where they are 11-4 to the Over and averaging 82.4 points per game. They are also 9-4 Over in their last 13 games. Meanwhile the Eagles are 3-1 Over in their last four games and 5-2 Over in their last seven. Last year's meeting was won by Boston College at home, 87-82. Take the Over.
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU O/U PICKS | +89
NORTHWESTERN +7.5
PENN ST. @ NORTHWESTERN | 3/07 | 4:00 PM EST
7:52 AM
Penn State has lost four of its last five games and could really use a win. The Nittany Lions played their way out of a double bye, and this game is completely meaningless for them. The Wildcats play hard, and I think they are getting a few too many points. Take Northwestern.
6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +379
UNDER 133
STANFORD @ OREGON | 3/07 | 11:00 PM EST
7:49 AM
The Ducks play at an extremely slow pace, however they are very efficient on offense. Stanford plays a below-average pace and excels on defense, ranking sixth in the country. The Cardinal are 11-4-2 Under in their last 17 road games and are 9-3 Under in their last 13 meetings in Eugene. Under is the play.
2-1 IN LAST 3 OREG O/U PICKS | +90
INDIANA -2
WISCONSIN @ INDIANA | 3/07 | 12:00 PM EST
7:44 AM
A win by the Hoosiers likely puts them into the NCAA Tournament. A loss would leave them 9-11 in conference play, which probably leaves them on the bubble. Indiana is 11-7 ATS at home and has beaten Minnesota, Penn State and Iowa in its last three home games. Wisconsin is 6-7-1 ATS away with losses at Minnesota and Iowa in the last 10 days. Indiana is the play.
6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +379
OVER 152.5
N. CAROLINA @ DUKE | 3/07 | 6:00 PM EST
7:39 AM
The first meeting had 84 possessions in regulation with both teams scoring 84. North Carolina is 5-1 Over in their last six games with a healthy Cole Anthony. Duke is 7-1 Over in their last eight home games. Both team have been pushing the pace, which should be in the high 70s. Over is the play.
4-1 IN LAST 5 DUKE O/U PICKS | +285
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Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
NBA Season ATS 17-14 Totals 1-0 56%
8:19 AM
HOUSTON -8
HOUSTON @ CHARLOTTE | 3/07 | 5:00 PM EST
Both teams are due for some regression. The Rockets are not only coming off of one of their worst shooting games of the season in a blowout loss to the Clippers, but also an unsustainable 65-34 rebounding loss to the Knicks earlier this week. In two games against contenders in the past week, the Hornets held the Bucks and Nuggets to only 15 combined 3-pointers. If the ball bounces as it should in this one, the Rockets are more than eight points better than the Hornets. Take Houston.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NBA ATS PICKS | +344
2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +89
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Hank Goldberg
VIRGINIA -1
LOUISVILLE @ VIRGINIA | 3/07 | 4:00 PM EST
9:13 AM
Louisville is not the same team on the road as it is at home. The Cardinals are just 6-4 on the road, and the difference has been defense. They're allowing 69.2 points a game on the road versus 60.4 at home. On Saturday they face a Virginia team that has won seven straight and thrives in close games. Cavs cover.
2-1 IN LAST 3 UVA ATS PICKS | +89
UCLA +4
UCLA @ USC | 3/07 | 3:15 PM EST
9:06 AM
UCLA has won seven straight games, which includes two victories over Arizona and one over No. 18 Colorado. In the Bruins' loss to USC earlier in the season, the Trojans shot 57.4 percent and made 50.0 percent of its 3-pointers. They won't shoot like that again against an improved Bruins squad. I'm on UCLA.
KENTUCKY +2.5
KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA | 3/07 | 1:00 PM EST
8:58 AM
I think Kentucky's loss to Tennessee was a fluke. I like the Wildcats' ability to bounce back after a loss against an inconsistent Florida team. I'll gladly take the points.
3-0 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS | +300
3-0 IN LAST 3 UK ATS PICKS | +300
W. VIRGINIA -1
BAYLOR @ W. VIRGINIA | 3/07 | 1:00 PM EST
8:55 AM
In the first meeting between these teams, West Virginia committed a season-high 22 turnovers and shot 34.5 percent. That won't happen again on Saturday in Morgantown. Baylor has lost two of its last four games and isn't playing as well as it was earlier in the season. I'm on the Mountaineers.
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Brandon Wise
UFC 248
Israel Adesanya (-275) vs. Yoel Romero (+235): Adesanya by unanimous decision
Out of principle, I just can't bring myself to pick Romero. The two-time title challenger has lost three of his last four fights and is getting this because of injury, as well as Adesanya wanting to take on the biggest challenges available to him. However, that does not mean Romero is not dangerous. This has the potential to be a fire fight from the opening bell if Adesanya is willing to engage in a brawl with the Olympic wrestler from Cuba. Romero has fallen in love with his striking in his most recent bouts, putting on heavy striking displays against former champion Robert Whittaker and Paulo Costa. If Romero takes Adesanya to the mat, this is a completely different fight.
I just don't see it happening. Adesanya will keep the action on the feet and neutralize Romero when he shoots in for power shots with his own deadly counter punches. He won't be able to get Romero out with a TKO (nobody has since 2011), but Adesanya will prove he's got the mettle of a champion by grinding out this victory.
Weili Zhang (-180) vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+160): Zhang via TKO
Zhang is being thrown to the deep end of the pool in her first title defense against the former queen of the division. After steamrolling Jessica Andrade on home turf last August, Zhang is heading to Vegas for a co-headlining role and chance to grow her brand in the U.S. Jedrzejczyk is almost the complete opposite of what Zhang faced in Andrade as a lanky, volume striker known for incredible cardio. The former champ is bouncing back after her own slide that saw Jedrzejczyk drop three of four fights, albeit in three title fights.
Zhang's power at 115 pounds is insane for the division and provides very little opportunity to gather your senses after being struck. For Jedrzejczyk to have a chance, she will need to make it to the deep waters she's used to, having fought in six full 25-minute battles in her career. The problem is, I can't see it getting that far. Jedrzejczyk will try to play out on the outside with her jab and score points without inflicting a ton of damage, but Zhang will be just too much. Look for the Chinese champion to retain her title with the powerful striking that won her the belt.
Beniel Dariush (-165) vs. Drakkar Klose (+145): Dariush via unanimous decision
Dariush and Klose are slowly starting to make their way toward the top 15 at lightweight, the deepest division in UFC. The two were originally scheduled to fight last summer but will meet this week with plenty at stake. Dariush is coming off a pair of submission victories in 2019 while Klose has three straight decisions dating back to 2018. Dariush brings the much more exciting style to the Octagon, while Klose is more known for a "wall and brawl" style, making fights as ugly as possible. It will be tough for either man to get a finish, but trusting the veteran Dariush feels like the safe play given his style and propensity for grinding out tough fights.
Li Jingliang (-165) vs. Neil Magny (+145): Jingliang via TKO
Magny is back in action for the first time since 2018 after a minor drug suspension last year. Before falling to Santiago Ponzinibbio in November 2018, many thought Magny was closing in on top contender status at 170 pounds. Well, as they say, life comes at you fast. Jingliang is streaking after dropping a decision to Jake Matthews in February 2018, having won three straight in impressive fashion and the last two earning him Performance of the Night honors. Magny will have to utilize his size advantage and wrestling to get Jingliang in bad positions, but it's tough to see that happening here. Look for the Chinese prospect to continue his destructive ways with another stoppage victory.
Alex Oliveira (-145) vs. Max Griffin (+125): Griffin via unanimous decision
This might be one of the most bizarre decisions by UFC in recent memory by putting this bout on PPV. Oliveira and Griffin are a combined 1-6 in their last seven bouts and kicking off the PPV portion of the card. But maybe the matchmakers are crazy like a fox in creating a "loser leaves town" mentality in both fighters as another loss could mean the end of their time with the company. The always jubilant Oliveira has dropped three straight bouts and has looked uncompetitive in recent showings. Meanwhile, Griffin isn't in a much better spot. His most impressive appearance, a decision win over Mike Perry, has been followed by three losses in his last four. I don't really like either guy much in this spot, but I'll take Griffin to grind out a decision as my only decent underdog play on the card.
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Wayne Root
Pinnacle- Texas
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Insider Sports Report
5* Elon -2.5 over James Madison (NCAAB)
Range: -1.5 to -6
3* Texas -3.5 over Oklahoma St. (NCAAB)
Range: -2 to -6
3* Portland St. -3.5 over Sacramento St. (NCAAB)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5
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Stephen Nover
3* BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR
Penn st -7
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Insider Sports Report
5* Elon -2.5 over James Madison (NCAAB)
3* Texas -3.5 over Oklahoma St. (NCAAB)
3* Portland St. -3.5 over Sacramento St. (NCAAB)
Elite Sports Picks
Mercer +1 over Western Carolina (NCAAB)
National Sports Service
4* Kansas -3.5 over Texas Tech (NCAAB)
3* Kentucky +2.5 over Florida (NCAAB)
3* Sacramento +3 over Portland (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks For 03/07/20
5 Unit --> Miami-Florida +1 over Syracuse (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Creighton -4 over Seton Hall (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Grand Canyon -2.5 over California St.-Bakersfield (NCAAB)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 03/07/20
4★ Kentucky +2.5 over Florida (NCAAB)
3★ Philadelphia -2 over Golden St. (NBA)
3★ Montana -6.5 over Southern Utah (NCAAB)
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5 Star Baller
Creighton -3.5
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Maddux
563 Houston / Charlotte Over 218.5
603 George Washington 21.5
726 E Tenn St -13
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Kiev O'Neil
Over 114 – 2 stars - Louisville - Virginia
UCLA +4 – 2.5 stars
North Carolina +11.5 – 2.5 stars
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ASA
4* Arkansas st +3.5
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Maddux
Add
572 Golden State 1.5
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Joe Dallao Sports / NCAA BKB 10 Game of the Year Side Play
[614] West Virginia Mountaineers
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Master Sports
NBA
3* #565 Utah -8
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Steve Budin
Texas 50 Dime
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Matt Rivers
FIFTH
Blank Check
Waive The Rating
College Basketball Play of the Season
Blank Check on Villanova
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J.R. STEVENS
VIP PICKS (CBB - CONF. GAME OF THE YEAR)
[897] Oklahoma State +4/ML +140
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Pavlos 5% Burnley FC DNB -110
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Marco
5% Arkansas -3.5
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WUnderdog
CBB
cal poly SMO/santa barbara 134 Over
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UNDER 139.5
MURRAY ST. VS BELMONT | 3/07 | 8:00 PM EST
11:01 AM
OHIO VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP GAME -- The OVC championship game brings together its two highest-scoring teams, a scenario in which Unders often prevail in a do-or-die matchup. Belmont has been Under in five straight, and its semifinal result had a paltry 110 points. Though their first meeting this season produced an Over, the rematch landed at 135, well below the total. Coach Casey Alexander, in his debut season, could excessively tighten the reins on the Bruins in his first conference finale.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
ALABAMA +1
ALABAMA @ MISSOURI | 3/07 | 2:30 PM EST
11:00 AM
Welcome back, F John Petty. Alabama’s best player has sat out most or all of the last three games. Two were straight-up defeats, the latter a stunner at home against Vanderbilt. The three-point ace should help the Crimson Tide maintain their No. 2 national scoring ranking at 83.1 points a game. Mizzou, which averages 67.1 (254th), will struggle to keep up offensively. The Tide thrives on the road, having gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 outings.
15-12 IN LAST 27 CBB ATS PICKS | +175
8-5 IN LAST 13 MIZZOU ATS PICKS | +249
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:56 AM
SAN DIEGO ST -5
UTAH ST. VS SAN DIEGO ST | 3/07 | 5:30 PM EST
MOUNTAIN WEST FINAL -- At its best, Utah State might have a chance in this game, and winning it is likely the Aggies' only hope for making the big dance. But uninspiring efforts, to say the least, against New Mexico and Wyoming don't inspire a lot of confidence. The Aztecs have looked sluggish as well, but they were in vintage form in the second half Friday night against Boise State. With a possible No. 1 seed at stake, look for them to pull away and cover this one.
6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +379
3-2 IN LAST 5 UTAHST ATS PICKS | +76
RHODE ISLAND -3
RHODE ISLAND @ MASSACHUSETTS | 3/07 | 7:00 PM EST
12:11 PM
The Rams were embarrassed by Dayton in their biggest game of the year. Now, they will likely need to win this one and make a strong showing in the A-10 tournament in order to hear their name called on selection Sunday. UMass has a promising youth-laden club and perhaps the conference's top big man in freshman Tre Mitchell. But the Minutemen have a disadvantage in depth and in backcourt play. A desperate Rhode Island club should take this one.
6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +379
4-1 IN LAST 5 RI ATS PICKS | +292
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Millerlocks
1:00 pm est ncaab
baylor vs. West virginia
pick: Baylor +1 (-105)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est ncaab
kentucky vs. Florida
pick: Kentucky +2.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
4:00 pm est ncaab
louisville vs. Virginia
pick: Virginia (-129)
risk: 11 units
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Al Demarco
Creighton
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Marc Lawrence Last Home Game Play of the Year
Texas Tech
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Philly Guy - Villanova LaSalle Kansas Baylor
Dime Man - Top Providence Reg Tenn Flor Tex Tech Creighton Tex A&M Wash St Cal Poly N Dakota St
Champagne - Top Texas N Carol Reg Dayton Fordham E Wash St Louis Oregon UAB
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NFAC/Gianni the Greek
adesanya 1000
Jedrzejczyk 800
dariush 600
omalley 600
xfl
seatrle +13
under 45.5
west va ML 800
texas tech +3 800
rutgers +6 800
utah state +2.5 1H 800
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Executive
650 GOY on Purdue -5
400 Arkansas -2 1/2
300 Oklahoma +1 1/2
Today in the Big 10 Rutgers goes out on the road to play PurdueThey must do this after their biggest game of the season. In their last gamethey played #9 ranked Maryland on Senior Day. Rutgers has played well at home this season,and in that game they shot the lights out of it. They were 30 for 61 from the field for 49%.They hit 7 of 16 for 44% from 3 point land, while Maryland was only 6 of 32 for 19% from 3.While they've won 18 at home, they are only 1-10 away from home.They have 4 wins at home over ranked opponents, but their only road win came against Nebraska.Purdue lost to Rutgers on the road 70-63 on Jan 28. Prior to that lossthey were 8-0 against Rutgers. They now get a chance to pay them backtoday in their Senior Day. The past 8 seasons Purdue is 7-1 SU & ATS on Senior Day!Purdue has won 2 in a row, and they have a chance to get their conference recordto the .500 mark at 10-10 with a win today.Purdue is 11-3 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days the past 2 seasons.They are 6-0 ATS at home vs good defensive teams that allow less than 39% from the field.Rutgers is 15-30 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival.TODAY WE LOOK FOR PURDUE TO WIN BY 14
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Vic Monte
Virginia -1.5
UNC Greensboro -6.5
Florida International -1
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From TheSwami
10 Top Side Play · [737] North Carolina Wilmington Seahawks
The Stat Report Sat Mar 7th, 2020 4:00pm EST
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Sportsline Computer
Rice -3 and -157
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Sportsline Computer
Creighton -3.5 and -168
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Maddux
Add
571 / Phily and Golden State Under 222.5
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Lang
My 150 Dime selection is Umass over Rhode Island. The current line on this game is the Minutemen +3 in Vegas and offshore at 7:00 am eastern. Be sure to shop around for the best line available
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