Thursday 3/5/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games
Stephen Oh
PHILADELPHIA -123
CAROLINA @ PHILADELPHIA | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
My data suggests the Flyers will beat the Hurricanes more than 60 percent of the time in their Thursday clash, making the short home chalk worth the price. The red-hot Flyers entered Wednesday with six straight wins and have won four of the last five as a home favorite. The slumping Hurricanes have lost three straight while allowing 11 combined goals.
PHILADELPHIA +4.5
PHILADELPHIA @ SACRAMENTO | 3/05 | 10:00 PM EST
I've got the short-handed 76ers covering the spread Thursday against the Kings in more than 60 percent of simulations, giving us a strong position on a viable underdog with the points. My data also sees Philadelphia winning the game outright in more than 50 percent of simulations. The 76ers have covered four straight coming off a loss and are 9-2 ATS in their past 11 trips to Sacramento.
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SDQL Gurus
UNDER 209.5
DENVER @ CHARLOTTE | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
The Nuggets blew a big lead in their last game, and they have nine straight Unders on the road after a loss in which they led by 15-plus points. In addition, Denver has nine straight Unders as a road favorite with rest off a game as a favorite after outscoring its opponent in the paint by double digits. The Hornets have nine straight Unders as dogs when they are off a game as underdogs and facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game, falling short of the posted number by an average of 19.44 ppg. We make the play the Under.
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NBA SELECTION
Toronto Raptors -7
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Sam Quinn
SACRAMENTO -5
PHILADELPHIA @ SACRAMENTO | 3/05 | 10:00 PM EST
The 76ers, who are 9-23 on the road, just hit 37 combined 3-pointers in two games against the two Los Angeles contenders. They've averaged just over 11 threes per game this season. Sure, the absence of Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid explains the improved shooting to some extent, but 18.5 per game wouldn't be sustainable for anyone. Regression is coming for the 76ers, and now is the time to start betting it.
L.A. CLIPPERS +1
L.A. CLIPPERS @ HOUSTON | 3/05 | 8:00 PM EST
The best versions of both the Clippers and Rockets have finally begun to shine in recent weeks. Here's the difference: The best version of the Clippers is the juggernaut that has not only won five straight games, but four of those victories were by at least 15 points. The best version of Houston, however, is still susceptible to losses like the one the Rockets suffered against the New York Knicks on Monday. They can still have bad shooting quarters and halves. Their size poses real limitations. The Clippers are more adaptable, and playing so well lately that betting against them would be foolish.
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SDQL Gurus
UNDER 139
CSFULLERTON @ UCSB | 3/05 | 10:00 PM EST
The Titans are coming off a 99-92 loss in which they were 4-of-20 from beyond the arc. This, not surprisingly, has led to less ambition from distance. They have produced 11 straight Unders when they are coming off a game in which they attempted 20-plus threes and made less than 25 percent of them. Fullerton scores more than 20 percent of its points from the foul line, and UCSB tends to stay Under against similar teams. The Gauchos have seven straight Unders at home coming off a loss when they are facing a team that has scored more than 20 percent of their points from the foul line. They have stayed Under by an average of 14.9 points in this
27-19 IN LAST 46 CBB PICKS | +605
OVER 142.5
PRAIRIE VIEW @ ALCORN ST. | 3/05 | 8:30 PM EST
The Prairie View A&M Panthers are coming off a 73-62 win over Alabama A&M. Since the start of the 2018 season, the Panthers have seven Overs and zero Unders on the road coming off a win in which they held their opponent to fewer than 70 points while attempting at least 15 3-pointers. The Alcorn State Braves have a nice performance dichotomy based on the result of their last game. If they are coming off a win, the Over is 1-5 in their last six. But if they are coming off a loss, the Over is 17-0. The Braves are coming off a 71-57 loss to Southern, so this indicates the Over.
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Larry Hartstein
STANFORD +1
STANFORD @ OREGON ST. | 3/05 | 9:00 PM EST
The Cardinal have won four straight, but they're not a lock for the NCAA Tournament and they're playing with revenge tonight against the struggling Beavers. Look for Stanford's defense to be the difference, and for the road team to improve to 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings.
TORONTO -8
TORONTO @ GOLDEN ST. | 3/05 | 10:30 PM EST
Stephen Curry is coming back tonight, and Andrew Wiggins is coming off a great game, but this is still a good spot for Toronto. The Raptors ended their three-game skid with a 9-point win in Phoenix on Tuesday, and they're clinging to a one-game lead over Boston for the No. 2 seed. Motivation won't be an issue. Golden State has not covered any of its past six home games. Lay it.
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Insider Sports Report
4* California-Davis -2.5 over Hawaii (NCAAB)
3* Memphis -1.5 over Wichita St. (NCAAB)
3* Toronto/Golden St. under 226 (NBA)
Elite Sports Picks
U.N.L.V. -3 over Boise St. (NCAAB)
National Sports Service
4* Valparaiso -7.5 over Evansville (NCAAB)
3* Montana -2 over Northern Colorado (NCAAB)
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Primetime Sports Picks For 03/05/20
4 Unit --> Stanford +1 over Oregon St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Houston -1 over L.A. Clippers (NBA)
3 Unit --> California Baptist +9.5 over New Mexico St. (NCAAB)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 03/05/20
4★ Valparaiso -7.5 over Evansville (NCAAB)
3★ Houston -2 over UConn (NCAAB)
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Hank Goldberg
UNLV -1.5
BOISE ST. @ UNLV | 3/05 | 5:00 PM EST
MOUNTAIN WEST QUARTERFINAL -- UNLV is hot, having won five straight games, including a 66-63 upset over then-No. 4 San Diego State. The Rebels are averaging 83.0 points during that streak, far more than their 72.5 average over the entire season. UNLV beat Boise State by 10 just eight days age and gets the Broncos in Las Vegas again in the conference tournament. I'm riding the Rebels.
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3 Rivers Sports
NCAA BK
3* #701/702 Boise State/UNLV OVER 141
Dwayne Bryant
5% Youngstown State Under 136
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Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
12:51 PM
L.A. CLIPPERS PK
L.A. CLIPPERS @ HOUSTON | 3/05 | 8:00 PM EST
Look out, here come the Clippers. They are finally healthy, which is a big reason why they have won five straight games. It’s not as if they steamrolled bad teams, either, since they defeated the Grizzlies, Nuggets, Sixers and Thunder during that stretch. The Rockets have also played well despite a disappointing loss to the Knicks on Monday, but they don’t have the depth that the Clippers do. I’ll take the Clippers to emerge victorious on the road.
91-57-2 IN LAST 150 NBA ATS PICKS | +2831
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ATS PICKS | +190
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Micah Roberts
STANFORD +1
STANFORD @ OREGON ST. | 3/05 | 9:00 PM EST
1:07 PM
When Stanford was on a 1-7 run last month the Cardinal found themselves not only on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament; they were out. But now they have won and covered four straight and are back in the NCAA discussion with a nice résumé highlighted by beating No. 21 Colorado on Sunday. They have to win tonight knowing their last game at No. 13 Oregon might not go their way. Stanford gets the win.
3-1 IN LAST 4 STNFRD ATS PICKS | +191
HOUSTON PK
L.A. CLIPPERS @ HOUSTON | 3/05 | 8:00 PM EST
12:45 PM
The Rockets took the Knicks lightly on Monday, ending a six-game winning streak. But I like the way the Rockets' smallball is playing out. It works for them, and James Harden and Russell Westbrook can do as they please. Their system changed to make them both better and be able to coexist. This is a big test for them, but they’re at home and I like them to keep improving and win.
17-10 IN LAST 27 NBA PICKS | +605
14-4 IN LAST 18 HOU ATS PICKS | +956
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LV Wolf
2% Boise state +3
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8ball
2% clippers +1
NC central o143.5
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PGF
SAN DIEGO STATE u142
Liberty u122
cal Baptist o139
wichita state o137
Tenn state o147.5
valpo u137.5
senators u6
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collegecaps
santa Clara -4 1H
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Bill Marzano
TAMPA BAY -1.5
MONTREAL @ TAMPA BAY | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
12:31 PM
This is a big game for both teams. After a franchise-record 11-game winning streak, the Lightning are struggling and face a desperate Canadiens team that is 4-1-1 in their last six games. But Tampa Bay has dominated this series, winning all three meetings this year and eight of the last nine, including five straight at home. Lightning puck line (+126) is the play.
4-2 IN LAST 6 NHL PICKS | +206
3-0 IN LAST 3 MON ATS PICKS | +390
BOSTON -162
BOSTON @ FLORIDA | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
12:28 PM
The Bruins are the team to beat, having won 14 of their last 17 games while the Panthers have dropped three straight and five of their last six. The Panthers have dropped a franchise-record seven straight at the BB&T Center and, to make matters worse, could be without their starting goaltender in Sergei Bobrovsky. The Bruins have dominated this series and have won 18 of the last 25 meetings in Florida. Boston money line (-162) is the play.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +614
5-1 IN LAST 6 BOS ML PICKS | +400
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WUnderdog
CBB
cal poly SLO+5.5 vs long beach state
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Wayne Root
Pinnacle- Arizona st
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Mike Tierney
BOISE ST. +1.5
BOISE ST. @ UNLV | 3/05 | 5:00 PM EST
1:34 PM
MOUNTAIN WEST QUARTERFINALS -- UNLV has won five straight, but the player who fueled the streak likely will sit out. Elijah Mitrou-Long (knee) averaged 17.6 ppg, five above his norm, in the stretch of wins. Boise State has put together a nice ATS run, 8-3 in its last 11 games. Caution: Though technically a neutral-site game, it unfolds in Las Vegas. However, an early-round Mountain West matchup during the early-bird dinner hour should not generate a sizable edge to the local team.
14-11 IN LAST 25 CBB ATS PICKS | +185
3-0 IN LAST 3 UNLV ATS PICKS | +300
WASHINGTON ST. +15
WASHINGTON ST. @ ARIZONA | 3/05 | 10:30 PM EST
1:31 PM
With three outright losses in a row, a phase in which Arizona’s scoring average was a whopping 15 points below the norm, the Wildcats are yielding an excess of points here. Coach Sean Miller’s sideline behavior is complicating matters. Washington State welcomed back guard Isaac Bonton (15.0 ppg) from an injury layoff, and the Cougars promptly took a road win. Forward C.J. Elleby has been on a tear since his seven-point clunker against the Wildcats on Feb. 1.
14-11 IN LAST 25 CBB ATS PICKS | +185
10-6-2 IN LAST 18 ARIZ ATS PICKS | +350
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5 Star Baller
Santa Clara -7
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Millerlocks
5:00 pm est ncaab
boise state vs. Unlv
pick: Unlv (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaab
houston vs. Connecticut
pick: Connecticut +2 (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaab
illinois vs. Ohio state
pick: Ohio state -5.5 (-114)
risk: 11 units
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Cal Sports
3% Nevada -10
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Nfac
boise state +2 800
Philly under 219 600
Senators u6 600
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Teya sport nba
3/5/2020
guarantee nba houston pk
bonus plays nba
houston over 236 1/2
sacramento -5 & under 221 1/2
the toronto - play will go off the final line on freeplays
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Cal Sports
Game: (715) Tennessee State at (716) Eastern Kentucky
Date/Time: Mar 5 2020 7:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Eastern Kentucky -2 (-110)
View Analysis
All-Access note: This is 1 of 4 CBB plays for Thursday. IF I have day games Friday I will have to you by 11:15 AM ET. If no day games back by 2 PM ET.
#716 5% Eastern Kentucky -2 Tennessee St 7:30
Match-up dream. Eastern Kentucky has beaten Tennessee St twice this season for the same reason they’ll beat them tonight. The Colonels are #4 in the country in tempo and are #19 in forcing turnovers while the Tigers are #350 in offensive turnover percentage. EKU did finish the season going 2-3 the final 5 games but all 3 L’s were to Austin Peay, Belmont & Murray St the clear top 3 teams in the OVC. With EKU having the 4 seed they are now facing a Tenn St squad that has 16 TO’s vs the #8 seed last night and need OT to get advance to this game.
Game: (667) Wichita State at (668) Memphis
Date/Time: Mar 5 2020 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 138.0 (-110)
View Analysis
#667/#668 3* UNDER 138 Wichita St/Memphis 9 PM
Wichita St a much slower team on the road as they are a poor offensive shooting only 37%. Memphis plays to the tempo of their opponent and when the totals are in the 130’s they are 3-7 O/U. Wichita 2-7 O/U in road games.
Game: (689) Hawaii at (690) UC Davis
Date/Time: Mar 5 2020 10:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: UC Davis -2.0 (-109)
View Analysis
#690 3* UC Davis -2 Hawaii 10 PM
Davis with a strong finish to the season and since Rogers Pintup returned from injury and returned to the starting line-up Feb 1st the Aggies have gone 6-2 SU/ATS. Cal Davis has lost 3 straight to Hawaii but did cover only losing by one back on Jan 25th. Hawaii is 3-10 ATS vs conf foes and their offense is brutal only averaging 37% shooting on the road.
Game: (705) Wyoming at (706) Nevada
Date/Time: Mar 5 2020 11:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Nevada -10.0 (-108)
View Analysis
#706 3* Nevada -10 Wyoming
Rested vs unrested dog pulling upset a 76% system play. Nevada only beat Wyoming by a total of 6 points in their two meetings so they will be focused.
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PGF
SAN DIEGO STATE u142
Liberty u122
cal Baptist o139
wichita state o137
Tenn state o147.5
valpo u137.5
senators u6
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Bill Marzano
TAMPA BAY -1.5
MONTREAL @ TAMPA BAY | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
12:31 PM
This is a big game for both teams. After a franchise-record 11-game winning streak, the Lightning are struggling and face a desperate Canadiens team that is 4-1-1 in their last six games. But Tampa Bay has dominated this series, winning all three meetings this year and eight of the last nine, including five straight at home. Lightning puck line (+126) is the play.
4-2 IN LAST 6 NHL PICKS | +206
3-0 IN LAST 3 MON ATS PICKS | +390
BOSTON -162
BOSTON @ FLORIDA | 3/05 | 7:00 PM EST
12:28 PM
The Bruins are the team to beat, having won 14 of their last 17 games while the Panthers have dropped three straight and five of their last six. The Panthers have dropped a franchise-record seven straight at the BB&T Center and, to make matters worse, could be without their starting goaltender in Sergei Bobrovsky. The Bruins have dominated this series and have won 18 of the last 25 meetings in Florida. Boston money line (-162) is the play.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +614
5-1 IN LAST 6 BOS ML PICKS | +400
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Wayne Root
Pinnacle- Arizona st
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Mike Tierney
BOISE ST. +1.5
BOISE ST. @ UNLV | 3/05 | 5:00 PM EST
1:34 PM
MOUNTAIN WEST QUARTERFINALS -- UNLV has won five straight, but the player who fueled the streak likely will sit out. Elijah Mitrou-Long (knee) averaged 17.6 ppg, five above his norm, in the stretch of wins. Boise State has put together a nice ATS run, 8-3 in its last 11 games. Caution: Though technically a neutral-site game, it unfolds in Las Vegas. However, an early-round Mountain West matchup during the early-bird dinner hour should not generate a sizable edge to the local team.
14-11 IN LAST 25 CBB ATS PICKS | +185
3-0 IN LAST 3 UNLV ATS PICKS | +300
WASHINGTON ST. +15
WASHINGTON ST. @ ARIZONA | 3/05 | 10:30 PM EST
1:31 PM
With three outright losses in a row, a phase in which Arizona’s scoring average was a whopping 15 points below the norm, the Wildcats are yielding an excess of points here. Coach Sean Miller’s sideline behavior is complicating matters. Washington State welcomed back guard Isaac Bonton (15.0 ppg) from an injury layoff, and the Cougars promptly took a road win. Forward C.J. Elleby has been on a tear since his seven-point clunker against the Wildcats on Feb. 1.
14-11 IN LAST 25 CBB ATS PICKS | +185
10-6-2 IN LAST 18 ARIZ ATS PICKS | +350
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Millerlocks
5:00 pm est ncaab
boise state vs. Unlv
pick: Unlv (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaab
houston vs. Connecticut
pick: Connecticut +2 (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaab
illinois vs. Ohio state
pick: Ohio state -5.5 (-114)
risk: 11 units
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Cal Sports
3% Nevada -10
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Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner
NM state
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Philly Guy - ILL Wich St
Joey Dimes - Michigan Ariz St Stanford Cal Santa Barb Port St
Champagne - Utah Valley E Washington UC-Davis Ill St UNLV Valpo E Kenty E ILL Southern
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Chris Jordan
EIGHTH
1500♦
College Basketball Release
Arizona State
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