Sunday 2/16/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games.
R.J. White
4-0 against the spread during the league's first week of action.
DALLAS -3.5
DALLAS @ LOS ANGELES | 2/16 | 3 p.m. ET
This is a meeting between the two worst offenses from Week 1 in terms of yards per play, which makes sense as each was missing its starting quarterback. So picking this game will come down to the health of those signal-callers, and I have much more faith in Landry Jones taking the field after he seemed healthy enough to play last week but didn't get the reps in practice to lead the offense. He'll be up against the defense that had the worst yards allowed per play in Week 1, though some of that is a result of playing a Houston team that doesn't run much. That performance got the Wildcats' defensive coordinator fired after just one week, so I'll fade a team that already looks like it might be falling apart.
HOUSTON -7
ST. LOUIS @ HOUSTON | 2/16 | 6 p.m. ET
The Roughnecks had the best offensive and defensive performance in Week 1 in terms of yards per play, so I'm ready to lay whatever I need to, even against a BattleHawks team that played very well on the road in its debut game. A lot of that was a function of leaning on the running game to the tune of 42 carries, but that plan isn't going to cut it against an explosive Houston offense, especially one that's willing to be aggressive on extra-point tries and go for two. The BattleHawks' defense may have ranked second in yards per play, but it also had the worst completion percentage allowed on passes. The Roughnecks will make St. Louis pay if that's the case again this week.
__________________
Brian Bitler
Best Bet - Los Angeles +4
Regular Play - St Louis +8
__________________
TONY FINN
XFL WEEK 2
Game: (413) Dallas Renegades at (414) Los Angeles Wildcats
Date/Time: Feb 16 2020 3:00 PM EST
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Dallas Renegades -4.0 (+105)
__________________
Micah Roberts
Top - 5 Finish Prediction
1) #11 Denny Hamlin (10/1)
2) #9 Chase Elliott (12/1)
3) #10 Aric Almirola (25/1)
4) #12 Ryan Blaney (14/1)
5) #20 Erik Jones (30/1)
__________________
Gjelstad and Norheim
9:00 AM ET
Aston Villa v. Tottenham
Money line: Tottenham -102
Against the spread: At +0.50, back Aston Villa.
Total goals: Over 2.75
Likely score: Tottenham 2, Aston Villa 1
11:30 AM ET
Arsenal v. Newcastle United
Money line: Arsenal -195
Against the spread: At +1.25, back Newcastle United.
Total goals: Under 2.75
Likely score: Arsenal 1, Newcastle 0
__________________
Kiev O'Neil
Minnesota -2 – 2 stars
__________________
Mike Barner
NBA
Team LeBron -4.5
The All-Star Game is going to be a bit different this season based on the new rules, but Team LeBron is just insane. Their starting five of LeBron James, Anthony Davis, James Harden, Luka Doncic and Kawhi Leonard is as dangerous as it gets, and they have the likes of Russell Westbrook, Ben Simmons and Nikola Jokic coming off the bench. Team Giannis doesn't exactly have any holes, but it has only three players on its roster averaging at least 25 points per game, while Team LeBron has seven. Team LeBron's starters will be too much to overcome in the fourth quarter, with LeBron and Harden leading the way.
__________________
Sportsline Computer
Sam Houston -8.5
__________________
Arian Bhardi
Winning Sports Plays
Match: Aston Villa - Tottenham
League : England - Premier League
Date & Time : 2.16.2020 at 15:00(9:00AM EST)
Pick: Tottenham
Odds: +102
__________________
Zack Cimini
ARIZONA ST. -5
ARIZONA ST. @ CALIFORNIA | 2/16 | 6:00 PM EST
8:28 AM
Arizona State is gaining NCAA Tournament consideration. The Sun Devils have won four in a row, three of those by five or fewer points. The win streak has coincided with a surge by sixth man Alonzo Verge. He's averaging 20 points during the streak and that kind of production should continue against Cal. Grab ASU.
49-36-4 IN LAST 89 CBB ATS PICKS | +900
8-2 IN LAST 10 ARIZST ATS PICKS | +581
MINNESOTA -4.5
IOWA @ MINNESOTA | 2/16 | 1:00 PM EST
8:24 AM
Iowa has one of the toughest remaining schedules in college basketball. Sunday’s opponent, Minnesota, is 4-1 at home during Big Ten play. The Golden Gophers have defended their home court by limiting teams to an average of 65 points. Look for Minnesota to take the Hawkeyes out of their offensive rhythm, and lay it.
49-36-4 IN LAST 89 CBB ATS PICKS | +900
__________________
Stephen Oh
TORONTO -154
TORONTO @ BUFFALO | 2/16 | 7:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:30 PM
The Maple Leafs have won the past two meetings, holding the Sabres to four goals combined in those games, and seven of the past head-to-head matchups. I have Toronto winning nearly 70 percent of simulations, so I'm willing to lay this price.
16-10 IN LAST 26 NHL PICKS | +211
8-1 IN LAST 9 BUF ML PICKS | +668
6-2 IN LAST 8 TOR ML PICKS | +404
MICHIGAN -7.5
INDIANA @ MICHIGAN | 2/16 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:26 PM
My simulations show Michigan winning by double digits, so we're getting solid value on the hosts. Indiana has lost four of five and ranks 11th in the conference in defensive efficiency. Lay the points.
14-7 IN LAST 21 CBB PICKS | +606
5-1 IN LAST 6 MICH ATS PICKS | +395
__________________
Bobby Cleveland
1* Iona
2* Indiana St
__________________
SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
8:32 AM
COLGATE -5
COLGATE @ LOYOLA-MD. | 2/16 | 2:00 PM EST
Colgate actually shot better from three-point range than two-point range in its 79-63 win over Boston University, and the Raiders were an impressive 14-of-15 from the foul line. Colgate is a perfect 15-0 ATS after a game in which it shot better than 48 percent from beyond the arc. The Raiders are oozing confidence right now. Lay the points.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
__________________
H&H Sports (CBB) - 5* Memphis/UConn Over 135
__________________
From Northcoast group of handicappers:
------------------------------------
Red Dog Sports
NCAA BK
3* #821 Villanova -6.5
__________________
DR. CHUCK BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (9639) Old Dominion at (9640) North Texas
Date/Time: Feb 16 2020 2:50 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 110.5 (-110)
View Analysis
Hedge attempt...maybe ODU can score just a teensy bit here...my GOD
Game: (307837) Colgate at (307838) Loyola Maryland
Date/Time: Feb 16 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Colgate -5.0 (-110)
__________________
Elite Sports Picks
South Dakota St. -12 over Fort Wayne (NCAAB)
Insider Sports Report
4* Marist +8.5 over Iona (NCAAB)
3* Indiana +7.5 over Michigan (NCAAB)
National Sports Service
5* Indiana St. -4 over Missouri St. (NCAAB)
3* Arizona St. -5 over California (NCAAB)
Primetime Sports Picks
4 Unit --> San Diego St. -5.5 over Boise St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Iowa +4 over Minnesota (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Marist +8.5 over Iona (NCAAB)
Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks®
4★ Memphis +4 over UConn (NCAAB)
3★ Wichita St. -15.5 over Tulane (NCAAB)
__________________
SDQL Gurus
UNDER 138
SAN DIEGO ST @ BOISE ST. | 2/16 | 4:00 PM EST
11:09 AM
The Aztecs are coming off an 82-59 win over New Mexico in which they held the Lobos to 35 percent shooting. San Diego State has a remarkable O/U performance dichotomy based on its opponents' shooting percentage in its last game. The Under is 16-0 when the Aztecs are a road favorite following a home game in which their opponent shot under 40 percent and the Over is 9-1 when they are a road favorite following a home game in which their opponent shot over 40 percent. The former qualifies here, so we are on the Under.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
OVER 149.5
COLGATE @ LOYOLA-MD. | 2/16 | 2:00 PM EST
11:08 AM
The Greyhounds, who are coming off an 81-76 loss at American, are getting five points here. This is relevant because the Over is 18-0 when they are an underdog by fewer than 25 points following a road loss, eclipsing the total by an average of 14.5 points. We make the play the Over.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
TORONTO -153
TORONTO @ BUFFALO | 2/16 | 7:00 PM EST
10:59 AM
The Maple Leafs are 11-4 SU as a road favorite this season against a team that is scoring on average less per game than they are. Road favorites playing back-to-back games vs. a conference rival that they beat in their last matchup and is coming off at least one day of rest are 12-1 SU. Toronto is in this position here. The Sabres are 6-16 SU as an underdog against an opponent scoring more on average than them. We are on the Maple Leafs.
6-1 IN LAST 7 NHL ML PICKS | +482
BOSTON -147
BOSTON @ N.Y. RANGERS | 2/16 | 3:30 PM EST
10:55 AM
The Bruins are 6-1 SU as a favorite this season against a team that they beat in their previous two matchups and is more rested than them. Road favorites playing back-to-back games against a conference rival that it beat in their last matchup and is coming off at least one day of rest are 12-1 SU, and the Bruins are in that position here. Boston needs to keep winning to maintain first place in the Atlantic Division, so look for it to get the victory in New York.
6-1 IN LAST 7 NHL ML PICKS | +482
CINCINNATI -10
CINCINNATI @ EAST CAROLINA | 2/16 | 12:00 PM EST
10:46 AM
The Pirates are coming off a 70-56 loss to Tulsa in which they recorded only 12 assists while committing 17 turnovers. East Carolina is 0-11 ATS following a loss by at least eight points in which it had more turnovers than assists. The Bearcats have a nice dichotomy based on their opponent’s interior defense. They are 0-7 ATS when visiting a team that averages more than four blocks but 6-0 ATS vs. a team that averages fewer than four. The Pirates have averaged only 3.12 this season. Lay the points.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
MICHIGAN -8
INDIANA @ MICHIGAN | 2/16 | 1:00 PM EST
10:42 AM
The Hoosiers are coming off an 89-77 home win over Iowa on Thursday. This has been a bad sequence for them, as they are 0-17 ATS on the road following a home win by more than 10 points. The Wolverines have the talent to take full advantage of this. Lay the points.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
__________________
Kenny White
CONNECTICUT -4.5
MEMPHIS @ CONNECTICUT | 2/16 | 3:00 PM EST
10:39 AM
The Huskies are playing their best basketball of the season, winning three of their last five and covering the spread in six of their last eight games. Connecticut's strength is its defense, and it owns an 8-4-1 ATS record at home. Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five games, the last four without F D.J. Jeffries (knee). I'm expecting Connecticut to grab an early lead, making Memphis play catch-up. The Tigers are 3-4 SU in their last seven games and 5-5 SU over their last 10.
3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +187
3-0 IN LAST 3 UCONN ATS PICKS | +300
BOISE ST. +5.5
SAN DIEGO ST @ BOISE ST. | 2/16 | 4:00 PM EST
10:32 AM
The pressure continues to build for San Diego State as its winning streak is now at 25 games. The Aztecs clinched the Mountain West title with their last win at home, with the fans charging the court and the players cutting down the nets. But there are more games to be played, and this could be the toughest opponent left on their schedule. Boise State has been very successful at home, going 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games. The Broncos blew out San Diego State at home, 88-64, last season. This purely is a situational play for me, fading San Diego State after a big celebration.
3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +187
UNDER 134
ARIZONA ST. @ CALIFORNIA | 2/16 | 6:00 PM EST
10:26 AM
The Under is 13-5 in the Sun Devils' last 18 games as a favorite. Arizona State ranks 25th on defense and just 150th on offense, but it does like to run. The Sun Devils shoot just 49 percent overall, 31.8 percent from 3-point range and 68 percent from the free-throw line, which are all below average. California will control the pace with its methodical offense and solid transition defense, especially at home.
12-7 IN LAST 19 CBB O/U PICKS | +431
OVER 150.5
IOWA @ MINNESOTA | 2/16 | 1:00 PM EST
10:20 AM
Iowa plays fast, ranking 42nd in the nation with the fourth-most efficient offense. However, its defense is 112th. The Hawkeyes' last three games finished with 166, 168 and 172 points. Six of their last eight have gone over this number. Minnesota plays slow with a Top 30 offense that average 76.2 points at home. Its defense ranks 60th, giving us two teams that are far better on offense.
12-7 IN LAST 19 CBB O/U PICKS | +431
TEMPLE +6.5
VILLANOVA @ TEMPLE | 2/16 | 1:00 PM EST
10:17 AM
The season has been up and down for the Owls under first-year coach Aaron McKie. Temple's defense has been the strength of the team, ranking 41st in the nation, while the squad is outscoring opponents at home 75.5-68.1. Temple is 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four games, while Villanova is 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS. Take the underdog with the better defense in this intense rivalry.
3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +187
3-1 IN LAST 4 TEMPLE ATS PICKS | +186
__________________
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
11:12 AM
OVER 138
SAN DIEGO ST @ BOISE ST. | 2/16 | 4:00 PM EST
Both teams have a plus-3 record on Overs, and San Diego State has hurdled the total in five of its last six games - away and overall. The Broncos average 77.7 points, 33rd-most in Division I, and a rabid home crowd could help them navigate the Aztecs’ league-best defense. An approximation of the scoring in last month’s meeting - 148 points - will do the trick.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +300
__________________
Budin
BROOKLYN COLLEGE BOYS
50 DIME
EARLY BANKROLL BUILDER
Michigan
__________________
Al Demarco
20 Dime
College Winner
SD State
__________________
CleInsiderSports (24-21 L8 days)
NBA
Pass
NCAAB
Minnesota -5
Illinois Chicago/Northern Kentucky UNDER 136
NHL
Bruins/Rangers UNDER 6
Oilers/Hurricanes UNDER 6
Devils ML (+120)
__________________
Bob Valentino
60 DIME
Absolute Blowout
Duquesne
__________________
Chris Jordan
25th Ever
2000♦
DOUBLE YOUR WAGER
College Basketball Play in 37 Years
2000♦ COLLEGE HOOPS WINNER # 19 OF 25
Indiana St
__________________
College Basketball(Bob Balfe) VIP
2:00 PM EST
Rotation #829
Fairfield +7 over St. Peter’s
Fairfield won the earlier meeting this year at home in a game they dominated. The Stags even turned the ball over 21 times and still won by double digits. This is a team that has more experience, is bigger and has the more established head coach. Shaheen Holloway has done a great job with Saint Peter’s, but this still is a team with a lot of freshman and he has yet to beat Sydney Johnson’s team head to head. I believe this game will be closer, but getting 7 points has a lot of value here. Take Fairfield.
__________________
DR. CHUCK ADD-ON
Game: (307837) Colgate at (307838) Loyola Maryland
Date/Time: Feb 16 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Colgate -5.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Sorry had to get the play up before I could copy the analysis over...
Everything about WHY we have been backing Loyola MD lately has had to do with getting Santi Aldama into the lineup and flat out dominating fellow Patriot League opponents with size inside on both ends that cannot be combated against! Not only is Rapolas likely Colgate's most important all around players...he is the same size as MD's big...with Keegan Records, the frosh, available to spell him at times off the bench...also huge!
Colgate is the class of this league...will go to the tourney without an enormous hiccup...Rayman can and will shoot with fury from deep...and Colgate beat these boys at home last month by 22 points....Rapolas will exploit Aldama's inexperience that reared its head so poorly against American...where the rest of the world figured out the Value aspect of Loyola...but the team crapped its pants down the stretch and lost by a disappointing 5 points.
Matt Lengel is going to be in a PRIME position this off-season to take the next step as a hot head coach for an open spot a level or 2 up from Patriot League...and his team is so head and shoulders above the rest...he will have them ready to go no matter the competition!
Colgate has 2 Oopses already on their schedule against Lafayette and they also laid 8 points at home to LMD and covered by 14. I think this is an overreaction to the waves of money that flowed this week on Aldama and they will feel the pain as Colgate wins this by double figures
Game: (833) Illinois Chicago at (834) Northern Kentucky
Date/Time: Feb 16 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Northern Kentucky -9.5 (-108)
View Analysis
Oof....big ugly nasty award.of the day may go to this game. Wright State is the known entity of the Horizon this season but this league sure ain't decided yet! The Norse are ready to pounce at any sign of weakness and UIC is as poor on offense as they come...making.their name and record purely with defense and beating the lesser.
NKU is great ATS, great on both sides of the ball...and held UIC to 52 points on their own home court....I would likely have laid well north of 12 points in this spot...surprise. UIC is finishing the road/road Wright/NKU trip over 48 hours and it doesn't get any prettier before the Flames head back home beaten and battered badly!
__________________
Wayne Root
Pinnacle Minnesota
Inner circle - Memphis
__________________
Greg Shaker -- 852 Nebraska-Omaha / 851 Denver Over 151.0 BetOnline
double-dime bet
Analysis:2* OVER at 155 or better..
__________________
AJ HOFFMAN | CBB SIDES SUN, 02/16/20 - 3:00 PM
839 Memphis 4.0 (-110) 5dimes vs 840 UConn
double-dime bet
__________________
BEN BURNS | NHL MONEY LINE SUN, 02/16/20 - 5:08 PM
30 VAN (-154) Sportsbook.ag vs 29 ANA
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Canucks have been a streaky team all season. After recently having lost four straight, they've now won b2b games. Markstrom is off a 49-save shutout (3-0 win) last game and is expected to back between the pipes for Vancouver. Gibson is expected to go for the Ducks today and he only lasted a period last game, a 6-0 Ducks loss. The Canucks are 15-6 when off a win by two or more goals. They're also a perfect 5-0 when playing with three or more day's rest. They lost at Anaheim earlier but they're a far better team at home. Expect them to keep on rolling for another day.
__________________
DR. CHUCK Ncaab add on
Game: (817) Iowa at (818) Minnesota
Date/Time: Feb 16 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 150.0 (-104)
View Analysis
Fredrick officially out...in Minnesota...only Garza providing any help....awful BIG number!
Game: (843) Missouri St at (844) Indiana State
Date/Time: Feb 16 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Missouri St 4.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Don't even think the Bears are going to lose this game...period...love the 4 points here on a dumbass line
__________________
John Bollman
UNDER 6.5
CHICAGO @ WINNIPEG | 2/16 | 8:30 PM EST
12:42 PM
The Jets are 16-13 with the under at home this season and they score the fifth fewest home goals per game with 2.71. The Hawks are about in the middle of the pack in scoring on the road with 3.03 goals per game. The Hawks have the seventh worst road power play in the league at 14.6% effectiveness and the fifth best road penalty kill at 82.4% effectiveness. The only thing that worries me is the Jets worst home penalty kill in the league at just 73.3% effectiveness, but that is a risk worth taking with these teams averaging 5.74 goals combined under these circumstances.
35-20-1 IN LAST 56 NHL PICKS | +1134
4-1 IN LAST 5 CHI O/U PICKS | +290
VANCOUVER -155
ANAHEIM @ VANCOUVER | 2/16 | 5:00 PM EST
12:41 PM
The Canucks are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and they are 19-6-3 at home this season. The Ducks are actually 5-3-2 in their last 10 games but they are 11-16-4 on the road this season. The Ducks score the fourth fewest road goals in the league with 2.35 goals per game and the Canucks only allow 2.54 goals per game at home. The Canucks score the fourth most home goals per game with 3.64 goals per game and they have the sixth best home power play at 26.7% effectiveness. The Ducks have the third worst road penalty kill in the league and fourth worst road power play in the league. This is a clear mismatch, take the Canucks at home.
35-20-1 IN LAST 56 NHL PICKS | +1134
5-0 IN LAST 5 ANA ML PICKS | +507
TORONTO -145
TORONTO @ BUFFALO | 2/16 | 7:00 PM EST
12:40 PM
The Leafs are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and they are 16-12-1 on the road this season. The Sabres have seriously struggled as of late to a 4-5-1 record, although they are better at home with a 17-10-4 record. The Leafs have won two of the three matchups between these two teams this season, and they have won six of the last seven between these teams. The Maple Leafs lead the league in road goals per game at 3.69 while the Sabres only average 3.13 goals per game at home. Neither team is very good at penalty killing but the Maple Leafs have the fifth best road power play in the league at 25.0% effectiveness. Take the Leafs.
35-20-1 IN LAST 56 NHL PICKS | +1134
3-1 IN LAST 4 BUF ML PICKS | +246
__________________
Philly Guy - Villanova Iowa S Diego St
Dime Man - Michigan Siena
Champagne - Top Boise Reg Fordam Utah
__________________