Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 2/13/20
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Thursday's Tip Sheet
West Coast college basketball betting fans can tune into a pair of matchups in the Pac-12 as part of Thursday’s late-night schedule of games.
The top showdown pits the No. 16 Colorado Buffaloes on the road against the No. 17 Oregon Ducks. Later Thursday night, the Arizona Wildcats head on the road to square off against the California Golden Bears.
No. 16 Colorado Buffaloes at No. 17 Oregon Ducks
(ESPN, 9 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Oregon -4.5, Total 139
As just one of two nationally ranked teams in the Pac-12, the Buffaloes (8-3 straight-up) can open up some breathing room ahead of the Ducks (7-4 SU) in the current standings. They already won the first meeting at home on Jan.2 with a 74-65 victory as slight 1 ½-point favorites. Colorado (19-5 SU) has won its last three games SU with Saturday’s 81-74 home win against Stanford. It slipped to 1-3 against the spread in its last four games after closing as an 8 ½-point favorite.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five contests. McKinley Wright IV’s 21 total points helped the Buffaloes overcome a 16-point deficit in that recent win against Stanford.
Oregon is also one game behind Colorado in total wins at 18-6 SU (13-11 ATS). It dropped its last two games (SU and ATS) in road losses to Stanford and Oregon State as a favorite. The Ducks are 2-7 ATS over their last nine games with the total staying UNDER in four of their last seven outings.
Senior guard Payton Pritchard leads Oregon in scoring with 19.5 points per game. He put up 16 points in each of his last two starts. The team scored a combined 113 points in those two losses.
-- The Buffaloes are 3-6 both SU and ATS in their last nine road games with the total staying UNDER in seven of those games.
-- The Ducks have gone a perfect 12-0 SU this season at home with a 7-5 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in eight or their last nine home games.
-- With the earlier win this season, Colorado has the slight 3-2 series edge SU and ATS in the last five meetings. The series is tied 5-5 SU and ATS over the last 10 games between the two. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.
Arizona Wildcats at California Golden Bears
(FOX Sports 1, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Arizona -9.5, Total 131
Arizona came up well short in Saturday’s 65-52 loss at home to UCLA as a heavy 12 ½-point favorite. This is part of a SU record of 6-4 that is actually third in the conference. The Wildcats (16-7 SU, 12-11 ATS) are 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS over their last five games with the total staying UNDER in three of those five outings.
Arizona has been able to average 78.8 points a game with three players scoring at least 12 PPG. That average has dropped to 68.6 points over the last five games.
Cal is further down the Pac-12 standings at 4-6 SU with a record of 10-13 (SU and ATS) overall. It has lost three of its last four games with Sunday’s 60-45 romp at the hands of Utah as an 8 ½-point road underdog. This was the first time the Golden Bears failed to cover in their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 131 points after going OVER in their previous three outings.
With just 62.7 PPG, Cal is scoring five points less that it is giving up. Sophomore guard Matt Bradley has been the high point of the season with 17.6 PPG.
-- The Wildcats have lost four of six road games this season SU with a 3-3 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five games on the road.
-- The Golden Bears are 4-1 SU with a perfect 5-0 record ATS in their last five games at home. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in seven of their last nine home games.
-- Arizona has won nine of its last 10 games against Cal with a 6-4 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five matchups.
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Thursday, February 13
Charleston nipped Hofstra 69-67 at home Jan 18, despite Pride making 10-18 on arc; Cougars won five of last seven series games. Charleston lost four of last six visits to Long Island, with the wins by total of 5 points. Cougars won three of last four games, but lost last game as a 12-point favorite; they’re 9-4 in CAA, 5-1 on road, with only loss by 11 at Wm & Mary. Hofstra won its last four games, is 9-3 in CAA, 3-2 at home; Pride’s starters play the most minutes in country. CAA home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 4-14 ATS this season.
Cincinnati’s last three games were decided by total of four points; they won won five of six games since a 60-49 loss at Memphis Jan 16, when Bearcats shot 30% from floor- that was their first loss in last seven games with Memphis, which lost its last six visits to Cincy. Bearcats have #32 eFG% defense in country; they’re 8-3 in AAC, 5-0 at home, with four wins by 16+ points. Memphis split its last 10 games after a 12-1 start; they’re 6-4 in AAC, 4-2 at home- opponents are shooting 39.9% inside arc (#2). AAC home favorites 7 or less points are 12-10 ATS.
FIU won its last three games, is 8-4 in C-USA, 2-3 on road, winning at ODU/FAU; Panthers allowed 74+ points in all four conference losses. Louisiana Tech lost its last two games, is 8-4 in C-USA, 4-1 at home, with lone loss by point to North Texas. Bulldogs are #32 experience team that has #35 eFG% in country. Home side is 7-0 in La Tech-FIU games; Panthers won last three, but lost last three trips to Ruston, by 34-33-16 points. Underdogs covered four of last five series games. Bulldogs FIU C-USA home favorites of 9+ points are 8-5-1 ATS.
Northern Arizona outscored Northern Colorado 20-4 over final 5:50 in their 64-58 win in Greeley Jan 18; NC was 9-38 on arc, 13-27 inside it. Teams split last six series games, going 2-2 in last four meetings in Flagstaff. Bears are 8-4 in Big Sky, 3-2 on road, losing by 4-5 points at Portland St, Eastern Washington; they play very slow pace (#308). NAU won six of its last eight games, is 7-6 in Big Sky, 4-2 at home, losing to EWU, Idaho St. Lumberjacks are shooting 37.2% on arc (#25). Big Sky road favorites of 5 or less points are 4-6 ATS.
Home side won last eight Charlotte games; 49ers are 8-4 in C-USA, losing last four games on foreign soil. UNCC is experience team #223 that turns ball over 20.4% of time (#268), playing a slow (#293) pace. North Texas won 10 of its last 11 games; they’re 5-0 at home in C-USA, with all five wins by 10+ points. Mean Green is shooting 38.9% on arc (#7). Charlotte won three of last four games with North Texas, winning last two visits here, by total of 3 points. C-USA home favorites of 8 or fewer points are 24-21-1 ATS.
Little Rock shot 60% inside arc, beat Texas State 72-68 at home Jan 2; they were down 15 late in first half. Trojans are 7-4 in Sun Belt meetings, 3-2 in visits to San Marcos. Little Rock is 12-2 in Sun Belt, 5-1 on road, with lone loss by 5 at Troy; they’re experience team #320 that is turning ball over 23% of time (#339), unusual for a good team. Texas State won seven of its last nine games, with the losses by total of five points- they’re 8-6 in Sun Belt, 4-2 at home; Bobcats force turnovers 22% of time (#40). Sun Belt favorites of 3 or fewer points are 15-17-1 ATS.
Indiana lost its last four games after a 15-4 start; Hoosiers are 5-7 in Big 14, losing last couple road games, to Maryland/Purdue. Indiana scored only 56.7 ppg in its last three games. Iowa won seven of its last nine games; they’re 8-5 in Big 14, losing last two road games, vs Purdue, Maryland, by 10-36 points. Indiana-Iowa split their last six meetings; they also split last four meetings here. Underdogs covered three of last four series games. Big 14 home teams are 12-2 ATS this season in games with spread of 2 or less points.
Home side won last 10 Colorado-Oregon games; Buffaloes beat Oregon 74-65 at home Jan 2- they lost last four visits to Eugene, all by 13+ points. Colorado won its last three games, is 8-3 in Pac-12, splitting four road games- they’re 7-0 allowing 65 or fewer points, 1-3 allowing more than 65. Buffs are continuity team #2 that shoots 37.2% on arc (#27). Oregon lost its last two games, is 7-4 in Pac-12, 4-0 at home, with two of those wins in OT. Ducks are shooting 38.3% on arc (#15). Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-5 ATS.
Oregon State lost 81-69 at Utah Jan 2, going 3-21 on arc; Utes were 25-28 on foul line that nite. Teams split last six series games; Utah lost four of its last six visits to Corvallis. Utes won four of their last six games; they’re experience team #351 that Is 5-6 in Pac-12, 0-5 on road, with four of five losses by 16+ points. OSU lost five of last seven games, but they upset Oregon last game; Beavers are disappointing 4-7 in Pac-12, 2-3 at home- they’re 0-5 in Pac-12 when they allow more than 68 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 5+ points are 25-13 ATS.
Murray State won five in row, 15 of last 17 games with Austin Peay, winning last four visits to Clarksville, by 1-9 points. Favorites are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games. Murray is 11-1 in OVC, losing by 7 at Belmont LW; Racers are shooting 36.5% on arc (#35)- their eFG% is #36, despite turning ball over 20.3% of time (#253). Austin Peay lost two road games LW after starting season 10-0 in OVC; Governors won all six of their OVC home games, including a win over Belmont. OVC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-7 ATS.
San Francisco whacked Santa Clara 80-61 at home Jan 9, shooting 64% inside arc; Dons won three of last four series games- teams split last four meetings played here. USF lost its last three games, is 5-6 in WCC, 2-3 on road; five of their six WCC losses were by 10+ points. USF foes are shooting 39.2% on arc (#349). Santa Clara split its first ten WCC games; they’re 2-2 at home. Broncos are 4-0 in WCC if they allow less than 80 points, 1-5 if they allow 80+- they’ve made 35.8% of their 3’s (#86). WCC favorites of 3 or fewer points are 5-3 ATS.
Santa Barbara won its last three games, is 5-4 in Big West, 2-2 on road; they upset Cal-Irvine in their last game. Gauchos are experience team #89 whose eFG% is #61- they’ve made 52.9% of shots inside arc (#43). Cal-Davis is 4-5 in Big West, losing three of four home games; teams are shooting 54.5% inside arc against them (#330). Davis won four of last six games with UCSB; road team won last five series games. Gauchos won last two visits here; underdogs covered four of last five series games. Big West road favorites are 5-6 ATS this year.
Arizona State won five of its last six games, with three wins by 4 or fewer points; they’re 6-4 in Pac-12, 2-3 on road, forcing turnovers 21.1% of time, best in Pac-12. Sun Devils don’t shoot well; their eFG% is #242. Stanford lost five of its last six games after a 15-2 start; they’re 5-5 in Pac-12, 4-1 at home, with lone loss by 5 to Oregon State. Stanford won three of last four games with ASU, winning last two meetings here, by 9-14 points. Underdogs covered four of last five series games. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-5 ATS.
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