Friday 1/17/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NHL & NBA games.
Friday, January 17
Siena is 7-0 at home, 0-7 on road, losing MAAC road games by 8-12 points, at Manhattan, Rider. Saints are experience team #194 that is 7-7 vs schedule #256- they’re turning ball over 22.4% of time in MAAC play. Siena nipped Canisius 73-72 at home December 23, after trailing by 13 late in first half, just their second win in last seven series games. Saints lost their last three visits here, by 3-24-6 points. Canisius lost six of its last seven games; they’re experience team #215 that is 6-10 vs schedule #253, losing both their MAAC home games, by 4 points each.
Iona lost six of its last seven games, losing both their MAAC home games, by one point each- they miss coach Cluess, who is batting health problems. Gaels are experience team #2 that is 3-8 vs schedule #285- they’re 1-8 vs top 300 teams. Iona-Fairfield split their last eight meetings; Stags lost their last 12 visits to New Rochelle. Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games. Fairfield won five of its last seven games; they’re experience team #60 that is 7-9 vs schedule #297- they allowed 51 ppg in their three MAAC wins, 75-70 in the two losses.
Rider won 11 of its last 13 games with Niagara, winning last two visits here, by 23-20 points. Favorites covered six of last seven series games. Rider lost four of its last six games overall after a 7-2 start; they’re experience team #61 that is 9-6 vs schedule #308- MAAC opponents are shooting 55.7% inside arc against them. Rider is 8-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Niagara lost six of its last eight games; they’re experience team #286 that is 4-11 vs schedule #121- they are 1-5 vs top 200 teams, with lone win in OT over Colgate.
Dayton won its last six games, is 15-2 vs schedule #145; they won their first four A-14 games, all by 13+ points, winning road games by 26-13 points. Flyers are getting good shots, making 62.2% of their shots inside arc (#1). Both of Dayton’s losses were in OT to top 25 teams on a neutral floor (Kansas/Colorado). Dayton lost three of last four games with Saint Louis, losing last two visits here, by 10-13 points. Billikens won three in row, five of last six games; they’re experience team #300 that is 13-3 vs schedule #197, despite shooting 56.2% on foul line, worst in nation.
Furman won seven of its last eight games, losing by 13 to UNCG last week; Paladins are 5-1 in SoCon, winning all three road games- they’re making 56.8% of their 2-point shots (#5), are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#48). Wofford won five of last seven games with Furman, winning last eight series games played here. Underdogs covered six of last nine series games. Wofford is 3-2 in SoCon, winning both home games, by 7-2 points; Terriers are experience team #79 that is 9-7 vs schedule #172- they’re getting 41.3% of their points on the arc (#9).
Michigan State won its last seven games with Wisconsin; Badgers lost their last 11 visits to East Lansing, last five all by double digits. Spartans got whacked in their last game at Purdue; they’re 5-1 in Big 14, winning home games by 12-20-18-16 points. MSU is experience team #265 that is 13-4 vs schedule #15- they’re forcing fewest turnovers in Big 14. Wisconsin won six of last seven games, winning last two Big 14 road games, at Ohio St/Penn St; Badgers are experience team #142 that is 11-6 vs schedule #11- they allowed less than 60 points in their last five wins.
Yale won nine of last ten games with Brown, winning last nine series games played here. Yale is playing its first D-I game in 18 days; they’re experience team #47 that is 9-4 vs schedule #35; their eFG% defense is #4 in country. Bulldogs are 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with four of the five wins by 11+ points. Yale is making 35.6% of its 3’s (#74), getting 36.5% of their points on arc (#57). Brown is playing its first D-I game in 15 days; they’re experience team #62 that is 6-6 vs schedule #186, despite turning ball over 23.3% of time (#332).
Michigan made 10-24 on arc, 29-34 on foul line in their 103-91 home win over Iowa Dec 6; Wolverines are 11-5 vs schedule #5, but they’re 0-4 in true road games scoring 60.3 ppg, 2-3 in Big 14, losing all three road games, by 9-18-8 points. Wolverines are experience team #138 that is shooting 55.2% inside arc (#12). Michigan won four of last five games with Iowa, beating Hawkeyes in last two Big 14 tourneys; Wolverines lost five of last six visits to Iowa City. Iowa split its first six Big 14 games; they’re experience team #238 that is 12-5 vs schedule #12.
851SIENA -852 CANISIUS
SIENA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.
853FAIRFIELD -854 IONA
FAIRFIELD is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) as a dog in the current season.
855RIDER -856 NIAGARA
RIDER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite in the last 3 seasons.
857DAYTON -858 SAINT LOUIS
SAINT LOUIS are 16-43 ATS (-31.3 Units) after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse since 1997.
859FURMAN -860 WOFFORD
WOFFORD is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.
861WISCONSIN -862 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
863BROWN -864 YALE
BROWN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.
865MICHIGAN -866 IOWA
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in home games in the current season.
NCAAB
Dunkel
Friday, January 17
Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Game 861-862
January 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
66.493
Michigan State
78.461
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 12
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 9
131
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-9); Over
Dayton @ St Louis
Game 857-858
January 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Dayton
73.146
St Louis
62.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 10 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 7 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dayton
(-7 1/2); Over
Siena @ Canisius
Game 851-852
January 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Siena
48.923
Canisius
46.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Siena
by 2 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Siena
Pick
145
Dunkel Pick:
Siena
Under
Fairfield @ Iona
Game 853-854
January 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
43.695
Iona
52.023
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iona
by 8 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 5
129
Dunkel Pick:
Iona
(-5); Over
Rider @ Niagara
Game 855-856
January 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Rider
51.827
Niagara
43.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rider
by 8 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 4 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Rider
(-4 1/2); Under
Furman @ Wofford
Game 859-860
January 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Furman
58.813
Wofford
54.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Furman
by 4 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Furman
by 2 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Furman
(-2 1/2); Over
Brown @ Yale
Game 863-864
January 17, 2020 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Brown
52.954
Yale
63.475
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Yale
by 7 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Yale
by 11 1/2
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(+11 1/2); Over
Michigan @ Iowa
Game 865-866
January 17, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
69.639
Iowa
71.627
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 5
148
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(+5); Under
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Friday, January 17
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SIENA (7 - 7) at CANISIUS (6 - 10) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 4-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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FAIRFIELD (7 - 9) at IONA (3 - 8) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
IONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
IONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
IONA is 88-117 ATS (-40.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IONA is 88-117 ATS (-40.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IONA is 70-101 ATS (-41.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 3-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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RIDER (9 - 6) at NIAGARA (4 - 11) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 114-148 ATS (-48.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RIDER is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 60-32 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
NIAGARA is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
NIAGARA is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-0 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 3-0 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DAYTON (15 - 2) at SAINT LOUIS (14 - 3) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAYTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 4-1 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 3-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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FURMAN (15 - 4) at WOFFORD (11 - 7) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WOFFORD is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 2-2 against the spread versus FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 3-1 straight up against FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WISCONSIN (11 - 6) at MICHIGAN ST (13 - 4) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 43-13 ATS (+28.7 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 5-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BROWN (7 - 6) at YALE (11 - 4) - 1/17/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
YALE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
YALE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
YALE is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
YALE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROWN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 2-2 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 3-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MICHIGAN (11 - 5) at IOWA (12 - 5) - 1/17/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
IOWA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all home games this season.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 4-2 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 5-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NCAAB
Friday, January 17
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Trend Report
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Fairfield @ Iona
Fairfield
Fairfield is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 6 games on the road
Iona
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Fairfield
Iona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Fairfield
Rider @ Niagara
Rider
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rider's last 5 games on the road
Rider is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Niagara
Niagara
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Niagara's last 6 games when playing Rider
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games
Dayton @ Saint Louis
Dayton
Dayton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dayton's last 6 games on the road
Saint Louis
Saint Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Saint Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 8 games on the road
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Siena @ Canisius
Siena
Siena is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Siena's last 7 games
Canisius
Canisius is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Siena
Canisius is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Siena
Furman @ Wofford
Furman
Furman is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Furman's last 5 games
Wofford
Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Furman
Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Brown @ Yale
Brown
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Brown's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brown's last 7 games when playing on the road against Yale
Yale
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brown
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan @ Iowa
Michigan
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Friday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab
A pair of Top 25 teams in the Big Ten highlight Friday night’s college betting board in matchups against pair of unranked conference opponents.
The early game pits the Wisconsin Badgers on the road against the No. 15 Michigan State Spartans. A late start on Friday night sends the No. 19 Michigan Wolverines to Iowa City to face the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Wisconsin Badgers at No. 15 Michigan State Spartans
(FOX Sports 1, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Michigan State -7.5, Total 131
Betting Matchup
The 11-6 Badgers have posted a 6-1 record both straight-up and against the spread in their last seven games. They beat Maryland at home 56-54 on Tuesday night closing as 2 ½-point favorites. They are 4-2 SU (3-3 ATS) in Big Ten play this season with another big win on the road against Ohio State. The total has stayed UNDER in five of Wisconsin’s last six games.
Junior guard Nate Reuvers leads the team in scoring with 13.9 points per game. He scored 17 points while shooting 46.7 percent from the field in Tuesday’s victory.
Michigan State holds a one-game lead in the conference standings at 5-1 SU. It is 13-4 SU (8-9 ATS) overall. The lone Big Ten loss came against Purdue on Sunday in a shocking 71-42 rout on the road as a 4 ½-point favorite. The next lowest scoring output this season was 62 points in an opening day loss to Kentucky. That loss snapped a SU eight-game winning streak and it was the first time the Spartans failed to cover in their last six contests.
Cassius Winston scored 10 of the team’s dismal 42-point performance against Purdue while turning the ball over nine times.
Betting Trends
-- The Badgers are 3-2 ATS on the road this season and they have covered in their last three games closing as road underdogs. The total stayed UNDER in those three games.
-- The Spartans have covered in seven of nine home games on the year. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as home favorites with the total going OVER in three of those contests.
-- Michigan State has won its last seven games against Wisconsin SU and it has a 3-2 edge ATS in the last five meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four games in this matchup.
No. 19 Michigan Wolverines at Iowa Hawkeyes
(FOX Sports 1, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Iowa -4, Total 148
Betting Matchup
The Wolverines have lost four of their last seven games both SU and ATS, including conference losses to Illinois, Michigan State and Minnesota as road underdogs. They are 9-7 ATS (11-5 SU) overall with a 0-4 record ATS on the road this season. The total went OVER 138 ½ points in Sunday’s 75-67 loss to Minnesota as 2 ½-point underdogs. It has gone OVER in four of Michigan’s last six games. The team is averaging 77.9 PPG on the year but just 67 points over its last four losses.
There are five players averaging at least 10 points a game led by center Jon Teske’s 14.3-point scoring average.
Iowa is coming off back-to-back victories (SU and ATS) against Maryland at home as a two-point underdog and Northwestern on the road as a 5 ½-point favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the Hawkeyes’ last eight games. They are 12-5 SU overall with an 11-5-1 record ATS. This includes six covers in eight previous home games.
Luca Garza scored 27 points in Tuesday’s win against Northwestern. The junior center is averaging 22.3 of the team’s 79.3 PPG.
Betting Trends
-- The Wolverines have failed to cover in their last five road games with the total going OVER in four of their last six games played on the road.
-- The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games at home. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in all six of those outings.
-- This series is tied 5-5 SU over the past five meetings with Iowa holding a slight 6-4 edge ATS. Michigan won the first meeting this season in a 103-91 shootout as a seven-point home favorite. The total easily went OVER the closing 143 ½-point line.