Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 12/5/19
Thursday, December 5
Mississippi State won six of its first seven games vs schedule #255, despite turning ball over 24.3% of time (#333); Bulldogs are experience team #290 that is playing tempo #304- they’re shooting 56.6% inside the arc (#15). State lost its only top 100 game by 7 to Villanova- their best win is over #155 FIU. Louisiana Tech is 4-2 vs schedule #269, losing both their top 100 games, by 10 at Creighton, 13 at Indiana. Bulldogs are experience team #46 that is forcing turnovers 23.1% of the time (#44) while playing pace #57.
Oklahoma beat North Texas the last two years by 10-16 points; they’re 6-1 TY vs schedule #116, with only loss by 19 to Stanford on a neutral floor. Sooners are experience team #248 that plays a quick pace (#51)- they’re 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 18-5-27 points. North Texas is 2-5 vs schedule #33, losing all four of its top 100 games, by 3-23-13-9 points. Mean Green turns ball over 24.3% of time (#32) while playing 2nd-slowest tempo in country. UNT is experience team #61 that won its last game by 11 at #137 Tex-Arlington Monday.
Auburn is 7-0 vs schedule #101, beating Davidson, Richmond, New Mexico, all on neutral floors. Tigers haven’t played in nine days; they’re experience team #70 that starts four seniors- they’ve got shooting 58.7% inside arc (#7), are grabbing 35.5% of their own missed shots (#30). Furman is 5-2 vs schedule #153; they’re forcing turnovers 25.7% of time (#14)- they’re shooting only 33.3% on arc, getting 39% of their points on 3’s (#36). Paladins’ losses were at Alabama by 8, 10 at South Florida- best team they’ve beaten is #111 Loyola-Chicago.
Saint Mary’s is 7-1 vs schedule #289, losing at home to #165 Winthrop- they’ve got wins over Utah State/Wisconsin, both top 60 wins. Gaels are experience team #98 that has made 43.4% of its 3’s (#4), getting 35.9% of their points (#74) on arc while playing pace #338. Northern Illinois won its last five games, after losing to Northern Iowa/Iowa State to begin the year, their only top 100 games so far. Huskies have played schedule #319- they’re experience team #108 that subs a lot (#63 bench minutes). Only top 200 team NIU has beaten is #170 Oakland.
Montana State is 3-3 vs schedule #129, wth an erratic resume; they won at NC-Greensboro, lost by 26 at home to Green Bay. Bobcats have turned ball over 23.7% of time (#326) while playing pace #256- they’re #48 experience team that doesn’t sub a lot (bench minutes #310). South Dakota State is 5-4 vs schedule #158, losing their last two road games, three of them to top 70 teams. Jackrabbits are turning ball over 21.4% of time (#256); they’re experience team #316 whose only road win was by hoop in double OT at Cal-Bakersfield.
NCAAB
Thursday, December 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Elon @ High Point
Elon
Elon is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Elon's last 6 games on the road
High Point
No trends to report
Central Arkansas @ Wichita State
Central Arkansas
No trends to report
Wichita State
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wichita State's last 8 games at home
Oklahoma @ North Texas
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
North Texas
North Texas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
North Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State
Louisiana Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Southeast Missouri State @ Abilene Christian
Southeast Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southeast Missouri State's last 7 games on the road
Southeast Missouri State is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
Abilene Christian
No trends to report
Furman @ Auburn
Furman
Furman is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Furman is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Dakota State @ Montana State
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
South Dakota State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Montana State
Montana State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Montana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Northern Illinois @ Saint Mary's-California
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Thursday, December 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (6 - 1) - 12/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 113-81 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA (6 - 1) at N TEXAS (3 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
N TEXAS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
N TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FURMAN (7 - 2) at AUBURN (7 - 0) - 12/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FURMAN is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
AUBURN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
N ILLINOIS (6 - 2) at ST MARYS-CA (7 - 1) - 12/5/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in December games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 98-65 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S DAKOTA ST (6 - 4) at MONTANA ST (5 - 3) - 12/5/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 108-74 ATS (+26.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
MONTANA ST is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ST FRANCIS-NY (2 - 5) at HARTFORD (4 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ELON (3 - 6) at HIGH POINT (1 - 7) - 12/5/2019, 3:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
ELON is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ELON is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOWARD (0 - 9) at HAMPTON (3 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOWARD is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
HOWARD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HAMPTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMPTON is 1-0 against the spread versus HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
HAMPTON is 2-0 straight up against HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
C ARKANSAS (1 - 6) at WICHITA ST (6 - 1) - 12/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 233-188 ATS (+26.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SE MISSOURI ST (3 - 4) at ABILENE CHRISTIAN (2 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SE MISSOURI ST is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SE MISSOURI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ABILENE CHRISTIAN over the last 3 seasons
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 1-0 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NCAAB
Dunkel
Thursday, December 5
St. Francis-NY @ Hartford
Game 1131-1132
December 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
St. Francis-NY
42.000
Hartford
43.714
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hartford
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hartford
by 3 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
St. Francis-NY
(+3 1/2); Over
Elon @ High Point
Game 1133-1134
December 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Elon
47.137
High Point
40.437
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Elon
by 6 1/2
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Elon
by 1 1/2
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Elon
(-1 1/2); Under
Howard @ Hampton
Game 1135-1136
December 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Howard
32.752
Hampton
47.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hampton
by 14 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hampton
by 11 1/2
152
Dunkel Pick:
Hampton
(-11 1/2); Under
Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State
Game 601-602
December 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
57.504
Mississippi State
69.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi State
by 12 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi State
by 8
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi State
(-8); Under
Central Arkansas @ Wichita State
Game 1137-1138
December 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
39.739
Wichita State
66.476
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wichita State
by 25 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wichita State
by 23
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wichita State
(-23); Under
Oklahoma @ North Texas
Game 603-604
December 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
66.780
North Texas
56.252
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 10 1/2
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 5 1/2
128 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-5 1/2); Under
SE Missouri St @ Abilene Christian
Game 1139-1140
December 5, 2019 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
SE Missouri St
44.295
Abilene Christian
50.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Abilene Christian
by 6
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Abilene Christian
by 4
135
Dunkel Pick:
Abilene Christian
(-4); Under
Furman @ Auburn
Game 605-606
December 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Furman
65.602
Auburn
75.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 9 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 12 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Furman
(+12 1/2); Over
South Dakota St @ Montana State
Game 609-610
December 5, 2019 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
48.473
Montana State
50.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana State
by 2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana State
Pick
138
Dunkel Pick:
Montana State
Over
Northern Illinois @ St Mary's
Game 607-608
December 5, 2019 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
57.181
St Mary's
66.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 9 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 15
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+15); Over
601LOUISIANA TECH -602 MISSISSIPPI ST
MISSISSIPPI ST is 50-26 ATS (21.4 Units) in home games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997.
603OKLAHOMA -604 N TEXAS
N TEXAS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the last 3 seasons.
605FURMAN -606 AUBURN
AUBURN is 33-19 ATS (12.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.
607N ILLINOIS -608 ST MARYS-CA
ST MARYS-CA is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% since 1997.
609S DAKOTA ST -610 MONTANA ST
S DAKOTA ST is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the last 3 seasons.
1131ST FRANCIS-NY -1132 HARTFORD
HARTFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.
1133ELON -1134 HIGH POINT
ELON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
1135HOWARD -1136 HAMPTON
HOWARD is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.
1137C ARKANSAS -1138 WICHITA ST
C ARKANSAS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
1139SE MISSOURI ST -1140 ABILENE CHRISTIAN
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.