Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 7/9/19
WNBA Betting Recap - 7/2-7/8
Joe Williams
League Betting Notes (Tuesday, July 2 through Monday, July 8)
-- Underdogs went 6-5 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 8-3 against the spread (ATS)
-- Road teams went 6-5 SU
-- Road teams went 8-3 ATS
-- The 'under' went 7-4
Season Totals To Date
-- Favorites are 47-37 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs 50-31-3 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams are 49-35 SU
-- Road teams are 44-37-3 ATS
-- The 'under' is 50-34
Team Betting Notes
-- Atlanta (3-10 SU, 5-8 ATS) picked up a surprising road win over the defending WNBA champions in Seattle (8-8 SU, 7-8-1 ATS) on Friday night, and they lost a narrow game in Phoenix (6-6 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) on Sunday. The Dream has struggled without star F Angel McCoughtry (knee), but they have covered back-to-back games, and they're a respectable 4-3 ATS over the past seven.
-- As far as the Storm is concerned, they have really struggled without stars Breanna Stewart (Achilles') and Sue Bird (knee) this season, and several other complementary options out of the lineup. They have dropped three in a row, and failed to cover in each. They have scored 67 or fewer points in three of the past five, and five of the past eight. As such, they're a favorite at the betting window for total bettors, with the 'under' cashing in seven of the past nine.
-- For the Mercury, they're on an upward trajectory after a slow start. Phoenix has won four of the past five, and defense has been key to the turnaround. The under is 3-0 in the past three, and 5-2 over the past seven outings, as well as 3-0 in the past three on the road.
-- Chicago (7-7 SU, 8-5-1 ATS) has been playing so-so ball lately, as they entered Sunday's game against Dallas (4-9 SU, 7-6 ATS) on a four-game skid. A win over the last-place Wings isn't exactly a turnaround, but it's a start. They have covered two in a row for the first time since four straight covers from June 9-19.
-- For the Wings, they have dropped and failed to cover in two in a row, but surprisingly it's their first time failing to cover consecutive games since an 0-3 ATS run from June 7-13. They have kept games surprisingly close despite their losing ways. The under is 4-1 over their past five, too, and 11-2 in their 13 games overall.
-- Connecticut (9-5 SU, 6-8 ATS) continues its nosedive after a 9-1 start to the season. They have dropped four straight dating back to June 23, and they have failed to cover in five in a row. A lack of scoring has been the problem, as the Sun is averaging just 69.5 PPG over the past four after scoring 81.1 PPG in the first 10 outings.
-- Indiana (6-9 SU, 8-7 ATS) has matched its win total from 2018, which is fairly impressive. However, they have benefited by a frontloaded schedule with Dallas appearing on the early slate three times. They're done with the Wings now, going 3-0 SU/ATS against Dallas, and 3-9 SU and 5-7 ATS against everyone else.
-- Las Vegas (9-5 SU, 5-9 ATS) routed defensively-challened New York (7-8 SU, 7-7-1 ATS) on the road, winning for the third straight game, and fifth time in the past six. The Aces have scored 90 or more points in each of the past three outings, a key to their success. Suddenly, they're looking like a WNBA championship contender like they were picked to be during the preseason after their acquisition of Liz Cambage.
-- Los Angeles (7-6 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) enters the new week with victories in a season-high three straight games, and they're also on a season-best 3-0 ATS run while hitting the 'over' in four in a row. L.A. has registered at least 86 points on offense in three in a row after failing to hit the mark in each of their first four, and nine of their first 11.
-- Minnesota (8-6 SU, 8-5-1 ATS) won and covered each of their two games in the completed week, topping Atlanta at home by 17 and winning by three on the road in Connecticut as an eight-point 'dog. The Lynx have covered three in a row as an underdog, but it was their first outright win in four tries as a 'dog.
-- The Liberty rank dead-last in scoring defense, allowing 82.8 PPG. However, their lack of scoring lately has resulted in four unders in the past five outings.
-- Washington (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) had their season-best five-game winning streak snapped in L.A., running into a hot Sparks side. The Mystics are still 5-1 ATS over the past six outings and 6-3 ATS as a favorite.
WNBA
Long Sheet
Tuesday, July 9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOS ANGELES (7 - 6) at DALLAS (4 - 9) - 7/9/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WNBA
Tuesday, July 9
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Los Angeles Sparks
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Los Angeles is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing Dallas
Los Angeles is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Los Angeles is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Wings
Dallas is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
Dallas is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 13 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
Dallas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
LOS ANGELES SPARKS AT DALLAS WINGS (+6.5, 154.5)
It took a little while, but the Sparks seem to have found their footing in Derek Fisher’s new offense. Los Angeles enjoyed a three-game home stand, winning all three contests while averaging almost 93 points over those victories.
A new coach and an inconsistent start to the 2019 season – in which the Sparks played without superstar Candace Parker for the first seven games of the schedule – left L.A. to average just 75.4 points through the first 10 games, shooting a dismal 39.9 percent from the field.
The team has connected on 46.8 percent of its looks during this three-game winning streak but hits the road for Tuesday’s early wake-up in Dallas, which is being played at 10 a.m. PT back in California. The Sparks put up only 76.1 points on 40.4 percent shooting away from home and have managed a 2-4-1 record against the spread as visitors.
The Wings are among the bottom teams in the WNBA but have defended home court with teeth, covering in five of their seven contests inside the College Park Center. Dallas plays a methodical pace as a host (90.69) which should slow down any momentum L.A. builds on offense, allowing a league-low 70.9 points per game at home.
The Wings also have forward Glory Johnson back in the lineup for the second straight game, after she was away playing in Europe. That helps shore up Dallas' interior defense, which is allowing only 31.7 points in the paint per game.
Los Angeles may extend its winning streak, but the Wings won’t make it easy. Dallas has always played L.A. well, owning a 26-8-2 ATS record in their last 36 head-to-head matchups, including a 13-4 ATS mark versus the Sparks at home.
PREDICTION: Dallas +6.5
Sunday’s pick: 1-1
Season to date: 33-22
__________________
WNBA
Dunkel
Tuesday, July 9
Los Angeles @ Dallas
Game 653-654
July 9, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
114.785
Dallas
102.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 12 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 5 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-5 1/2); Under
__________________