Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 6/5/19
Thompson tweaked him hamstring in Game 2, is a ?? here. Warriors opened 2nd half on 18-0 run in 109-104 win in Game 2, their first win in four tries vs Toronto this season. Curry was still only 6-17 from floor in Game 2, is 14-35 for series. Raptors lost three of last four visits to Oakland, but won in OT here in November. Non-Leonard Toronto starters were 14-43 from floor in Game 2; their subs were +19, starters -44. Toronto was just 11-38 on arc in Game 2, after going 13-33 in Game 1. Eight of last ten series games went over the total.
Finals G3 - Raptors at Warriors
Kevin Rogers
The Warriors return to the Bay Area knotted up at 1-1 with the Raptors, but Golden State hopes to field a healthy enough squad moving towards its fourth championship in five seasons.
After Toronto captured Game 1 of the NBA Finals, the Raptors were poised for a 2-0 series advantage before traveling west to daunting Oracle Arena. Toronto built a 58-48 lead with 1:03 remaining in the first half of Game 2, but Golden State crept back to cut the deficit to five at halftime thanks to six late points from Stephen Curry.
That spurred an incredible 20-0 run by the defending champions as the Warriors eventually grabbed a 72-59 lead on their way to a 109-104 victory as 2 ½-point underdogs. Golden State had to sweat out the final five minutes after taking 106-94 advantage as Toronto roared back with a 10-0 run before Andre Iguodala’s three-pointer with seven seconds left to steal home-court advantage back.
Now on to the walking wounded Warriors. Kevin Durant will miss his eighth consecutive game with a calf strain, which shouldn’t be a big surprise. Curry fought through an illness in the first half but finished with 23 points in spite of 6-of-17 shooting from the floor. Klay Thompson suffered a hamstring injury and still managed a team-high 25 points as his status is up in the air for Game 3. Center Kevon Looney will be on the shelf with a broken collarbone after playing 10 scoreless minutes.
The Raptors were paced by Kawhi Leonard’s 34 points, although nearly half those points (16) came from the foul line. The unexpected breakout games from Pascal Siakam and Marc Gasol in the series opener didn’t carry over to Game 2 as Siakam’s production dropped from 32 to 12 points, while Gasol slipped from 20 points in Game 1 to only six points in Sunday’s defeat.
Toronto is making its first trip to Oracle Arena since December 12 as the Raptors dominated the Warriors, 113-93 as eight-point underdogs. The Raptors cruised to their first win in Oakland since 2004 as Leonard sat out due to injury, while Curry and Thompson combined for 24 points, including 2-of-13 from three-point range.
The Warriors have failed to cover in five of eight home playoff games, while taking the court at Oracle Arena for the first time since May 16 against Portland in the Western Conference Finals. Golden State owns a 6-2 home record in the playoffs with the last loss coming to the Clippers in Game 5 of the opening round. During this five-year stretch of playing in the NBA Finals, the Warriors are 9-3 at home with the most recent defeat occurring in Game 7 back in 2016 against Cleveland.
The Raptors have posted a 4-4 SU/ATS record away from Scotiabank Arena in the playoffs, as half of those wins came at Orlando in the opening round. Toronto won once at Philadelphia in the second round and captured Game 5 at Milwaukee in the Eastern Conference Finals, but all four losses are by eight points or more, including two defeats by 20 points or more.
The total for Game 3 opened at 214 at Bookmaker.eu and the number has dropped to 212. Chris David weighed in on Sunday’s improbable ‘under’ result in Game 2 and offered up his thoughts on Wednesday’s line, which he believes could be and should be lower by tip-off.
He said, “Bettors taking the ‘under’ (213 ½) in Game 2 were gifted a lucky win and those taking the ‘over’ certainly are still stewing over the loss. Despite going cold in the third quarter, Toronto still managed to put up 21 points. While that drought was costly, it was Golden State’s finish in the fourth quarter that really killed ‘over’ wagers. The Warriors scored 21 points in the final 12 minutes but they only scored five points in the last six minutes. Injuries certainly played a major factor for Golden State’s offense and the battle of attrition can’t be overlooked for Game 3.”
“The Warriors won’t have Durant again for Game 3 and Thompson is expected to go but if he’s not 100 percent, you’re betting on role players to make shots again. After watching the Clippers explode for 135 and 129 points in the first round at Oracle, the Warriors have found their form defensively at home. In their last five games, they’ve only allowed 102.6 PPG. Fortunately for Golden State, the Raptors offense hasn’t traveled well in the postseason. Nick Nurse’s club is averaging 101.3 PPG away from home in the playoffs and that’s led to a 6-2 ‘under’ mark. The Team Total (103 ½) for Toronto looks low but based on what we’ve seen, it probably should be 102,” David added.
Going back to the 2016 playoffs, Toronto has watched the ‘under’ go 17-8-2 on the road in the playoffs. Golden State saw the ‘under’ go 8-7 at home during the regular season versus teams from the Eastern Conference and that included the outcome of Toronto’s 113-93 win at Oracle Arena on Dec. 12. That total closed at 226 ½, which shows you the drastic difference between regular season and postseason numbers.
NBA expert Tony Mejia checks in with his thoughts on Game 3, “This looks like the best opportunity for the Raptors to win a game at Oracle, especially with Durant ruled out and likely to be part of the equation in Game 4. With Thompson limited and DeMarcus Cousins and Andrew Bogut getting extended minutes with Looney out, the Raptors have to use their speed to try and make plays and create turnovers in order to swing this Game 3.”
“My expectation is that we’ll see Serge Ibaka play a huge role in this one, but Leonard and Kyle Lowry have to set the tone with a strong first quarter. Fred VanVleet’s defense on Curry was an immense part of Toronto’s success at home, so he’ll have to carry that solid play over to Oakland. Given the guys coach Nurse has to rely on to be successful, we should see small ball become their primary weapon, which may lead to the highest-scoring contest in the series. Golden State should see reserves like Alfonzo McKinnie and Quinn Cook feel more comfortable in familiar surroundings, which should also contribute to more points on the scoreboard,” Mejia notes.
The Warriors currently sit as 4 ½-point favorites at most sports books, while the total is hovering between 212 ½ and 213. Wednesday’s game tips off at 9:07 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ABC.
__________________
NBA
Dunkel
Wednesday, June 5
Toronto @ Golden State
Game 525-526
June 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
130.036
Golden State
129.051
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 5 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+5 1/2); Over
__________________
NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, June 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORONTO (71 - 31) at GOLDEN STATE (70 - 30) - 6/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 216-270 ATS (-81.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-55 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 53-68 ATS (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-50 ATS (-20.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-44 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________
NBA
Wednesday, June 5
Trend Report
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Toronto is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State's last 19 games at home
Golden State is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto
Golden State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
__________________