Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 5/7/19
Antetokounmpo got to foul line 40 times in last two games, after taking only 10 FT’s in Game 1; Greek Freak scored 32, with 13 rebounds, 8 assists in Game 3 road win. Hill scored 21 in 29:00 off bench Friday. Milwaukee lost three of last five visits to Beantown; home side won 11 of last 13 series games; Bucks won six of last seven games overall, covering last four road games. irving/Brown shot combined 14-36 in Game 3, are 23-66 last two games. Boston was +10 in 31:00 with Brown on floor, -17 in 17:00 he was out. Celtics are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight games overall. Five of last seven series games went over the total.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics Preview and Predictions 05-06-2019 in NBA
The Milwaukee Bucks insisted after a lopsided loss in Game 1 that they didn't need to make any drastic changes and just needed to increase the aggressiveness and execution, and it turned out they were right. The Bucks will try to take a 3-1 lead in the series when they visit the Boston Celtics for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Monday.
Milwaukee showed off that aggressiveness in Game 3 with superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo repeatedly crashing the paint, resulting in 22 free-throw attempts. "I'm just going to keep being aggressive," Antetokounmpo told reporters. "That's what my teammates want me to do. I love getting to the free-throw line. I've worked on it. I'm shooting my free throws with confidence, so it's easy points for me and my teammates. I'm just going to keep being aggressive and making the right plays, and sometimes if I've got to take it all the way, then I'll take it all the way." The Celtics were not so fond of the way the game was being called and voiced their displease after the 123-116 setback, which dropped Boston to 12-2 at home in the last two postseasons. "Guy comes down almost six times in a row and gets free throws," Boston point guard Kyrie Irving told reporters. "What are you really going to do? It's slowing the game down. The run that you would hope to make in a quarter like that doesn't happen. I mean, he shot 22 on the game. It's getting ridiculous at this point. It's just slowing the (expletive) game down."
TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT
ABOUT THE BUCKS: Antetokounmpo led the way in Game 3 with 32 points on 8-of-13 shooting (16-of-22 from the free-throw line) but it was the supporting cast that pushed Milwaukee over the edge. Shooting guard Pat Connaughton scored 14 points and George Hill led the "Bench Mob" with 21 points on 9-of-12 shooting in 29 minutes. "On the road, in this environment, that's when coaches talk about needing guys who have experience, that have been there and that understand what it takes," Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer told reporters. "George in his performance tonight is the prime example of that."
ABOUT THE CELTICS: Irving scored 26 points on 12-of-21 shooting in a 112-90 win in Game 1 but went a combined 12-of-40 from the floor in Games 2 and 3, including 3-of-13 from 3-point range. "I need to just keep my eyes on the rim and just be efficient in that paint area," Irving told reporters. "... It's really just about being efficient, especially the rest of this series. From this point on, I don't think you'll see another 8-for-22 or any missed layups or looking for the refs for calls or anything like that. ... When I do get in there, I'm looking to score and looking to finish with contact, whether the refs call it or not." Small forward Gordon Hayward is enduring similar struggles and is 3-of-13 from the floor in the last two games.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. Celtics G Marcus Smart (oblique) is expected to participate in practice on Sunday but remains questionable for Monday.
2. Bucks G Malcolm Brogdon (foot) is working out and is questionable for Game 4.
3. Milwaukee SF Khris Middleton is 13-of-20 from 3-point range in the series.
PREDICTION: Celtics 113, Bucks 109
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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Preview and Predictions 05-06-2019 in NBA
The Houston Rockets outplayed the Golden State Warriors in Game 3 and barely escaped with the win, giving themselves a chance to tie the Western Conference semifinal series at two wins apiece when they host Game 4 on Monday. James Harden stepped up down the stretch to lead the Rockets to a 126-121 overtime victory in Game 3 on Saturday.
Harden finished with 41 points and led the charge as Houston scored 52 points in the paint and dominated the interior. "You've got to be aggressive," Harden told reporters. "If you're timid, or if you're not aggressive, good things don't happen, so you've just gotta be aggressive, take your shots, get to the basket. When you get to the basket three, four guys come, you've gotta make the right play, whether it's finish or kick-out. So, I think all of us were in those positions a lot tonight, and for the most part we did a pretty good job." Kevin Durant scored 46 points to keep the Warriors in the game, but Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson struggled from the floor. "We had our chances, and let's be honest: It would've been a steal if we had won that game," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. "They outplayed us. They out-boarded us by 20. They were the more physical, aggressive team right from the beginning."
TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT
ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Curry went 7-of-23 from the floor and endured the most embarrassing moment of Game 3 when he missed a dunk in the final stretch of overtime that would have cut the deficit to three points. "For the most part, we pretty much got every shot we wanted," Curry, who blamed frustration for the missed dunk, told reporters. "The difference between winning and losing a playoff game is very thin no matter who you're playing." Curry suffered a dislocated finger in Game 2 and is shooting 35.3 percent from the floor in the series and is 8-of-32 from beyond the arc.
ABOUT THE ROCKETS: Houston's players and coaches were effusive after Game 3 in their praise of power forward PJ Tucker, who finished with seven points, 12 rebounds, three assists and two blocks while doing the best job on the team of slowing Durant. "Tuck doesn't do any of the glamorous stuff," point guard Chris Paul told reporters. "All of the stuff he does doesn't show up on the stat sheet. We say it all the time, but it's always nice for other people to get a chance to see it and appreciate it. He's easily one of the most valuable guys on our team just because of the way he plays. He plays hard, and he forces you to do the same." Center Clint Capela contributed to the defensive presence with a two-handed block on Andre Iguodala's dunk attempt and added 13 points and 11 rebounds.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. Warriors PF Draymond Green recorded a triple-double with 19 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists in Game 3.
2. Houston SG Eric Gordon scored a postseason career-high 30 points in Game 3.
3. Durant is averaging 39.4 points over the last seven games.
PREDICTION: Warriors 108, Rockets 103
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NBA
Long Sheet
Monday, May 6
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MILWAUKEE (66 - 23) at BOSTON (54 - 35) - 5/6/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 213-259 ATS (-71.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 103-81 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-42 ATS (+13.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 73-56 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-30 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 143-104 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 13-7 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-10 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
13 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GOLDEN STATE (63 - 28) at HOUSTON (58 - 32) - 5/6/2019, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-51 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-64 ATS (-21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 11-9 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-10 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
14 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Monday, May 6
Trend Report
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Boston
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 15 games when playing Boston
Milwaukee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Boston's last 23 games
Boston is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Golden State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 12 games when playing Houston
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games at home
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Golden State
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
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NBA
Dunkel
Monday, May 6
Milwaukee @ Boston
Game 501-502
May 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
126.417
Boston
122.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+1 1/2); Over
Golden State @ Houston
Game 503-504
May 6, 2019 @ 9:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.639
Houston
125.555
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 2
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(+1 1/2); Over
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