Monday 4/8/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Monday's NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Marco D'Angelo/Sports Unlimited
PLAY: (812) VIRGINIA -1
RATING: 5% PLAY
For the next 24 hours all you are going to hear about is the fact that for the second game in a row Virginia is lucky to still be alive. Yes they are lucky and they are still here like it or not. Virginia is really starting to look like a team of destiny aren’t they? From the only team to lose to a #16 seed last year to National Champions this year what a story that would be. Two months ago on our Las Vegas Radio Show I said Virginia was my team to win it all and nothing has changed to make me feel any different. Yes Texas Tech looked great yesterday knocking off Michigan St but Michigan St couldn’t shoot the ball in the ocean hitting only 31% of their shots. Yes the Texas Tech defense had a lot to do with that but Virginia’s defense is just as good. Virginia let a 10 point lead slip away as they were just 3 of 9 from the foul line before Kyle Guy hit all 3 foul shots for the win. Virginia is playing with house money as they could of lost either of the last two games but they didn’t and they found a way to win. If this game is tight late huge advantage goes to Virginia after the way they won the last two games. Everyone will point out Virginia blew 10 point lead but fact is so did Tech as they went 5 mins without scoring a point that let Michigan St come back before pulling away at the end. Note that Virginia on the road this season is a PERFECT 6-0 ATS following a win and no cover, winning those games by an average of 11 points per game. My numbers have Virginia cutting down the nets on Monday Night as I have them winning by 5-7 points.
TAKE VIRGINIA as MARCO’S 5% NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP BIG BET
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Fezzik
2*
Virginia / Texas Tech Under 118
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Stephen Nover
2*
Texas Tech +1.5
3*
Virginia / Texas Tech Over 117.5
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Ben Burns
3*
Virginia -1
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Spartan
3*
Texas Tech +1.5
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Dave Essler
3*
Virginia -120
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Sleepyj
3*
Texas Tech +1.5
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JR ODONNELL
3*
Virginia -125
3*
ANA / MIL Over 8.5
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CleIsidersports
MLB
Cardinals ML (+105)
Yankees/Astros UNDER 7.5
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Bobby Ligs
4% [CBB] (811) Texas Tech at (812) Virginia
Time: 9:20 PM EDT Total Over 118.0 (-106)
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Greg shaker
3*
Seattle -111
Kevin Rogers
MLB
Houston Astros -150
Kansas City Royals +110
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Tim Wilkinson
CBB
Virginia -120 (Moneyline)
Virginia/Texas Tech Over 117.5
MLB
Milwaukee Brewers -107
Brewers/Angels Under 9
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Kyle Markus
NCAA Tournament Championship Top Prop Wager
Virginia/Texas Tech to total between 121-125 points @ +750 odds
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Kyle Markus
MLB - New York Yankees +145
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WORLDS WORST PICKER
MLB
Both Regular Plays
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Play ON the OPPOSITES
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Rockdeman Sports
MLB
Seattle Mariners -110
Mariners/Royals Over 10
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Stats Analytics (MLB)
2* Padres/Giants Over 7
1* Plays
Cubs/Pirates Over 8.5
Phillies/Nationals Over 9
Los Angeles Angels +1.5 runs
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #955 Dodgers -110 (Ryu)
MidAmerican Sports (MLB)
PLAYS
Mariners -111
Padres +116
Phillies -134
Phillies -1.5 runs (+145)
LEANS
Dodgers -110
Athletics -138
Angels +100
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Gavazzi
4% Virginia
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Miller locks
8:40 pm est mlb
atlanta braves vs. Colorado rockies
pick: Atlanta braves (+112)
risk: 11 units
9:20 pm est ncaab
texas tech vs. Virginia
pick: Virginia (-122)
risk: 11 units
9:45 pm est mlb
san diego padres vs. San francisco giants
pick: San francisco giants (-122)
risk: 11 units
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matt rivers
blank check on Tampa Run line
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Dirty Bear sports from Cappertek
MLB: Atl/Col F5 under 5.5 -110 3u (MLB season: 9-4 69% +8.95units)
SFG F5 -.5 +105 1u
CBB: TTU/UVA 1h under 54 1u (CBB season: 68-57-3 54% -1.1units)
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AJ Hoffman (NCAAB final)
1* - Virginia -1
2* - Under 118
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Las Vegas Pipeline
100 Virginia -1.5
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Primetime Sports Picks For 04/08/19
4 Unit --> Seattle (Hernandez) -130 over Kansas City (Bailey)
3 Unit --> Texas Tech/Virginia OVER 118.5 (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> San Francisco (Bumgarner) -130 over San Diego (Lauer
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Jack Jones
20* Texas Tech
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Stephen Oh
PITTSBURGH -110
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 4/10 | 7:30 PM EDT
4:27 PM
This is basically a pick 'em game. But my projections don't see it that way. The Penguins win more than 60 percent of my computer simulations, a big number for a game that Vegas is calling a toss-up. Jump on Pittsburgh while there's still big value.
9-4 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +545
13-5 IN LAST 18 PIT ML PICKS | +803
SAN FRANCISCO +109
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 4/09 | 9:45 PM EDT
4:25 PM
The Padres have certainly been the better team through 10 games this season. But my projections favor Derek Holland, and they like the Giants to compete at home Wednesday. San Francisco wins a solid 55 percent of my computer simulations, which at an underdog money line makes them a great value pick.
7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +403
OAKLAND -147
OAKLAND @ BALTIMORE | 4/08 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:48 PM
The A's managed two runs in two games at Houston this weekend, but they're due for a bounce-back and playing the Orioles usually helps. My projections are high on Oakland, even on the road and even with Marco Estrada starting, even as the A's are 0-3 when he gets the ball. It's due to an offense that is averaging nearly six runs in my many simulations off Andrew Cashner and the Orioles relievers. Take the Athletics.
7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +403
11-4 IN LAST 15 OAK ML PICKS | +775
8-4 IN LAST 12 BAL ML PICKS | +331
L.A. DODGERS -132
L.A. DODGERS @ ST. LOUIS | 4/08 | 7:45 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:45 PM
The Dodgers took care of the Rockies at Coors, and easily so, while the Cardinals just got swept at home by the Padres. Now L.A. comes to down riding a four-game win streak. It's won both of Hyun-Jin Ryu's start, and my projections call for another win. The money line price is right to back the Dodgers.
7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +403
16-5 IN LAST 21 STL ML PICKS | +1208
21-13 IN LAST 34 LAD ML PICKS | +434
CHI. CUBS -120
PITTSBURGH @ CHI. CUBS | 4/08 | 2:20 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:43 PM
The Cubs may have the worst pitching in baseball, but the offense can rake, and my projections like the matchup for Jon Lester against the Pirates. The Cubbies are winning in two-thirds of my simulations, a number usually reserved for teams at -200 on the money line. Jump all over the Cubs at this price.
7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS | +403
2-1 IN LAST 3 CHC ML PICKS | +155
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ML PICKS | +140
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Adam Rompin Thompson
ATLANTA +118
ATLANTA @ COLORADO | 4/08 | 8:40 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:39 PM
The Rockies will eventually get rolling, but the offense isn't there yet, averaging a measly 2.8 runs per game. They've been especially poor against RHPs, hitting them at a .217 clip. Atlanta, meanwhile, averages nearly five runs per game and is hitting .292 off lefties, fifth-best in the majors. Kyle Freeland is tough, but Julio Teheran's .185 average allowed in 14 road starts last year shows he likes getting away from the pressure of home fans. He allowed 26 HRs in 31 starts, so the thin air of Denver won't affect him like some.
18-5 IN LAST 23 ATL ML PICKS | +1539
13-6 IN LAST 19 COL ML PICKS | +558
SEATTLE -116
SEATTLE @ KANSAS CITY | 4/08 | 8:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:30 PM
Homer Bailey was serviceable in his first start for the Royals, but he was decent in his season opener last year too before finishing 1-14 with a 6.09 ERA. The Mariners' offense, which ranks fifth in the league against right-handed pitchers and is averaging a robust 8.6 runs per game, can get to him. KC's bullpen has given up 21 runs in 23.1 innings, so there's no relief there. What Felix Hernandez is motivated to prove he's not done yet, and here's a good spot against a Royals team that's lost five straight.
3-1 IN LAST 4 KC ML PICKS | +247
HOUSTON -156
N.Y. YANKEES @ HOUSTON | 4/08 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:23 PM
Masahiro Tanaka has been superb so far this season, but the Astros have given him trouble. He'll need to be real good at Houston as the offense remains beat up and limited. The current Astros lineup, however is batting .349 against him all-time. Justin Verlander got knocked around by the Rangers last time out, but he's great at home (.193 average allowed in 2018). Against New York last year, he allowed one run over 14.2 innings with no walks and 19 strikeouts. Aaron Judge is 0-fer against all-time.
13-5 IN LAST 18 HOU ML PICKS | +651
14-11 IN LAST 25 NYY ML PICKS | +185
OAKLAND -128
OAKLAND @ BALTIMORE | 4/08 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:14 PM
The A's are 0-3 when Marco Estrada pitches, but he's 0-0 with a 2.76 ERA. And he's been dominant against these Orioles hitters, holding them to a career 14-of-82 clip (.171). The A's offense should pick it up against Andrew Cashner, who hasn't been great this year so far, and who last year allowed 10 runs over 6.2 innings against Oakland. Cashner's relief will come from a bullpen that has a 7.97 ERA and .333 average against.
11-2 IN LAST 13 BAL ML PICKS | +920
CHI. CUBS -116
PITTSBURGH @ CHI. CUBS | 4/08 | 2:20 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:03 PM
The Cubs finally get their home opener after a 2-7 start to the season. While the Pirates, at 5-3, post a challenge, Pittburgh is a brutally bad .111 against half-handed pitching, and it faces a LHP who loves throwing at Wrigley Field in Jon Lester. Jameson Taillon likes throwing at Wrigley, too, but the Cubs have been hitting .326 off righties and are averaing 6.9 runs per game. The offense hasn't been the issue, and Lester is in a good spot.
14-10 IN LAST 24 CHC ML PICKS | +338
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Goodfella
3*
Virginia -120
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Killer Sources
Augui J - Texas Tech
Dime Man - Texas Tech LA Dodgers
Champagne - Cubs Won S Fran under
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Lv wolf
tex tech +2(-120)
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Pointwise phones
3 Texas Tech
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Philly GodFather
Texas Tech +2(-120)
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Chris Jordan
1000♦
Dance Winner
Texas Tech
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Seabass : 500 2 team teaser Virginia and the under , 300 Phillies game over , 300 braves , 300 padres , 300 yanks game under , 300 dodgers , 300 mariners
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Al DeMarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner
MLB Dog of the Day
Houston Astros Runline
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Wise Guy Insider
MLB 7:05 pm Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles Oakland Athletics -130 for 1 units
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