Monday 4/1/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Monday's NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Stephen Oh
L.A. DODGERS -200
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 4/01 | 10:10 PM EDT
It's a big money line price to pay, but the Dodgers have looked good, including an 18-run explosion Saturday and eight-plus runs in three of four so far. The Giants managed more than one run just once in four games at San Diego. L.A. takes this game in a huge 74 percent of my simulations, so the value is still on the favorite here.
3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +300
20-12 IN LAST 32 LAD ML PICKS | +534
CLEVELAND -172
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 4/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
The White Sox finally bested the Royals on Sunday, but that took a no-hit bid into the seventh before the bullpen nearly blew it. Michael Clevinger is projected by my computer model to have a solid day, and the Cleveland bats should do enough against Ivan Nova. The Indians win nearly 70 percent of my simulations -- even at this big money line price, my projections show there's value.
3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +300
16-9 IN LAST 25 CHW ML PICKS | +826
22-17 IN LAST 39 CLE ML PICKS | +768
MILWAUKEE +103
MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 4/01 | 6:40 PM EDT
The Brewers won three of four against the Cardinals, two of them as the posted underdog. They're the underdog again here but the offense has been too strong to go against, especially at Great American Ballpark. Cincy was blanked at home on Sunday. Milwaukee wins this game in 60 percent of my simulations -- back the underdog here.
3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +300
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +325
3-2 IN LAST 5 CIN ML PICKS | +168
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Sleepyj
3*
Charlotte +11.5
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Stephen Nover
3*TOW
Seattle / LA ANGLES over 8.5
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baseball33
Atlanta Braves - Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
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Dave Essler
1*
Baltimore +1.5(-125)
1*
South Florida -125
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Stats Analytics Sports
NBA Top Play
3* Trailblazers/Timberwolves Under 226.5
1* Plays
Timberwolves +3.5
Bulls +3.5
Raptors/Magic Under 216
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Rockdeman Sports
Straight and Parlay - (2-1 Last 3 Parlay)
MLB
Astros -154
Angels/Mariners Over 9
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Accu Picks
NBA
3* #568 Toronto -7
Adam Thompson
CLEVELAND -156
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 4/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
The Indians managed just five runs in three games at Minnesota. That's not good. But now they return home -- only the Red Sox, Yankees and Rockies scored more runs at home than Cleveland last year. And Cleveland's lineup is a lifetime .394 against Sox starter Ivan Nova, albeit in limited action. Mike Clevinger has had considerable success against Chicago in his career, especially last year when he went 3-0, allowing three earned runs over 20.1 innings and 28 strikeouts.
7-4 IN LAST 11 MLB ML PICKS | +135
9-3 IN LAST 12 CLE ML PICKS | +588
9-4 IN LAST 13 CHW ML PICKS | +490
PITTSBURGH -125
ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH | 4/01 | 1:05 PM EDT
Chris Archer had a subpar spring, but he ended last year's regular season on a strong note, so we're banking on Archer being a pitcher that gets up for games that count. The Pirates' home opener would qualify, and they've won five hope openers in a row. The Cardinals lost three of four in Milwaukee and the road trip to open the year continues. Adam Wainwright has a career 5.54 ERA at PNC Park (in a lot of appearances), and last season he was 0-3 witha 5.66 ERA in four day-game starts.
7-4 IN LAST 11 MLB ML PICKS | +135
2-1 IN LAST 3 STL ML PICKS | +109
10-8 IN LAST 18 PIT ML PICKS | +58
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Stats Analytics Sports (MLB 14-10 ytd +5.55 units)
MLB 3* Top Plays
Cardinals/Pirates Under 7.5
Braves/Cubs Under 8
Mets/Marlins Under 7.5
2* Yankees/Tigers Under 9
1* Pirates -1.5
1* Indians -1.5
1* Mariners +1.5
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Adam Thompson
L.A. DODGERS -210
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 4/01 | 10:10 PM EDT
Any money line spread over -200 gives me pause, but not here. Only two teams has had more at-bats (64) against LHPs so far this young season than the Giants, but they're batting just .191 with one run and more strikeouts than hits. Julio Urias is electric when he's on, and the Giants' offense doesn't have the tools to rattle him. Drew Pomeranz was 1-3 with a 6.31 ERA in road games last year, and that was with the Red Sox offense behind him. He'll face the hottest bats in the league in L.A., where the Dodgers have won nine of 12 home openers.
7-4 IN LAST 11 MLB ML PICKS | +135
15-7 IN LAST 22 LAD ML PICKS | +1162
3-0 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +300
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Larry Hartstein
BROOKLYN +2
MILWAUKEE @ BROOKLYN | 4/01 | 7:30 PM EDT
The Bucks have multiple players injured or sitting out to rest for the playoffs. Brooklyn is at home and needs it. The Nets have covered five of six while the Bucks are on the second night of a back-to-back, a situation in which they've covered twice in the past seven tries. Grab the points.
69-52-1 IN LAST 122 NBA ATS PICKS | +1177
25-17-1 IN LAST 43 MIL ATS PICKS | +633
14-11-1 IN LAST 26 BKN ATS PICKS | +205
NEW YORK -3.5
CHICAGO @ NEW YORK | 4/01 | 7:30 PM EDT
Since shutting down Lauri Markkanen, the Bulls have lost by 20 and 23 at home to Portland and Toronto. Now they're on the road against a Knicks team that, while horrific, clearly has more talent in the likes of Emmanuel Mudiay and Kevin Knox. It's hard to lay points with the Knicks but this spot calls for it.
69-52-1 IN LAST 122 NBA ATS PICKS | +1177
32-13-2 IN LAST 47 CHI ATS PICKS | +1786
2-1 IN LAST 3 NY ATS PICKS | +92
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Mike Barner
ORLANDO +7.5
ORLANDO @ TORONTO | 4/01 | 7:30 PM EDT
The Raptors still have an outside shot at the top seed in the Eastern Conference, but the Magic will be the team playing with a sense of urgency Monday. They’ve won seven of their last 10 games and sit just half a game out of the eighth seed. The Raptors are just 16-23 ATS at home this season, so even though the Magic might not win, I like taking the points based on this line.
54-39-3 IN LAST 96 NBA ATS PICKS | +1072
5-0 IN LAST 5 TOR ATS PICKS | +500
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 ORL ATS PICKS | +366
MIAMI +7
MIAMI @ BOSTON | 4/01 | 7:30 PM EDT
The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games as they scuffle towards the finish line. Their 27-12 record at home this season is impressive, but they are only 20-19 there ATS. Meanwhile, the Heat are 25-12 ATS on the road, so I’ll take the points.
54-39-3 IN LAST 96 NBA ATS PICKS | +1072
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ATS PICKS | +89
NEW YORK -3.5
CHICAGO @ NEW YORK | 4/01 | 7:30 PM EDT
9:44 AM
This game isn’t going to be pretty. The Bulls are basically trotting out a G League roster due to all of their injuries, which has resulted in them losing each of their last four games by an average of 20.8 points. The Knicks roster isn’t exactly loaded, but they at least have talented players like Mitchell Robinson and Dennis Smith Jr. available to play, so I’ll take them to cover.
54-39-3 IN LAST 96 NBA ATS PICKS | +1072
4-1 IN LAST 5 CHI ATS PICKS | +288
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Jack Jones
20* South Florida
20* BROOKLYN
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SAS Wins
nba
Suns-2(2)
mlb
Indians-156(2)
Dodgers RL-1.5(1)
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Fezzik
CBB -
1* - South Florida ML -127
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MidAmerican Sports
MLB
Reds
Marlins
Diamondbacks
White Sox
Rockies
Athletics
Rangers
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Dave Essler
1*
Baltimore +1.5(-125)
Added
1*
South Florida -125
3*
Brooklyn +2
2*
Dallas +6
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Greg Shaker
3*
Utah / Charlotte over 218.5
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en Burns
3*
South Florida/ DePaul under 151.5
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Scott Spreitzer
7 Unit Pacers -5.5
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Goodfella
3*
Portland -3
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Kevin Rogers
Pacers -5
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Tony Mejia
Over 212 Heat/Celtics
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Kevin Rogers
MLB
Reds
Blue Jays
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