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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Wednesday 3/20/19

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shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57708

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 3/20/19

Posted : March 20, 2019 9:02 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57708

Member Moderator

Topic starter

North Carolina Central is in NCAA’s for 4th time in six years; they’re 0-2 in play-in games, losing by 4-18 points the last two years. Eagles finished in 6th place in MEAC this year, worst league in country- they turn ball over 22.9% of time- they’re #15 experience team that won eight of its last ten games. North Dakota State makes 36.8% of its 3’s, getting 40.3% of their points on 3’s- they’re experience team #277; Bison are in NCAAs for first time in four years- they’re not a good defensive team, with #305 eFG% on defense.

Arizona State beat St John’s 82-70 LY at Staples Center; ASU won six of last eight games overall; they get 22.3% of their points on foul line. St John’s subs play minutes #347, so they better not get in foul trouble. Hurley is 0-2 in NCAA’s as a head coach; this is Mullin’s first NCAA game as a coach. Johnnies started season 12-0, playing the #327 non-conference schedule, then went 9-12 in last 21 games- they beat Pac-12 cellar dweller Cal 82-79. Neither team subs very much. Last four years, Big East teams are 20-8 against Pac-12 opponents.

Wednesday’s other tournament games
Motivation is the main variable in these “other” tournaments; I’ll give you some stats and some knowledge, but these games are really tough to decipher from the outside.

Toledo won five of its last six games, got upset in first MAC tourney game; Rockets are #86 experience team that gets 38.5% of its points behind the arc. Toledo is 1-2 vs top 100 teams this year, losing twice to Buffalo, by 30-6 points- they beat Cal-Irvine. Xavier won by 27-21 in its two games vs MAC teams this season; they’re experience team #120 that won 7 of its last 9 games.

Norfolk State was 2-10 in its pre-conference schedule, with three other non-D-I wins; they lost by 19 to Michigan, 17 to South Carolina- they’re experience team #78 that turns ball over 20.6% of the time. Alabama lost seven of its last ten games; they’re experience team #208 that was 9-3 in its pre-conference schedule. Tide won by 20-8-10 points in its three non-top 200 games.

Harvard lost Ivy title game to arch-rival Yale Sunday afternoon; quick turnaround here for #258 experience team that beat Saint Mary’s but lost by 20 to North Carolina. Crimson turns ball over 22.3% of time. Georgetown was 10-3 in its pre-conference games, is 5-6 in its last 11 games; they’re experience team #263 that plays pace #23- they haven’t played since Thursday.

Sam Houston State won Southland by two games but lost in its first tourney game; Bearkats are #28 experience team that lost to Clemson by 15, Georgia by 11- they force turnovers 21.4% of time. TCU was disappointed not to make NCAA’s; they lost several players during year- their bench plays minutes #321. Horned Frogs lost seven of last ten games. Their motivation is a ?

Rumors are strong that Nebraska will fire coach Miles as soon as the Huskers lose in this event; how long will they stay? Nebraska beat Big East’s Seton Hall by 23, Creighton by 19 back in the fall, when Huskers had high hopes. Butler lost five of its last six games, despite being experience team #117- they play a slow (#260) pace, lost by 3 to Indiana in their only Big 14 game.

Long trip east for Dan Majerle’s Grand Canyon team, which is 20-13, 12-7 in WAC; Antelopes are experience team #99 that lost by 8 to Nevada, 7 to Seton Hall, 9 to Utah, 38 to Texas- they lost WAC final Saturday. West Virginia is young team with 14-20 record; they were 4-3 in last seven games after they ran couple guys off the team— this is prep work for next season.

Central Michigan is 23-11, losing MAC semis by 4 to Buffalo; Chippewas are experience team #27 that played a horrible (#346) pre-conference schedule. CMU shot 38.3% on arc, best in league, 46.9% inside arc, worst in MAC. DePaul is 15-15, but 7-1 against teams outside top 100; Blue Demons lost six of their last eight games- they’re experience team #79.

Howard lost by 21 to Little Rock, by 14 to Appalachian State, two Sun Belt teams; Bison are #313 experience team that plays pace #32- they’re 3-8 outside the MEAC. Coastal Carolina lost seven of last ten games after starting 6-3 in Sun Belt; Chanticleers are experience team #195 that beat NC Central by 4, their only MEAC opponent. CCU turn ball over 20.2% of time (#290).

Stony Brook’s coach has already bolted to Ohio U; Seawolves are 24-8 despite being experience team #305- they split last six games, are 12-3 outside America East (#257 non-conf schedule). /South Florida lost seven of its last eight D-I games; Bulls are experience team #328 that turns ball over 22.9% of time- they also force turnovers 22.2% of time- they shoot only 32.7% on arc.

Cal-Baptist is in its first year of D-I basketball, so they’re fired up to be playing; Lancers lost by 3 at Tulsa, lost by 3 at Cal-Irvine, 35 at Nevada- they’re experience team #174 that lost four of its last six games. LMU is 20-11, its first winning season in seven years; Lions are 10-2 outside WCC, beating UNLV, Georgetown- they force turnovers 21.2% of time (#40).

UAB comes north after winning six of last nine games; Blazers are experience team #188 that plays slow (#307) pace- they won three of their last four true road games. UAB is only 6-5 outside C-USA (#305 non-conf schedule). Brown is 19-11 but didn’t make 4-team Ivy tourney after going 7-7. Bears are experience team #177 that forces turnovers 21.4% of time (#34).

Texas Southern won at Baylor/Oregon before Christmas, but was 3-8 in pre-SWAC games, with two other non-D-I wins; they lost by 8 at Lamar in their only Southland game. TSU is #5 experience team that plays pace #4. New Orleans lost in Southland final; they’re experience team #246 that forces turnovers 22.6% of time (#17).

Grambling is 3-7 outside SWAC; they’re shooting 39.7% on arc (#6). Tigers are experience team #60 that subs a lot (bench minutes #45) but turns ball over 22.2% of time. Rio Grande Valley won eight of last 11 games; they beat SWAC champ Prairie View by 13 in November. Vaqueros are #72 experience team but have #334 eFG%, shooting 31% on arc, 45.8% inside arc.

Green Bay is 7-4 in its last 11 games; they’re #103 experience team that plays pace #12- they beat Belmont back in December. Phoenix split their last four road games. East Tennessee State won four of last six games but lost to Wofford in SoCon semis; Bucs are experience team #257 that is 7-4 outside SoCon. ETSU’s opponents shoot 38.8% on the arc (#344).

Long trip west for Presbyterian squad that is experience team #286- they went 9-7 in Big South. Blue Hose is shooting 38% on arc (#28) they get 41.4% of their points on arc; they’re not a good defensive team. Seattle won five of its last seven games; their last two wins were in OT; they’re experience team #212 who are 10-3 outside the WAC (non-conf #342).

Southern Miss won 12 of its last 17 games; they’re experience team #22 that is 3rd-shortest team in country. Eagles won four of their last six true road games. Longwood lost eight of its last ten games, is 15-17; they’re experience team #70 that lost 42-39 to Charlotte, the worst team in C-USA. Lancers turn ball over 20.9% of time; they went 5-11 in Big South.

Wichita State won 11 of its last 14 games, four of last five true road games. Shockers are #274 experience team that lost by 3 to Cincinnati in AAC semis; their eFG% is #325 but they’re riding star McDuffie’s scoring. Furman won nine of its last 11 games; they’re shooting 56.9% inside arc. Paladins won at Villanova in November, then went 13-5 in an improved SoCon.

Posted : March 20, 2019 9:04 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57708

Member Moderator

Topic starter

By Brian Edwards

**North Carolina Central vs. North Dakota State**

-- As of early this morning, most books had North Dakota State (18-15 straight up, 14-15 against the spread) listed as a five-point favorite with a total of 132.5. The Eagles were +185 on the money line (risk $100 to win $185). For first-half wagers, the Bison were favored by 2.5 points with an ‘over/under’ of 61.

-- Tonight’s winner advances to take on the Tournament’s top overall seed, Duke, on Friday at 7:10 p.m. Eastern at Colonial Life Arena in Columbia, S.C.

-- North Dakota State will bring a four-game winning streak to Dayton, the annual home of the First Four where Fairleigh Dickinson and Belmont prevailed last night to stay alive in this year’s NCAA Tournament. The Bison won the Summit League Tournament with victories over Oral Roberts, Western Illinois and Nebraska-Omaha. NDS won an 73-63 decision over the Mavericks in the finals in Sioux Falls, S.D., on March 12. The Bison took the cash as a 3.5-point underdog. They roared out to a 41-27 halftime advantage, only to see Nebraska Omaha rally with a 24-10 run to knot the score at 51-51 with 8:24 remaining. But it would be all NDS the rest of the way as it ripped off a 9-0 run to go ahead 60-51 and coast into the win column from there.

-- Vinnie Shahid led the way against the Mavericks with 22 points and three assists without a turnover. Shahid, a transfer from Western Nebraska Community College, buried 7-of-12 field-goal attempts and 6-of-7 from the free-throw line to garner Summit League Tournament MVP honors. Tyson Ward added 15 points and seven rebounds on 6-of-9 FGAs. Cameron Hunter logged only 13 minutes of playing time but made them count, draining all three of his launces from 3-point range and all three attempts from the charity stripe in a 12-point effort. Hunter also dished out a pair of assists without committing a turnover.

-- NDS is ranked 11th in the nation in free-throw percentage, making 77.4 percent of its attempts from the charity stripe. The Bison are No. 69 in the nation in the country in 3-point accuracy (36.6%). On the flip side, NDS struggles defensively, ranking No. 196 in scoring ‘D’ (76.7 PPG), No. 300 in FG-percentage defense (46.1%) and No. 269 at defending the 3-point line (35.8%).

-- Shahid paces NDS in scoring with his 12.8 points-per-game average and dishes out a team-best 2.7 assists per game. He’s hitting 36.4 percent of his treys, 83.9 percent of his free-throw attempts and has an 88/44 assist-to-turnover ratio. Ward averages 12.3 points and 6.3 rebounds per game, while Deng Geu averages 9.9 points and 5.0 RPG.

-- This is NDS’s third NCAA Tournament appearance in the past six years. The Bison have a 1-3 all-time record in four NCAA Tournament games, upsetting fifth-seeded Oklahoma in an 80-75 overtime win in 2015.

-- NDS faced six foes that are in KenPom.com’s Top 100. The Bison went 0-6 in those games, losing by 17 points or more five times. They gave South Dakota State (No. 94) fits, however, in a 78-77 loss as five-point home underdogs on Feb. 16. NDS has faced a No. 1 seed, getting blasted 102-60 at Gonzaga as a 26.5-point underdog back in non-conference play.

-- NDS is 9-3 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in its past 12 games. Four of those victories have come by double-digit margins.

-- NC Central (18-15 SU, 17-11 ATS) is on fire for our purposes, compiling a 7-1-2 spread record in its past 10 games. The Eagles are 8-2 SU over that span with one its defeats coming in overtime at Norfolk State, the MEAC’s regular-season champ that plays at Alabama in the NIT.

-- NC Central avenged the OT setback to Norfolk State by beating it by a 50-47 count in the MEAC Tournament finals, winning outright as a 4.5-point underdog. The Eagles overcame a 10-point intermission deficit by using a 25-6 run to start the second half. They used a balanced scoring attack with five players scoring at least seven points led by Zacarry Douglas’s 10 points and 12 rebounds. Raasean Davis added eight points, 14 boards, two assists, two blocked shots and one steal. The Eagles controlled the glass with a 37-24 rebounding edge.

-- NC Central is led by Davis, who averages team-bests in scoring (14.6 PPG), rebounding (8.9 RPG), FG percentage (64.5 %), steals (0.9 SPG) and blocked shots (1.2 BPG). The senior center was named the Most Outstanding Player of the MEAC Tournament.

-- NC Central is ranked 50th in the nation in scoring ‘D’, limiting opponents to an average of 66.3 PPG. The Eagles are 37th in the country at defending the 3-point line (31.3%). However, they can’t shoot it well from long distance, ranking No. 313 nationally with an abysmal 31.5 percentage.

-- NC Central is in the NCAA Tournament for the third straight season, but it is still looking for its first victory.

-- The ‘under’ is on a 6-0 run for the Eagles to improve to 17-13 overall.

-- The ‘over’ is on a 13-6 run to improve to 19-11 overall for the Bison.

-- Tip-off from Dayton Arena is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. Eastern on TruTV.

**Arizona State vs. St. John’s**

-- As of early this morning, most betting shops had Arizona State (22-10 SU, 17-14 ATS) installed as a two-point favorite with a total of 152.5. The winner advances to face sixth-seeded Buffalo on Friday in Tulsa.

-- The head-coaching matchup here might pit the two best college basketball players (among head coaches in this Tournament) from their playing days at Duke for Bobby Hurley (1990-93) and Chris Mullin (1981-85). Both were NBA lottery picks.

-- Bobby Hurley’s team has won six of its past eight games while posting a 5-3 spread record. ASU advanced past UCLA with an 83-72 win as a five-point favorite in its opening game of the Pac-12 Tournament. All five starters scored in double figures led by Romello White’s 19 points and seven rebounds.

-- In the semifinals at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, ASU was eliminated from the Pac-12 Tournament by Oregon in a 79-75 overtime loss as a 2.5-point underdog. Luguentz Dort scored a team-high 16 points in the losing effort, while Rob Edwards finished with 15 points, five rebounds a pair of steals. Remy Martin and Zylan Cheatham had 14 points apiece.

-- Cheatham was the only Pac-12 player to average a double-double this season (11.8 PPG, 10.4 RPG), recording 13 of them. Dort was named the Pac-12 Freshman of the Year thanks to his team-high 16.1 PPG average. Martin, a sophomore guard, averaged 13.4 PPG and handed out a team-best 5.1 APG.

-- ASU has compiled an 8-4 spread record in 12 games as a single-digit ‘chalk.’

-- St. John’s (21-12 SU, 14-18 ATS) is in its first NCAA Tournament since 2015 and its first under Mullin, who led the Johnnies to the 1985 Final Four and is in his fourth season back at his alma mater. The Red Storm hasn’t been to a Sweet 16 since going all the way to the Elite Eight back in 1999.

-- Mullin’s team is led by junior guard and Brooklyn native Shamorie Ponds, who averages team-high in scoring (19.5 PPG), assists (5.2 APG) and steals (2.6 SPG). Ponds has a 165/64 assist-to-turnover ratio. Mustapha Heron, a transfer from Auburn, averages 14.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.0 steals per game. Heron is knocking down 42.1 percent of his 3-pointers. L.J. Figueroa averages 14.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.8 SPG, while Marvin Clark (10.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG) and Justin Simon (10.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG) also average in double figures.

-- St. John’s is 5-5 ATS with three outright wins in 10 games as an underdog this season.

-- These schools met on Dec. 8 of 2017 at the Basketball Hall of Fame Classic in Los Angeles, where ASU beat St. John’s 82-70 behind White’s 22 points. Ponds added 19 points for the Johnnies in the losing effort.

-- The ‘under’ cashed in each of ASU’s final five regular-season game before the ‘over’ hit on both of its Pac-12 Tournament contests. Nevertheless, the ‘under’ is 19-13 overall for the Sun Devils.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Belmont advanced to face sixth-seeded Maryland in Jacksonville on Thursday by capturing an 81-70 First Four win over Temple as a 2.5-point favorite. The Bruins won their first NCAA Tournament game in program history and cashed tickets as 2.5-point ‘chalk.’ The 151 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 155-point total. Kevin McClain was the catalyst for Belmont, dropping a game-high 29 points on the Owls by draining 8-of-14 FGAs, 4-of-7 greys and 9-of-11 FTAs. Dylan Windler struggled with his shot, making only 2-of-7 FGAs and scoring merely five points. However, he pulled down 14 rebounds. The defensive attention Temple paid to Windler freed up Nick Muszynski to hit 8-of-12 FGAs in a 16-point effort. The OVC Freshman of the Year also added four rebounds, three assists and a pair of blocked shots.

-- Fairleigh Dickinson rallied from a seven-point halftime deficit to advance past Prairie View A&M with an 82-76 win as a two-point favorite. The 158 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 148.5-point tally. Darnell Edge and Jahlil Jenkins were the catalyst for the Knights, who enjoyed a 39-24 advantage in the rebounding department. Edge played all 40 minutes and produced 33 points on 9-of-13 FGAs, 7-of-9 net splashes from long distance and 8-of-8 on FTAs. Jenkins finished with 22 points, four rebounds and six assists compared to only two turnovers.

-- VCU guard Marcus Evans has been upgraded to ‘probable’ (knee) for Friday’s first-round game vs. UCF. Evans averages 14.3 points, 3.3 assists, 3.1 rebounds and 2.0 steals per game.

-- Toledo (25-7 SU, 17-13 ATS) will be down two of its best players in tonight’s NIT game at Xavier. Marreon Jackson (shoulder) and Willie Jackson (concussion) are both ‘out.’ Marreon Jackson (11.7 PPG) averages team-highs in assists (4.2 APG) and steals (1.4 SPG), while Willie Jackson averages 8.5 points and 8.8 RPG.

Posted : March 20, 2019 11:04 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57708

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Wednesday, 20 March 2019 • 07:00 PM
755 PRESBYTERIAN @ 756 SEATTLE
Play on SEATTLE in the first half in All games in non-conference games
The record is 12 Wins and 1 this season (+10.9 units)
__________________

Wednesday, 20 March 2019 • 05:00 PM
739 C MICHIGAN @ 740 DEPAUL
Play on C MICHIGAN against the spread in All games after a conference game
The record is 9 Wins and 0 this season (+9 units)
__________________

Wednesday, 20 March 2019 • 07:00 PM
745 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT @ 746 CAL BAPTIST
Play under LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT on the total in All games when the total is 140 to 149.5
The record is 0 Overs and 9 this season (+9 units)
__________________

Posted : March 20, 2019 11:07 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57708

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Wednesday, 20 March 2019 • 06:00 PM
727 BUTLER @ 728 NEBRASKA
Play on BUTLER using the money line in All games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest
The record is 57 Wins and 16 since 1996 (+41 units)
__________________

Wednesday, 20 March 2019 • 04:00 PM
723 HARVARD @ 724 GEORGETOWN
Play over GEORGETOWN on the total in All games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest
The record is 9 Overs and 0 for the last two seasons (+9 units)
__________________

Posted : March 20, 2019 11:08 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57708

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NCAAB
Long Sheet
Wednesday, March 20

WICHITA ST (19 - 14) at FURMAN (25 - 7) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
FURMAN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
FURMAN is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
FURMAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
WICHITA ST is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games on Wednesday games since 1997.