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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 3/19/19

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shazman

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 3/19/19

Posted : March 19, 2019 8:53 am

shazman

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Prairie View was 1-11 in its pre-conference schedule, then went 20-1 in its league, which tells me their league sucks. Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-15 in NCAA’s, winning play-in games LY and in 2010- they’re 2-7 overall in play-in games. Panthers are experience team #10 that forces turnovers 24.2% of time; they lost at Baylor/Ga Tech, both by 11 points. FDU won 14 of its last 16 games after starting season 6-11; they’re shooting 40.8% on arc this year- they’re experience team #152. NEC teams are 3-3 in play-in games, with last win three years ago.

Belmont won 14 of its last 15 games; they’re experience team #250 that starts two freshmen- they make 59.5% of their shots inside arc. Byrd is 0-7 in NCAA tourney games; this is first time he isn’t the lesser seed in a tourney game. Last six years, OVC teams are 0-6 in NCAA’s; this is tied for best seed they’ve had in last 15 years. Temple won six of last eight games, are 4-0 in OT this year; outgoing coach Dunphy is 2-11 in his last 13 NCAA tourney games. Owls’ subs play minutes #279. AAC teams are 8-7 SU in play-in/first round games, losing only play-in game in 2015.

Tuesday’s other tournament games
Motivation is the main variable in these “other” tournaments; I’ll give you some stats and some knowledge, but these games are really tough to decipher from the outside.

NC State played the worst non-conference schedule in country, which is why they’re here; Wolfpack started season 13-1, is 9-10 since then- they’re 16-2 vs teams ranked #90 ow lower. Hofstra was #1 seed in CAA but got beat in tourney; Pride is 5-3 in their last eight games- they are experience team #8 whose bench plays minutes #325. Hofstra is shooting 39.1% on arc.

South Dakota State has big guy (Daum) who scored 3,000+ career points; Jackrabbits were #1 seed in Summit but lost first tourney game. State lost by 8 at Memphis, by 4 at Nevada- they also lost at Tulane. Jackrabbits shoot 41.5% on the arc. Texas is 6-12 in its last 18 games after a 10-4 start; they’re experience team #280 that plays slow (#327) tempo games. Longhorns got PG Roach (suspension) back in their last game.

Indiana won four of its last five games after a 1-11 skid that ended their NCAA hopes; Hoosiers are experience team #285 that is shooting only 31.4% on arc this year. St Francis PA lost NEC final at home; Red Flash is experience team #58 that went 4-7 in its pre-conference schedule. St Francis lost by 25 at North Carolina, 38 at Va Tech, 37 at UCLA.

Campbell has a 5-9 guard who has scored 3,000+ points; they lost by 6 to Citadel in their only game this year vs a SoCon opponent. Camels won seven of their last nine games, are experience team #128- they score 38.3% of their points on the arc. NC-Greensboro is 28-6, losing finals of SoCon tourney to Wofford; Spartans beat Radford by 7, their one Big South opponent.

Lipscomb is 25-7, losing A-Sun tourney final at home; Bisons did win at TCU- they lost twice to Belmont, by 2-4 points, lost by 17 at Clemson, by 4 at Louisville. Lipscomb is experience team #48. Davidson won four of last five games but lost in A-14 semis; Wildcats are experience team #327 that plays slow (#319) pace. Davidson are 4-4 vs top 100 teams this weekend.

San Diego is experience team #15 that was disappointing 7-9 in WCC but won three games in WCC tourney; Toreros start four seniors, play only seven guys- they beat Colorado, lost by 3 at Washington, by 7 at Ole Miss. Memphis won eight of its last 11 games; they started five seniors in last game- three of their four subs were freshmen. Tigers play #6 pace in country.

Arkansas C Gafford quit to get ready for NBA Draft, won’t play here. Razorbacks won three of last four games, losing in first round of SEC tourney. Arkansas is experience team #341 that didn’t play any seniors in last game; they’re 9-3 outside the SEC. Providence is 5-8 in its last 13 games; they beat South Carolina by 11 in November. Friars are experience team #261.

Loyola is 6-6 outside MVC; they play slow (#348) tempo, are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2 to Furman, 14 to Nevada, 14 at Maryland. Ramblers are #198 experience team. Creighton won five of last six games, lost by hoop to Xavier in Big East tourney; Bluejays are experience team #282 that shoot ball well (38.5% behind arc) but they don’t know anything else that well.

Dayton won five of last seven games; they’re 8-5 outside A-14 this year. Flyers are experience team #278 that plays slow (#321) pace. Dayton lost six of eight games vs top 100 teams, with wins over Butler/Davidson. Colorado won 10 of its last 13 games; Buffaloes are 9-3 outside the Pac-12- they’re experience team #318 that played the #299 non-conference schedule.

Cal-Northridge is experience team #340 in Gottfried’s first year as HC; Matadors went 5-10 in pre-conference games, then 7-10 in Big West games- they’re 6-7 freshman Diane is very good, but CSUN doesn’t have much depth (bench minutes #327). Utah Valley won eight of its last nine games; they beat Long Beach by 15 in only Big West game. Wolverines are experience team #89.

IUPUI lost seven of last nine games after starting out 6-4 in Horizon; Jaguars are 6-5 outside Horizon games- they’re #69 experience team play fairly fast pace (#120). Marshall won five of its last six games, went 12-8 in C-USA games; Thundering Herd plays chuck/duck (#7 tempo) and gets 37.6% of its points behind arc. Teams shoot 37.4% (#320) on arc vs IUPUI.

Cornell lost five of its last seven games; they’re 6-8 outside Ivy League. Big Red is experience team #46 that lost its last four road games, all by 9+ points. Robert Morris won four of its last six games but is 3-8 outside NEC; they’re experience team #134 that turns ball over 21.5% of time (#321). Cornell won its last two games, went 7-7 in Ivy but missed 4-team tournament.

Posted : March 19, 2019 8:56 am

shazman

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Posts: 57662

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By Brian Edwards

The 2019 NCAA Tournament gets started with Tuesday’s First Four doubleheader in Dayton, OH. The winners advance to play again on Thursday, while the losers go home. It’s Tourney Time, folks, and that means there’s no tomorrow. Winners survive and move on, while losers go home in the one-and-done scenario that makes this event one of the best in all of sports.

**Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Prairie View A&M**

-- As of Monday night, most books had Fairleigh Dickinson (20-13 straight up, 18-13 against the spread) listed as a two-point favorite with a total of 149.5.

-- KenPom.com ranks FDU at No. 208 in the nation and Prairie View A&M is No. 209. The only team in the field ranked worse is North Carolina Central (No. 303).

-- FDU’s best win is a 77-66 victory at Princeton (No. 175 at K-Pom). The Knights lost 90-55 at Rutgers, 69-59 at Providence and 60-54 at South Florida.

-- FDU brings an eight-game winning streak to Dayton. The Knights won the Northeast Tournament by capturing an 85-76 win over St. Francis (PA.) in the finals. They won outright as four-point underdogs thanks to 63.8 percent shooting from the field, 53.8 percent shooting from long distance and 90.0 percent shooting from the free-throw line. Darnell Edge made all seven of his FTAs and scored 21 points. Jahlil Jenkins added 20 points, three assists and a pair of steals, while Kaleb Bishop finished with 20 points, 11 rebounds and two blocked shots. Mike Holloway Jr. contributed 12 points and five assists, making 5-of-7 field-goal attempts.

-- Edge leads the Knights in scoring (16.4 points per game) and free-throw accuracy (88.5%), and he’s also drained 46.9 percent of his 3-pointers. Jenkins (13.5 PPG) averages team-bests in assists (4.6 APG) and steals (1.6 SPG) and has knocked down 87.4 percent of his FTAs. Holloway (12.5 PPG) averages 5.5 RPG and has 33 steals and a team-high 34 blocked shots.

-- FDU is ranked fifth in the nation in 3-point accuracy, splashing the nets from downtown at a 40.3 percent clip. The Knights are 30th in the country in field-goal percentage (47.8%).

-- FDU is looking for its first NCAA Tournament win in program history. The Knights are 0-5 in previous appearances.

-- Prairie View A&M (22-12 SU, 18-14-1 ATS) has won 11 games in a row and hasn’t tasted defeat since Feb. 9. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS during their winning streak and have covered the spread in six straight games. They won the SWAC Tournament with a 92-86 win over Texas Southern as two-point underdogs. Dennis Jones and Gary Blackston led six double-figure scorers with 17 points apiece. Jones had four assists and three steals, while Blackston finished with 17 points, six steals and four rebounds.

-- Like FDU, Prairie View A&M has just one win over a team in the K-Pom Top 200. The Panthers won their opener at Santa Clara (No. 185) by an 81-64 count. Some defeats of note include an 83-67 loss at Murray St., a 65-54 loss at Ga. Tech, a 74-66 loss at UNC Greensboro and a 91-80 loss at Baylor.

-- Blackston leads the Panthers in scoring (15.2 PPG) and rebounding (7.0 RPG). Jones (8.6 PPG) paces Prairie View A&M in assists (4.4 APG) and steals (2.1 SPG), while Devonte Patterson (13.0 PPG) and Gerard Andrus (10.0) are also double-figure scorers.

-- Prairie View A&M is in its second NCAA Tournament and first since 1998. The Panthers commit an average of 21.7 fouls per game, which is the fourth-most in the country. This stat is something for bettors looking at the total should keep in mind.

-- Prairie View A&M is ranked 34th in the nation at defending the 3-point line (31.3%). The Panthers don’t shoot well from long distance, however, making only 31.2 percent of their treys to rank No. 318 in the country.

-- The ‘over’ has hit in four consecutive contests for the Panthers to improve to 20-13 overall.

-- The ‘under’ has cashed in four of FDU’s past five games to improve to 17-14 overall.

-- Tip-off on TruTV is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. Eastern.

**Temple vs. Belmont**

-- As of Monday night, most books had Belmont (26-5 straight up, 19-10-1 against the spread) installed as a three-point favorite with the total in the 155-156 range. The Owls were +135 on the money line (risk $100 to win $135). For first-half wagers, the Bruins were favored by 1.5 points (with -115 or -120 juice) and the total was 72.5.

-- The Temple-Belmont winner will advance to face the East Region’s No. 6 seed, Maryland, on Thursday at 3:10 p.m. Eastern (or 30 minutes after the conclusion of Yale vs. LSU) in Jacksonville at Veterans Memorial Arena.

-- Belmont is a name hardcore college basketball fans are plenty familiar with, as is its head coach Rick Byrd, who has more than 800 career wins. The other coaches in this Tournament with more than 800 career victories? Mike Krzyzewski, Roy Williams and Jim Boeheim. This team went through anxiety galore from the time its 14-game winning streak was halted by Murray State at the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament finals up until its name popped up on the screen during CBS’s Selection Show late Sunday afternoon.

-- Since 2004, Byrd has taken Belmont to seven NCAA Tournaments, four NIT appearances and one trip to the CIT quarterfinals. This is the Bruins’ eighth trip to the NCAA Tournament on Byrd’s watch and its first at-large berth. They are still seeking their first Tournament victory. This is the 65-year-old Byrd’s 33rd season with the program that was competing at the NAIA level up until 1996. Byrd has led the Bruins to at least 20 wins in nine consecutive seasons.

-- Belmont center Nick Muszynski was listed as ‘questionable’ due to an ankle injury sustained in the OVC Tournament semifinals, but he was upgraded to ‘probable’ Monday night. Muszynski, who was named the OVC Freshman of the Year, has averaged 15.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 2.2 blocked shots in 29 games for the Bruins.

-- Belmont didn’t have Muszynski in its loss to Murray State by a 77-65 count in the finals of the OVC Tournament. Without Muszynski, the Racers outrebounded the Bruins by a 46-31 margin. Senior forward Dylan Windler had 17 points, 12 rebounds and five assists in defeat. Kevin McClain finished with 14 points, seven rebounds and four assists without a turnover.

-- Windler averages a double-double (21.4 PPG, 10.7 RPG), makes 54.8 percent of his FGAs, 43.0 percent of his treys, 84.6 percent of his FTAs and averages 1.4 steals per game. The senior forward had 32 points and 21 rebounds in his team’s win over Austin Peay in the OVC Tournament semifinals, becoming just the fifth player in college basketball to produce a 30/20 game this year. Windler ranks 10th in the nation in rebounding, 14th in double-doubles with 17, 17th in 3-point accuracy, 27th in scoring and 49th in FG percentage. As a junior last season, he averages 17.3 points and 9.3 RPG.

-- McClain averages 16.3 PPG and has a 126/69 assist-to-turnover ratio. Grayson Murphy (9.8 PPG) ranks 12th in the country in assists (6.6 APG with a 204/77 assist-to-turnover ratio) and has a team-high 52 steals. He is a liability at the free-throw line, however, making only 57.8 percent of his attempts.

-- Belmont ranks third in the nation in road wins with 12. Only Stony Brook and UC Irvine, who have 13 apiece, have more road victories than the Bruins.

-- Belmont owns a 7-6 spread record in 13 games as a single-digit favorite.

-- During ESPN’s Tournament Challenge Marathon on Monday night, the network’s Jay Bilas said, “Belmont beats Temple. I think Maryland is better than Belmont, but I think Belmont will give them a hard time because they spread you and they have great cutting and they’re a fantastic passing team. Because of Maryland’s youth and their bigs that’ll have to chase, I think Belmont can do it.” Rece Davis added, “I’ve got Belmont going to the Sweet 16.” Seth Greenberg had this to say about Muszynski: “That dude is big, he’s physical and can pass and when he gets it, dudes are cutting like crazy.”

-- Temple (23-9 SU, 15-15 ATS) had won three games in a row until bowing out of the AAC Tournament quarterfinals in an 80-74 loss to Wichita St. as a 1.5-point favorite. The Shockers outscored the Owls 9-2 in the last 1:25. Shizz Alston Jr. scored a team-best 20 points in the losing effort. Quinton Rose added 17 points, six rebounds and three steals, while Ernest Aflakpui finished with 16 points and 19 boards. Nate Pierre-Louis was also in double figures with 11 points, five rebounds and three assists compared to just one turnover.

-- Temple head coach Fran Dunphy is retiring after this 29th season as a head coach in Philadelphia. From 1990-2006, Dunphy led Penn to nine NCAA Tournament appearances and five unbeaten seasons against Ivy League competition. After winning 310 games for the Quakers, Dunphy left for Temple in 2006. He has taken the Owls to eight NCAA Tournaments and two NITs. However, we must note that Dunphy’s NCAA Tournament record is an abysmal 3-15.

-- Temple is 2-5 SU against teams in the NCAA Tournament field. The Owls owns wins over Houston and UCF.

-- Alston leads the Owls in scoring (19.7 PPG), assists (5.0 APG) and free-throw accuracy (90.7%). The senior guard from Philadelphia also has 49 steals. Rose averages 16.5 PPG and has a team-best 68 steals. Pierre-Louis averages 13.3 points and 5.7 RPG.

-- Temple owns a 5-4-1 spread record with four outright victories in 10 games as an underdog.

-- The ‘over’ is 18-14 overall for the Owls after going 6-2 in their past eight outings.

-- The ‘over’ is 16-14 overall for the Bruins, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ cash in three straight contests.

-- This game will tip on TruTV 30 minutes after the conclusion of Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Prairie View A&M.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- With Murray State and Belmont in the field of 68, the OVC has multiple NCAA Tournament teams for the first time since 1987.

-- When I think of a sleeper team, I think of one that’s seeded fifth or worse. On that note, my sleeper for this year is sixth-seeded Iowa State.

-- If Seton Hall advances past Wofford, it will most likely face Kentucky. The Pirates beat the Wildcats on a neutral court back in non-conference play.

-- What double-digit seeds have the best chance of advancing to the Sweet 16? In order, I’d say Oregon, Murray State, Florida, UC Irvine and Northeastern.

-- Arkansas head coach Mike Anderson announced Monday that star sophomore forward Daniel Gafford is turning pro early and will not play in the NIT. Gafford averaged 16.9 points and 8.6 RPG for the Razorbacks, who are 5.5-point underdogs in Tuesday’s NIT opener at Providence. With Anderson’s job security in peril, this sure seems like a lame move. NBADraft.net has Gafford listed as the No. 20 overall pick in its latest mock draft. I remember South Carolina’s Renaldo Balkman dominating the 2006 NIT to go from possibly going undrafted to the No. 20 overall picks in the first round to the New York Knicks. Gafford should be playing and trying to improve his stock.

-- Anderson isn’t the only coach in the NIT who might need a deep run to retain his job. Many think that Alabama’s Avery Johnson could be in trouble for missing the NCAA Tournament for the third time during his four-year tenure. The Crimson Tide lost at the buzzer to Texas A&M, allowed a 21-point halftime lead to get away in a loss to Georgia St. and gave up a healthy second-half lead in a home loss to Auburn. If Johnson’s team avoids those outcomes, possibly just one or two of them, it would be in the NCAA Tournament. Instead, it’s a No. 1 seed in the NIT and hosts Norfolk St. on Wednesday at Coleman Coliseum. The Tide is an 18-point ‘chalk.’ Yes, Johnson has a large buyout but there’s the possibility that his agent is shopping for an NBA gig and he might leave on his own. If Johnson does leave in one way or another, potential Alabama targets could include Thad Matta, Andy Kennedy, Richard Pitino, Steve Prohm and Gregg Marshall.

Posted : March 19, 2019 9:00 am

shazman

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by Tom Wilkinson

NIT Picks - South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Texas Longhorns

The NIT gets the spotlight on Tuesday night with a loaded schedule of games, including the South Dakota State Jackrabbits visiting the Texas Longhorns on ESPN.

The Jackrabbits were in the NCAA Tournament the last three years, but this season they were upset in the Summit League tournament, so South Dakota State is stuck in the NIT. They will visit a Texas team that was left out of the NCAA Tournament under head coach Shaka Smart.

Let’s look at South Dakota State at Texas and NIT Picks.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Texas Longhorns
Date and Time: Tuesday, March 19, 2019, 9 p.m. ET
Location: Frank Erwin Center, Austin, TX
College Basketball Odds at BetDSI: Texas -9, O/U 153
South Dakota State vs. Texas TV Coverage: ESPN

The Jackrabbits went 24-8 SU this season and they were 14-16-1 ATS. They were 5-7 ATS on the road, with seven games going over and five going under. They averaged about 85 points per game and gave up about 73 per contest. South Dakota State has a very good player in Nick Daum, who is the three-time reigning Summit League Player of the Year. He averaged 25.3 points and 11.7 rebounds per game this season.

“He’s really, really good,” Texas head coach Shaka Smart said to the media about Daum. “I think the biggest challenge that he presents for us is actually the fact that he’s a phenomenal player and really knows how to make the right play. And he also has a lot of dangerous weapons around him — the biggest key of those is just their outside shooting.”

South Dakota State scores a lot of points, and they can hit 3-point shots from anywhere. They are No. 3 in three-point percentage at 41.5 percent. The problem for opposing teams is that it is tough to double team Daum because the rest of the team can shoot. “He’s really good at finding his teammates and his teammates are really good at finding him,” Smart said. “They shoot a ton of threes, they shoot a high percentage, they do a really good job from the foul line. They’re one of the rare teams I’ve seen that shoots really well from three, inside the three, and from the foul line.”

This will be the second NIT appearance for South Dakota State. They won their opening round game in 2015 but lost in round two.

Texas finished 16-16 this season, but they lost five of their last six to play their way out of the NCAA Tournament. The Longhorns were 8-10 ATS at home, with eight games going over and 10 going under. They are averaging about 71 points per game and giving up 67 per contest.

Texas has six players who average eight points or more per game led by Kerwin Roach at 14.7%. Texas has a record of 6-3 all-time in the NIT and they won the title in 1978.

Key Stats

The Jackrabbits are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. The Jackrabbits are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Jackrabbits are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big 12. The Over is 54-21 in the Jackrabbits last 75 road games. The Over is 4-1 in the Longhorns last 5 non-conference games.

South Dakota State vs. Texas Free Picks

I think there are two plays worth making on this game. This is not a good Texas team and they were not that great at home this season. South Dakota State has played on the big stage in the past so they are not likely to get rattled going into Austin on Tuesday night. I will take the points with the Jackrabbits. I also think this game will be high scoring. Texas doesn’t have the defense to contain South Dakota State and there is no doubt that the Jackrabbits are going to give up a lot of points. I will also go over the total at BetDSI.

South Dakota State vs. Texas ATS Pick: Jackrabbits +9 and Over 153
South Dakota State vs. Texas Score Prediction: South Dakota State 80, Texas 77

Posted : March 19, 2019 12:07 pm

shazman

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Tuesday, 19 March 2019 • 04:00 PM
681 CAMPBELL @ 682 UNC-GREENSBORO
Play on UNC-GREENSBORO using the money line in All games as a favorite
The record is 36 Wins and 4 for the last three seasons (+28.4 units)
__________________

Tuesday, 19 March 2019 • 03:40 PM
669 FARLEIGH DICKINSON @ 670 PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Play on PRAIRIE VIEW A&M using the money line in All games off a win against a conference rival
The record is 11 Wins and 1 this season (+10.05 units)
__________________

Tuesday, 19 March 2019 • 06:00 PM
689 LOYOLA-IL @ 690 CREIGHTON
Play on CREIGHTON in the first half in All games off a loss against a conference rival
The record is 9 Wins and 0 for the last three seasons (+9 units)
__________________

Posted : March 19, 2019 12:10 pm

shazman

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NCAAB
Long Sheet
Tuesday, March 19

FARLEIGH DICKINSON (20 - 13) vs. PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (22 - 12) - 3/19/2019, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.