Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 3/12/19
ACC tournament, Charlotte
Miami went 4-5 in its last nine games after starting out 1-8 in ACC; Hurricanes’ defense eFG% is 2nd-worst in ACC. Wake Forest lost its last three games, was 4-14 in ACC; they’re shooting 28.1% on arc in ACC games, only 40.7% inside arc- they’re experience team #324. Miami beat Wake Forest by 11 at home, then lost by point at Wake two weeks ago, when they led by 14 with 8:32 left; teams split last eight meetings. Last 11 years, Deacons are 2-11 in ACC tournaments, with last win in ’17; Miami won its first ACC tourney game eight of the last nine years.
Last four years, Notre Dame is 8-3 in ACC tourney, winning it in ’15, but they’ve been ravaged by injuries, are experience team #318. Irish lost their last seven games, the last two by 2-3 points; their last win was 69-59 over Georgia Tech on Feb 10, a loss that avenged an earlier 63-61 loss in Atlanta. Teams split their last eight meetings. Tech is 2-7 in ACC tourney last seven years, 0-2 under Pastner, losing by 2-10 points. GT is 3-2 in its last five games after starting 3-10 in ACC; they turn ball over 21.9% of time in ACC games- they’re also young, experience team #305.
Pittsburgh shot 29% from floor, 10-37 on arc and lost 66-57 at Boston College Feb 12; Eagles won last two series games, after losing previous five. Panthers lost 13 of their last 14 games, finished 3-15 in ACC, shooting only 43.1% inside arc in ACC games. Pitt is experience team #301 team that starts three freshmen and a sophomore. BC lost five of its last six games, finished 5-13 in ACC- they’re #53 team in minutes continuity- they start three juniors, one sophomore. Last 10 years, Pitt is 5-10 in conference tourneys; BC is 4-7 in its last seven ACC tourneys.
Sun Belt tournament, campus sites
Home side won both Arkansas State-South Alabama games this season; Red Wolves won first meeting 66-65 at home, then lost rematch by 8 in Mobile. USA won three of last four series games, winning last three series games played here, by 3-20-8 points. Last four years, ASU is 0-2 in Sun Belt tourney- their last tourney win was in 4 OT’s in 2014. Last six years, Jaguars are 2-5 in Sun Belt tourney. ASU was 7-11 in Sun Belt, losing its last four road games. USA went 6-5 in its last 11 games after starting out 2-5; they won three of last five home games.
Home side won both Appalachian State-ULM games this year. Mountaineers won by a point, then lost rematch by 6 in Monroe Feb 28. ULM is 5-3 in series games; ASU lost three of four visits here, with losses by 11-16-6 points. ASU split its last dozen games after starting 0-6 in Sun Belt; they went 2-7 on road, are 4-15 this season vs teams ranked in top 200. UL-Monroe is 3-4 in its last seven games, but won three of last four at home. Last five years, ASU is 1-3 in Sun Belt tourney games; Warhawks won their first Sun Belt tourney game the last four years.
CAA tournament, Charleston, SC
Wright-Foreman scored 42 of Hofstra’s 78 points Monday; he played 44:00, hope he gets lot of rest. Hofstra/Northeastern split two games this year; Pride won first meeting by 3, then lost rematch by 14 in Boston. Hofstra won six of last eight series games; they haven’t met in CAA tourney in nine years. Hofstra won its last four games, is 17-3 in CAA games; three of their last six games went to OT- they played four starters 37:00+ last nite. Hofstra has never won this event; Huskies won it four years ago. Northeastern won six in row, 15 of its last 17 games.
Horizon League tournament, Detroit
Wright State/Northern Kentucky split pair of 4-point decisions this year; Norse is 5-4 in series games- they beat Wright by 5 in this event two years ago. Raiders won nine of last ten games, are 15-5 in Horizon games; they had stress-free win Monday. Norse played four starters 33:00+ in its last-second 64-63 win last night; their 6-8 center hit game-winning trey, after having been 1-9 on arc prior to that. NKU won seven of its last nine games; they’re shooting 57.4% inside arc in Horizon games. Raiders won this tournament last year, NKU won its the year before.
Summit League tournament, Sioux Falls, SD
Omaha beat North Dakota State twice this year, by 13-8 points; Mavericks are 5-3 in last eight series games, won 18 of last 21 games overall after starting season 3-7- they’re #88 experience team that is making 40.8% of its 3’s in Summit games, best in league. Omaha played three starters 35:00+ last night in its 61-60 win- they start two seniors, two juniors. North Dakota State was 14-26 on arc in its 76-73 win last night; Bison won this tournament in both ’14-’15. NDSU is experience team #277 that doesn’t play any seniors- they start three juniors.
WCC tournament, Las Vegas (Orleans Arena)
This is 9th time in last 11 years Gonzaga-Saint Mary’s have met in WCC tourney, with Zags 6-2 in previous eight, winning last four, by 14-16-10-18 points. Gonzaga is 19-0 in WCC this season; they’re won last 18 games in this event, last losing in 2012. Bulldogs won their last 21 points, none by less than 12 points- their last loss was at Dec 15 at North Carolina. Zags won this tourney last six years, winning final by 14-11-16-10-18-20 points. Gaels won six of last seven games overall; they lost to Gonzaga by 48-14 points this year- they start two sophs, two juniors.
NEC tournament, Loretto, PA
Fairleigh Dickinson won seven in row, 13 of its last 16 games after starting season 4-11; Knights split pair with St Francis this season, beating Red Flash here by 18 in January, then losing by 25 at home in the rematch- they’re 7-0 since then, winning last three road games. FDU is #153 experience team (#41 in MC). St Francis won 11 of its last 13 games; they’re experience team #58 that won seven of its last eight home games. FDU won this tournament four years ago; Red Flash made the NCAA’s once, way back in 1991. These teams tied for regular season title.
MEAC tournament, Norfolk, VA
South Carolina State/Md-Eastern Shore both finished 5-11 in MEAC this year; State lost its last four games, three by 3 or fewer points— they lost 63-61 at UMES Feb 2, shooting 39.4% inside arc. Bulldogs are 5-25 vs D-I teams this year; they’re forcing turnovers 23.5% of time in MAC games, #2 in league. UMES lost its first 17 D-I games this season, but won last three; they went 5-11 in MEAC, turning ball over 21.5% of time, shooting 30.3% on arc. Hawks are #97 in experience but #320 in MC; State is #97 in experience, #320 in MC.
Morgan State lost twice to Coppin State this year, by 2-14 points; Eagles were 12-26 on arc in an 83-69 win at MSU five days ago. Morgan lost eight of its last nine games; they were 4-12 in MEAC, are #207 experience team that forces turnovers 24.7% of time, best in league. Coppin lost five of its last seven games; they were 7-9 in MEAC, turning ball over 22.8% of time. For season, Eagles are shooting 27.9% on arc, 3rd-worst %age in country. Coppin is experience team #127 that played the 9th-hardest non-conference schedule in country.
SWAC tournament, campus sites
Home side won both Ark-Pine Bluff/Grambling games this season; Tigers won first meeting by 24 Feb 2, then lost rematch 70-66 ten days ago. Pine Bluff lost three of last five games but was 10-8 in SWAC- they won three of last five road games. Golden Lions are experience team #50 but then turn ball over 22.8% of time. Grambling makes 40.2% of its 3’s, #5 in country; they won last three games, went 10-8 in SWAC. Tigers are experience team #61 whose subs play #34 minutes in country- they start three juniors, two seniors.
by Kyle Markus
NCAA Basketball Odds - Big Ten Tournament Preview
The Michigan State Spartans beat rival Michigan in the regular season finale to tie for the Big Ten title. Now they are the favorites to win the conference tournament. Michigan State, the Wolverines and the Purdue Boilermakers are the top three teams as judged by the oddsmakers.
Purdue tied with Michigan State atop the regular season leaderboard but is behind the other two when it comes to the likelihood of winning the Big Ten tournament. There is a lot on the line for those teams as they aim to get a high seed in March Madness.
There are some underdogs that also hope to make some noise in the conference tourney, although it would be a big surprise if someone like Wisconsin, Maryland or Penn State managed to come away with the title in NCAA men’s basketball wagering.
This Big Ten Tournament will be held at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois from Wednesday, March 13th through Sunday, March 17th, 2019. The Big Ten Tournament championship game will be nationally televised on CBS.
Odds Analysis
Michigan State had another impressive season, going 25-6 overall and 16-4 in Big Ten play. It lost three games in a row early in conference play and had a late loss to Indiana which jeopardized its chance at the regular season crown, but the win over Michigan in the finale tied up Purdue for a split of the hardware. The Spartans are deep and talented, and thus have been listed at +175 to win the Big Ten tournament.
Michigan has the best overall record of anyone in the conference at 26-5, but finished in third place in the regular season at 15-5 in conference. The Wolverines’ calling card is their defense, and as the intensity goes up in the postseason that can be a big help. Michigan’s odds are also pretty good at +250, and it would not be a surprise at all if it emerged with the Big Ten tournament crown.
Purdue went 23-8 on the year and finished 16-4 in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers went a perfect 15-0 on their home floor and hope to find similar success on this neutral court. Even though Purdue tied for the conference championship, they are not placed in the same tier as Michigan State or Michigan as the odds for the Boilermakers to win the Big Ten tournament are set at +300.
Those are the three teams that are expected to compete for the title. The rest of the field is pretty big underdogs. Wisconsin had a record of 22-9 overall and 14-6 in conference and is listed at +800. Maryland is next in line at +1000 odds, and after that comex the extreme longshots. Penn State checks in at +2500 odds, Indiana at +3000, Iowa at +5000, Minnesota at +5000, Nebraska at +7500, Ohio State at +7500, Illinois at +10000, Northwestern at +20000 and Rutgers at +20000.
Free NCAA Basketball ATS Picks
The Big Ten didn’t have a clearly dominant team in the regular season as all of the teams took their lumps. Purdue is a solid group and may be able to make a nice run, but in the end the oddsmakers have chosen the right team as the favorite.
Michigan State is putting things together at the right time and is the pick to win the conference tournament in NCAA men’s basketball gambling.
NCAA Basketball Pick: Michigan State Spartans to win Big Ten tournament at +175 odds
by Kyle Markus
NCAA Basketball Odds - ACC Tournament Preview
The ACC is the most powerful conference in the country, and its tournament should be a heavyweight battle until the end. Three of the best programs in the nation -- Virginia, North Carolina and Duke -- highlight the group but there is also a second tier of talented teams.
Virginia and North Carolina tied atop the ACC at the conclusion of the regular season and should be two of the top contenders in the tournament. Duke superstar forward Zion Williamson has resumed practicing, and if he can make his return, it will give the Blue Devils a huge boost and could make them the team to beat.
Virginia, North Carolina and Duke are all in contention for a No. 1 seed in March Madness and would love to win the ACC Tournament. There are numerous other tournament teams in the field who can solidify their case with a good showing in NCAA men’s basketball gambling.
This ACC Tournament will be held at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina from Tuesday, March 12th through Saturday, March 16th, 2019
Odds Analysis
Virginia has put together a fantastic season and enters the conference tournament as the favorite to come away with the crown. The Cavaliers are 28-2 overall on the season with a 16-2 mark in the conference. Virginia has won eight in a row entering the tourney and has +150 odds to capture it.
Duke is not far behind. Williamson seems likely to be back and he is the best player in the country, so it will be a big help. The Blue Devils finished the regular season with a record of 26-5 overall and 14-4 in conference. However, several of those losses came when he was out, which is why Duke is coming in at +170 to win the ACC Tournament. Despite some issues recently, the Blue Devils may have the most talented team in the country when healthy.
The North Carolina Tar Heels finished the season on a seven-game winning streak, going 26-5 overall and 16-2 in the ACC. UNC swept Duke and has really played well of late. Luke Maye has a ton of experience and he will look to lead his team to the conference championship. If the Tar Heels win the ACC tourney, that should lock up a No. 1 seed in March Madness. North Carolina’s odds are listed at +300, so the oddsmakers are not quite putting it on the same plane as Duke and Virginia.
Those are the big three. However, there are some teams that will aim to get hot and make a nice run. Florida State is ranked No. 14 in the nation after finishing the regular season with a 25-6 overall mark and a record of 13-5 in the ACC. The Seminoles’ odds are still long at +1200 because the conference is so stacked.
Virginia Tech is in a similar boat. The Hokies are ranked in the top-15 nationally and have a record of 23-7 overall and 12-6 in conference, but check in at +1500 odds to win the tournament. While Florida State and Virginia Tech are longshots, at least they are given a puncher’s chance.
Louisville is listed at +3000 odds, Syracuse at +4000 and North Carolina State and Clemson at +5000. The road is so tough that it’s hard to imagine anyone outside the elite trio of Virginia, Duke and North Carolina will win the ACC Tournament.
Free NCAA Basketball ATS Picks
Some players may take some time to round back into form, but Williamson is such a freak that he will likely make an impact from the moment he steps back on the court. Virginia may be the slightest of favorites, but the Blue Devils are the more talented team. At these odds, Duke is the easy pick to win the ACC Tournament in NCAA men’s basketball gambling.
NCAA Basketball Pick: Duke Blue Devils to win ACC Tournament at +170 odds
Tuesday, 12 March 2019 • 05:00 PM
609 APPALACHIAN ST @ 610 LA-MONROE
Play on LA-MONROE in the first half in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games
The record is 10 Wins and 0 for the last three seasons (+10 units)
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Tuesday, 12 March 2019 • 09:00 AM
601 WAKE FOREST @ 602 MIAMI
Play on MIAMI using the money line in All games revenging a road loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 2 for the last two seasons (+9.9 units)
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Tuesday, 12 March 2019 • 11:30 AM
603 NOTRE DAME @ 604 GEORGIA TECH
Play under NOTRE DAME on the total in All games after a conference game
The record is 7 Overs and 23 for the last three seasons (+15.3 units)
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NCAAB
Long Sheet
Tuesday, March 12
WAKE FOREST (11 - 19) vs. MIAMI (13 - 17) - 3/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
MIAMI is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NOTRE DAME (13 - 18) vs. GEORGIA TECH (14 - 17) - 3/12/2019, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
NOTRE DAME is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GEORGIA TECH is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 5-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 3-3 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PITTSBURGH (13 - 18) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (14 - 16) - 3/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ARKANSAS ST (13 - 18) at S ALABAMA (15 - 16) - 3/12/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
ARKANSAS ST is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
ARKANSAS ST is 53-84 ATS (-39.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
S ALABAMA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
S ALABAMA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5 this season.
S ALABAMA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 4-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 3-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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APPALACHIAN ST (11 - 20) at LA-MONROE (16 - 14) - 3/12/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA-MONROE is 2-2 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
LA-MONROE is 2-2 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NORTHEASTERN (22 - 10) vs. HOFSTRA (27 - 6) - 3/12/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 3-3 against the spread versus NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 4-2 straight up against NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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N KENTUCKY (25 - 8) vs. WRIGHT ST (21 - 12) - 3/12/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 4-3 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
N KENTUCKY is 4-3 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ST MARYS-CA (21 - 11) vs. GONZAGA (30 - 2) - 3/12/2019, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 6-1 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 6-1 straight up against ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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N DAKOTA ST (17 - 15) vs. NEBRASKA-OMAHA (21 - 10) - 3/12/2019, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 3-3 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 3-3 straight up against N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAB
Tuesday, March 12
Trend Report
Wake Forest @ Miami
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Wake Forest is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Wake Forest
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech
Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games
Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Notre Dame
Pittsburgh @ Boston College
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Boston College
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston College's last 10 games
Boston College is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Northeastern @ Hofstra
Northeastern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northeastern's last 5 games when playing Hofstra
Northeastern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Hofstra
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hofstra's last 5 games when playing Northeastern
Hofstra is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State
Northern Kentucky
No trends to report
Wright State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wright State's last 5 games
Wright State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Arkansas State @ South Alabama
Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
Arkansas State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing South Alabama
South Alabama
South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
South Alabama is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Appalachian State @ Louisiana-Monroe
Appalachian State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Appalachian State's last 6 games
Appalachian State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Appalachian State
North Dakota State @ Nebraska-Omaha
North Dakota State
North Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
North Dakota State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nebraska-Omaha
Nebraska-Omaha is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Nebraska-Omaha is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Saint Mary's-California @ Gonzaga
Saint Mary's-California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Mary's-California's last 5 games when playing Gonzaga
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saint Mary's-California's last 8 games
Gonzaga
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Gonzaga's last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
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