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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 3/4/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 3/4/19

 
Posted : March 4, 2019 10:33 am
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Virginia won its last six games, is 14-2 in ACC, winning its last five road games. Cavaliers are shooting 40.8% on arc in ACC play; how will they do in a dome? Syracuse is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 10-6 in ACC, splitting last four home games, with losses to Florida St/Duke. Virginia won five of its last seven games with Syracuse, winning two of three visits here- they won 59-44 here LY. Virginia is 12-2 in its last 14 games as an ACC road favorite, 5-1 this year; last five years, Orange is 5-6-1 as a home underdog, 0-1 this year.

Kansas State won seven of its last nine games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning four of last five road games. TCU lost five of its last six games; they’re 6-10 in Big X, 5-3 at home- they lost two of last three home tilts. Horned Frogs were -11 in turnovers (18-7) in its65-55 loss at Kansas State Jan 19; Wildcats won six of last eight series games, winning two of last three visits to Ft Worth. K-State covered four of last five tries as a Big X road favorite (2-0 this year); under Dixon, Horned Frogs are 4-3 vs spread as home underdogs, 1-1 this year.

Texas lost three of last five games; they’re 8-8 in Big X, losing seven of last eight road games, including a loss at SEC doormat Georgia. Texas Tech won its last seven games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning last six home games with four wins by 19+ points- they’re forcing turnovers 22.2% of time in Big X tilts. Tech won 68-62 at Texas Jan 12; Red Raiders won four of last six series games. Texas lost its last three visits to Lubbock, by 8-10-2 points. Texas is 5-0-1 vs spread this season as a Big X road underdog; Tech is 5-2 this season as a home favorite.

Northern Arizona lost six of its last eight games; they’re 7-11 in Big Sky, losing three of last four road games. Montana is 14-3 in Big Sky; two of their three losses came at home. Montana shot 68% inside arc, won first meeting 86-73 in Flagstaff Dec 29; NAU led by point at the half. Montana won last eight series games; Lumberjacks lost last three visits to Missoula, by 7-18-18 points. NAU is 15-10 in its last 25 games as a road underdog, 3-4 this year; Montana is 10-7 vs spread in its last 17 games as a home favorite, 4-4 this year.

Southern Utah is 5-3 in its last eight games, 9-9 overall in Big Sky, losing last three road games, by 11-9-16 points. Montana State won five of its last seven games; they’re 10-7 in conference, winning last three home games, by 8-14-11 points. MSU made 13-26 on arc, crushed Southern Utah 92-62 in Cedar City Dec 29; Bobcats won five of last six series games. SUU is 0-5 in Bozeman, losing by 8-5-14-7-3 points. Thunderbirds are 8-15-2 in last 25 games as a road underdog, 2-6 this year; MSU is is 5-1 vs spread this season as a Big Sky home favorite.

Weber State lost six of its last nine games after starting 7-1 in league; Wildcats lost four of their last five road games. Idaho State lost five in row, 10 of last 12 games; they’re 5-12 in Big Sky, losing five of their last six home games. Weber shot 72% inside arc, whacked ISU 76-59 at home Jan 17; Wildcats won seven of last nine series games. Weber won its last two trips to Pocatello, by 12-7 points. Weber is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a road favorite, 4-3 this year; Bengals are 4-12 in last 16 games as a home underdog, 0-2 this year.

Atlantic Sun tournament
Home side won both NJIT-Florida Gulf Coast games this year; NJIT won first meeting by 12, then lost rematch by hoop 19 days ago. Highlanders lost six of last eight games, but lost at league kingpins Lipscomb/Liberty by only 4-6 points last week; they’re 3-5 on ASun road. FGCU won six of its last eight games; they’re 7-1 at home in A-Sun, upsetting Lipscomb Feb 20. Eagles are 4-13 vs teams ranked in top 200. NJIT is 0-3 in this event, losing first round games by 15-31-4 points; Eagles are 8-1 in this event the last three years, losing in Finals LY.

North Alabama lost seven of its last nine games; this is their first year in D-I. Lions lost five of their last six road games; they’re shooting 30.3% on arc in A-Sun games. North Florida won its last six games; they’re 9-7 in A-Sun despite turning ball over 20.3% of time in league games. Ospreys won their last three home games, by 23-5-10 points. UNF swept NAU this season, winning by 29 here, by 9 on road. This is North Alabama’s first A-Sun tourney; UNF won its first round game the last four years, by 14-23-3-4 points.

Jacksonville lost its last four games, with three of those losses by 4 or fewer points or in OT; Dolphins lost three of last four road games, losing by 13-9-14 points. J’ville is shooting only 64.4% on line in A-Sun games. Liberty won seven of its last eight games; they won their last four home games. Flames went 2-5 in last five Big South tourneys since last trip to NCAA’s, in 2013. Liberty swept Jacksonville this year, winning by 16 here, by 10 on road. Jacksonville is 1-5 in this event last five years, winning first round game LY; Liberty is in its first A-Sun tourney.

Kennesaw State is 3-13 in A-Sun; two of their wins were by one point. Owls went 0-8 on road in A-Sun play, losing their last three away games by 23-22-17 points. KSU is shooting 39.5% inside arc in league games. Lipscomb beat SMU, TCU, lost by 4 at Louisville; Bisons are 14-2 in A-Sun, only 3-2 in last five games. Lipscomb is making 40.7% of its 3’s in conference games. KSU is 1-3 in first round games, with losses by 36-10-19 points; Lipscomb won this tourney LY; they won last four first round games, by 3-3-31-16 points.

 
Posted : March 4, 2019 10:35 am
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By David Schwab

As the college basketball regular season continues to grind to a close in anticipation of this year’s conference tournaments, there are a trio of games on Monday night in both the ACC and the Big 12 that could have a big impact on the final standings.

Getting things started as part of ESPN’s Big Monday, the No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers will be on the road against Syracuse. Later that night in Lubbock, No. 11 Texas Tech will play host to the Texas Longhorns in the first Big 12 clash. As a bonus betting game in that same conference, No. 16 Kanas State will be on the road against TCU.

Opening Odds per BetOnline.ag

No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers at Syracuse Orange (ESPN , 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia -7, Total 121

Betting Matchup

The Cavaliers head into the final week of the regular season tied with North Carolina for the lead in the ACC at a straight-up 14-2. They started their current six-game winning streak with a eight-point win against the Tar Heels on Feb. 11 as one-point road underdogs. Virginia (26-2 SU, 21-7 ATS) is 5-1 against the spread during this same span with the total staying UNDER in four of the six games. By holding Pittsburgh to just 49 points in Saturday’s 24-point win at home, the Cavaliers’ points-allowed average stands at 54.1.

With Saturday’s 79-54 romp over Wake Forest as a 7 ½-point road favorite, Syracuse moved to 10-6 SU in ACC play as part of a 19-10 record overall. The Orange have covered the closing spread in four of their last six games with the total staying UNDER in five of those contests. They have a 4-2 record ATS in their last six home games. Junior guard Tyrus Battle scored 21 points against Pitt on Saturday and the defense did the rest to secure the win. He leads the team in scoring with 17.7 points per game.
Betting Trends

-- The Cavaliers have gone 18-7-1 in their last 26 games played on Monday. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in four of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.

-- The Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win with the total staying UNDER in four of their last five home games.

-- The underdog has covered the closing spread in four of the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in the last four meetings in Syracuse.

Texas Longhorns at No. 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas Tech -8, Total 131 ½

Betting Matchup

Texas moved to 5-4 SU in its last nine games with Saturday’s 86-69 upset against Iowa State as a slight one-point home underdog. The Longhorns have gone 8-1 ATS during this same span with the total going OVER in five of their last seven games. They are an even 8-8 SU in Big 12 play as part of an overall record of 16-13. Texas is 6-3 ATS this season on the road. Back on Jan. 12, it lost to Texas Tech at home 68-62 as a 1 ½-point favorite. Jase Febres put up a career-high 26 points in Saturday’s win with the Longhorns’ leading scorer Kerwin Roach II out of the lineup due to an ongoing suspension.

The Red Raiders are tied with Kansas State for the lead in the Big 12 at 12-4. They have won their last seven games SU while going 6-1 ATS with Saturday’s 81-66 victory against TCU as four-point road favorites. The total has gone OVER in Texas Tech’s las four outings. It is 24-5 SU (13-15-1 ATS) overall with a SU six-game winning streak on its home court. Sophomore guard Jarrett Culver is averaging a team-high 17.9 PPG and he has exceeded that average in four of his last five games.

Betting Trends

-- The Longhorns are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and the total has gone OVER in their last four games coming off an ATS win.

-- The Red Raiders have a 4-1 record ATS in their last five home games with the total going OVER in four of those games.

-- The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last three games between the two.

No. 16 Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Kansas State -1, Total 131 ½

Betting Matchup

Kansas State (22-7 SU, 16-13 ATS) remains in contention for the Big 12 regular season title with Saturday’s 66-60 victory at home against Baylor. The Wildcats failed to cover as 6 ½-point home favorites to slip to 2-3 ATS over their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 127 points in that win and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests. Dean Wade had the hot hand against Baylor with 20 points with senior guard Barry Brown Jr. adding 10 points to the winning cause. Brown leads the Wildcats in scoring with 15.1 PPG, but he has only scored a combined 24 points in his last three starts.

The Horned Frogs only have one win (SU and ATS) in their last six games after coming up well short in Saturday’s loss to Texas Tech. They are 6-10 SU in conference play with a 5-11 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in seven of TCU’s last 10 games overall and it is 1-4 ATS in its last five games at home. Coming into this game, it is 18-11 SU overall with a 14-15 record ATS. The Horned Frogs are averaging 75.5 PPG, but they are giving up an average of 70.9 points on defense. Last week, they gave up 104 points in an overtime loss to West Virginia.

Betting Trends

-- The Wildcats have covered in eight of their last 11 games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five Monday games.

-- The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games coming off a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games played on Monday.

-- Kansas State won the first meeting this season 65-55 as a four-point home favorite to improve to 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four matchups.

 
Posted : March 4, 2019 12:29 pm
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NCAAB
Long Sheet
Monday, March 4

VIRGINIA (26 - 2) at SYRACUSE (19 - 10) - 3/4/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (22 - 7) at TCU (18 - 11) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
TCU is 117-158 ATS (-56.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TCU is 117-158 ATS (-56.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
TCU is 165-211 ATS (-67.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
TCU is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TCU is 45-72 ATS (-34.2 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
TCU is 190-240 ATS (-74.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 116-155 ATS (-54.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TCU is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 4-2 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 4-2 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (16 - 13) at TEXAS TECH (24 - 5) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 4-3 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ARIZONA (9 - 19) at MONTANA (21 - 7) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 75-105 ATS (-40.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
MONTANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 3-1 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 4-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN UTAH (14 - 13) at MONTANA ST (13 - 14) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (16 - 12) at IDAHO ST (9 - 17) - 3/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO ST is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 3-1 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 3-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________

 
Posted : March 4, 2019 12:31 pm
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NCAAB
Monday, March 4
Trend Report

Virginia @ Syracuse
Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games at home

Kansas State @ TCU
Kansas State
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU
TCU is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games when playing Kansas State

Texas @ Texas Tech
Texas
Texas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Southern Utah @ Montana State
Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montana State
Southern Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montana State
Montana State
Montana State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montana State's last 6 games when playing at home against Southern Utah

Northern Arizona @ Montana
Northern Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games when playing Montana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northern Arizona's last 10 games on the road
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona
Montana is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

Weber State @ Idaho State
Weber State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Weber State is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Idaho State
Idaho State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Idaho State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Idaho State's last 6 games when playing at home against Weber State
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Posted : March 4, 2019 12:32 pm
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Atlantic Sun tournament
Home side won both NJIT-Florida Gulf Coast games this year; NJIT won first meeting by 12, then lost rematch by hoop 19 days ago. Highlanders lost six of last eight games, but lost at league kingpins Lipscomb/Liberty by only 4-6 points last week; they’re 3-5 on ASun road. FGCU won six of its last eight games; they’re 7-1 at home in A-Sun, upsetting Lipscomb Feb 20. Eagles are 4-13 vs teams ranked in top 200. NJIT is 0-3 in this event, losing first round games by 15-31-4 points; Eagles are 8-1 in this event the last three years, losing in Finals LY.

North Alabama lost seven of its last nine games; this is their first year in D-I. Lions lost five of their last six road games; they’re shooting 30.3% on arc in A-Sun games. North Florida won its last six games; they’re 9-7 in A-Sun despite turning ball over 20.3% of time in league games. Ospreys won their last three home games, by 23-5-10 points. UNF swept NAU this season, winning by 29 here, by 9 on road. This is North Alabama’s first A-Sun tourney; UNF won its first round game the last four years, by 14-23-3-4 points.

Jacksonville lost its last four games, with three of those losses by 4 or fewer points or in OT; Dolphins lost three of last four road games, losing by 13-9-14 points. J’ville is shooting only 64.4% on line in A-Sun games. Liberty won seven of its last eight games; they won their last four home games. Flames went 2-5 in last five Big South tourneys since last trip to NCAA’s, in 2013. Liberty swept Jacksonville this year, winning by 16 here, by 10 on road. Jacksonville is 1-5 in this event last five years, winning first round game LY; Liberty is in its first A-Sun tourney.

Kennesaw State is 3-13 in A-Sun; two of their wins were by one point. Owls went 0-8 on road in A-Sun play, losing their last three away games by 23-22-17 points. KSU is shooting 39.5% inside arc in league games. Lipscomb beat SMU, TCU, lost by 4 at Louisville; Bisons are 14-2 in A-Sun, only 3-2 in last five games. Lipscomb is making 40.7% of its 3’s in conference games. KSU is 1-3 in first round games, with losses by 36-10-19 points; Lipscomb won this tourney LY; they won last four first round games, by 3-3-31-16 points.
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Posted : March 4, 2019 12:33 pm
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Virginia won its last six games, is 14-2 in ACC, winning its last five road games. Cavaliers are shooting 40.8% on arc in ACC play; how will they do in a dome? Syracuse is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 10-6 in ACC, splitting last four home games, with losses to Florida St/Duke. Virginia won five of its last seven games with Syracuse, winning two of three visits here- they won 59-44 here LY. Virginia is 12-2 in its last 14 games as an ACC road favorite, 5-1 this year; last five years, Orange is 5-6-1 as a home underdog, 0-1 this year.
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Kansas State won seven of its last nine games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning four of last five road games. TCU lost five of its last six games; they’re 6-10 in Big X, 5-3 at home- they lost two of last three home tilts. Horned Frogs were -11 in turnovers (18-7) in its65-55 loss at Kansas State Jan 19; Wildcats won six of last eight series games, winning two of last three visits to Ft Worth. K-State covered four of last five tries as a Big X road favorite (2-0 this year); under Dixon, Horned Frogs are 4-3 vs spread as home underdogs, 1-1 this year.
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Texas lost three of last five games; they’re 8-8 in Big X, losing seven of last eight road games, including a loss at SEC doormat Georgia. Texas Tech won its last seven games; they’re 12-4 in Big X, winning last six home games with four wins by 19+ points- they’re forcing turnovers 22.2% of time in Big X tilts. Tech won 68-62 at Texas Jan 12; Red Raiders won four of last six series games. Texas lost its last three visits to Lubbock, by 8-10-2 points. Texas is 5-0-1 vs spread this season as a Big X road underdog; Tech is 5-2 this season as a home favorite.
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Posted : March 4, 2019 12:34 pm
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Northern Arizona lost six of its last eight games; they’re 7-11 in Big Sky, losing three of last four road games. Montana is 14-3 in Big Sky; two of their three losses came at home. Montana shot 68% inside arc, won first meeting 86-73 in Flagstaff Dec 29; NAU led by point at the half. Montana won last eight series games; Lumberjacks lost last three visits to Missoula, by 7-18-18 points. NAU is 15-10 in its last 25 games as a road underdog, 3-4 this year; Montana is 10-7 vs spread in its last 17 games as a home favorite, 4-4 this year.
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Southern Utah is 5-3 in its last eight games, 9-9 overall in Big Sky, losing last three road games, by 11-9-16 points. Montana State won five of its last seven games; they’re 10-7 in conference, winning last three home games, by 8-14-11 points. MSU made 13-26 on arc, crushed Southern Utah 92-62 in Cedar City Dec 29; Bobcats won five of last six series games. SUU is 0-5 in Bozeman, losing by 8-5-14-7-3 points. Thunderbirds are 8-15-2 in last 25 games as a road underdog, 2-6 this year; MSU is is 5-1 vs spread this season as a Big Sky home favorite.
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Weber State lost six of its last nine games after starting 7-1 in league; Wildcats lost four of their last five road games. Idaho State lost five in row, 10 of last 12 games; they’re 5-12 in Big Sky, losing five of their last six home games. Weber shot 72% inside arc, whacked ISU 76-59 at home Jan 17; Wildcats won seven of last nine series games. Weber won its last two trips to Pocatello, by 12-7 points. Weber is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a road favorite, 4-3 this year; Bengals are 4-12 in last 16 games as a home underdog, 0-2 this year.
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Posted : March 4, 2019 12:36 pm
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