Thursday 2/28/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Thursday's NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Stats Analytics Sports - College Basketball
TOTALS
3* Drexel/Hofstra Under 162
3* CS Long Beach/UC Santa Barbara Under 146
SIDES
All 2* Plays
The Citadel +7
VMI -8
Samford +5
Marshall +7
Oral Roberts +3.5
CS Long Beach +8.5
1* Play - Wichita State -4.5
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King creole
2*
Denver/ Utah over 223.5
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Ben Burns
3*TOM
New York Knicks / Cleveland under 217.5
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Spartan
3*pac -12 GOM
Oregon st -4
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Ken Thomson
3*
Ga. Southn -10
2*
St.john -5.5
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JR ODONNELL
3*underdog GOM
Portland +19.5
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Sleepyj
3*
Loyola Mary / Santa Clara under 126
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Stephen Oh
GOLDEN ST. -6
GOLDEN ST. @ ORLANDO | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:59 PM
My data forecasts the Warriors, coming off an upset loss at Miami, finding a bounce-back effort at the expense of the Magic on Thursday. I've got Golden State winning by double figures and covering in two-thirds of simulations. The Warriors have covered in five straight trips to Orlando and the road team is on an 8-1 ATS run in this series.
55-34 IN LAST 89 NBA PICKS | +1814
3-1 IN LAST 4 GS ATS PICKS | +189
2-1 IN LAST 3 ORL ATS PICKS | +91
INDIANA -4
MINNESOTA @ INDIANA | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:55 PM
My projections see the Pacers toppling the Timberwolves by at least 10 points Thursday, providing a great value on the short home favorite. I've got the Pacers covering in more than two-thirds of simulations. Indiana has covered six straight games against teams with losing road records and five of its last six overall at home.
55-34 IN LAST 89 NBA PICKS | +1814
3-1 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +191
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Dave essler
3*
Oregon st -4
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nbaselection
Golden State Warriors -6
Cleveland Cavaliers +3
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Greg shaker
2*
Drexel / Hofstra under 160
1*
Towson / William & Mary over 137.5
1*
Samford / Furman over 139
2*
Tulsa / Tulane over 144.5
2*
Southeast Mo. St. / Tennessee St under 142.5
3*
Oregon St. / Arizona over 134
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Goodfella
2*
Oregon st - 3
2*
Oregon -2
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Hot Shot Sports
NBA
3* #535 Miami +9.5
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CleInsidersports (6-3 L3 days)
NBA
76ers/Thunder UNDER 240.5
NCAAB
North Dakota +9.5
Appalachian State +8
Oregon State ML (-190)
NHL
Stars ML (-120)
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AJ Hoffman
3*
Oregon st -4
2*
Austin Peay -3
1*
Wichita st - 4.5
1*
Washington -11.5
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Stephen Nover
2*
Denver -6
1*
Old dominion +1
1*
UCLA -3
2*
Long Beach +8
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Dirty Bear Sports: WTD (Clients:2-1) (NHL: 1-2)
Clients: Orlando 1h +1.5 (3u)
Free NHL: Philadelphia ML (1u)
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Bob Balfe
6:30 PM EST
Rotation #601-602
Xavier +4 over St. Johns
This is a big game for both teams. Xavier has looked really good the past few games. St Johns is a fun team to watch with their fast pace guard play. This is a matchup between two different styles. St. Johns has not had success against big teams. Xavier is a big team. The size mismatch will be very obvious in this game. Xavier has dominated this series as of late, but if there ever was a time for the Red Storm to get a win it would be now. Mustapha Heron will miss the game tonight for St. Johns. This means the Red Storm are going to have to shoot around 50% to win this game because there is little doubt they will lose the battle on the boards tonight. This should be another great game that goes to the wire, but it might be hard for St. Johns to not only win this game but win by more than 2 possessions. Xavier is short-handed tonight, but I don’t believe St. Johns will be able to get them into foul trouble. Take Xavier.
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20/20 handicapping
Michigan under
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Fezzik
2*
Wichita St -4.5
2*
Long Beach +8.5
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Goodfella
2*
Oregon st - 3
2*
Oregon -2
Added
3*
Denver -7
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Jack Jones
20* Denver Nuggets
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Stephen Oh
MIAMI +9.5
MIAMI @ HOUSTON | 2/28 | 8:00 PM EST
9:36 AM
Miami shocked Golden State Wednesday on a Dwyane Wade buzzer-beating 3. That was without Hassan Whiteside. Whiteside is out again Thursday, but Miami is 13-7 ATS as a road underdog. Houston has won three straight but all by single digits. My projection model sees another single-digit win for the Rockets, but the Heat cover in 60 percent of my simulations.
55-34 IN LAST 89 NBA PICKS | +1814
21-13 IN LAST 34 HOU ATS PICKS | +695
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Larry Hartstein
GOLDEN ST. -6
GOLDEN ST. @ ORLANDO | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
12:17 AM
The Warriors enjoy playing in Orlando -- they've covered five straight visits -- and will be eager to erase the bad taste from Wednesday's heartbreaking loss in Miami. Golden State sits just a half-game ahead of Denver for the No. 1 seed in the West. Lay it before this line rises.
30-15-1 IN LAST 46 NBA ATS PICKS | +1364
29-20-2 IN LAST 51 GS ATS PICKS | +784
DENVER -6
UTAH @ DENVER | 2/28 | 10:30 PM EST
12:11 AM
This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Jazz against a Nuggets team that's 27-4 at home and comes in on a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS run. Denver also has won and covered five straight home meetings with Utah. The Jazz are formidable, but they might not have Ricky Rubio, who left Wednesday's win with a hamstring issue. This is just a bad spot for them. Lay it.
30-15-1 IN LAST 46 NBA ATS PICKS | +1364
25-12-3 IN LAST 40 DEN ATS PICKS | +1188
5-2 IN LAST 7 UTA ATS PICKS | +287
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Mike Barner
INDIANA -4
MINNESOTA @ INDIANA | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
11:10 AM
The Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven games on the road, which included an eight-point loss to the Hawks on Wednesday. They'll face a much tougher opponent in the Pacers, who have covered five of their last six games at home and are 18-13 ATS there, overall. I'll take the Pacers to cover once again in this contest.
35-21-2 IN LAST 58 NBA ATS PICKS | +1174
5-1 IN LAST 6 IND ATS PICKS | +388
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIN ATS PICKS | +90
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ARTHUR RALPH
THURS: SuPk UL Lafayette-4,
Gold Keys San Francisco-6, Oregon St - 1 1/2,
Ucla -3, UL Monroe -7,Oregon -6
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Mike Lundin
NBA
6.5 ORL
-6 DEN
SPORT: NCAAB
8 MILW (-110)
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Millerlocks
7:00 pm est ncaab
nebraska vs. Michigan
pick: Michigan -11.5 (-108)
risk: 11 units
7:05 pm est nba
minnesota timberwolves vs. Indiana pacers
pick: Indiana pacers -3 (-105)
risk: 11 units
7:30 pm est ncaab
furman vs. Samford
pick: Furman -5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
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DaRealPapaBear
CBB
USC +3.5
UCLA/USC o157
Arizona St +3.5
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Tony Finn
5% NBA GOM
Golden State -6 (Play to -8)
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topflightsportsinfo
4 UnitsOregon State -4
5 UnitsPortland +20
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Andre Gomes
2*
Cleveland +3
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Seabass
300 nuggets
300 blue jackets
300 Denver(NCAA )
400
Michigan
Texas st
Arkansas st
500
La Tech
IUPUI
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WWP
Super Pick - Morehead State
Fade Away!
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Al DeMarco
20 DIME
Wichita St
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David Kelly
DALLAS -113
DALLAS @ LOS ANGELES | 2/28 | 10:30 PM EST
9:30 AM
Dallas is breathing down the necks of Colorado, Minnesota and Vegas for playoff spots and HAS to win these types of games in order to go on to the postseason. The Kings are trying to be a spoiler but unfortunately they are just not very good and often give up tonnes of goals when they lose. I’m sticking with the tried and tested handicapping method which states: “goods teams don’t lose to bad teams at crunch time -- if they do they aren't a good team to start with”. Take Dallas tonight to win.
26-14 IN LAST 40 NHL ML PICKS | +752
14-8 IN LAST 22 LA ML PICKS | +406
UNDER 5.5
VANCOUVER @ ARIZONA | 2/28 | 9:00 PM EST
9:29 AM
Both teams go back and forth winning and losing without any sense of consistency BUT both can play close to the belt defensively and Arizona has a real aversion to scoring more than three goals a game in most cases. The Coyotes have participated in games of six goals or more in only 30 percent of their games. I don't see the light being turned on. Take the under.
26-14 IN LAST 40 NHL ML PICKS | +752
18-7-1 IN LAST 26 ARI O/U PICKS | +1073
UNDER 5.5
TORONTO @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
9:28 AM
This is a real head-scratcher from the win/loss perspective, both Toronto and the Islanders are greatly overrated as playoff/Cup contending teams despite their lofty position in the league standings. The Islanders have, for the past month, amassed an less-than impressive win record (7-6) mostly against the worst teams in the NHL. Likewise Toronto has yet to prove it can compete defensively AND now has Nazim Kadri, Jake Gardiner and Travis Dermott on the injury list. The Leafs lost 4-0 to the Isles in December at home and now go into a hostile environment for John Tavares’s return to the Island. Take the UNDER in this one -- the game should be tight and hard hitting and the goalies will be the story in this one.
26-14 IN LAST 40 NHL ML PICKS | +752
5-0 IN LAST 5 TOR O/U PICKS | +504
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Kenny White
DENVER -7
UTAH @ DENVER | 2/28 | 10:30 PM EST
4:55 PM
The Jazz will be without Ricky Rubio on Thursday night, forcing Donovan Mitchell to play point guard. Plus, Utah exerted extra energy last night coming back from a halftime deficit to the Clippers. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are finally playing with their top eight players and they are 3-0 ATS since the All-Star break and 22-9 at home in 2018-19.
4-0 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +400
2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS | +90
UNDER 127.5
UC IRVINE @ UC DAVIS | 2/28 | 11:00 PM EST
4:23 PM
The total has gone Under in 16 of UC Irvine's last 21 road games, and UC Davis has gone Under in 35 of its last 51 home games. Both teams play at a very slow pace -- UC Irvine is 283rd in time of possession and UC Davis is No. 200. I made this total 117, which easily goes Under 127.5.
5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +160
OVER 157.5
COASTAL CAROLINA @ LOUISIANA | 2/28 | 8:00 PM EST
4:14 PM
Both teams play at a high tempo, especially UL Lafayette who likes to pressure on defense which forces their opponents into quick shots. Plus, the Rajin' Cajuns rank 18th in tempo. With both teams tied at 7-7 in the Sun Belt Conference and two games out of a bye with four games to go, I see this game being played at a frantic pace. Over 157.5 is the play.
5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +160
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Pete Blackburn
UNDER 5.5
DALLAS @ LOS ANGELES | 2/28 | 10:30 PM EST
4:05 PM
These are two teams that just can’t score goals. Dallas and Los Angeles have the 29th and 30th ranked offenses in the league, respectively. Jamie Benn is battling an upper-body injury. Jonathan Quick has had atrocious back-to-back starts but this will be a really good spot for him to bounce back. Take the Under on Thursday.
8-1 IN LAST 9 NHL O/U PICKS | +701
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Adam Thompson
GOLDEN ST. -6.5
GOLDEN ST. @ ORLANDO | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
11:35 AM
The Warriors were beaten at the buzzer Wednesday in Miami. Now they head to Orlando motivated and with DeMarcus Cousins back in the lineup. They're 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Orlando, and with the Nuggets just a half-game back and losers of three of five, it's time the malaise that hits Golden State too often turns into a true focus. That spells bad news for the inconsistent Magic, who have won six of eight but with losses to the Knicks and Bulls in there. It's time for the Warriors to show a little might at the expense of the Magic.
53-40-1 IN LAST 94 NBA ATS PICKS | +880
4-1 IN LAST 5 GS ATS PICKS | +295
2-1 IN LAST 3 ORL ATS PICKS | +91
INDIANA -3.5
MINNESOTA @ INDIANA | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
11:28 AM
The Pacers have lost two home games in the last month, and those were to the Bucks and Warriors. Of those eight wins, all were by at least four points and six of them were by at least 12. The Wolves, meanwhile, have won one road game all month, and that was against the Knicks. All but one of their defeats were by at least four points. Both teams played last night, but Indy has been better at the second game of back-to-backs, too. Follow the trends and lay the small number on the home team.
53-40-1 IN LAST 94 NBA ATS PICKS | +880
4-0 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +400
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Tom Fornelli
UNDER 225
UTAH @ DENVER | 2/28 | 10:30 PM EST
4:37 PM
These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and the Under has been a smart play when they meet. In fact, the Under has gone 20-6 in their last 26 matchups and 14-3 the last 17 times they've played in Denver. Plus, while the Under is only 1-1 in the first two meetings, the Over came in a game where the total was 216. When they last played in Denver the final score was 103-88. Take the Under.
18-10 IN LAST 28 NBA O/U PICKS | +703
2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN O/U PICKS | +89
APP. ST. +7.5
APP. ST. @ UL-MONROE | 2/28 | 8:00 PM EST
8:36 AM
I have always had a difficult time trusting poor defensive teams to cover as favorites, and this is a matchup between two teams that aren't very good at stopping opponents from scoring. While Appalachian State's defense has been worse overall, it's been slightly better than ULM's during conference play, and one thing it's good at is not fouling. Nobody sends opponents to the free throw line less often during Sun Belt play than the Mountaineers, which is crucial against a ULM team that is third in the nation at 79.7% from the charity stripe. App State won the first meeting, and it'll cover the second.
12-2 IN LAST 14 CBB ATS PICKS | +973
MARSHALL +6
MARSHALL @ LOUISIANA TECH | 2/28 | 7:30 PM EST
8:29 AM
Louisiana Tech is a team that has trouble finding consistency on the court. It's been the best defensive team in Conference USA during conference play by far, but it's offense is awful. The Bulldogs are 13th of 14 teams in eFG% and 14th from three, and dead last from the free throw line as well, shooting only 60.6%. And that's why i have a difficult time trusting them against a Marshall team that's porous defensively, but has the capability of lighting you up on offense. These two went to OT in their first meeting, and the Bulldogs pulled away. I'm not sure they can this time.
12-2 IN LAST 14 CBB ATS PICKS | +973
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tiger pgf
644 org at -4
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