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NCAAB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Friday 1/11/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 1/11/19

 
Posted : January 11, 2019 9:36 am
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Home side won all five Indiana-Maryland Big 14 games; Hoosiers lost their two visits here by a total of five points. Indiana won seven of its last eight games, splitting pair of Big 14 road tilts. Hoosiers are 1-3 in true road games, with only win by hoop at Penn State. Maryland won its last four games, winning first two Big 14 home tilts, by 2-7 points. Terrapins are shooting 38.6% on arc in league, but are turning ball over 20.8% of time. Under Miller, Indiana is 2-6-1 as road underdogs (1-1 this year); Terps covered six of last eight games as a home fave (2-0 this year).

Wright State is 5-8 in its last 13 games; they split first two Horizon road games. Raiders are hooting only 31.4% on arc in first four Horizon games- their eFG% in those games is 46.1%, last in league. Northern Kentucky won five of its last six games; thrywon their first two Horizon home games, both by 15 points. Underdogs covered four of five Wright-NKU games; teams split two games played here. Wright covered its last four games as a Horizon underdog; NKU is 11-7 in its last 18 games as a home favorite, 2-0 this year.

Purdue is 0-4 in true road games this year; they’re 5-6 in last 11 games after a 4-0 start. Boilers are 2-5 vs top 50 teams this year, with wins over Maryland/Iowa. Wisconsin split its last six games after an 8-1 start; Badgers are 3-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points. Purdue won four of its last five games with Wisconsin; Boilers lost three of last four visits to Madison. Purdue is 0-5-2 in its last seven games as a road underdog (0-2 this year); Badgers are 3-5 vs spread in last eight games as home favorites (0-2 this year).

Siena lost nine of its last 12 games; they’re 2-5 in true road games, with last three losses overall by 5 or fewer points. Saints are 4-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Marist lost three of its last four games; Red Foxes are 2-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points. Siena won six of last eight games with Marist; home side won five of last six series games. Saints are 2-3 in their last five games in the McCann Center. Last three years, Siena was 5-10 as a road underdog; Marist is 4-7 vs spread in its last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year.

Iona won nine of last 11 games with Niagara; road team won last five series games. Gaels won their last five visits here, with three wins by one point or in OT. Iona scored 103-94 points in winning its first two MAAC games after a 2-9 start; Gaels are 0-5 in true road games, 2-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Niagara lost its last three games, giving up 82 ppg; Purple Eagles are 7-8 vs schedule #347- their eFG% is #314 in country. Iona is 18-11 vs spread in its last 29 MAAC road games; Eagles were 6-3 vs spread in MAAC home games LY.

Rider won its first two MAAC games by total of six points after starting season 5-7; Broncs are 2-6 in true road games, with wins at Wagner/Fairfield- they’re forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#20). Canisius is 4-3 in its last seven games, winning first two MAAC teams by total of seven points; Griffins are 1-8 vs teams ranked in top 200. Canisius-Rider split their last six meetings; Broncs also split their last six visits here. Rider is 11-7-1 vs spread in last 19 MAAC road games; under Witherspoon, Griffins are 9-8-1 vs spread in MAAC home games.

 
Posted : January 11, 2019 9:41 am
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Friday's Big Ten Tips
David Schwab

The betting board for this Friday night’s action in college basketball is on the lighter side, but FOX Sports 1 has dialed up an interesting doubleheader of games in the Big Ten.

First off at 7:00 p.m. ET, No. 22 Indiana will be on the road against Maryland in College Park. In a 9:00 p.m. ET tip at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin will play host to Purdue.

No. 22 Indiana Hoosiers at Maryland Terrapins (FOX Sports 1, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Maryland -5, Total 142 ½

Betting Matchup

Indiana is one of four Big Ten teams ranked in the current AP Top 25, but it will most likely need a win on Friday to remain on the list. The Hoosiers’ recent straight-up seven-game winning streak came to an end last Sunday in a 74-63 loss to Michigan as nine-point road underdogs. They are 1-3 against the spread on the road this season as part of a 7-8 record against the closing number overall.

The total went OVER 131 points against the Wolverines, but it has stayed UNDER in 10 of 15 games this year. Freshman guard Romeo Langford scored 17 points in Sunday’s loss after putting up 28 his previous game against Illinois.

The Terrapins could slip into the national rankings by winning this game after winning their last four outings SU with a 3-1 mark ATS. Three of the wins were against conference foes including Tuesday’s 82-67 road upset against Minnesota as two-point underdogs.

Maryland is 13-3 SU overall with a 9-7 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in its last six games. Junior guard Anthony Cowan Jr. has been this team’s leading scorer with 17.2 points per game and, with 27 points against Minnesota, he has exceeded that average in two of his last three starts.

Betting Trends

-- The Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Friday games and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of their last 12 road games.

-- The Terrapins have failed to cover in 11 of their last 15 home games with a 2-5-1 record ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a SU losing record on the road. The total has gone OVER in their last four games played at home.

-- The home team in this matchup has covered the spread in the last four meetings with the total staying UNDER in four of the last five games between the two.

Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers (FOX Sports 1, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Wisconsin -4 ½, Total 136 ½

Betting Matchup

Purdue opened Big Ten play in early December with a road loss to Michigan and a win at home against Maryland. In recent conference play, it beat Iowa by 16 points as a 9 ½-point home favorite before coming up well short on Tuesday night in a 77-59 loss to Michigan State as a seven-point underdog on the road. This roller-coaster ride is indicative of the Boilermakers’ overall record of 9-6 SU (7-7 ATS).

They tend to win the games they are supposed to, but they have failed to cover in two of three games this season as underdogs. Led by junior guard Carsen Edwards’ 24.5-point scoring average, Purdue is scoring 77.6 PPG. He was held to 11 points in Tuesday’s loss.

Wisconsin has been another up and down team this season at 11-4 SU with an 8-7 record ATS. Its stint in the national rankings came to an end with a stunning 83-76 loss to Western Kentucky on Dec. 29 as a 6 ½-point road favorite. The Badgers then lost to Minnesota as nine-point favorites at home before last Sunday’s 71-52 rout of Penn State as two-point road favorites.

Wisconsin’s top scorer this season has been senior forward Ethan Happ with 19.3 PPG. With 22 points in the win against the Nittany Lions, he has put up at least 19 points in three of his last four games.

Betting Trends

-- The Boilermakers have gone just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games on the road.

-- The Badgers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win, but they have failed to cover in four of their last five games against a SU winning team. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 11 of their last 13 Friday games.

-- The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last four meetings at Wisconsin.
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Posted : January 11, 2019 12:34 pm
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, January 11

INDIANA (12 - 3) at MARYLAND (13 - 3) - 1/11/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 115-153 ATS (-53.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
INDIANA is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARYLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WRIGHT ST (8 - 9) at N KENTUCKY (13 - 4) - 1/11/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N KENTUCKY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N KENTUCKY is 3-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
N KENTUCKY is 3-2 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (9 - 6) at WISCONSIN (11 - 4) - 1/11/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 2-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIENA (5 - 10) at MARIST (6 - 8) - 1/11/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 2-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 3-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (4 - 9) at NIAGARA (7 - 8) - 1/11/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
IONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
IONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
IONA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
NIAGARA is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 2-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 2-2 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (7 - 7) at CANISIUS (5 - 9) - 1/11/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 since 1997.
CANISIUS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 111-83 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
RIDER is 57-30 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 2-1 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 2-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Posted : January 11, 2019 12:35 pm
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NCAAB

Friday, January 11

Trend Report

Siena @ Marist
Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Siena's last 10 games when playing Marist
Siena is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Marist
Marist
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Marist's last 10 games when playing Siena
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marist's last 7 games at home

Indiana @ Maryland
Indiana
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Maryland's last 5 games
Maryland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Wright State @ Northern Kentucky
Wright State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wright State's last 5 games when playing Northern Kentucky
Wright State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky
No trends to report

Rider @ Canisius
Rider
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Rider's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rider's last 7 games when playing on the road against Canisius
Canisius
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Canisius's last 7 games when playing at home against Rider
Canisius is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Iona @ Niagara
Iona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iona's last 5 games
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Niagara
Niagara
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games when playing at home against Iona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Niagara's last 11 games at home

Purdue @ Wisconsin
Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 7 games when playing Purdue
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Posted : January 11, 2019 12:36 pm
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