Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 12/13/18
Purdue lost five of last seven games after a 4-0 start; Boilers are 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 33-22-38 points. Purdue is 18-61 behind arc last two games; they get 42.3% of their scoring behind arc (#8 in country). Ohio U won five of its last six games, losing by 21 at Xavier in their only top 100 games-they’re 7-3 vs schedule #225. Bobcats are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#315), making 29.1% on arc (#314). Ohio is experience team #257 whose best win was over #116 Marshall. Big 14 home faves are 19-23 vs spread; MAC road dogs are 11-15.
Texas Tech is 10-0 vs schedule #350; they’re only team in country that hasn’t allowed a point per possession in a game this year. Tech forces turnovers 24.7% of time- they have best eFG% defense in country (37.1%). Duke won its last five games, the last four all by 30+ points; Blue Devils are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time- they’ve got #5 eFG% defense in country. Duke is 3-1 vs top 100 teams, winning by 34-6-21 points. ACC home favorites are 14-13 vs spread on neutral floors; Big X underdogs are 4-6 vs spread on neutral floors.
Northern Kentucky was 14-33 on arc, only 14-27 on foul line in 88-85 win in double OT Nov 9 at Northern Illinois. Norse split their last six games after a 6-0 start; they’re 7-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100, have #37 eFG% defense. NIU is 4-4 vs schedule #269; they allowed 78+ points in last four of their losses. Huskies are 0-2 vs teams ranked in top 200, losing by 3-27 points. NIU is making 42.4% of its 3’s (#6 in country); they have #5 eFG% in country. Horizon League home favorites are 7-5 vs spread; MAC road underdogs are 11-15.
Fordham split its last four games after a 5-1 start; Rams are #313 experience team that has played 2nd-easiest schedule in country to this point. Fordham has defensive eFG% #40 while playing tempo #324; they’re getting 38.4% of their points behind arc. James Madison is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’re turning ball over 22.2% of time (#312), are shooting only 45.2% inside arc (#301). This is JMU’s first game in 13 days. A-14 home favorites are 19-17 vs spread; CAA road underdogs are 11-13.
Houston is 10-0 vs schedule #302; five of their last seven wins are against top 100 teams. Cougars have #14 eFG% defense while playing tempo #334. Four of their last six wins were by 6 or fewer points. Utah State is 9-2 vs schedule #219; Aggies they split their four games vs top 100 teams, losing by 5 to Arizona State on a neutral floor, by 1 at BYU. USU is best team in country on defensive boards; their defensive eFG% is #7 in country. AAC home favorites are 24-18 vs spread; Mountain West road underdogs are 7-6.
Long Beach State beat Pepperdine last two years, by 7-9 points; 49ers lost six of their last seven games overall, are 2-9 vs schedule #6. Long Beach is turning ball over 22.1% of time (#310), are making 41.6% inside arc (#339). 49ers are #306 experience team that is playing tempo #35. Pepperdine lost four of its last five games overall; they’re 0-4 in true road games, losing by 8-4-9-15 points. Waves are experience team #306 that is playing #35- their defensive eFG% is #282. Big West home favorites are 7-3 vs spread; WCC road underdogs are 9-11.
Monmouth made 10-16 on arc, scored 1.2 points/possession in 85-64 win at Yale LY. Yale is 5-3 vs schedule #79; Bulldogs are experience team #82 that is turning ball over 21.3% of time while playing tempo #56. Yale is 3-0 vs teams ranked #130 or lower, winning by 17-42-8 points. Monmouth is 0-11 vs schedule #55, with nine losses by 11+ points; Hawks are turning ball over 23% of time (#331), are making only 25.4% of its 3’s (#343). Ivy League favorites are 6-4 vs spread, 2-1 on road; MAAC home underdogs are 1-4.
Thursday's Tip Sheet
December 19, 2018
By David Schwab
As the non-conference portion of this year’s college basketball season continues to wind down, Thursday’s betting board is highlighted by a neutral-site Big 12/ACC showdown at Madison Square Garden between Texas Tech and Duke.
As a bonus betting preview, the Mountain West’s Utah State Aggies will go on the road to the Fertitta Center to face the AAC’s nationally ranked Houston Cougars.
Opening Odds per BetOnline.ag
No. 12 Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Duke -7 ½, Total 144 ½
Betting Matchup
With Saturday’s 82-48 romp over Abilene Christian, the Red Raiders ran their straight-up winning streak to 10 games. They covered against the spread as 19-point home favorites after going 0-3 ATS in their previous three games. Texas Tech is an even 5-5 ATS overall with the total staying UNDER in seven of the 10 games. Much of the team’s early success can be attributed to the elevated play of sophomore guard Jarret Culver. With 30 points in his last outing, he is averaging a team-high 19.1 points per game while also leading the team in assists (4.5).
Duke has worked its way back up to No. 2 in the nation with five SU wins (4-1 ATS) since its 89-87 loss to the Gonzaga Bulldogs on Nov. 21 as an eight-point favorite. The Blue Devils finished their recent three-game tour against the Ivy League with an average of 92 points a game. They are 10-1 SU overall with a 7-4 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in Duke’s last five games after going OVER 168 ½-points against the Bulldogs. Freshman forward RJ Barrett is averaging 24.5 PPG and he has eclipsed that number in each of his last four starts.
Betting Trends
-- The Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the ACC and they have failed to cover in their last five Thursday games. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games following a SU win.
-- The Blue Devils have a 5-2 record ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in their last four games coming off a SU win and it has gone OVER in eight of their last 11 games against the Big 12.
Utah State Aggies at No. 21 Houston Cougars (ESPN3, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Houston -5 ½, Total 143 ½
Betting Matchup
Earlier losses to Arizona State and BYU are the Aggies’ only two SU setbacks so far against nine wins. They failed to cover on Dec. 8 in a nine-point victory against Weber State as 11 ½-point favorites as part of an 8-3 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games. Utah State is averaging 84.0 PPG while holding opposing teams to 66.0 points at the other end of court. Junior guard Sam Merrill is averaging 20.2 PPG and shooting 51.1 percent from the floor.
The Cougars will be putting their perfect 10-0 SU start on the line after squeezing out a 68-64 victory against St. Louis on Sunday. Closing as eight-point home favorites, this was the first time they failed to cover in their last five games. Houston is 6-3-1 ATS overall and the total has stayed UNDER in six of its last eight contests. Three of five starters ended Sunday’s game in double figures led by senior guard Corey Davis Jr’s team-high 17 points. Houston shot 44 percent from the field to basically mirror its field goal percentage on the year (44.9).
Betting Trends
-- The Aggies have covered in six of their last eight games following a SU win, but they fall to 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has gone OVER in their last four games played on Thursday.
-- The Cougars are 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 home games, but they have failed to cover in five of their last six games against the Mountain West. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games coming off a SU win.
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Thursday, December 20
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OHIO U (7 - 3) at PURDUE (6 - 5) - 12/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
PURDUE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TEXAS TECH (10 - 0) vs. DUKE (10 - 1) - 12/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 137-182 ATS (-63.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1997.
DUKE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 222-163 ATS (+42.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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N ILLINOIS (6 - 4) at N KENTUCKY (9 - 3) - 12/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N KENTUCKY is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
N KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 91-62 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
N KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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JAMES MADISON (7 - 5) at FORDHAM (8 - 3) - 12/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JAMES MADISON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 69-99 ATS (-39.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 132-170 ATS (-55.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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UTAH ST (9 - 2) at HOUSTON (10 - 0) - 12/20/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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PEPPERDINE (6 - 6) at LONG BEACH ST (3 - 9) - 12/20/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LONG BEACH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 2-0 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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YALE (5 - 3) at MONMOUTH (0 - 11) - 12/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 137-102 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 137-102 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONMOUTH is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 1-0 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 1-0 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAB
Thursday, December 20
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Trend Report
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Maryland-Eastern Shore @ Winthrop
Maryland-Eastern Shore
No trends to report
Winthrop
No trends to report
Canisius @ Holy Cross
Canisius
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Canisius's last 6 games
Canisius is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Holy Cross
No trends to report
Chicago State @ Western Illinois
Chicago State
Chicago State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Western Illinois
Chicago State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Illinois
Western Illinois
Western Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Western Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago State
Southeastern College @ Kennesaw State
Southeastern College
No trends to report
Kennesaw State
No trends to report
Northern Illinois @ Northern Kentucky
Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northern Illinois's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
Northern Kentucky
No trends to report
Yale @ Monmouth
Yale
Yale is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Monmouth
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Monmouth's last 13 games
Milligan @ Appalachian State
Milligan
No trends to report
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milligan
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milligan
Florida Memorial @ Florida International
Florida Memorial
No trends to report
Florida International
Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Memorial
Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida Memorial
Savannah State @ Tennessee Tech
Savannah State
No trends to report
Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
Tennessee Tech is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Manhattan @ Albany
Manhattan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Manhattan's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Manhattan's last 11 games
Albany
No trends to report
Texas Tech @ Duke
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas Tech's last 11 games
Duke
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games
Ohio @ Purdue
Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio's last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Purdue
Purdue is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games
Jacksonville @ Notre Dame
Jacksonville
No trends to report
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans @ Pittsburgh
New Orleans
No trends to report
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
South Carolina State @ Miami-Ohio
South Carolina State
No trends to report
Miami-Ohio
Miami-Ohio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Miami-Ohio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Siena Heights @ IPFW
Siena Heights
No trends to report
IPFW
The total has gone OVER in 6 of IPFW's last 7 games
IPFW is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
James Madison @ Fordham
James Madison
The total has gone OVER in 6 of James Madison's last 8 games
James Madison is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Fordham
Fordham is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fordham's last 6 games at home
Howard @ Ball State
Howard
No trends to report
Ball State
Ball State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
Ball State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Mobile @ South Alabama
Mobile
No trends to report
South Alabama
South Alabama is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Alabama's last 6 games at home
Coe College @ Creighton
Coe College
No trends to report
Creighton
Creighton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Creighton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Utah State @ Houston
Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah State's last 6 games on the road
Utah State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ North Texas
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
No trends to report
North Texas
North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
North Texas is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
UTSA @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
UTSA
UTSA is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UTSA's last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No trends to report
Pepperdine @ Long Beach State
Pepperdine
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pepperdine's last 5 games on the road
Pepperdine is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Long Beach State
Long Beach State
Long Beach State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pepperdine
Long Beach State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pepperdine
Prairie View A&M @ Seattle
Prairie View A&M
No trends to report
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Cal State-Bakersfield @ Portland State
Cal State-Bakersfield
Cal State-Bakersfield is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 6 games on the road
Portland State
Portland State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
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