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College Basketball Betting News and Trends For Monday, March 19, 2018

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shazman

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for Monday, March 19, 2018 from various handicappers and websites

Posted : March 19, 2018 8:09 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57678

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Topic starter

Monday's NIT Tip Sheet
March 18, 2018
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

NIT Betting Results

The second round of this year’s NIT Tournament comes to a close on Monday with four intriguing matchups on the slate. Things tip off at 7:00 p.m. with a Big 12-Pac-12 tilt between Oklahoma State and Stanford.
Next up at 9:00 p.m., another Pac-12 team will look to advance with Utah taking on the SEC’s LSU Tigers.

The two nightcaps also feature teams from the Pac-12 starting with the WCC’s St. Mary’s Gaels hosting the Washington Huskies. The other late start sends the Conference USA’s Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to the West Coast to tangle with USC.

No. 3 Stanford at No. 2 Oklahoma State (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Oklahoma State -7 ½, 153

Betting Matchup

Stanford was tied for third in the Pac-12 regular season standings at 11-7 straight-up and it was knocked out of the conference tournament with an 88-77 loss to UCLA as a four-point underdog. The Cardinal faced BYU in the opening round of this tournament and squeezed-out an 86-83 victory to cover as 2 ½-point favorites. They are now 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games with the total going OVER in six of their last eight contests.

Junior forward Reid Travis scored 25 points and pulled down 14 rebounds against the Cougars to post his six-straight double-double. He is averaging a team-high 19.6 points and 8.7 rebounds a game. Senior forward Michael Humphrey added 11 points and 14 rebounds to help pace last Wednesday’s win.

The Cowboys came into the NIT with a huge chip on their shoulder after getting passed over for the NCAA Tournament for their bitter rival Oklahoma. To really make matters worse, they beat the Sooners 71-60 in the Big 12 Tournament as slight 1 ½-point underdogs. Oklahoma State took some of its frustration out on Florida Gulf Coast in its NIT opener with an 80-68 victory as an 11-point home favorite. It is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in its last six games.

Oklahoma State shot just 35.6 percent from the field while going 6-for-22 from three-point range and still manage to cover the double-digit spread in last Tuesday’s NIT opener. Senior guard Jeffery Carroll led the way with 18 points. He has now eclipsed his 15.2-point scoring average in three of his last five starts. As a team, the Cowboys are averaging 76.5 points per game.

Betting Trends

-- The Cardinal are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 nonconference games and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games against the Big 12.

-- The Cowboys have failed to cover in five of their last six games against the Pac-12 with the total staying UNDER in their last 11 nonconference games.

-- These two last met in 2011 and Oklahoma State has a 2-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last three meetings. The total has gone OVER in two of the three games.

No. 3 LSU at No. 2 Utah (ESPNU, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Utah -3 ½, 147 ½

Betting Matchup

The Tigers stumbled into the NIT with just one victory in their previous four contests both SU and ATS. In last Wednesday’s opener, they knocked off the rival Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns 84-76 to cover as 3 ½-point home favorites. The total went OVER 159 ½ points in that game and it has gone OVER in six of LSU’s last eight games. It is now 7-0 both SU and ATS in its last seven home games.

The trio of Tremont Waters (15.8 points), Duop Reath (12.7 points) and Skylar Mays (11.2 points) have provided the bulk of the Tigers’ 77.8-point scoring average this season. Reath had the hottest hand in last Wednesday’s win with 26 points while going 10-for-14 from the field. He also pulled down 11 rebounds.

Utah made an early exit from the Pac-12 Tournament with a 68-66 loss to Oregon in a game that ended as a PUSH. In the opening round of the NIT, it beat UC Davis 69-59 but failed to cover as a heavy 12 ½-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER 139 ½ points in last Wednesday’s win and it has stayed UNDER in the Utes’ last four games. Over their last six contests they are 4-2 SU, but a shaky 2-3-1 ATS.

Despite watching their coach Larry Krystkowiak get tossed out of last Wednesday’s game before halftime, the Utes rallied from an 11-point deficit to move onto this second round matchup. Senior guard Justin Bibbins has been Utah’s leading scorer all season long with 14.8 PPG. He scored 15 of his game-high 21 points in the second half to help pace the come-from-behind victory.

Betting Trends

-- The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against the Pac-12 and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five Monday games.

-- The Utes have covered in their last five games against the SEC with the total staying UNDER in their last four home games.

-- Utah has a 3-1 edge both SU and ATS in this Pac-12/SEC matchup with the total staying UNDER in three of the four games. They last met in 2010.

No. 5 Washington at No. 1 Saint Mary’s (ESPNU, 11:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: St. Mary’s -10 ½, 144

Betting Matchup

With just three SU wins in their last nine games, the Huskies fell out of favor with the selection committee for the NCAA Tournament. They had also fallen out of favor with bettors by going 3-6 ATS in this same span. Last Wednesday against Boise State, Washington redeemed itself a bit with 77-74 upset as a two-point home underdog. The total went OVER 148 points in that win and it has gone OVER in four of the Huskies’ last seven games.

Big second halves from Jaylen Nowell (25 points) and Matisse Thybulle (18 points) helped Washington advance to Monday’s second round. Each player scored 14 points over the final two quarters to hold off the Broncos’ attempt at a comeback. Nowell has been the team’s leading scorer all season long with 16.1 PPG.

Saint Mary’s is a team that could take issue with the folks calling the shots in the NCAA Tournament after going 28-5 SU. However, the Gaels appear to be focused on making the most of the NIT with a dominating 89-45 beatdown of Southeastern Louisiana in the opening round. They covered as 14 ½-point home favorites in last Tuesday’s win after failing to cover in seven of their previous nine games. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 14 of Saint Mary’s last 15 games.

Senior center Jock Landale has been the Gaels’ driving force all season long with 21.5 points and 10.2 rebounds a game. He scored 26 points in the NIT opener with six rebounds after putting up 17 points and pulling down 19 rebounds in an opening-round victory against Pepperdine in the recent WCC Tournament.

Betting Trends

-- The Huskies have failed to cover in their last six games against a team from the WCC and the total has gone OVER in six of their last seven games against this conference.

-- The Gaels have gone 12-4 ATS in their last 17 games against the Pac-12 with the total staying UNDER in seven of their last eight games against this conference.

-- These two have not played one another since the late 90’s with Washington winning both games SU in a two-season series.

No. 4 Western Kentucky at No. 1 USC (ESPN2, 11:30 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: USC -4, 150

Betting Matchup

The Hilltoppers were the third-best team in C-USA this season at 14-4 and they missed out on a trip to the Big Dance by one point in a 67-66 loss to Marshall in the conference tournament’s title game. They failed to cover as 5 ½-point favorites as part of a 6-3 record ATS in their previous nine games. Last Tuesday in its NIT opener, Western Kentucky hammered Boston College 79-62 as a four-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 159 ½-point closing line.

Senior forward Justin Johnson has led this team in scoring all season with 15.4 PPG. He is playing some of his best ball of the year with five-straight double-doubles in points and rebounds. He scored 19 points against BC with 12 rebounds to average 19.2 points and 11.6 rebounds during this five-game tear.

USC was second in the Pac-12 regular-season standings at 12-6 and a 75-61 loss to Arizona as a 4 ½-point underdog ended its stay in the conference tournament. The Trojans drew UNC Asheville in the opening round of this tournament and they outlasted the Bulldogs 103-98 in overtime. They could not cover the inflated 14-point spread at home to fall to 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total went OVER 151 points after staying UNDER in previous 10 games.

Three of USC’s starters ended last Tuesday’s win with 20+ points led by senior guard Jordan McLaughlin (26 points). The Trojans shot 51.3 percent from the field and 11-for-27 from three-point range. Junior forward Chimezie Metu had been the team’s leading scorer all season (15.7 points), but he decided to opt out of the NIT to focus his efforts on this year’s NBA draft.

Betting Trends

-- The Hilltoppers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 nonconference games with the total going OVER in four of their last five games played on Monday.

-- The Trojans have failed to cover in four of their last five Monday games and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games outside the conference.

-- This will be the first meeting between the two in recent memory.

Posted : March 19, 2018 8:27 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57678

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Monday’s games
Oklahoma State won four of its last five games; they’re 11-3 outside Big X, 12-0 vs teams ranked outside top 50. Cowboys force turnovers 20.3% of time (#67). Stanford won six of its last eight games; they lost by 21 to Kansas in Sacramento in December, their only Big X game this year. Last two years, Pac-12 underdogs are 8-4 vs spread when playing a Big X opponent. Cardinal is #278 experience team that turns ball over 20.5% of time; OSU is #102 experience team.

Utah is 2-0 vs SEC teams this year, beating Missouri by 18, Ole Miss by 9; Utes won seven of last nine games, winning six of last seven home games. Utah is #34 experience team that gets 37.1% of its points behind arc (#48). LSU is 7-10 in its last 17 games; they lost their last six true road games. Tigers are #225 experience team that is 10-3 outside the SEC. Last three years, Pac-12 favorites are 6-3 vs spread against SEC squads.

St Mary’s is 5-3 in its last eight games after starting season 24-2; they’re salty about being left out of NCAA’s. Gaels split pair of Pac-12 games this year, with Wazzu/Cal. Washington split its last eight games; they’re 1-1 vs WCC teams, beating LMU, losing to Gonzaga by 27. Huskies are #302 experience team that is 3-2 vs top 50 teams this year- they force turnovers 21.2% of time (#31). Last three years, Pac-12 favorites are 15-12-1 when facing WCC opponents.

USC star Metu decided to sit NIT out so he can stay healthy for NBA Draft; Trojans needed two OT’s to beat NC-Asheville 103-98 in NIT opener. Trojans are 10-4 outside Pac-12, beating MTSU by 5 in Hawai’i in December. Western Kentucky lost C-USA title game by point; they won last six home games. Hilltoppers lost twice to MTSU this year- they’re 7-3 in last ten true road games. Last three years, Pac-12 favorites are 3-5 vs spread against C-USA foes.

New Orleans’ 77-74 home win over Rio Grande Valley last week was their only non-Southland win in eight tries vs D-I opponents this year. Privateers turn ball over 22.1% of time (#343); they lost six of last nine games overall, losing last three true road games, by 7-3-14 points. Campbell is 5-3 in its last eight games; they shoot 38.3% on arc (#36)- their best player is a 5-9 guard. Camels are 4-6 vs D-I teams outside the Big South.

Jacksonville State won four of its last five games, winning by hoop in OT at Canisius in its last game Wednesday. Gamecocks are 6-3 in last nine road games; they’re 10-4 outside OVC this season (NC sked #340). JSU is #59 experience team that shoots only 31.4% on arc (#329). Central Arkansas won five of its last six games; they split pair of 4-point decisions with OVC’s Morehead State. Bears play #16 pace- they split their last six home games.

Mercer won nine of its last ten games, winning last game by 5 at Grand Canyon; Bears won their last five true road games. Mercer is #11 experience team that plays pace #339- they shoot 38.6% behind arc (#35). North Texas lost seven of last nine games but won last game at South Dakota; Mean Green is #284 experience team that is 6-6 outside C-USA. Last three years, SoCon teams are 6-5 vs spread when playing a C-USA opponent.

San Francisco won seven of its last ten games; they’re 8-5 outside WCC, 2-8 vs top 100 teams, with wins over Nevada, St Mary’s. Dons are #267 experience team; they won six of their last seven home games. Utah Valley opened season with games on consecutive days at Kentucky, Duke; Wolverines lost by 27 to BYU in their only WCC game. UVSU won six of its last eight games; they’re #8 experience team that lost four of last six true road games.

Eastern Michigan won eight of last nine games, losing MAC semis by point to Toledo; Eagles won five of last six true road games- they’re 6-4 vs D-I teams outside MAC. EMU is experience team #122 that plays pace #321- they use the Syracuse 2-3 zone. Sam Houston State lost three of last four games; hey haven’t played in 10 days; Bearkats are 2-7 vs D-I teams outside Southland, losing by 11 to Central Michigan on a neutral floor.

Posted : March 19, 2018 10:36 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57678

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NCAAB

Monday, March 19

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Trend Report
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STANFORD @ OKLAHOMA STATE
Stanford is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Stanford is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games

EASTERN MICHIGAN @ SAM HOUSTON STATE
Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games

JACKSONVILLE STATE @ CENTRAL ARKANSAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

MERCER @ NORTH TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Texas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

LSU @ UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LSU's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games

UTAH VALLEY @ SAN FRANCISCO
Utah Valley is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Utah Valley is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games at home

WASHINGTON @ SAINT MARY'S-CALIFORNIA
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 19 games
Saint Mary's-California is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Mary's-California's last 11 games at home

WESTERN KENTUCKY @ USC
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
USC is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of USC's last 11 games
__________________

Posted : March 19, 2018 11:58 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57678

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 19

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STANFORD (19 - 15) at OKLAHOMA ST (20 - 14) - 3/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
STANFORD is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 121-84 ATS (+28.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
STANFORD is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.