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NBA Betting News and Trends For Tuesday, February 6, 2018

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, February 6, 2018 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : February 5, 2018 10:35 pm
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Tuesday’s NBA
Cleveland won nine of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered last three; Cavaliers are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here, with last three going over total. Cleveland lost its last five road games; their last road win was here, on Jan 6. Cavaliers are 0-8 vs spread in last eight tries as road favorites. Orlando lost four of its last six games; they’re 4-1 in last five games as home dogs. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Magic is 4-5 vs spread if they played night before.

Rockets won their last three games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center. Three of last four series games went over. Houston won eight of its last nine games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites. Nine of their last ten games went under the total. Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games; they’re 12-6-1 as home underdogs. Eight of their last ten games stayed under.

Knicks lost five of last seven games with Milwaukee; they lost by hoop in Milwaukee Friday nite. Four of last five series games stayed under. Bucks won six of their last seven games; they’re 14-11 vs spread on road. Last seven Milwaukee games stayed under total. New York lost six of its last eight games; they’re 17-10 vs spread at home. Knicks’ last five games stayed under the total. Bucks’ star Antetokounmpo tweaked his right ankle Sunday (check status).

Memphis/Atlanta split their last ten games; Grizzlies are 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Memphis lost five of its last six games; they are 11-8-1 as road underdogs. Six of Grizzlies’ last eight games went over. Hawks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-3 vs spread as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over the total.

Home side won seven of last eight Boston-Toronto games; Celtics are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Six of last seven series games stayed under total. Boston won its last four games; they’re 8-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five road gams went over the total. Raptors won four of their last five games; they covered three of last four home games. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Home side won last five Wizard-76er games; Wizards are 3-3 vs spread in last six visits here. Four of last five series games went over. Washington won its last five games; they’re 10-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over total. Philadelphia lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-0 in last five games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

Road team won last four Phoenix-Laker games; Suns are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games in Staples. Seven of last eight series games went over. Phoenix lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-3 as home favorites. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven home games.

Golden State won/covered seven of last eight games with Oklahoma City; Thunder are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Six of last seven series games stayed under. OKC lost its last four games; they’re 4-2-1 as road underdogs. Three of last four Thunder games stayed under the total. Warriors lost two of last three games; they’re 1-3-2 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

 
Posted : February 6, 2018 7:53 am
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Inside the Paint - Tuesday
February 6, 2018
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

ATS Rankings | Totals Report | Injuries

Super Bowl Sunday was all about the underdogs as the Philadelphia Eagles captured the title and that momentum has carried over to the hardwood.

The NBA saw the ‘dogs go 4-2 against the spread on Sunday even though they only managed to post a 2-4 straight up record. The favorites did manage to strike back on Monday with a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS record, plus we saw the ‘over’ go 4-3 after a 5-1 ‘under’ mark the day before.

We’ve got eight games on tap for Tuesday and below is my quick handicap.

Game of the Night – Oklahoma City at Golden State (TNT, 10:35 p.m. ET)

The marquee matchup on Tuesday takes place from Oracle Arena as Golden State (41-12 SU, 23-29-1 ATS) and Oklahoma City (30-24 SU, 21-32-1 ATS) square off. The Warriors opened as 10-point home favorites while the total is listed at 230.

Based on current form and tendencies that we’ve seen this season, the right side looks to be laying the points but the defending champs haven’t been a solid investment at home.

Oklahoma City enters this game with a four-game losing streak, which includes a 108-104 loss to the L.A. Lakers on Sunday as a 9 ½-point home favorite. The losses to teams below .500 (14-10) have piled up this season and continue to make Oklahoma City a tough team to figure out. Prior to the skid, the Thunder had won eight straight and they even helped bettors with a 6-2 ATS mark during that run.

Snapping the streak on Tuesday won’t be easy at Golden State, who enters this game off a 115-108 setback at Denver on Saturday as a 5 ½-point favorite. The Warriors went 1-2 on their recent three-game road trip and that included an embarrassing loss at Utah, 129-109.

Golden State head coach Steve Kerrr tried to summarize his team’s recent play. “"It's painful obviously that our guys are mentally fried right now," Kerr said. "So it's a good job to just get a win. Our guys are tired mentally, emotionally. So we just got to fight through, get to the break and rejuvenate."

Kerr and his squad should have confidence tonight since the Warriors have gone 11-0 off a loss this season and the team is 6-0 when facing a team for the first time after losing the previous meeting.

For our purposes, the Warriors have gone 6-5 ATS in the 11 wins and that might not bode much confidence. However, the ‘over’ could be a solid look tonight. The high side has gone 8-3 in Golden State’s games off a loss and those results are clearly attributed to the Warriors offense, which is averaging 126 points per game.

Outside of the Rockets and Spurs, teams in the Western Conference have struggled on the road and that includes Oklahoma City (11-15 SU, 10-16 ATS). In 15 road games versus teams from the West, OKC has gone 4-11 SU and 3-12 ATS.

Since Kevin Durant left Oklahoma City for Golden State, the Warriors have gone 3-1 both SU and ATS in the four meetings but the Thunder won the lone encounter this season – a 108-91 victory on Nov. 22 as a 5 ½-point home underdog. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1.

This will be the largest amount of points that Oklahoma City has received this season. Golden State has gone 19-5 SU and 10-13-1 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite.

Good Luck!

I learned my lesson taking Cleveland on Saturday as a four-point home underdog to Houston and it was embarrassed 120-88 at home. Including that loss, the Cavaliers have gone 4-8 in their last 12 games and they’ve burnt bettors with a 2-10 ATS mark during this span.

That’s been the theme of the season for the Cavs, who are a league worst 14-36-1 ATS. We’ve seen finish anywhere from 15-18 games below .500 at the betting counter over a regular season but to be 22 games below is eye-opening considering they have the best player in the league in LeBron James.

Despite those facts, Cleveland has been installed as a seven-point road favorite over Orlando (16-36 SU, 24-28 ATS). The Magic are coming off a surprising 111-109 win at Miami last night as an 8 ½-point road ‘dog, cashing money-line tickets as high as plus-325. Including that win, the Magic are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 despite going 4-7 SU.

Before you run to the counter and pound Orlando, make a note that Frank Vogel’s team hasn’t won two straight since Nov. 10 and it has gone 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games off a victory.

While that could have you leaning Cleveland, it’s hard to justify taking a team that has gone 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite. This will be the fourth and final meeting between the pair this season with Cleveland taking two of the first three but Orlando has earned covers in all of the games. Make a note that the Magic won’t have Aaron Gordon (hip) for the fifth consecutive game.

John Who?

The Wizards (31-22 SU, 25-28 ATS) have won and covered five straight games since All-Star point guard John Wall went down with a knee injury. The winning run includes a 111-102 road win over Indiana last night as a 3 ½-point favorite.

The oddsmakers expect the streak to end on Tuesday night with Washington visiting Philadelphia (25-25 SU, 27-23 ATS). The 76ers opened as six-point home favorites and while the fatigue factor could come into play, bettors should note that the Wizards have gone 5-2 when playing on no rest this season.

One of the losses did come at Philadelphia on Nov. 29 but Washington managed to cover as a 7 ½-point underdog in the 118-113 decision. Including that outcome, the home team has now won five straight in this series while the ‘over’ has gone 4-1 during this span.

Philadelphia has been a tad shaky of late, going 1-4 both SU and ATS in its last five but all of the losses occurred on the road. In true home games, the 76ers have won and covered six straight at the Wells Fargo Center and the offense has averaged 112.8 PPG in those games.

With the “City of Brotherly Love” buzzing after Sunday’s Super Bowl victory by the Eagles, you wonder if that momentum carries over to the hardwood.

Under Streaks

Even though the Bucks (26-25) and Knicks (27-26) have slightly leaned to the ‘over’ this season, both clubs bring solid ‘under’ runs into Tuesday matchup from Madison Square Garden. Milwaukee has watched its last eight go to the low side while New York is on a 5-0 ‘under’ run and this includes last Friday’s meeting between the pair.

In that game, Milwaukee earned a 92-90 home win over New York but failed to cover as a 4 ½-point favorite. This game was on an ‘over’ pace at halftime with the score knotted 55 apiece but the pair closed the game with 38 and 34-point quarters.

Milwaukee’s offense has been banged up lately and the team won’t have guards Malcom Brogdon (knee) or Matthew Dellavedova (ankle) for Tuesday.

You can make a case for New York to win this game based on its home record (16-10 SU, 16-10 ATS) but the team is in a serious funk right now, especially on offense. Including the 90-point effort versus the Bucks, New York is averaging 95.4 PPG and that number is inflated because it posted 107 and 111 against the Suns and Nets, two of the worst defensive teams in the league.

Keep an Eye On

The Rockets (-10) visit Brooklyn tonight and they’ve gone 4-2 SU in their last six games as double-digit favorites, more importantly they’re 0-6 ATS. Houston also bring a 10-1 ‘under’ run into this game and the Nets have been leaning low lately as well (8-2 L10).

Rare to see Atlanta (-2) listed as a favorite but that’s the case Tuesday when Memphis visits. It’s also rare to see the Hawks win two in a row, something they’ll be trying to do for the third time this season. Off a win, Atlanta is 2-13 this season but it will be facing one of the worst road teams in the Grizzlies (5-19).

The home team has won six of the past eight meetings in the Boston-Toronto series, which includes the first meeting this season from TD Garden as the Celtics escaped with a 95-94 win. The ‘under’ is also on a 6-2 run during this span.

Meanwhile on the West Coast, the Suns and Lakers have watched the visitors win four straight and five of the last six games in their head-to-head encounters. The ‘over’ has been the right side as well, with the high side on a 5-1 run and 12-3 in the previous 15 meetings.

 
Posted : February 6, 2018 10:08 am
(@shazman)
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NBA

Tuesday, February 6

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Trend Report
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CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Cleveland is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

BOSTON @ TORONTO
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

MEMPHIS @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

HOUSTON @ BROOKLYN
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

PHOENIX @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

OKLAHOMA CITY @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
__________________

 
Posted : February 6, 2018 1:17 pm
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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 6

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CLEVELAND (30 - 21) at ORLANDO (16 - 36) - 2/6/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 14-36 ATS (-25.6 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-31 ATS (-26.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 56-76 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 9-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (38 - 13) at BROOKLYN (19 - 35) - 2/6/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (29 - 23) at NEW YORK (23 - 31) - 2/6/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (18 - 34) at ATLANTA (16 - 37) - 2/6/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (39 - 15) at TORONTO (36 - 16) - 2/6/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (31 - 22) at PHILADELPHIA (25 - 25) - 2/6/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 76-55 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (18 - 36) at LA LAKERS (21 - 31) - 2/6/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-5 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 24) at GOLDEN STATE (41 - 12) - 2/6/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-31 ATS (+23.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : February 6, 2018 1:18 pm
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