College Basketball Betting News and Trends For Friday, January 19, 2018

Friday’s college hoop games
St Bonaventure is 2-3 in A-14; 0-3 on road,2-0 at home, beating UMass by 20, Fordham by 16. Bonnies lost three of last four games, but are 4-2 vs top 100 teams- they’re playing fastest pace in A-14 games, Davidson the slowest. Davidson won last four games; they’re 2-1 on A-14 road, 0-4 vs top 100 teams- their best win is over #171 Saint Louis. Davidson/Bonnies split their four A-14 meetings; Wildcats lost 97-85 (+1) in their only visit here two years ago. Three of four series games were decided by 5 or less points. A-14 home faves are 16-6 vs spread this season.

Michigan State hasn’t been playing well, losing two of last three games, with an OT win over Rutgers in between; Spartans are 3-0 in Big 14 home games, winning by 29-30-4 points- they’re 4-3 vs top 100 teams. Indiana won its last three games, with a win at Minnesota; Hoosiers are 5-5 vs top 100 teams- their Big 14 losses are by 14-10-10 points. Indiana forced turnovers 21.7% of time in league games. State won five of its last six games with Indiana, which lost its last three visits to East Lansing, by 17-2-7 points. Big 14 home favorites are 16-14 vs spread this season.

Yale survived 20 turnovers and beat Brown 78-72 (-8) in their Ivy opener last week; Brown was 18-31 on line- Yale shot 59% inside arc. Bulldogs won last six series games. Bruins lost their last seven visits to New Haven. Yale is 4-7 in true road games; they’re 7-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 200. Brown is 0-4 vs teams in top 200; their best win is over #234 NJIT. Bruins are #328 experience team that is turning ball over 20% of time and shooting only 33.1% on arc. Ivy League home teams are 3-4 vs spread this season.

Illinois is 0-6 in Big 14, with three OT losses, another by one point; Illini’s four road losses in league are by 4-1-10-10 points- they’re 1-9 vs top 100 teams, with only win over Missouri on a neutral floor. Wisconsin lost its last three games, by 4-4-28 points; they split pair of Big 14 home games, beating Indiana, losing to Ohio State. Badgers are 3-9 vs top 100 teams- they won their last 11 games with Illinois; Illini lost its last six visits to Madison, all by 9+ points. Big 14 home favorites are 16-14 vs spread this season. Illini is shooting 28.6% on arc in conference games.

Manhattan is 4-2 in MAAC after a 5-7 pre-conference mark; Jaspers are 2-1 at home in league, beating Fairfield/Siena- they’re 2-6 vs teams in top 200, beating Harvard, Hofstra. Manhattan is forcing turnovers 24.4% of time in league games. Canisius won seven of its last eight games; they’re 2-1 on MAAC road, with only loss by 3 at Siena. Griffins are 5-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Canisius won its last three games with Manhattan, by 3-1-14 points; they won last two visits to Draddy Gym. MAAC home teams are 18-13-2 vs spread this season.

Iona won its last four games after a 7-7 start, but those four were all at home; Gaels are 4-5 in true road games, 1-1 in league, winning in OT at Niagara. Iona is 4-6 vs top 200 teams. Iona/Monmouth split their last eight meetings; Gaels split their four MAAC visits here. Hawks won both series games LY, by 18-6 points. Monmouth is 1-4 in MAAC; they beat Manhattan at home, lost all four road games. Hawks are 1-4 vs teams ranked in top 150- their best win was by 1 over Bucknell. MAAC home underdogs are 7-6 vs spread this season.

**Indiana at Michigan State**

-- Michigan State (16-3 straight up, 11-8 against the spread) has failed to cover the spread in three straight games and is suddenly playing its worst basketball of the season. The slide started on Jan. 7 when the Spartans took woodshed treatment at Ohio State, losing 80-64 as 6.5-point road favorites. Three days later at Breslin Center in East Lansing, Tom Izzo’s team had to get a late free throw and a defensive stop on the last possession of regulation just to force overtime as a 22-point favorite vs. Rutgers. MSU would knock off the Scarlet Knights by a 76-72 count in OT. Then last Saturday (1/13/18), arch-rival Michigan came to Breslin and captured an 82-72 win as a 9.5-point underdog.

-- Michigan State led Michigan by three at intermission and held its biggest advantage (five) in the opening minute of the second half, but it was all Wolverines after that. Moritz Wagner dropped a game-high 27 points on the Spartans, who made only 3-of-13 (23.1%) attempts from 3-point range. Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 19 points and blocked six shots in the losing effort. Miles Bridges finished with 19 points, six rebounds, five assists and two steals, while Cassius Winston had 11 points. Nick Ward was in foul trouble all day, contributing only four points and five rebounds in just 14 minutes of playing time.

-- Michigan State is No. 1 in the nation in field-goal percentage defense (35.0%) and is ranked 22nd in scoring ‘D’ (64.0 points per game). The Spartans are third in the country in FG percentage (51.7%), 15th in 3-point accuracy (41.2%) and 17th in scoring (85.2 PPG).

-- Michigan State is ranked ninth in the latest Associated Press Top 25 and No. 35 in the RPI Rankings. Izzo’s bunch is 1-3 versus the RPI Top 50 and 5-3 against the Top 100. The Spartans have neutral-court wins over North Carolina and UConn, in addition to home wins over the likes of Notre Dame, Nebraska and Maryland.

-- Bridges, a true sophomore forward, is averaging 16.7 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.1 blocked shots per game. He has a 56/34 assist-to-turnover ratio. Ward (14.3 PPG, 1.6 BPG) leads the team in rebounding (7.5 RPG) and FG percentage (69.7%), while Joshua Langford (13.5 PPG) is draining 46.2 percent of his 3-balls. Winston (12.7 PPG) is hitting 52.4 percent of his treys and has a 130/48 assist-to-turnover ratio, while Jackson (11.5 PPG) paces MSU in steals (0.8 SPG) and blocks (3.2 BPG).

-- MSU has won 11 of its 12 home games while posting an 8-4 spread record. The Spartans are 7-3 ATS in 10 games as double-digit home favorites.

-- As of early Thursday night, most betting shops had the Spartans listed as 15.5-point favorites with a total of 140.

-- Indiana (11-7 SU, 9-9 ATS) has lost four of its five road games both SU and ATS. The Hoosiers failed to cover the number in their lone game as double-digit underdogs, losing 84-68 at Seton Hall as 11-point ‘dogs. This is obviously their richest spot as ‘dogs this year.

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-- Archie Miller’s first IU squad is playing its best basketball of the season, winning three in a row and five of its past six both SU and ATS. The Hoosiers are off Sunday’s 66-46 win over Northwestern as three-point home favorites. Robert Johnson was the catalyst with 17 points, six rebounds, three assists and one blocked shot. Josh Newkirk added 12 points. IU held the Wildcats to an abysmal 15-of-56 shooting performance (26.8%) from the field.

-- Indiana is No. 104 in the RPI Rankings, going winless in four games against Top-50 foes and 2-4 versus the Top 100. The Hoosiers beat Notre Dame on a neutral floor and won at Minnesota.

-- Junior forward Juwan Morgan leads IU in scoring (15.6 PPG), rebounding (7.4 RPG) and blocked shots (1.4 BPG). Morgan is making 59.3 percent of his FGAs. Johnson (13.6 PPG) is IU’s only other double-figure scorer.

-- Indiana lost sophomore power forward De’Ron Davis to a season-ending injury two weeks ago. Davis was averaging 9.6 points and 4.3 RPG while pacing the Hoosiers in FG percentage (61.5%) and blocks (1.5 BPG).

-- The ‘under’ is on a 5-1 run for IU in its last six games. Totals have been an overall wash (9-9) for the Hoosiers, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ go 4-1 in their five road assignments.

-- The ‘over’ is 11-7 overall for the Spartans, 9-2 in their home games. The ‘over’ is on a 7-2 run for -- Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1.

**St. Bonaventure at Davidson**

-- As of early Thursday night, most books had Davidson (9-7 SU, 7-8 ATS) listed as a four-point favorite with a total of 145.

-- Davidson is in second place in the Atlantic 10 with a 4-1 record in league play, leaving it 1.5 games back of Rhode Island with its 6-0 mark in A-10 action. The Wildcats have won four games in a row and has covered the number in three straight.

-- Bob McKillop’s team is unbeaten in five home games with a 2-2 spread record.

-- Davidson dealt out a seal clubbing Sunday when it won 75-45 at Fordham as an eight-point road favorite. Jon Axel Gudmundsson led the way with 18 points, six rebounds and three assists compared to only one turnover. Gudmundsson drained 3-of-5 attempts from 3-point range. Kellan Grady added 14 points and three assists without a turnover, burying 4-of-5 launches from downtown. Oskar Michelsen and Peyton Aldridge were also in double figures with 13 and 11 points, respectively.

-- Davidson is No. 130 in the RPI, going 0-3 versus the Top 50 and 0-4 against the Top 100. All three defeats against Top-50 opponents came by double-digit margins, although the loss to New Mexico St. (RPI #55) on a neutral court was a 69-68 setback. The Wildcats have zero victories over opponents with an RPI of No. 189 or better. Furthermore, they’ve lost three games to team with an RPI of 187 or worse.

-- Davidson is led by Aldridge, the senior forward who is tops on his team in scoring (19.8 PPG), rebounding (6.9 RPG) and blocks (0.6 BPG). Gudmundsson (14.6 PPG) leads the Wildcats in assists (4.6 APG) and steals (1.6 SPG), with a 74/30 assist-to-turnover ratio. Grady (15.8 PPG) is shooting at a 40.2 percent from long distance.

-- St. Bonaventure (12-5 SU, 7-7 ATS) went 10-2 in non-conference play, but it is only 1.5 games out of the A-10 cellar with its 2-3 league record. Nevertheless, the Bonnies are still in a solid position (see where ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has them listed in Bonus Nuggets below) to get to their first NCAA Tournament since 2012.

-- Mark Schmidt’s squad is 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road. The Bonnies are 2-1 both SU and ATS in three contests as road underdogs.

-- St. Bonaventure has lost three of its past four games both SU and ATS, including Saturday’s 87-73 loss at Rhode Island as a 7.5-point underdog. Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley scored 19 points apiece, while Courtney Stockard finished with 14 points, nine rebounds, two steals and a pair of assists.

-- St. Bonaventure is No. 45 in the RPI, compiling a 2-2 record against the Top 50 and a 4-3 mark versus the Top 100. The Bonnies own wins at Buffalo (RPI #34) and at Syracuse, in addition to neutral-court scalps of Maryland and Vermont.

-- Although he missed six games in November when St. Bonaventure went 4-2 SU, Adams has been making up for it since then. He’s averaging 18.5 points, 5.1 assists, 4.4 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game. Adams is shooting at a 52.9 percent clip from 3-point land and has made 83.8 percent of his FTs. Mobley (17.1 PPG) paces his team in assists (2.8 APG) and steals (1.4 SPG), and he’s also pulling down 4.9 RPG. Stockard is averaging 11.3 points and 5.5 RPG, while LaDarien Griffin (9.7 PPG, 6.9 RPG) leads the Bonnies in FG percentage (47.7%) and blocks (1.3 BPG).

-- The ‘under’ is 10-5 overall for the Wildcats, 3-1 in their home outings. They’ve seen the ‘under’ cash in five straight regardless of the venue.

-- The ‘over’ has hit in five consecutive games for the Bonnies to improve to 8-6 overall. However, they’ve seen the ‘under’ go 4-3 in their road contests.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Creighton junior forward Martin Krampelj has been enjoying a breakout campaign, making his loss to a season-ending ACL tear even more painful for Doug McDermott’s team. Krampelj was averaging 11.9 points and 8.1 rebounds per game before sustaining the injury in Wednesday’s 80-63 home win over Seton Hall.

-- Joe Lunardi’s latest edition of ‘Bracketology’ was released Thursday and had the ACC (9) and SEC (8) composing 17 teams out of the 68-school field. The ‘last four byes’ included Notre Dame, Alabama, Boise State and Syracuse, while the ‘last four in’ were UCLA, Maryland, Middle Tennessee and Providence. The ‘first four out’ included USC, Georgia, Baylor and Houston, while the ‘next four out’ had SMU, St. Bonaventure, Kansas St. and Virginia Tech.

-- Wisconsin is a 4.5-point home favorite vs. Illinois on Friday at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on FS1.

NCAAB

Friday, January 19

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Trend Report
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INDIANA @ MICHIGAN STATE
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
Michigan State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Indiana

ST. BONAVENTURE @ DAVIDSON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Bonaventure's last 5 games
St. Bonaventure is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Davidson's last 5 games
Davidson is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

BUFFALO @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

IONA @ MONMOUTH
Iona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games
Monmouth is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

YALE @ BROWN
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brown
Yale is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brown
Brown is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brown's last 9 games when playing at home against Yale

CANISIUS @ MANHATTAN
Canisius is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Canisius is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Manhattan is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Canisius
Manhattan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

ILLINOIS @ WISCONSIN
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Illinois's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 5 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, January 19

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ST BONAVENTURE (12 - 5) at DAVIDSON (9 - 7) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 192-140 ATS (+38.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 188-143 ATS (+30.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 93-58 ATS (+29.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 2-1 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (11 - 7) at MICHIGAN ST (16 - 3) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
INDIANA is 113-148 ATS (-49.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 90-59 ATS (+25.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (13 - 5) at W MICHIGAN (11 - 7) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
W MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (8 - 9) at BROWN (7 - 7) - 1/19/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 132-95 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 132-95 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
YALE is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 88-59 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
YALE is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
YALE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 3-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 5-0 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (10 - 9) at WISCONSIN (9 - 10) - 1/19/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CANISIUS (11 - 8) at MANHATTAN (9 - 9) - 1/19/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-1 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (11 - 7) at MONMOUTH (5 - 12) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 3-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 3-2 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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