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College Basketball Betting News and Notes Tuesday, December 12th, 2017

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(@shazman)
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College basketball knowledge is posted every day thru the Final Four.

Tuesday’s college hoop
Indiana State is 1-5 vs D-I teams since they upset Indiana in their season opener; Sycamores have already lost OT games to Ohio, North Texas- they’re turning ball over 21.1% of time, are shooting 43.4% inside arc. Green Bay is 2-5 vs D-I teams; they’re experience team #312, are playing pace #48, down from #7 LY. Phoenix is 0-4 in true road games, losing by 20-9-11-23 points. MVC non-conference home favorites are 16-6 vs spread; Horizon road underdogs are 10-17. Last 2+ years, MVC teams are 7-7 vs spread when playing Horizon League teams.

Fordham was 6-29 on arc in 68-53 loss at Rutgers LY; Rams are 4-5 vs schedule #340- this is their first true road game. Fordham is shooting 24.1% on arc, 2nd-worst in country; they’re 0-4 vs top 200 teams, losing by 24-8-5-2 points. Rutgers is 8-3 vs schedule #344; they’re 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with six of the wins by 9+ points. Knights’ eFG% defense is #5 in country; they’re shooting 29.9% on arc. Big 14 home favorites are 25-19 vs spread; A-14 road underdogs are 9-10. Last 2+ years, big 14 teams are 12-8 vs spread when playing A-14 foes.

Boston College upset Duke Saturday, trap game here; Eagles are 7-3 vs schedule #206- they’re 4-0 vs schedule #206, with three wins by 20+ points. BC is experience team #282. Columbia lost its last eight games, is 1-9 vs schedule #111; Lions are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 15 at Villanova, 14 at Penn State, 4 in OT at UConn. Five of Lions’ last six games were decided by six or less points. Columbia plays the faster pace, #86 to BC’s #203. ACC home favorites are 22-11 vs spread; Ivy League road underdogs are 8-13.

Cincinnati lost its last two games, by 13 at Xavier, by 6 to Florida on a neutral floor, after their 7-0 start- those are Cincy’s only two top 100 games. Bearcats’ best win was over Wyoming by 25 on a neutral floor. Cincinnati forces turnovers 23.1% of the time- they’ve played schedule #308. Mississippi State is 8-0 vs schedule #346; their best win was over #96 Jacksonville State. This is State’s first game away from Starkville- they haven’t even played a neutral court game yet. AAC home favorites are 9-12 vs spread; SEC underdogs are 10-12.

Georgia Southern is 6-2 vs schedule #178; Eagles are #29 experience team that is 2-2 vs teams in top 150, 3-0 vs everyone else, with wins by 24-3-11 points. GSU split pair of true road games, winning at Wake Forest, losing by 5 at Bradley. George Mason is 5-5 vs schedule #227; they’re 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, 0-5 vs top 200 teams- their best win was by 12 over #202 Binghamton. Patriots are #332 experience team that is playing pace #274. A-14 home favorites are 15-17 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 13-12.

Louisiana Tech won three of last four games with UL-Lafayette; home side won last three series meetings, with teams splitting last two played here. ULL is 5-2 vs schedule #273- they’re playing pace #35; Cajuns’ opponents play shortest possessions in country (00:14.5). Tech is 5-2 vs schedule #279; their two losses are by total of five points. Bulldogs are 1-2 vs teams ranked in top 150, with all three games decided by 3 or less points. Conference USA home favorites are 11-4 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 13-12.

Colorado lost two of its last three games after a 6-0 start (schedule #258); Buffs are experience team #293- they’re turning ball over 21% of time, are 1-1 vs top 150 teams, losing at Xavier by 27 in last game Saturday, beating Mercer on neutral floor. San Diego is 7-2 vs schedule #309; their losses are by 9 to San Diego St, by 10 at home to UCSB. Toreros are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time- they’re 3-1 in true road games, winning at San Jose St, Grand Canyon, New Mexico State. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-18 vs spread; WCC underdogs are 9-16.

Michigan beat Texas the last two years, by 3-6 points. Wolverines rallied from 15 down to beat UCLA in OT Saturday- they’re 0-2 in true road games, losing by 15 at North Carolina, by 9 at Ohio State. Michigan is playing pace #346 this year; Texas is playing pace #254. Texas is #339 experience team that is 6-2 vs schedule #109; Longhorns are forcing turnovers 21.9% of time, but are shooting only 28.7% on arc, 61.1% on line. Big X home favorites are 16-11 vs spread; Big 14 road underdogs are 3-8. Last 2+ years, Big X teams are 15-13 vs spread vs Big 14 teams.

Iona is 4-4 vs schedule #124; they’re experience team #17 that that has played only one home game so far, a 7-point win over FDU. Gaels won their last three games, scoring 83 ppg. Iona is 0-3 vs teams ranked in top 150; their best win is over #157 Ohio U. Yale has a lot of injury problems; they’re 6-6 vs schedule #80- they’re 3-5 in true road games. Bulldogs are 0-6 vs teams in top 150- their best win was by 9 at #194 Lehigh. MAAC home favorites are 2-4 vs spread; Ivy League road underdogs are 8-13.

Monmouth scored 57 second half points in 96-90 win over Princeton LY; Hawks made 14-29 on arc, Princeton 14-34. Monmouth is 3-7 vs schedule #19; they lost six of last seven games, losing in OT to both Penn, UConn. Hawks are #306 experience team whose bench plays #3 minutes in country. Princeton lost its last three games; they’re 0-6 vs top 200 teams, with all losses by 9+ points; Tigers have played schedule #85, are playing tempo #343. Ivy League home favorites are 0-4 vs spread this season; MAAC road underdogs are 14-11.

Saint Louis is down to 8 scholarship players for various reasons; Billikens lost five of last six games, are 3-5 vs schedule #108- they’ve played only one true road game. SLU is making 26% of its 3-pointers (#344 in country). Murray State is 4-1 vs schedule #226; they’ve won road games at Wright St, Illinois State. Racers’ only loss was by 5 to Middle Tennessee State. Murray is shooting 56.9% inside arc; their defensive eFG% is #54. OVC favorites are 4-8 vs spread; A-14 home underdogs are 4-6. Last 2+ years, OVC teams are 10-5-1 vs spread vs A-14 opponents.

Wyoming made 11-18 on arc in 91-81 home win over Eastern Washington ins first round of CBI LY. Cowboys are 7-3 vs schedule #99; 2-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, losing at Denver, winning by 9 over Chattanooga, 14 over Pacific. EWU lost its last four games, all on road- they lost last game by hoop at South Dakota. Eagles are 1-6 in true road games, with only win by 6 at Stanford; they’re 2-7 vs schedule #40, shooting only 31.4% on the arc. Mountain West home favorites are 22-8 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 19-16.

Oregon State is 6-3 vs schedule #345; they lost by 5 to St John’s in their only top 100 game this season. Beavers are shooting 58.8% inside arc, only 28.1% outside it- they’re #290 experience team in country. Jacksonville State is #75 experience team that is 7-2 vs schedule #307; they’re 2-2 in true road games, losing by 5 at Buffalo, by 3 at Mississippi State- they have win at Richmond, Chattanooga. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-18 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 22-21. Pac-12 teams won last four games vs OVC foes, winning by 12-4-9-19 points.

 
Posted : December 12, 2017 10:15 am
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